Stuart Gulliver
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Iain. Today I'm going to focus primarily on our first half performance. But first, I'd like to update you on our progress against some strategy that we articulated in May to become the world's leading international bank, recap on this strategy, unmet work covers the majority of world trade in capital flows that provide access and exposure to faster-growing economies, as well as mature economies. So how do we seek to position our business given this context? Well first, within Global Banking and Markets and Commercial Banking, we focused on fast-growing markets and their trade and capital flow connections with one another and with selected mature economies. Second, within Retail Banking and Wealth Management, we focused on the high rates of wealth creation in the fast-growing economies, together with preservation of stores of wealth in certain target mature economies. And of course, we continued to run full-scale retail businesses in the U.K. and here in Hong Kong. In May, we outlined plans firstly, to deploy capital more efficiently; secondly, to improve cost efficiencies; and thirdly, to achieve growth in target markets. We are making progress in all 3 areas. First, we had set up discipline on capital allocation using our 5 sources framework. We've announced the closure of our retail businesses in Russia and Poland, focusing instead on Global Banking and Markets and Commercial Banking connectivity. We have also announced the disposal of 3 insurance businesses in the U.K., Bermuda and Mexico. Much more materially in the United States, we have announced the disposal of 195 branches, sensibly enough to take New York and our progressive Europe review of our credit card business. Second, we are targeting USD $2.5 billion to USD $3.5 billion of sustainable cost savings by 2013. During the start of this year, we've begun operational restructuring in France, U.K., Middle East, the U.S. and Latin America, which will reduce our head count by some 5,000. We also launched detailed plans to reduce the cost of HSBC's global and head office support functions. We have initiated more efficient business operating models for our Commercial Banking and Retail Banking and Wealth Management businesses. Third, we are positioning the business for growth. As the management team, we expect to be judged on growth in both profit before tax and return on equity, as well as cost efficiency. The Retail Banking and Wealth Management, we are expanding in key markets with a substantial growth in sales of wealth products across Asia. In Global Asset Management, funds under management reached a record high at the end of this period. We also grew revenues from cross sales of Global Banking and Markets products to Commercial Banking customers. And indeed, our cross-border referrals between China and the rest of the world grew by 50%, compared with the same period last year. Now let's look in more detail at how we're delivering on our targets in driving growth by business and then by region. First of all, Commercial Banking. Commercial Banking profit increased by 31% to USD $4.2 billion supported by strong lending and therefore revenue growth. We continue to capitalize on our connectivity between developed and emerging markets, growing our trade revenue by 26%. We grew lending fastest in Latin America and Asia in response to customer demands. We also achieved significant positive jaws in this business. Return on risk-weighted assets, 2.4%. This next slide shows how we are repositioning our Retail Banking and Wealth Management business to capture wealth creation, grow revenues and to restructure the retail business. We pooled together our Personal Financial Services, Asset Management and Insurance businesses under one management team headed by Paul Thurston. And incidentally, know that we now report Asset Management here and not in the Global Banking and Markets segment. We're achieving revenue growth. We saw a notable increase in sales in Wealth Management in Asia and Europe with strong growth in mortgage lending in the U.K. and here in Asia. And we've conducted a strategic review, which will result in our exiting 3 businesses with a poor strategic fit. Clearly, the substantial increase in profits in the first half reflected improved loan impairment charges across all regions, notably in the U.S.A. for now. Costs rose as we invested in increased head count in Asia and Latin America to support business growth. As Iain mentioned, we also took provisions for customer redressing the U.K. mainly in respect to PPI. Return on risk-weighted assets in this business, 1.8%. Global Banking and Market performance held up well against what was a very strong first half in 2010, and profits were down 16%. We were actually resilient in the face of difficult market conditions, which led to lower revenues in credit and rates in Europe. And as we signaled previously, we also saw lower Balance Sheet Management income. These factors were partially offset by growth in financing and ATM maintenance and cash management in equities and security services. We've also now viewed our Global Banking and Markets business model as different from our peers. This can be seen perhaps a little more clearly in the first half of 2011, where we have fared better than others. The