Catherine Lesjak
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Meg. Overall, Q1 was a good start to fiscal '14 as some of the fundamental improvements we've been driving are beginning to take hold. But as Meg noted, we still are not satisfied with the consistency of our performance or the profitability across some of our businesses. So we remain very focused on improving our go-to-market and cost structure. Total revenue for the quarter was $28.2 billion, down 0.7% year-over-year and up 0.3% in constant currency. By region, Americas revenue was $12.5 billion, down 2% year-over-year or down 1% in constant currency. The decline was primarily due to key account runoffs in Enterprise Services in the U.S., partially offset by our previously announced sale of IP. EMEA revenue was $10.4 billion, up 1% year-over-year but down 1% in constant currency. While our EMEA outlook remains cautious, we are seeing some signs of stabilization in more mature markets such as Germany and France. APJ revenue was $5.2 billion, down 1% year-over-year but up 5% in constant currency. We saw particular strength in India again this quarter, and China was flat. Relative to overall market challenges in the region, we are pleased with this performance. Gross margin for the quarter was 22.8%, up 0.5 points year-over-year and down 0.2 points sequentially. The year-over-year improvement included some benefits from the IP sale. We continue to experience an aggressive pricing environment across our hardware businesses, which we are offsetting through productivity improvements and greater service delivery efficiencies. Total non-GAAP operating expenses for the quarter were $4 billion, down 1.8% year-over-year and down 1.4% sequentially. R&D expense was up over the prior-year period, as we continue to invest in innovation in our strategic focus areas, such as cloud, and across many of our business segments. SG&A was down over the prior-year period, primarily due to gains from our real estate sale and expense benefit from our restructuring actions. These benefits were partially offset by higher litigation reserves and investments in systems and tools. As a result, non-GAAP operating profit was $2.4 billion or 8.5% of revenue, up 0.6 points year-over-year. We recorded $153 million of expense in the other income and expense line, a decrease from the prior-year period, driven primarily by lower interest expense on reduced debt balances, partially offset by the unfavorable effects of currency exchange rates. With a 22% tax rate and a weighted-average diluted share count of 1.935 billion shares, we delivered first quarter non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share of $0.90. First quarter non-GAAP earnings primarily excludes pretax charges of $283 million for amortization of intangible assets and $114 million for restructuring charges. Turning to the business units. Printing continued to perform well with solid hardware unit growth for the third consecutive quarter and good profitability, as we continue to push our Print strategies forward. Revenue was $5.8 billion, down 2.2% year-over-year, and unit shipments grew 5%. Commercial hardware revenue was $1.3 billion, down 2% year-over-year while consumer hardware revenue was $673 million, down just 1% year-over-year. We have seen contraction in average selling prices across ink and laser hardware, driven by the tough pricing environment and the improving. For example, demand for our Ink in the Office products remained strong. The OfficeJet Pro X saw double-digit sequential growth across all regions, and we continue to see double-digit, year-over-year revenue and unit growth in Ink Advantage. In laser, we gained share and are continuing to grow in multi-function printers and managed services, and graphics remains a bright spot with another solid performance in Indigo. Supplies revenue was down 3% over the prior-year period or down just 1% in constant currency and made up 65% of Printing revenue. Supplies softness was attributable to weakness in toner. Softer toner drove channel inventory levels marginally up above our target range. We're actively managing this, and the net impact to Q1 results was immaterial. Overall, Printing profitability remains solid with operating profit of $1 billion or 16.8% of revenue, up 0.5 points year-over-year. The performance in Personal Systems was better than expected with revenue of $8.5 billion, up 3.6% year-over-year, driven by commercial strength. There were signs of improved market conditions, especially in commercial PC, and we are confident about our portfolio and focus. Although consumer sales declined 3% year-over-year, commercial sales grew 8%. Commercial notebooks grew double digits over the prior-year period and commercial desktops were up as well. Total unit shipments grew 6% year-over-year with growth in both the commercial and consumer segments. Channel inventory levels are down and well within acceptable ranges across all categories and regions. Personal Systems operating profit was $279 million or 3.3% of revenue, up 0.5 points year-over-year. The results of our continued focus on cost management and the IP sale were partially offset by increased DRAM costs, as we indicated to you last quarter. We remain focused on driving profitable growth in this business. Enterprise Group revenue was $7 billion, up 0.6% year-over-year and up 1.5% in constant currency. Operating profit in the quarter was $1 billion or 14.4% of revenue, down 1 point year-over-year. We believe these results show the progress we are making on sales execution and the competitiveness of our portfolio, as the market shifts towards the New Style of IT. However, we still have more work to do to improve profitability in the business. As Bill Veghte discussed at our Security Analyst Meeting, we are focused on specific actions like optimizing our cost structure, more closely aligning the business units in the regions and better segmenting the market. By business, Industry Standard Server revenue was $3.2 billion, up 6% year-over-year, as we saw strong growth in hyperscale again this quarter. Technology Services revenue decline has moderated somewhat, with total revenue of $2.1 billion, down 4% year-over-year or down 2% in constant currency. The profitability expanded and customer satisfaction improved. When you consider the significant headwind of the declining BCS business, the Technology Services operating profit performance was strong. In Storage and Networking, we're driving execution improvements to capture more market opportunity, and we're starting to see the results. Networking revenue growth started to accelerate in the first quarter. Revenue was $630 million in the quarter, up 4% year-over-year. Storage revenue was flat versus the prior-year period at $834 million, as strong growth in