Earnings Labs

Hologic, Inc. (HOLX)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, May 2, 2024

$76.01

+0.48%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Hologic Second Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Justin, and I am your operator for today's call. Today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to introduce Ryan Simon, Vice President, Investor Relations, to begin the call.

Ryan Simon

Analyst

Thank you, Justin. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Hologic's Second Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Call. With me today are Steve MacMillan, the company's Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Karleen Oberton, our Chief Financial Officer; and Essex Mitchell, our Chief Operating Officer. Our second quarter press release is available now on the Investors section of our website. We will also post our prepared remarks to our website shortly after we deliver them as well as an updated corporate presentation and a replay of this call will be available on our website for the next 30 days. Before we begin, we would like to inform you that certain statements we make today will be forward-looking. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. Such factors include those referenced in the safe harbor statement included in our earnings release and SEC filings. Also during this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation to GAAP can be found in our earnings release. Two of these non-GAAP measures are: one, organic revenue, which we define as revenue excluding divested businesses and revenue from acquired businesses owned by Hologic for less than 1 year; and two, organic revenue, excluding COVID-19, which further excludes COVID-19 assay revenue, revenue related to COVID-19 and sales from discontinued products in Diagnostics. Finally, any percentage changes we discuss will be on a year-over-year basis and revenue growth rates will be in constant currency unless otherwise noted. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Steve MacMillan, Hologic's CEO.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Thank you, Ryan, and good afternoon, everyone. We are pleased to discuss our financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2024. For the quarter, total revenue was $1.02 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share was $1.03. Both revenue and EPS came in above the high end of our guidance, reflecting another strong quarter. Similar to Q1, it is again important to view our Q2 performance in proper perspective. As we shared on our Q1 earnings call in February, throughout 2024, we faced double-digit comps, massive comps in the first half and still very strong comps in the second. As a reminder, in Q2 of last year, organic Molecular Diagnostics ex COVID posted growth of nearly 25%. And both Surgical and Breast Health posted phenomenal growth of over 25%. This year, in Q2, on top of the high growth rates from a year ago, we grew our Molecular Diagnostics business, ex COVID at 10.7%. Our surgical business, 7.4%; and our Breast Health business 1%, excluding the divested SSI business, a solid result given the elevated gantry placements in Q2 a year ago. We also delivered operating margins of 30.4% in Q2, improving 190 basis points sequentially from Q1 and setting us up nicely to approach 31% for the full fiscal year. Now past the halfway point of fiscal '24, we believe we are in an excellent position to achieve our full year goals. Before moving on to our themes for today, our fiscal second quarter marks the fourth anniversary of when the COVID virus changed the world. When COVID initially surged, we had 3 goals: one, ensure that we take care of our employees; two, make a huge difference in the world with our Panther system and COVID testing. And three, emerge as a bigger, stronger, faster growing company in…

Essex Mitchell

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. As previewed by Steve's discussion of our diverse and durable growth drivers, our strong international growth is a direct result of identifying and capturing underpenetrated market opportunities with steady execution. As a reminder, our international business is over 40% larger than it was in 2019. We are in more territory and more direct than ever before. That said, big picture, we are still in the early days of our international opportunities. Our early success is driven largely by 2 approaches: One, going direct; and two, entering markets where we elevate the standard of care. For example, on the latter, while the ThinPrep Pap test, 2D and even 3D mammo and procedures like NovaSure and MyoSure are widely accepted as standard of care in the U.S., internationally, this is unfortunately not yet the case. Many parts of the world even those considered developed and industrialized, still have the opportunity to elevate their screening, diagnosis and treatment of women to gold standards. These women deserve it, and Hologic is poised to realize this potential. Acceptability to women's health options around the world remains a priority and a great opportunity for Hologic. This is why our work with the Hologic Global Women's Health Index and our worldwide partnership with the Women's Tennis Association to elevate women's health, education and access are critically important. Reinforcing our position, the index clearly shows that we are only scratching the surface of the global opportunity, and this holds true even in Europe, with other large market geographies like Asia Pacific being further out on the time horizon. From our perspective, as leading champions for women's health, we believe there is still significant market adoption opportunity ahead of us. And this adoption will not happen overnight, we expect adoption to grow over time, at different…