diversity of our business was a protection in difficult markets as revenues from faster-growing regions rising by 10%, partially offsetting weaker performance in Europe. Return on risk-weighted assets was 2.6%. Now let's turn to the regions starting with Europe. In line with the first half of 2010, profits before tax fell by 39%. Now on an underlying basis, it fell by 28% to USD $2.2 billion. As I mentioned a moment ago, this was driven mainly by lower contribution from Global Banking and Markets. However, Global Banking and Markets remain strongly profitable in Europe. Commercial Banking in the U.K., income from customers using international products grew by 16% and increased growth in new lending to SMEs. We remain on track to achieve our lending goals under the Merlin agreement. We also continue to grow our mortgage book in the U.K. Our mortgage share of new lending rose to 11%. This new lending is very high quality where loan-to-value ratio, 53%. Our costs in the U.K. reflected strategic investment in Global Banking and Markets. But since the period end, we have announced a restructuring in the U.K. and in France affecting around 1,400 jobs. The Middle East and North Africa, performance was resilient. We remained open to business despite unrest in 10 out of the 14 markets where we operate. Profit before tax was significantly higher than the first half of 2010, mainly reflecting the improved credit performance, the strong growth in reported PBT in our 3 largest markets in the region: Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia. Costs were higher. However, we announced a restructuring during the period as we focused on improving business efficiency. And as you would expect, revenues remain subdued due to the uncertain political environment. However, it's worth remembering this is a region that's home to 60% of the world's oil, with the 6 of the 10 largest sovereign wealth funds. More so, we've operated here for more than 50 years. We got to remain optimist about the region's prospects. Latin America, our pretax profits rose 23% to $1.2 billion. Overall revenues for the region were up 12%, driven by growth in Brazil. We achieved notable revenue growth in Commercial Banking and Retail Banking and Wealth Management. We continue to restructure our regional head office to improve cost efficiency and where we saw cost growth, which was reflected by wage increases in an inflationary environment and also additional front-line staff recruitments, especially in Brazil. Cost also affected the first tranche of restructuring following the closure of 66 branches in Mexico. North American business achieved profit before tax of $672 million, compared with the loss in the same period last year. We continued to manage down the Consumer Finance portfolio and balances in cards declined. As a consequence, total revenues were lower. It contributed, of course, to the higher cost efficiency ratio but also to considerably lower loan impairment charges, and therefore, to improve profit before tax. We continue to reshape our U.S. business. I said -- as I said earlier, we've announced the disposal of 195 branches, principally in Upstate New York, and they're progressing their review of the cards business. Canada continued to perform very strongly. It is our fifth most profitable country in the first half, with a profit before tax of USD $527 million. At the full year, I emphasize that protecting our leadership position here in Hong Kong was absolutely core to our business in Asia. But it's encouraging to see Hong Kong continue to perform very strongly. We saw balance sheet growth, strong sales of Wealth Management products and mortgages and an increase in trade-related revenues. I'd also note the continuing strong credit quality. Customer loan balances grew faster than risk-weighted assets as we added good-quality lending. Staff costs rose as to support increased business volumes and in response to inflationary pressures. Profits in the rest of Asia-Pacific rose 21% to USD $3.6 billion. We achieved strong revenue growth of 13% overall. So as you can see, it was well spread across our major markets, with particular strength in mainland China. We saw robust lending and deposit growth and widening deposit spreads and the increased sales of Wealth Management products. As in Hong Kong, staff costs rose to support increased business volumes and also reflected inflationary pressures. The contribution from our associates also rose. Together, Hong Kong and the rest of Asia-Pacific produced over half of the group's profits. Finally, allow me to say a few words about the economic outlook. We remain positive on emerging markets and anticipate a soft landing in China and expect the risk of overheating in Hong Kong to ease. We expect continued strong growth in the rest of Asia and Latin America. We remain positive on the outlook for the Middle East. But there are clear short-term concerns. Geopolitical and regulatory backdrop is uncertain and presents challenges for developed economies. In closing, I would add that I'm pleased with these results, which mark a first step in the right direction from what will be a very long journey. Thank you for your time and attention. We'll now take your questions. So if the operator will explain the procedure and introduce our first questioner. Thank you.