Will Furr
Analyst · Piper Sandler. Thank you, Brad
09:20 Thank you, Jeremy. I'll start on page five. As Jeremy discussed, for the third quarter of 2021, Hilltop recorded consolidated income attributable to common stockholders of ninety three million dollars, equating to one point one five dollars per diluted share. Included in the third quarter results was a net reversal of provision for credit losses of five point eight million dollars. During the third quarter, Hilltop recorded a modest net recovery of charge-offs. On page six, we have detailed the significant drivers to the change in allowance for credit losses for the period. The most significant drivers in the quarter were the positive migration of certain credits in the portfolio and the further improvement in the expected macroeconomic outlook. 10:05 These were somewhat offset by increase in specific reserves taking against a small number of credits that experienced deterioration during the quarter. First related to the microeconomic outlook. We leveraged the Moody's S7 scenario for our third quarter analysis, consistent with our second quarter outlook selection. This scenario considered lower overall GDP rates, higher inflation and higher ongoing unemployment than other market consensus outlooks. As said, the S7 scenario did improve from the prior period, and the impact of the improvement resulted in the release of six million dollars of credit reserves during the third quarter. 10:44 Second key driver was the ongoing improvement in credit quality across the portfolio. During the quarter, the portfolio experienced positive migration across a number of industries and geographies resulting from improving financial performance and more resilient outlook for future periods. Further, the portfolio of loans that are currently under active deferral plan build seventeen million dollars from seventy six million dollars at the end of the second quarter of twenty one. 11:13 The result of the improvement at the client level equated to a net release of credit reserves five million dollars during the third quarter. The net impact the changes resulted in allowance for credit losses for the period ending September 30th of one hundred and nine point five million dollars or one point four five percent of total loans. Further, the coverage ratio of ACL to total loans increases to one point seven four percent and loans that we believe have lower loss potential, including PPP, broker dealer and mortgage warehouse loans are excluded. 11:47 I'm moving to Page seven. Net interest income in the third quarter equated to hundred and five million dollars, including eight point three million dollars of PPP-related interest and fee income, as well as purchase accounting accretion. Net interest margin declined versus the second quarter of twenty twenty one driven by lower PPP fee recognition, higher average cash balances, and continued pressure on loan HFI yields. Somewhat offsetting these items were higher loans held for sale yield, resulting from higher overall mortgage rates, coupled with lower interest-bearing deposit cost, which have continued to trend lower finishing the quarter down four basis points versus the second quarter of twenty-one at twenty eight basis points. We continue to expect that interest-bearing deposit costs will move modestly lower over the coming quarters as the consumer CD portfolio continues to mature and reset to lower yields. 12:43 As it relates to asset yields, the current competitive environment for commercial loans is resulting in substantial pressure on loan yields for new originations, which were three point eight percent during the third quarter and is also challenging our ability to maintain current loan flow rates. Given overall market and competitive conditions, we expect that NIM will remain pressured into the fourth quarter of twenty one moving lower to between two forty and two fifty basis points by year end. 13:13 Turning to page eight, total non-interest income for the third quarter of twenty one equated to three hundred and sixty eight million dollars. Third quarter mortgage-related income and fees decreased by one hundred and fourteen million dollars versus the third quarter of twenty twenty driven by lower origination volumes, declining gain on sale margins, and lower locked volumes. As it relates to gain on sale margins, we noted in our key driver table in the lower right of the page the gain on sale margins on loans fell eighteen basis points versus the prior quarter. 13:45 Further, we are providing the impact of gain on sale margin related to those loans that have been retained on the balance sheet, which for the third quarter according to thirteen basis points. In the third quarter of twenty twenty-one, environment and mortgage banking remained resilient and is expected to continue to shift to a more purchased mortgage centric marketplace approximately seventy one percent of our origination volumes serving as purchase mortgages. During the third quarter, purchase mortgage volumes declined modestly to three point nine five billion dollars while refinance volumes declined twelve percent or two thirty five million dollars versus the second quarter origination levels. 