Graham Paul Briggs
Analyst · BMO
Thank you very much, and welcome, ladies and gentlemen, or good morning, if you're in our time zone or good afternoon in South Africa. This is our quarter 4 for the financial year '13 results. We'll also be talking about the year-end results for financial year '13 and have an outlook for year '14, financial year '14. I'm certainly hoping you've all got the presentation, as per our website. If so, Page 2 should be the Safe Harbor statements. And then we go over to Page 3, which is the agenda. And I'm going to start talking about strategy and talk about the 3 legs of our strategy: optimizing operational delivery; growth; and sharing rewards, and then I'll conclude. It is a little bit of a longer presentation, so please be aware with -- be with me -- bear with me. Slide 5 is our strategy. It has not changed much over the past few years, been refined a little bit. The 3 legs today, operational delivery, growth, sharing rewards. And I'm going to take you through each of those areas to display a little bit of where we are and what we intend to do. Slide 6. Share price is obviously not the greatest on any gold company, but particularly, in South Africa and really dealing with the current gold investment plan is a difficult thing for investors, and as well for us. Investors, obviously, are seeking returns. We are aware that most of our investors are averse to large capital investments, big capital projects and so on. Gold prices, certainly much lower than a year ago and no longer are companies is existing for growth at all cost. And balance sheet is certainly one of the important aspects of a gold-mining company. Just some information on how we went about preparing our plans, and let's start with Slide 7. We really looked each operation by operation and try to maximize the revenue, obviously setting ourselves a relatively conservative gold price. Grade came up as one of the key things that we should be looking at, and therefore, grade is king the word that we've used there. We need to look at de-bottlenecking of those areas where we can de-bottleneck and get better volumes through, and we believe we've got a good reserve base on all our operations for -- that matches our plans. We looked at the risks and there are several measures on mitigation of risks that we looked at. And then the reducing of costs, you've heard us last quarter talking about cost reduction. We are sort of resensitizing the whole business as to waste or cost management. We have done some improvements. We'll give you the numbers on services, on corporate costs and also looking at capital. Rationalizing and really improving productivity is what we've been looking at, rationalizing the operational levels to see where we can improve it. On Slide 8, fairly conservative with respect to our business planning. We have adjusted them for the risks that we see and therefore, they are really aligned to our strategy. We need to do our best to manage the impacts of the external environments. There are many impacts and whether they be legislated, whether they be issues of the local nature, communities around our mines or even the gold price, we need to adapt to those very quickly, and I think we have got to the position where we can. We need to look at productivity. There's a continuous improvement drive, looking at sort of optimization, investigating some of the technology. We've been very proactive on our health strategy. A few years ago, our whole strategy was simply talking about hospitals and the number of sick people. Now, our shift has moved into the very proactive area of trying to keep people healthy and, therefore, keep them healthy at work. Balance sheets, very good, and we've been looking at operation by operation, the total cost of that operation, not just the cash costs, but the costs including capital and all the allocated costs. Then the -- really balancing how much we should be spending on capital, what exploration we should be spending and so on. Slide 9, 8 major risks. Labor disputes, and I'm sure I'll be answering some questions a little bit later on labor and the wage negotiations. That's the top risk that we've got here. Safety risks, we've done a huge amount, I will show you a graph on safety. Gold price, naturally, and foreign exchange fluctuations. Certainly, that can affect the business very badly and we've seen major changes in lots of companies around the world in this last release -- half-year quarter releases. Looking at major environmental infrastructure incidents, it certainly affected Phakisa. There's good progress on the ventilation shaft, but it would be -- it should be back in operation by December and so we're geared for that. No matter which country in, socioeconomic or political or regulatory changes can happen and do happen. We need to manage through that and, therefore, we need to stay close to governments, stay close to our communities, and obviously, monitor these things very carefully. Integrating and managing projects, well, we spent a great deal of money here in South Africa on these assets that are busy building up. And that's one of the issues we need to continue to drive. And then looking at acquisition or longer-term ore reserves is also a strategic issue that we need to look at. We'll talk about financing of Golpu and the development run there. That's our only large capital projects. And then looking at competition for human resources. Those are really the 8 major risks that we've identified. Going to Slide 11 and then on to 12, looking at production and really, the Slide 11 entitled Safe Production. Slide 12 gives you a graphs of various matrices that we measure. And you can see that they're all declining, they've all improved dramatically over the last few