John Farquhar
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open
Thank you for joining us. Q2 is an outstanding quarter for HeartFlow and the momentum that we entered 2026 with is accelerating. Our year-over-year revenue growth accelerated for the second consecutive quarter and we finished ahead of our expectations, a credit to our expanding category leadership and the continued strong growth of the CCTA market. It's also a credit to the outstanding efforts of the HeartFlow team and their continued dedication to the patients we serve. Thank you all for your hard work and commitment. In the second quarter, revenue was $64.1 million, up 48% year-over-year, with U.S. revenue up 51%. This was our fastest revenue growth in 8 quarters. Four factors drove this performance. First, Plaque accelerated across new activations and physician utilization. Second, FFRCT utilization remained durable across our existing accounts. Third, we had another strong quarter for new account additions, and the record cohort of 340 accounts we added in 2025 continued to ramp in line with our expectations. And finally, the underlying CCTA market continued to expand, supported by guidelines and strong reimbursement and growing interest in the CT as a frontline diagnostic test for suspected CAD. The strength of our second quarter performance gives us confidence to raise our full-year outlook again. We're now expected to deliver total revenue of $246 million to $250 million, representing 40% to 42% year-over-year growth. We're also raising our full-year 2026 Plaque revenue outlook to a range of $29 million to $31 million. We're also raising our full-year guidance for Plaque-activated accounts to approximately 1,250. Moving down the P&L, we are raising our non-GAAP gross margin guidance to approximately 82%, driven by ongoing AI efficiencies, volume leverage, and a higher mix of high-margin Plaque revenue. At the midpoint of our revenue guidance, this implies year-over-year non-GAAP gross profit growth of nearly 50%. And finally, we remain committed to our mid-term non-GAAP gross margin target of 85%. Now turning to our 3 strategic pillars: commercial adoption, innovation, and clinical evidence. I'll walk you through each, starting first with commercial adoption. Our installed base of accounts continues to grow rapidly. We had another very strong quarter of new account additions and we continue to win at a high rate, strengthening our growing category leadership and ability to drive broader platform utilization. Now turning to Plaque, performance was again ahead of our expectations with accelerating activations and utilizations. Activations were ahead of plan, highlighting the leverage of our installed base and our ability to deploy new innovation rapidly. Trends in physician utilization are very strong and give me high confidence in our continued momentum. Time and time again, we're winning at the point of sale with Plaque. And there are many reasons for this, but none more important than accuracy and reproducibility. HeartFlow Plaque analysis has demonstrated in peer-reviewed, prospective studies, market-leading accuracy and reproducibility across our research and independent clinical studies. ACC's scientific statement on industry standards for the use of quantitative plaque analysis underscores that independently validated accuracy and reproducibility are foundational for clinical use. These standards align directly with HeartFlow's differentiated evidence-based and technology platform and we believe the market appreciates this fact. Furthermore, we're proud to share that HeartFlow was recently selected as the exclusive plaque provider for the PREEMPT study, an NIH-funded 1,500-patient study evaluating whether directly measuring coronary disease can improve prevention in younger asymptomatic patients. We believe this selection reflects the clinical community's confidence in our Plaque technology's accuracy and reproducibility. Bottom line, our Plaque performance in Q2 supports both our higher 2026 outlook and long-term conviction. Shifting now to FFRCT. Performance in Q2 also exceeded our expectations. Utilization remains durable across our existing accounts, and the record 2025 cohort of 340 accounts continues to ramp in line with our expectations. So far this year, early utilization trends from our 2026 new account cohort is also encouraging. As is the case with Plaque, these results are also enabled by meaningful product differentiation. Not only is FFRCT the most accurate non-invasive test for CAD, it's also the only product with lesion-specific FFRCT values, and the only test with published prospective validation against the invasive gold standard. Importantly, the recently updated expert consensus guidelines from SCCT and endorsed by ACC underscored the importance of lesion-specific FFRCT in identifying coronary lesions that may warrant an intervention. Lastly, I'd be remiss if I didn't also recognize the power of our platform in these results. Our clinical evidence and technology differentiation is second to none. The breadth of our AI diagnostics platform across Roadmap, Plaque, FFRCT, and PCI Navigator deepens our clinical relationships and makes HeartFlow increasingly important to their clinical workflows, creating a durable strategic advantage. In Q2, this dynamic is reflected in our strong results, and I'm confident it will continue in Q3 and beyond. Now, turning to our second pillar, innovation. Our investments in R&D continue to produce market-leading innovation. At SCCT in July, we launched HeartFlow Plaque Staging, the most clinically validated tool for patient risk stratification. Plaque Staging translates the personalized disease burden itself into 4 clinically distinct stages that help physicians assess the severity and guide medical management. It's validated in more than 23,000 patients with up to 16 years follow-up with significant separation in events by stage after adjusting for traditional risk factors and stenosis. We expect it to be another tailwind for Plaque adoption in the second half of 2026 and into 