Todd Meredith
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead
Investment activity in the medical office sector achieved record levels in 2015 and shows no signs of abating in the year ahead. MOB transaction volume exceeded $10 billion last year, reflecting a tight market and resulting in historically low cap rates. Recently, a fully leased on campus MOB in the Seattle CBD traded for a sub 5% cap rate. The buyer was a core institutional fund rather than a traditional MOB buyer. While not the norm, it is indicative of the current demand for MOBs and a sign that cap rates are not moderating especially for the most sought after properties. While most have historically viewed MOBs as sleepy relative to other healthcare real estate sectors, now more than ever investors are appreciating MOBs for their trademark stability, low risk, and steady long term growth buoyed by favorable demographic trends, the ongoing shift to the lower cost outpatient setting, natural supply constraints, and financially sound tenants. These attributes contrast starkly with the oversupply and reimbursement concerns weighing on senior housing and skilled nursing, sectors that drove much of the rapid consolidation and recapitalization by healthcare REIT over the last decade. Now that the space of transactions slowed, the cyclical nature and co-dependence of these operators with REITs have become problematic. Healthcare Realty's approach in this environment remains unchanged, disciplined, and sticking to our focused low risk strategy. The company has been fortunate in recent months amid market volatility that investors have recognized the inherent value and low risk nature of HR's portfolio of outpatient hospital centric properties created over many years of refining and streamlining which has proven to be resilient and is poised for continued steady growth. As we make investment decisions, our primary motivation is to refine the portfolio, shifting to higher quality, multi-tenant on campus properties aligning with leading health systems and increasing follow-on investment opportunities including development and redevelopment to create economic value and generate incremental growth. We recently completed or commenced -- excuse me, commenced development of a 98,000 square foot MOB located on the campus of CHI affiliated St. Anthony's Hospital in Denver, the campus where we have already developed and owned two well leased MOB. With the budget of $26.5 million, the MOB is scheduled to be completed in mid 2017. Hospital lease commitments totally 35% include a surgery centre and multi-specialty clinic with more clinical leasing to follow during construction. Progress continues on a 12,900 square foot retail center in Austin with completion expected in April. The center is located adjacent to the Baylor Scott & White campus where the company already owns two 100% leased MOBs totaling 206,000 square feet, and one of which the company developed. We are currently planning a third 60,000 square foot MOB on this campus, which we intend to get started later in 2016. The redevelopment in Birmingham is complete with only tenant improvement funding remaining. And in Nashville, we recently topped out at four storey 70,000 square foot expansion and started vertical construction on an adjacent 907 space garage. Both of these should be complete by early 2017. As a byproduct of recent acquisition efforts, several prospective development projects have emerged. We are currently pursuing two developments in the Seattle market that has a potential to start later in 2016 or early in 2017. In the heart of the First Hill medical district near the Seattle CBD, the same location is the sub 5% cap rate I mentioned, we are in MOBs totaling 135,000 square feet. And we are currently designing 133,000 square foot MOB that will be integrated with one of these two existing MOBs. We are also in discussions with a separate health system regarding the development of a sizable on-campus MOB in another part of Seattle. Budgets for these two MOBs will likely exceed $60 million each. While the process can be lengthy, development remains a key component of the company's strategy; sharpening our views owner and operators of medical office properties have always delivered at a measured pace and dictated by hospital-driven demand for incremental outpatient capacity. In the fourth quarter we acquired four MOBs for $99.5 million, bring our year-to-date acquisition total to 187.2 million. All eight properties acquired in 2015 are located on or adjacent to the campuses of investment grade health systems such as Providence Health, Catholic Health Initiatives, Sutter Health, Allina Health, MultiCare, and UW Medicine. We also sold two MOBs for 19.3 million in fourth quarter, bringing our 2015 disposition to 158 million. We sold nine properties during 2015; all properties that no longer meet our objectives because of the lack of health system alignment, geographic fit, relative value, or growth potential. Our average acquisition cap rate in 2015 was 6%, while our average disposition cap rate was 5.3%; a favorable rotation in pricing in addition to an improvement in asset quality. The company is currently under contract to acquire two MOBs for approximately 60 million that should close later in the first or early in the second quarter. The company expects 2016 acquisitions to be between $125 million and $175 million and cap rates in the mid 5% to low 6% range. Dispositions for 2016 should be between 50 million and 100 million, and cap rates averaging 6% to 7%. MOB portfolios are now clearly being recognized as having favorable intrinsic value relative to other healthcare facility types. And even within MOBs Healthcare Realty portfolio epitomizes the attributes most discerning investors look for: stability, growth, and long-term value. Dave?