Will Furr
Analyst · Piper Jaffray
Thank you, Jeremy. Before we review the financial performance for the quarter, I want to review disclosure made last evening. Based upon our review recently conducted, Hilltop determined that we did not design and maintain effective internal control over certain aspects relating to the determination of the qualitative factors considered by management in the allowance for loan losses estimation process, particularly quantitative support for such qualitative factors. Management and the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors concluded that this control deficiency constituted a material weakness as of December 31, 2018. As of the date of this press release, we do not expect this control deficiency to result in a restatement of our consolidated financial statements. We expect to file an amendment to our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018 and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2019 and June 30, 2019 to include disclosures concerning this material weakness. In addition, we anticipate that the report of PricewaterhouseCoopers on our internal control over the financial reporting at December 31, 2018 will be revised to reflect the identification of this material weakness. Hilltop management and our Board of Directors are committed to maintaining a strong internal control environment. Management has evaluated the material weakness described above and has made significant progress and updating its design and implementation of internal controls to remediate the aforementioned control deficiency and enhance our internal control environment going forward. I am moving to page five. As Jeremy discussed, for the third quarter of 2019 Hilltop reported $79.4 million of income attributable to common stockholders according to $0.86 per diluted share. During the third quarter, the provision to loan losses included approximately 380,000 net recoveries as charge-offs for the quarter remained low. During the third quarter revenue related to purchase accounting with $7.8 million and expenses were $1.9 million resulting in a net purchase accounting pre-tax impact of $6 million for the quarter. In the current period the purchase accounting expenses largely represent amortization of deposit and other intangible assets related to prior acquisitions. Regarding loan accretion, as the purchase portfolio balances continue to decline we expect scheduled interest income related to the loan accretion to average between $4 million and $6 million per quarter over the next three quarters. Hilltop’s capital position remains strong with a period end Common Equity Tier 1 ratio of 16.15% and a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 12.67%. Moving to page six, net interest income in the third quarter equated to $113 million including $7.9 million of the loan accretion. Net interest income increased $3 million or 3% versus the same quarter in the prior year. The growth in net interest income was driven by growth in loans held for sale and our national warehouse lending business. Both of these loan portfolios were positively impacted by the favorable mortgage conditions during the quarter. We do expect that both of these portfolios will begin to decline during the fourth quarter as the mortgage business moves into a more traditional seasonal cycle. Net interest margin equated to 3.45% in the third quarter. The pre-purchase accounting taxable equivalent net interest margin equated to 3.2%, which declined by 1 basis point versus the same period in the prior year. On a linked quarter basis, taxable equivalent pre-purchase accounting, net interest margin declined by 6 basis points resulting to lower yields on loans held for sale and a 1 basis point increase in interest bearing deposits. During the third quarter long-term interest rates and more directly 10-year rates continue to decline that began earlier in the year. Overall, the average yield on loans held for sale during the third quarter dropped by 46 basis points to 414 basis points, putting pressure on net interest margin during the quarter. Further, during the third quarter, average 10 year yields declined by 55 basis points, which we expect will continue to put downward pressure on loans held for sale yields during the fourth quarter. As it relates to interest bearing deposit costs, we do believe that the portfolio reached peak levels for this interest rate cycle during the third quarter and will begin to decline the modest pace over the coming quarters. With the combination of lower loans held for sale yields and lower deposit beta rates early in this rate lowering cycle given competitive pressures, we expect net interest margin will continue to trend lower for the remainder of the year and into 2020. While these factors could move us the lower end of our outlook range, we are maintaining our full year average pre-purchase accounting net interest margin outlook of 3.25% plus or minus 3 basis points. We will continue to revisit our assumptions based on the outcome of future Federal Reserve rate movements, yield curve shifts and asset liability flows across the portfolios. I am moving to page seven. Total non-interest income for the third quarter of 2019 equated $341 million. Third quarter mortgage-related income and fees increased by $52 million versus the third quarter of 2018. During the third quarter of 2019, the environment in mortgage banking improved, principally driven by the aforementioned decline in the 10 year rates, which fell below 150 basis points at times during the quarter. This decline in rates drove a significant increase in refinance activity as refinance volumes increase from the prior year period by $975 million to $1.4 billion during the third quarter of 2019. Gain on sale margins outperformed our expectations for the quarter as they increased to 335 basis points for the period. Regarding mortgage gain on sale margins, given the current competitive dynamics recent pricing actions taken by the agencies and our expectations on market rates we expect that gain on sale margins will trend lower throughout the balance of 2019. Other income increased by $19 million driven primarily by improvements in sales and trading activities in both the capital markets and structured finance businesses at Hilltop Securities. Favorable market conditions resulted in a 29% increase in structured finance mortgage-backed securities volume. These businesses continue to realize the benefits of the investments we have been making to improve our structured and distribution capabilities since the third quarter of 2018. And while we believe these investments will continue to provide ongoing benefits it is important to recognize that these businesses can be volatile from period-to-period as they are impacted by interest rates, overall market liquidity and production trends. I am moving to page eight. Non-interest expenses increased from the same period in the prior year by $14 million to $350 million. Growth and expenses versus the prior-year were driven by an increase in variable compensation of $34 million of Hilltop Securities and Primelending. This increase in variable compensation was linked to strong fee revenue growth in the quarter. Over the last -- over the past six quarters we have continued to make progress in aligning our businesses to the current market conditions and driving efficiencies across the franchise. Through these efforts headcount, non-variable compensation, professional services costs and marketing and development expenses