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Thank you, Essex, and good afternoon, everyone. In my statements today, I will provide an overview of our revenue results, walk down our income statement showcasing strong performance, touch on a few other key financial metrics and finish with our guidance for the third quarter and full fiscal 2024. As highlighted, our second quarter financial results were very strong. exceeding our expectations on revenue and profitability. Q2 was a continuation of our momentum from Q1. Total revenue came in at $1.018 billion, beating the midpoint of our guidance by $18 million. We delivered organic growth of 4.9%, excluding COVID, on top of a challenging double-digit comp from the prior year. In addition, non-GAAP earnings per share was $1.03, which exceeded the high end of our guidance by $0.03. Before moving on to our franchise results, we want to highlight the continued strength of our balance sheet. In Q2, we generated over $290 million in cash from operating activities and ended the quarter with nearly $2.2 billion on the balance sheet. Our strong cash balance leverage ratio well below our target range and ability to consistently generate strong cash flow provide us the flexibility to fund innovation and execute our capital allocation strategy. We have significant firepower to continue to deploy capital as opportunities arise. Turning to our franchise results. In Diagnostics, second quarter revenue of $450.1 million declined 3.2%. Excluding COVID assay and related revenue, worldwide Diagnostics grew by 9.8%. Within Diagnostics, Molecular Diagnostics continues to contribute significantly, growing 10.7% excluding COVID. We continue to see underlying strength in BV/CV/TV, which continues its outstanding growth trajectory. BV/CV/TV is tracking to become our second largest assay globally. With very little international revenue as we have focused primarily on the U.S. market. Additionally, as expected, non-COVID respiratory assay sales remained solid as…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Patrick Donnelly with Citi.

Patrick Donnelly

Analyst

Steve, maybe one on the Diagnostics, particularly the molecular DXP continues to put up pretty good numbers in spite of obviously some tough comps, pretty competitive environment, too. Can you just to back that a little bit and just talk about what you're seeing in the market? Again, you called out obviously a few assays that are doing well. But just curious the key drivers of the strength there and the durability as you look forward and how you think about that franchise over the next few quarters?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes, Patrick, I really call it. It's the dividend and reward for coming to the country and the world's rescue when they needed a stern COVID. And as you well know, we placed a ton of Panthers, almost doubled our worldwide placements. And the big question all through that time and through those next few years was, yes, what's going to happen to those Panthers on the back end. And what we said is just keep watching, because I think what we feel great about is in a labor-constrained world, our Panther and the workflow automation, combined with the incredible menu that we have the tight footprint on Panther. And then we've added the Fusion sidecar that these things are just incredible workhorses that really are getting the adoption. And I think you start to -- when you put a double-digit number on top of a 25% number from last year, what we're really just seeing is more customers putting more menu on their Panthers. And I think it's -- the proof is what we've been saying for years and hopefully, it's starting to become evident in the results.

Patrick Donnelly

Analyst

That's helpful. I appreciate it. And then maybe just on the capital allocation side, that remains focus obviously you guys announced the recent deal. Can you just talk about the priority? You have the larger repo. I think that last quarter, a smaller deal, a little bit of dilution. How do you think about the priorities here in terms of the balance sheet? And how actively be on the M&A side post that deal? Just how large your thinking would be helpful.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes, Pat, let's try to put this into context. We were talking as a team about this the other day and said, if we can line up the perfect world, we'd love to do like one Endomag every quarter. right? $300 million deal, bring in some additional revenue products that drop in that we know what to do and just kind of keep phasing those along and then maybe a little bit of a buyback here or there. The real world doesn't work nearly as linear. But that's what we would like to be doing is those size deals on a fairly regular basis. Because they don't always pop up from time to time, it is where we'll jump in and do some buybacks, and we're comfortable amassing the cash because there might be a year where we can do a number of these like we did at one point during COVID when we picked up Biotheranostics, Fluent, Accesa, Diagenode, these things that have all been very good for us. So no real change. We think the Endomagnetics deal is right down the fairway, hopefully, exactly what anybody would expect from us and what we've been signaling and if we can find more of those, that'd be great. With that, I'll kick it to Karleen.