2027. PCI Navigator launched earlier this year and is gaining strong traction and remains on track for a broader rollout in 2027. Interventional cardiologists are gaining a level of pre-procedural certainty they simply did not have before. With PCI Navigator, they can now enter the cath lab with a more informed procedural plan already in hand. Navigator is uniquely differentiated by HeartFlow's lesion-specific FFRCT and rich plaque information, bringing together the insights needed to plan a PCI with greater precision. Importantly, Navigator is also strengthening our position within new accounts. Interventional cardiologists are an influential constituency in health systems, and their advocacy for a CT-first pathway into their cath lab helps accelerate HeartFlow adoption and new account acquisition. Now turning to our third pillar, clinical evidence. The breadth and quality of evidence supporting the HeartFlow platform remains unmatched in the category. As I mentioned on last quarter's call, we have more than 625 peer-reviewed publications and over 200 clinical studies, and we continue to build on this foundation. Most recently at SCCT's annual meeting in July, we presented 8 new data sets spanning more than 36,000 patients, further validating the accuracy, reproducibility, and clinical utility of the HeartFlow Plaque analysis. Let me highlight just 2. First, we demonstrated the precision and reproducibility of HeartFlow Plaque analysis. In a blinded prospective study recently published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology, we demonstrated minimal variability in repeat scans. This data gives physicians further confidence that changes in plaque measured over time accurately reflects true changes in a patient's actual disease. Second, we demonstrated how HeartFlow Plaque analysis provides a more complete assessment of disease burden than a calcium score alone. In a DECIDE registry analysis of nearly 12,000 symptomatic patients, HeartFlow Plaque Staging reclassified half of patients with a calcium score of 0 into a higher risk category by identifying non-calcified plaque that calcium scoring cannot detect. This data gives physicians a more precise picture of their patients' actual disease burden to help optimize treatment. As excited we are about the progress we've made in the second quarter, we're even more enthusiastic about what the future holds. From a new product perspective, the development of Plaque Tracker remains on track to launch in 2027. HeartFlow Plaque Tracker measures a patient's plaque changes over time using serial CTA scans and our Plaque analysis. Importantly, tracking change only works if you can separate real changes in disease from noise. To do this, it takes best-in-class accuracy and reproducibility, which we believe is what our category-leading Plaque algorithm delivers. Our autonomous processing initiative, which we announced last quarter as a key driver underpinning our mid-term 85% gross margin target, is also progressing well and remains on track for a broader rollout in 2027. Both Plaque Tracker and the autonomous processing initiative are enabled by our proprietary data set of more than 200 million CCTA images, diverse and precisely annotated. From a TAM expansion perspective, our next major opportunity is applying our current Plaque technology to the asymptomatic market, which is one of the biggest unmet needs in cardiovascular diagnostics. HeartFlow today primarily serves symptomatic patients. However, the vast majority of coronary disease develops silently, often for years before symptoms emerge or a first cardiovascular event occurs. Our initial entry into this market will focus on asymptomatic patients with the highest risk. Expanding into this market will increase our U.S. TAM by roughly $6 billion to approximately $11 billion. We plan to develop this market the same way we build every market at HeartFlow, by leading with strong clinical evidence. Accordingly, we now have 3 RCTs targeted at 3 distinct high-risk asymptomatic populations that we will initiate over the next 3 quarters. The first is for patients with coronary artery calcium. This is a $3 billion TAM. This trial is intended to prove that our Plaque analysis can improve outcomes as measured by changes in LDL and soft plaque beyond just the calcium score alone. Enrollment in this trial begins in the fourth quarter of 2026. The second is for patients with a prior MI or PCI. This is a $1 billion TAM. This trial is intended to prove that Plaque analysis in this population will help physicians optimize medical therapy post-PCI to improve outcomes, again, as measured by changes in LDL and soft plaque. This study is also enrolling in the fourth quarter. Lastly, for patients with prior plaque, this is a $2 billion TAM. This trial is intended to prove that serial plaque assessments will better track disease, measure treatment response, and optimize medical therapy. Enrollment in this trial will begin in the first quarter of 2027. Taken together, these RCTs will allow HeartFlow to take our Plaque technology upstream to help even more patients, and we're confident we'll access these TAMs with reimbursed technology before the end of the decade. In closing, our second quarter results reflect the power of our platform and the most clinically validated diagnostic AI products in the industry. Plaque is accelerating, FFRCT is durable, and we're rapidly becoming the AI operating system of record for CAD. Our next wave of growth in the high-risk asymptomatic market is approaching and we're confident in our plan to enter this market before 2030. These trends give us high confidence in our increased full-year revenue guidance and our multi-year growth trajectory. We remain focused on our mission to transform the detection, diagnosis, management, and treatment of coronary artery disease. The future is bright and I'm grateful to the HeartFlow team for their continued dedication to the patients we serve and for all of their hard work. Now I'll turn it over to Vikram for a review of our financial results and guidance.