years. We've had some very good reports on safety and the work that we're doing. However, we still have more work to do. Obviously, we just have too many fatal store, but we're still getting them reduced and we need to work hard on all of these things. Slide 13, quarter-on-quarter results. We had 2 fatalities during the quarter, which were very unfortunate, and obviously, that affects operations badly. I think it affects people, families and so on, so we're very cognizant of that. Gold production improved by 12%, mainly Kusasalethu starting to come back into production. By the end of the quarter, Kusasalethu is back at full production, back in the sort of the tail end of June. Cash operating cost decreased by 3%. Operating profits, however, was lower at ZAR 639 million, mainly, again, due to the Kusasalethu issue. And Frank will be talking more about losses and so on. Headline loss per share for the quarter, ZAR 1.86. They're all -- as I said, Frank, will talk about deferred taxes and so on. And there was a small amount of retrenchment costs in the quarter. Slide 14. Year-on-year results, a very pleasing 7% increase in underground grade. We have the lowest recorded annual lost time injury frequency rates, so that's a credit to all the safety work that we are doing. The Evander sale was completed, that transaction. We did have a watershed agreement signed at Kusasalethu with labor. That agreement subsequently got mimicked in the various areas of what the minister was doing on getting sort of, a labor stability agreement out. Gold production was down by 2%, and I'll show you the details in the year-on-year analysis, both with and without Kusasalethu and give you the information on operating costs as well, and the unit operating costs. Again, Frank will take us through the financials. And then we have no final dividend declared. We did have an interim dividend of ZAR 0.50. Our policy is normally to pay the dividend out of profits. And, of course, you can see that the last 6 months were not good. Slide 15, a waterfall graph showing the financial year '12, 36,273 kilograms of gold. And the differences there between the winners and the gainers -- sorry, the losers and the gainers. The losers being Kusasalethu, Tshepong, Surface dumps, which is really a filler for them all [ph], so that's not very significant, Hidden Valley and Phakisa. And then the rest, really gaining and giving us the total of 35,374 for financial year '13 If we look at the group operating results quarter-on-quarter, Slide 16, you can see the 12% increase in kilograms or ounces there. The rand per kilogram price at ZAR 427,000. Today's price is at around about ZAR 425,000 a kilogram. It has been lower, closer to ZAR 400,000, but it's all bringing about the ZAR 420,000 as we speak. And then the cash cost and other information there, noteworthy to see, of course, the difference between gold price and rand per kilogram and U.S. dollars an ounce, and that's due to the exchange rate, which is at the bottom line. Slide 17. Group operating results year-on-year, divided into 2 there, the results including Kusasalethu; and on the right, results excluding Kusasalethu. So if you just take Kusasalethu out of -- as well as financial year '12, you can see that there was actually a 7% increase in gold produced. Rand per kilogram, the gold price is slightly different because of the timing of [indiscernible] and so on. And then the cash operating costs decreased. It was worse by 11% even including the poor performance by Tshepong and, of course, Hidden Valley. But it's quite interesting to look at these differences to see how much the Kusasalethu issue cost us in the last year. We've been doing a lot on our mine call factor and our grades. A graph on Slide 18 displaying the mining call factor, where it's come from, at about, what, 74% there and heading towards the 80% turnover. So we have done a lot of clean mining, getting our valuations much better and making sure that we're trying to recover all the gold that we've lost. On Slide 19, a history which goes back to quarter 1 financial year '09, and that's looking at development grades. You can see the steady increase in developing grades. They're a little bit all over the place, but the trend is good. And the interesting thing about development grades, of course, is that when you develop a raise [ph] line you are likely to be mining at sort of within 24, or maybe 36 months from the time you developed it. So you can see those are good indicator of future recovered rates. Slide 20, financial year '12. Underground actual grade at 4.26; financial year '13 at 4.54. And are planning for the next year, financial year '14, at 4.79 gram a tonne. Slide 21. I won't take you through that slide in particular, but we really break down each of the operations, operation-by-operation. And you can see that the 4.79 at the bottom is the same as the 7 -- 4.79 at the previous graph. And you can see the financial year '12, financial year '13 and the recovered grade forecast for '14. Operation-by-operation, a dramatic change in some of them. An example of that, of course, is Bambanani. You can see that's come from a sort of 6.79, closer to 10 grams in the last -- towards the end of last year. We go over to Slide 23, and this is dollars per ounce. You have to remember, of course, the previous slide is on rand per kilogram, so there are exchange rates fluctuations here, but they are done in the quarter that the exchange rate applies, so you can our see cash cost plus net of capital and the growth capital on top of it. And that gives you actually the total cost of the operation. Costs that aren't included here are corporate cost and exploration. I'm now going to hand over to Frank, who will take us through the finances.