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. I would just emphasize, Patrick, that the strength of our balance sheet as well as our ongoing cash flow generation allows us significant flexibility to do things like Endomag and the share repurchase on an ongoing and regular basis. So for years to come as we look at our financial projections over the coming years, so we have a lot of flexibility and strength.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from Jack Meehan with Nephron Research.

Jack Meehan

Analyst

I wanted to -- can take the eagle's questions off-line. For now, I wanted to focus on the Breast Health business pick up where we just left off. I was wondering Essex talked a little bit about the time line to close Endomagnetics. Is there any commentary you can share just around the valuation for the deal in context of like what your expectations are in terms of the growth rate of this business maybe more broadly, just how it fits with the existing portfolio.

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. Well, I think we think it fits really nicely with our existing interventional portfolio. And I think that's 1 of the values that we'll bring is that currently Endomag uses a mix of direct and distributors, and we obviously have a significant direct sales force in the U.S. that I think will be a differentiator for us with that asset in our hands.

Jack Meehan

Analyst

And then any comments you can share around like the growth rate you're expecting for this business?

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. I would just say, Jack, we would expect it to be accretive certainly to the division's growth rate.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Sorry. I'm sorry, go ahead, Justin.

Operator

Operator

Oh, I'm sorry. I was just going to say our next question is from Tejas Savant with Morgan Stanley.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is Yuko on the call for Tejas. I have one question on the recent breast cancer screening update. If USPSTF recommends annual mammal screening them, what does that do from a physician adoption standpoint, given ACS is already there? And then from a quantitative standpoint, how much of an uplift would annual testing represent to your Breast Health business?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes. As you saw, they're really kind of still in the biannual world and we don't think the USPSTF guidelines changed much. Recall that our Breast Health is really a screening business where it's a capital sale and less volume dependent. But we really don't see much of an impact either way, just as when the guidelines shifted "negatively" a few years back, I didn't see a downturn there and don't see a big shift now. We do think the guidelines are a step forward for women. Unless you're a woman over 74 where they still haven't gone far enough.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Got it. That was helpful. And then another question on USPSTF. If they were to move to an HPV primary what would a potential trial design look like to establish primary HPV delay claim on your existing optima test? And what would the time line be to run such trial? Is there a possibility of using real-world data? Or would you need a prospective trial?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

We are very focused on maintaining co-testing as the gold standard. If anything, what we're seeing is a modest uptick in cervical cancer in women in the United States that really started when the intervals went from to 3 to 5 years back almost 10 years ago and believe absolutely the co-testing is the right way to go. That continues to be -- our base is based on the scientific facts.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Vijay Kumar with Evercore.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Evercore.

This is Kevin on for Vijay. Congrats on the quarter, 5% on top of a tough comp last year is impressive. Just on your organic revenue guide range, it looks like it's tightening versus being raised, given performance in the quarter, why not raise guidance? and was this quarter performance above your internal expectations?

Karleen Oberton

Analyst · Evercore.

Yes. I would just say the impact on the full year guidance is primarily related to currency, if you actually look at the midpoint of this guide versus our prior guide on a constant currency basis, it's up slightly. So we really view the performance in this quarter a lot of to tighten the range as you indicated really hone in and delivering within that range.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst · Evercore.

No need to get too far ahead of ourselves. Great.

Operator

Operator

We'll take a question from Puneet Souda with Leerink Partners.

Puneet Souda

Analyst

Steve First one, if I could touch on the Genius digital cytology system. I mean you've had that in the U.S. market for -- correct me, for a quarter or so. Just, can you provide a feedback on sort of what are you hearing from the early folks in the field? And do you expect the international adoption of this sort of playing out similarly within the U.S.? And are you hearing anything in terms of the pushback in terms of the overall throughput of the system?

