Thomas C. Kennedy - Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.
Management
Hi, Chris. This is Tom. What we do is we mark to market depreciation rates in our mid and compact size. As we carry those cars into 2017, there'll be some implications on higher multi-deep (29:19) rates on those vehicles that we still haven't serviced. We clearly obviously are looking at that quarterly. We've assumed an additional $30 million adjustment in 4Q as I said in our guidance. We expect there will be cost increases, residual cost pressures and cost increases next year. I think it's more of a macro effect because I think we're trying to rotate out of these compact and mid-sized more expeditiously to a more natural level on the 16% range versus where we were 22% earlier in the year, as I mentioned, I think after our first quarter call. So there may be some implications into 2017, but we believe that we're working to try to get those addressed in this calendar year and not have that as a carryover risk. Our 2017 model year buy is around 90% of what we expect to buy, we bought some availability by design. Our negotiations – our OEM partners have been very helpful in working with us and recognizing the residual pressures I think the industry has or will face in 2017. And I think as a result, we've negotiated on like-for-like cap cost reductions on the risk fleet. Program cars continue to be I think difficult to obtain. As I've said previous calls, our current mix of buys, about 80 risk, 20 program. Probably not optimal from a risk management perspective, but clearly if you were to look at the program, pricing relative to risk residuals, you'd have to assume a fairly significant decline greater than any third party source assuming in 2017 to justify going more heavy on program. But we're always looking to see whether we can optimize more program as well as looking at used cars as we understand others in the market may be doing as well which, I think, is a early sign that folks are cautious about next year's residuals. So we're taking that very seriously. And we do believe that we probably were disproportionally impacted because of our compact and mid-sized mix. But I'd also submit that it's a macro factor and, obviously, others can't be immune to this factor. And, obviously, we think we have actions in place to try to manage through the fleet costs. And, clearly, the improved pricing environment we experienced in the third quarter, as I've said, we'd probably always see a lag effect as I think is positive and that the industry is rational, and that we'll recover, from an industry perspective, increase more input cost and fleet cost.