Converged Storage offset declines in traditional storage. Converged Storage grew 42% year-over-year, and 3PAR plus EVA plus XP grew 13% faster than the market again this quarter. This metric indicates how well 3PAR is performing in disrupting the marketplace, taking into account the planned transition of our traditional offerings. Business Critical Systems continues to be impacted by declining units market. BCS revenue declined 25% year-over-year to $228 million. We expect to gain 2 points of share in this market. Enterprise Services revenue was $5.6 billion, down 7.3% year-over-year. The revenue decline was driven by the delayed key account runoffs, as we indicated to you previously. The revenue decline, along with the investments we are making in our sales force and increased litigation reserves on legacy accounts, pressured our margins in the quarter. Operating profit was $57 million or 1% of revenue, down 0.3 points year-over-year. By business, IT Outsourcing revenue was $3.5 billion, down 9% year-over-year; and Applications and Business Services revenue was $2.1 billion, down 4% year-over-year. Both businesses were impacted by the key account runoffs. Overall, signing was soft in Q1, but small and medium deals grew. Overall, our trailing 12-month book-to-bill is still within acceptable ranges. We've made some progress on improving productivity, but we have to move faster to drive service delivery efficiencies, grow add-on business within existing accounts and capture new logos. Software revenue declined 3.7% over the prior-year period to $916 million, although we saw continued growth in key areas, such SaaS, Vertica and security, and gained traction in our innovative Big Data platform, HAVEn. License revenue declined 6% year-over-year due to continued market transition to Saas, as well as some pressure in our IT management business. However, we saw double-digit growth in cloud, Vertica and Autonomy's IDOL license revenues. Support sales declined 2% year-over-year as a result of historical license revenue declines. Professional Services sales declined 12% year-over-year, but the gross margin improved as we continue to prune our portfolio and focus on profitability. SaaS revenue grew 6% over prior-year period as we see continued momentum. Operating profit was $145 million or 15.8% of revenue, down 0.5 points year-over-year. We continue to invest in strategic growth areas of Software and make progress on simplifying and enhancing our systems and processes to increase productivity. HP Financial Services revenue was $870 million, down 9.1% year-over-year. Operating profit was $101 million or 11.6% of revenue, up 1 point from Q1 fiscal '13. Pressure from volume declines in previous quarters impacted HP Financial Services revenue. However, new financing volume was up double digits, driven by strength in the direct customer financing business. The health of our portfolio assets was strong, and return on equity was 18% in the quarter. Turning to cash flow and capital allocation. We had another strong quarter, generating $3 billion in operating cash flow, up 17% year-over-year, which resulted in $2.4 billion in free cash flow. We continued our focus on working capital and got our cash conversion cycle down to 16 days in the first quarter, down 7 days from the prior-year period. We improved across all metrics, but the largest improvement was in days payable outstanding. We returned $565 million to shareholders by repurchasing 20.4 million shares in the quarter and paid $278 million in the form of dividends. For the year, we are still committed to capital distributions and our plan to return at least 50% of free cash flow to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends, as we outlined in the Security Analyst Meeting. During the quarter, we also completed a very successful $2 billion debt offering, our first term debt issuance in almost 2 years. We ended the quarter with gross cash of $16.4 billion and operating company net cash of $1.7 billion, a $6.4 billion improvement over this period last year. Looking forward to Q2, the market and competitive environment continues to be challenging. While there are signs of recovery in some geographic regions, many areas across the globe are soft. Currency impacts are also affecting the global business environment, and we expect currency to be about a 1 point headwind year-over-year to revenue in Q2. By business, in Printing, we will continue to invest in hardware unit placements where the lifetime return on the unit makes economic sense, and we expect to drive continued momentum in key strategies across ink, laser and graphics. For Personal Systems, while we expect the commercial segment to continue to outpace the consumer segment, we believe the overall market is likely to remain highly competitive. In Enterprise Group, we remain focused on more successfully managing the margin profile, and we expect continued traction in Networking, Converged Infrastructure and Converged Storage. In Enterprise Services, we expect the delayed key account runoff to continue to pressure growth and profitability, as we drive forward to transition from reactive to proactive sales. Finally, in Software, we expect to see continued traction in key growth areas like Big Data, while we invest in disruptive technologies like HAVEn and security and manage our portfolio's transition to SaaS. As you build your models, please keep in mind, there was a net benefit to Q1 results from the few items I've mentioned earlier, including the IP and real estate sales, as well as litigation and other expenses. Adjusting for these items, our Q1 non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share would've been around the midpoint of our previously provided Q1 outlook of $0.82 to $0.86. Also, in order to drive further operational improvements, we plan to increase our reinvestment in the business for the full year by around $0.02 per share, up from the $0.12 we discussed at our Security Analyst Meeting. With that context, we expect full year fiscal 2014 non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share to be in the range of $3.60 to $3.75. For fiscal 2014 Q2, we expect non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share in the range of $0.85 to $0.89. From a GAAP perspective, we expect a full year GAAP diluted net earnings per share to be in the range of $2.85 to $3, and GAAP diluted net earnings per share for fiscal Q2 is expected to be in the range of $0.62 to $0.66. For cash flow, based on the actions we're taking to drive working capital efficiencies, we now expect moderate improvement in our cash conversion cycle from the low 20-day range we estimated previously. We expect this to provide some upside to our original cash flow outlook for the year. And with that, I'll open it up for questions.