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. Let me kick off in that. Yes, it was just recently approved in the U.S., and I would say that we're really partnering with our lab customers on implementing and integrating into the workflow, so that's what we're focused on really more of a successful integration into the lab workflow at this point. So minimal contribution in '24 from the U.S. approval. But I think the feedback here, early days, there's a lot of excitement of what this can do in what we've talked about in a labor-constrained environment. And we think those will be really well received.

Puneet Souda

Analyst

Got it. And a broader question maybe for Steve. I mean when you look at the overall competitive landscape, Steve, there's another larger peer who's in the point-of-care testing side, but they pointed out 40% growth in [Strep A] and women's health -- and I know sort of their positioning is different in the market, but just wondering sort of how you're seeing the share shift. We're also seeing that one of the larger peers that's in the reference lab side, they still don't have RSV in the market for their product. So just trying to understand sort of where the opportunity set for Hologic continues to be the most strongest and where you think the share opportunities will be -- will continue to be the sort of the strongest going forward?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes. It's funny in so many ways, we don't focus always as much probably on share as we do on just building our business for our customers and growing the categories. So I think what we continue to feel great about is we've got, as you know, more respiratory menu than we've ever had. We've got the Fusion sidecars, so we're building a respiratory business. We're not competing in the point of care business. We are very strong in our reference labs in the hospital systems, the public health labs and just really focused on delivering for those customers. And we believe we've got both an economic and workflow advantage as well as, frankly, the sensitivity specificity of a lot of our assays. So continue to feel very good about the growth rates there. And at the end of the day, these are big markets, and there will be, I think, several companies going up and others that will be shared donors in the equation.

Operator

Operator

And moving on to Casey Woodring with JPMorgan.

Casey Woodring

Analyst

Great. So just now that we're halfway through the fiscal year, looking at the top line guidance above the LRP range on an ex COVID and ex selling day basis after the strong quarter, particularly in Diagnostics and Surgical. I'm curious on how you guys are thinking about your fiscal '25 and if growth could fall on potentially the higher end of the LRP range or even above the range? How should we think about the different moving parts there given the outperformance here so far?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes, Casey, you'll love it. We're not going anywhere near '25 guidance at this point in time. So we've given the long range we're delivering for now, investing for the future. But stay tuned for the November call, and we'll get into that. But thank you.

Casey Woodring

Analyst

All right. And then maybe if I could just follow up here. How do you assess the international opportunity for BV/CV/TV, you mentioned in the prepared that the strong growth you've seen in that assay really hasn't included any international contribution. So maybe help us frame how much growth runway you have on that assay just based on phasing in the international piece.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes. We're earlier stages of really looking at the opportunity there. There are some other things on the markets and frankly, the indication is not necessarily developed. So it's probably a little more of a market development longer-term opportunity for us internationally as frankly, many of our products have been. So very minimal expectations in the near term internationally. I would tell you though we love the momentum we have, certainly in the United States on it.

Operator

Operator

And we have a question from Andrew Brackmann with William Blair.

Andrew Brackmann

Analyst

Maybe on the international business and margins, in particular, can you maybe just sort of talk to us about some of the levers which exist there to drive future margin expansion for that segment in general? And how much of that is in your control? And I guess as a related follow-up here, if we go back a handful of years, logic has been pretty successful in acquiring distributors, namely international distributors. So I guess, how does that sort of play into that margin expansion opportunity?

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. Certainly, that is one of the strategies to improve margins as we go direct and we find that as we go direct, we have better outcomes in those markets with our market development and market access capabilities, which -- that is something we have invested in over the last 5 years. So that strength that commercial investment at the point of leverage as we move forward as well as we continue to grow the portfolio, specifically surgical -- it's early days, but certainly, the surgical portfolio is an accretive product to the overall margin profile for that business. So I think there'll be multiple drivers as we move forward.

Operator

Operator

And our next question will come from Andrew Cooper with Raymond James.