continue to trend lower as we make progress against our efficiency objectives. During the third quarter, Hilltop incurred $3 million in costs related to ongoing core system enhancements. Moving to page nine. Total average HFI loans grew by 6% versus the third quarter of 2018. Growth versus the same period in the prior year was driven by growth in our mortgage Warehouse Lending business, which experienced strong growth in the quarter or ending balances grew by approximately $80 million -- $180 million on a linked-quarter basis. Based on the year-to-date average loan growth in the national Warehouse Lending portfolio, current production trends, seasonal and scheduled pay downs, the current competitive environment, and our focus on high quality conservative underwriting, we now expect the full year average HFI loans will grow 6% to 8% in 2019. Turning to page 10, as previously noted, and we shown on the chart on top right of the slide, the bank has maintained solid credit quality through the third quarter of 2019, as non-performing assets declined $21 million from the same period in the prior year. Over the last few months, we have seen some weakness begin to emerge in our energy lending portfolio as cash flow performance coupled with overall market liquidity in the energy sector are becoming strange. As it relates to energy lending, total commitments at 930 [ph] or approximately $285 million in total loan outstanding balances were approximately 2.3% of the bank’s total loan, loans held for investment portfolio. The bank’s allowance for loan loss to HFI loans ratio equates to 82 basis points at the end of the third quarter of 2019. It is important to note that we do have remaining discounts across the purchase loan pools and these discounts provide additional coverage against future losses. Turning to page 11, average total deposits were approximately $8.6 billion and have increased by $477 million versus the third quarter of 2018. Interest-bearing deposit costs have remained relatively stable, rising by 1 basis point from the second quarter of 2019 as competitive pressures remain. As shown in the graph, the bank has been able to show steady growth of non-interest-bearing deposits as we continue on the -- continued focus on deepening our relationships with our clients. Turning to page 12. During the third quarter of 2019, PlainsCapital Bank continued to demonstrate solid improvement in profitability, generating $53 million of pre-tax income during the quarter. Quarter’s results reflect the benefits of growth in national warehouse lending, as well as solid expense reductions versus the prior year. Total non-interest expenses declined by $14 million versus the prior year period, driven by lower operating cost, the elimination of the loss share expenses in 2018 and lower FDIC premiums. Of note, third quarter 2018 results included $6.6 million of non-recurring transaction related expenses associated with the acquisition of The Bank of River Oaks in August of 2018. Also during the quarter, the bank did recognized $2.6 million of losses on the sale of certain available for sale securities. The proceeds of these sales will be fully reinvested in the securities portfolio during the fourth quarter. The focus of PlainsCapital remains consistent, provide great service to our clients, drive profitable growth, while maintaining a moderate risk profile and delivering positive operating leverage, while balancing revenue, growth and expense efficiency. Turning to page 13. PrimeLending generated a pre-tax profit of $32 million for the third quarter of 2019, driven by strong origination volumes that increased from the prior year by $1.1 billion or 31%. Gain on sale margins improved, as noted earlier, has strong secondary market conditions supported improved profitability. While overall volumes had increased the focus on operating efficiencies has not weighed as PrimeLending has maintained solid rigor around staffing, and other middle and back office expenses across the platform. The focus for PrimeLending is to generate profitable mortgage volume, continued to focus on operational efficiencies and to successfully launch our new mortgage loan origination system. Turning to page 14. Hilltop Securities delivered a pre-tax profit of $27 million for the third quarter of 2019, driven by solid execution in the structured finance and capital markets businesses, which has benefited from both our ongoing investments in structuring, sales and distribution, as well as improved market conditions. While activity was strong in the quarter, results from both of these businesses can be volatile as market rates, spreads and volumes can change significantly from period-to-period. Related to public banking, net revenues grow by -- grew by $3.9 million versus the same period in the prior year and we are continue to invest in our franchise to support long-term growth by strategically hiring bankers to support client expansion and acquisition. The focus for Hilltop Securities is to grow profitable revenue, optimize operating expenses, managed market and liquidity risk within a moderate risk profiles, and finalize deployment of the new core operating system. Moving to page 15. National Lloyds recorded a $6.5 million pre-tax profit for the quarter, which reflected a lower frequency and severity of storm activity and claim-related losses. Prudent growth in our core markets remains our primary focus for 2019. Moving to page 16. For 2019 we are increasing outlook for full year average loan growth to 6.8%, driven by the strong performance in our National Warehouse Lending business year-to-date, with an expectation that balances begin to decline seasonally during the fourth quarter. Full year average deposit growth outlook remains consistent. Also, as a result of higher loans held for sale balances in National Warehouse Lending balances for the year, we are increasing our net interest income guidance to include 100% growth within the range. To reflect the strength in our fee businesses, we are adjusting our non-interest income outlook higher to reflect the results during the first three quarters of 2019 and the improvement in market conditions. Our non-interest expense outlook range is projected higher as variable expenses will continue to be correlated through our fee revenue business. This outlook represents our current expectations with respect to the market rates and overall economic activity. These, however, may change throughout the remainder of the year and we will provide updates as necessary on quarterly calls going forward. In addition, we would like to provide an update on the projected impact of the adoption and implementation of the new accounting standard for assessing allowance for credit losses, commonly known as CECL. Based on our current assessment of the credit risk in the portfolio, our expectations of prepayments and our base economic outlook scenario, we estimate the allowance for credit losses, plus the reserve for unfunded commitments will be in the range of $80 million to $110 million. This compares to the combined reserves as of the third quarter of 2019 of approximately $58 million. We will continue to assess the credit quality in the portfolio, the current economic outlook assumptions and other factors that will affect this assessment, and the ultimate range throughout the remainder of 2019, as we work towards the January 1, 2020 implementation date. Operator, that concludes our prepared comments and we will turn the call over to you for the Q&A section of the call.