Victor Coleman
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead, sir
Thanks, Kay, Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our third quarter call. We wrapped up another very strong quarter marked by our continued outperformance on the leasing front and by the ongoing evolution of our markets in ways to validate several of our early-mover investments. I’m going to talk about more of that in a moment. We executed over 560,000 square feet of new and renewal deals this quarter at 30% GAAP and 20% cash rent spreads. The delta between this and the second quarter spreads, which were 58% and 49%, respectively, is largely due to our renewal of new tenants, which comprised nearly of a third of this quarter’s activity. This particular deal had a significant lower mark-to-market because of the pre-existing leases recent start dates and subsequent rent bumps. Mark is going to provide a little bit more detail in a few moments. We closed a total of 2.4 million square feet of new and renewal deals in the first nine months of 2016, surpassing the 2 million square foot benchmark we discussed on one of our earnings call earlier this year. GAAP and cash rent spreads for the first nine months are equally remarkable at 52% and 44%, respectively. We still have excellent leasing momentum throughout the Bay Area portfolio. We are keeping a close eye on the market conditions in San Francisco regardless to the fact that our portfolio there remains stabilized at 95% occupied and 97% leased. We view it as a positive that resilient demand is counterbalancing an uptick in supply and in turn keeping already record rent stable at $73 per square foot and vacancy at a low at 6.9%. And while there are few larger deals this quarter, we like others expect to see significant transactions by year-end, including large public tech companies opening offices or expanding significantly in the city. Even so, it should be noted that year-to-date positive net re-absorption of 1 million square feet has already exceeded last year’s total by about 100,000 square feet. Not surprisingly, the vast majority of our leasing activity this quarter was in our Silicon Valley assets, which included the significant lease extension and expansion of the Nutanix, which I mentioned earlier. No longer unicorn Nutanix completed a highly successful IPO in the end of September with analysts covering the stock saying the company’s tremendous long-term potential. After renewing 165,000 square feet and signing a must-take agreement on additional 39,000 square feet, Nutanix will ultimately occupy a total of 204,000 square feet at our 1740 Technology and Metro Plaza assets in North San Jose. Our portfolio in that submarket, which consists of approximately 2.6 million square feet of properties directly adjacent to one another continues to be ideal for accommodating tenants like Nutanix, as they grow and mature. Subsequent to the quarter, we signed a 10-year lease with established public tech company Qualys for 75,000 square feet in two full floors at our 919 Hillsdale building at Metro Center in Foster City. This space will serve as our new corporate headquarters. The lease delayed rent commencement is attributable to the company’s existing Redwood City lease terminating at the end of 2017, plus standard free rent concessions, although for accounting purposes will see an impact of GAAP rents as of February of 2017. Big picture, on the heels of the BrightEdge Technologies lease last quarter, the Qualys deal signaled strong momentum with high-quality tenants that perhaps are most challenging lease-up assets acquired from Blackstone. We’re seeing nice activity on the balance of vacancy, despite only just beginning our more significant capital improvements. Even after signaling nearly 440,000 square feet of leases in our Silicon Valley assets this quarter, our pipeline of deals for those markets, that is real activity or trading paper on LOIs or leases is very consistent. Overall fundamentals across the Silicon Valley remain very strong, characterized by vacancy hovering around 7%, which is at or near its historic lows, stable or rising rents and positive net new absorption. Further, new construction supply continues to fill up nicely. As at the end of the third quarter, projects, under construction that are expected to deliver in the next six to eight months are approximately 75% preleased. We view trends in the VC funding market as a net positive in the quarter and believe the sector is positioning itself nicely for a rebound over the next 12 months to 18 months. Funding for companies was down this quarter, as the U.S. election and potential interest rate hike are creating market uncertainly that is carrying over into Q4. But in parallel, VC firms are building their war chest with Founders Fund, Excel and recently Hollywood and most recently Greylock raising billions of dollars and funds at the IPO market as well as opening it up with the successful exits by several companies including Twilio, Apptio, and our Nutanix. Bottom line is, over the next year, we believe that the environment is shaping up nicely for increased venture investments. On the disposition front, we expect to close our previously announced sale of 12655 Jefferson, imply this