14:26 We expect this trend to continue towards the more purchase-centric mortgage market of the coming quarters and we continue to expect gain on sale margins for third party sales will fall within a full year average range of three sixty to three eighty five basis points. In addition, other income declined by thirty six million dollars driven primarily by the cause in TBA Locked Volumes coupled with lower volumes and market debt in the fixed income capital markets. As we've noted in the past, the structured finance and fixed income capital markets businesses can be volatile from period to period as they are impacted by interest rates, market volatility origination volume trends and overall market liquidity. 15:11 Lastly, our public finance and retail brokerage businesses at the broker dealer drove solid revenue growth as highlighted in the securities related fee growth of fifteen million dollars versus the prior year period. This growth highlights the impact of our ongoing investments and enhanced products and service capabilities across HilltopSecurities, which has provided our makers with additional tools and capabilities to support their clients. 15:36 Turning to page nine. Non-interest expenses decreased from the same period in the prior year by forty four million dollars to three fifty five million dollars. Decline in expenses versus the prior year was driven by decline in variable compensation of approximately thirty five million dollars in HilltopSecurities and PrimeLending. This decline in variable compensation was linked to lower revenues in the quarter compared to the prior year period. 16:03 The bank continues to deliver improved efficiency as highlighted in the sub fifty percent efficiency ratio. This has been driven by lower overall headcount as well as benefits from strong mortgage production and the acceleration of PPP fees into current period income. As we've noted in the past, we expect that over the longer term efficiency ratio of the bank will fall in a range of fifty percent to fifty five percent. 16:28 Moving to Page ten. In the period HFI loans equated to seven point six billion dollars relatively stable with the second quarter levels. As we’ve noted previously, we've seen substantial increases in competition for funded loans across the Texas markets, which we expect will continue into twenty twenty two. Further, the ongoing growth in available liquidity, both on bank balance sheets and consumer balance sheets could further delay a return to more normal commercial loan growth rates for at least a few quarters. We continue to expect that full year twenty twenty one average total loan growth, excluding PPP loans will be within a range of zero percent to three percent. During the third quarter of twenty-one, PrimeLending locked approximately two forty three million dollars of loans to be retained by PlainsCapital over the coming months. These loans had an average yield two point nine five percent and average FICO and LTV of seven seventy six percent and sixty four percent respectively. 17:32 Moving to page eleven. Per quarter credit trends continue to reflect a slow with steady recovery in the Texas economy, which is supporting improved customer cash flows, if you were borrowers on active deferral programs. As of September thirtieth, we have approximately seventeen million dollars of loans on active deferral programs down from seventy six million dollars to June thirtieth. 17:54 Further, key allowance for credit losses, the period loan ratio for the active deferral loans equates to twenty two point eight percent at September thirty. As this shown on the graph to bottom right of the page, the allowance for credit loss coverage including both mortgage warehouse lending as well as PPP loans at the bank ended the third quarter one point five eight percent. We continue to believe that both mortgage warehouse lending as well as our PPP loans will maintain lower loss content over time. Excluding mortgage warehouse and PPP loans, the bank's ACL to end-of-period loans HFI ratio equated to one point seven four percent. 18:32 Turning to page twelve. Third quarter in this period total deposits were approximately twelve point one billion dollars increasing by three ninety eight million dollars versus the second quarter of twenty twenty one. Given our strong liquidity position and balance sheet profile, we are expecting to continue allow broker deposits to mature and runoff. The 09/30 Hilltop maintained two forty three million dollars of broker deposits to have a blended yield of thirty three basis points. While deposit levels remain elevated, it should be noted that we remain focused on growing our client base and deepening wallet share through the sales of our commercial treasury products and services and focus on acquisition efforts. 19:16 Turning to page thirteen. In twenty twenty one, we continue to remain nimble as the pandemic evolves to ensure the safety of our teammates and our clients. Further, our financial priorities for twenty twenty one remain centered on delivering great customer service to our clients, attracting new customers to our franchise, supporting the communities where we serve, maintaining a moderate risk profile and delivering long term shareholder value. Given the current uncertainties in the marketplace, we're not providing specific financial guidance, but we are continuing to provide commentary. This is the most current outlook, for the remainder of twenty twenty one with the understanding that the business environment, including the impacts of the pandemic could remain volatile. That’s it, we will continue to provide updates during our future of quarterly calls. 20:05 Operator, that concludes our prepared comments. And we'll turn the call back to you for the Q&A section of the call.