Andrew Cooper

Analyst

Maybe just first sticking with international. One thing jumps out, just looking at the table at the bottom of the release. The region that seems to have the most outsized growth has really been kind of all other. I think part of that might just be COVID unwinding a little bit, but maybe any thoughts there? And then as you think about the international opportunity, can you highlight maybe if it's a particular product in a particular region or a particular region in general? What areas are you most excited about in terms of that geographic expansion opportunity as we sit here in the start of May '24.

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes. I think the magic of our international business is -- it's a lot of individual products in individual countries that we've been building kind of market access capabilities and everything over the years. And while there's no one that's driving it. We've just got a series of different products and different geographies that are really building momentum. And a lot of them in kind of the surgical and interventional space. Certainly, we're getting very excited about our Surgical business and its opportunity internationally, both what we've been doing with our own sales forces plus we did mention we acquired our distributor in the Nordics. So continuing to go -- feel very well there. And then it's just -- you get different times. The fact we got our digital cytology approved, internationally, that's been going very well in Western Europe. So it's just this collection of the different franchises, the different geographies building over time. And I think the magic is, Andrew, from the years in the past, we always said we're going to be building these businesses internationally, not by showing up 1 day and saying, hey, we're going to dramatically expand our sales forces and take a year off on profit growth. We've been making the investments all along. And then as certain products launch in certain countries, then we use that funding to fund the next year and keep building. So it's really just this inexorable building of success.

Operator

Operator

Our next question come from Andrew Petrone with Mizuho Securities.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is Brad Davis on for Anthony. -- not another Andrew, but -- talk on the Breast Health business. I figure -- whenever we see you guys make a move in Breast Health, obviously, core competency at which you're paying attention. The one to kind of hear your strategic rationale on the Endomag acquisition, why you see now as kind of a time to get bigger on the procedural side of the business and if we should expect kind of further moves to cover the swap and the continuum, if there's any other assets that you think that you'd like to have in that portfolio?

Stephen MacMillan

Analyst

Yes. I think the biggest piece is it's just a continuation of what we've been doing over the last 5, 6 years where we've tried to build, especially the gantry business and build out across the breast care continuum. So into biopsies and into interventional techniques. So as we've been building our own markers business, this has been an area we've been looking. We got into localizer a few years back. We've been doing both organic, inorganic. And the timing on this one really is driven by the opportunity to pick up Endomag. They've been a business we've been tracking for quite some time that we liked a lot, and the opportunity finally became available to grab them. Thank you. But yes, just continuing on what we've been doing.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then just to stay on the breast business, you recently called out some of the life cycle in the boxes 2014 launch time frame. So maybe getting to the 9-, 10-year time frame. Can you just remind us, I guess, the life span on these devices and how Hologic plans to kind of best monetize the upgrade replacement opportunity and also if this is part of the rationale on timing of any new systems software and product enhancements.

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. I would say we've been very intentional into really smooth out that business and really move away from the boom bust of a life cycle replacement -- replacement cycle. And as we've talked about, we've had many software and other upgrades to the gantry system over the past several years, all of which have been backwards compatible to that installed base. The customers have been able to get improvements and upgrades along the way. They don't have to wait for that next gen gantry. But having said that, we certainly have something in development, but that's what we'll be talking about later, probably in '25.

Operator

Operator

Absolutely. That question will come from [Michael Ryskin] with Bank of America.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is John came on for Mike. I think we've talked about these numbers before, and I was wondering the improved utilization seems to be the main contributor. So I was wondering how the average number of assay used for Panther has been trending, like what percentage of the customers is using more than one assay versus more than 4 assays.

Karleen Oberton

Analyst

Yes. So I think if we go back to 2019, we would say that less than or about 20% of our customers were running about 4 more assays at the end of that into '22, that was probably approaching high 30%, maybe 40%. But I think that's the entire installed base. But I think the other metric I'd look to -- point to is the newer Panthers that were placed since April of 2020. So new customers acquired since the pandemic over 90% of those customers are running at least one other assay and over 55% of running at least 2 other assays. So I think that all points to the value, the workflow that our customers see with the Panther instrument in the menu and the long runway ahead to continue to drive utilization on the installed base.

Operator

Operator

And this now concludes Hologic's First Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Have a good evening.