in the coming days at a 30% premium draw basis. We continue to evaluate disposition opportunities and we’re still finding unique value-add acquisition targets in our strongest markets. We’ve been particularly focused on opportunities in Seattle and Los Angeles over the last few months, where more gradual recoveries have generally kept pricing attractive longer than, say, the Bay Area. We announced purchases at our headquarters building at 11601 Wilshire in Los Angeles and Hill7 in Seattle prior to this call. Around 80% leased both are leased up twice, whereas Hill7 is a premier quality new construction, 11601 affords us the opportunity to command higher rents, encourage tenant retention through capital investment. In Seattle, we remain focused on Downtown, where the market conditions continued to tighten as high-quality tenants expand. Vacancy dropped to 8.1%, which is the lowest record vacancy since Q3 of 2008 accompanied by more than 370,000 square feet of positive net absorption. Weyerhaeuser has moved to Pioneer Square made it the fastest growing submarket this quarter, as vacancy dropped to just over 5%. Still about a year from completion, we’re seeing consistent interest on the balance of 55% preleased 450 Alaskan Way project and remain comfortable with the city’s current development pipeline, which at the end of this quarter is over 60% preleased. And even more impressive, an adjustment to the market’s robust demand, the 4.4 million square feet delivered in the last 12 months is over 95% leased. In Los Angeles, office using employment is expected to continue to expand in 2017. And in West LA, Class A rates increased slightly to $57 per square foot, up 1.5% in the quarter and 6.5% year-over-year. Vacancy did tick up 50 basis points to 10%, but it’s still down 200 basis points year-over-year. Hollywood and Burbank were two of the biggest contributors to positive net absorption, posting 150,000 square feet and 100,000 square feet, respectively. And rents in Hollywood remained around $52 a foot and we continue to evaluate several lease opportunities for our Q development, which is only expected to deliver sometime in late 2017, we see demand equal to 6 times the total building’s square footage. Our relationship with Netflix, the company that’s leading the media and entertainment industry has only expanded, most recently resulting in a 10-year agreement to occupy stages and production offices at Sunset Bronson. Netflix is now set to occupy more than 420,000 square feet within our portfolio and the latest commitment is supplemental to any future interest in Q, or other projects that we may have. All of our various deals with Netflix highlight the massive shift in content, which is created and distributed and recently announced the acquisition of Time Warner by AT&T signals furthers industry realignment. As a growing number of media companies spend billions to produce a pipeline of original content for streaming anytime anywhere, our studio ownership affords us unparalleled facilities and capabilities to participate in that growth. This is something we’ve spoken about for several years now. We can provide locations for and expertise in content production to companies like Google or Amazon and support companies like ABC, CBS, HBO and Showtime, as they build out their digital infrastructure, global branding and distribution. And by capitalizing on these industry shifts, we expect studio cash flow to continue to become increasingly predictable and stage adjacent office space even more valuable. This confirms our original investment thesis regarding the Studios, and there is an element of our business with significant potential to grow. Further these trends, while currently more concentrated on Hollywood will ultimately spill over to and benefit other Los Angeles markets. Although smaller in scale, our Arts District investment has similar characteristics to our Hollywood entree 10 years ago, and that, we were among a handful of early movers to identify the seeds for future office demand from leading creative companies. The neighborhood’s growing appeal for these types of users have been well documented recently by several national publications. Warner Music’s move was a long-anticipated one by us and others and most certainly legitimizes the Arts District in a way that increases the value of our holdings. Even so, pre-Warner Music deal with our Fourth & Traction delivery in early 2017 and 405 delivery in early 2018, we’ve added demand equal to more than two times the combined building square footage for these two assets from a variety of service and creative firms. And I suspect our investments in the Arts District will ultimately prove out as another example of what our company does best, identifying and realizing opportunities that others don’t get access to overlook. As for Warner Music leading Pinnacle, they have already gotten a subtenant for about a third of their space, who is looking to expand both in terms of square footage and orders leased runs through the end 2019, which combined with LA’s very limited supply of big blocks of space gives us plenty of options. With that, now I’m going to turn the call over to Mark who is going to speak to our third quarter financial highlights.