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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT)

Q2 2026 Earnings Call· Tue, Jul 28, 2026

$323.82

-2.13%

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Key Takeaways

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Hilton Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by 0. After today's prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one. And to remove your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Charlie Ruehr, Vice President, Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. You may begin.

Charlie Ruehr

President

Thank you, Chuck. Welcome to Hilton's second quarter 2026 earnings call. Before we begin, we would like to remind you that our discussion this morning will include forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. And forward-looking statements made today speak only to our expectations as of today. We undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. For a discussion of some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ, please see the Risk Factors section of our most recently filed Form 10-K. In addition, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call. You can find reconciliations of non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures discussed in today's call in our earnings press release and on our website at ir.hilton.com. This morning, Christopher J. Nassetta, our President and Chief Executive Officer will provide an overview of the current operating environment and the company's outlook. Kevin J. Jacobs, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will then review our second quarter results and discuss our expectations for the third quarter and full year. Following the remarks, we will be happy to take your questions. With that, I am pleased to turn the call over to Christopher.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Thanks, Charlie, and good morning, everyone. We are excited to report strong second quarter results with RevPAR adjusted EBITDA and EPS exceeding our expectations, the continued improvement in travel demand across chain scales and segments supported both our top-line and bottom-line. We continue to execute on our disciplined development strategy achieving one of the best quarters in our history for signings, further growing our record pipeline. Our strong portfolio of brands, powerful commercial engines and disciplined execution continue to support meaningful free cash flow generation, We remain on track to return $3.5 billion to shareholders for the full year. For the second quarter, system-wide RevPAR increased 3.9% year-over-year. Driven by underlying demand recovery in the U.S., where business transient and group both exceeded expectations a strong World Cup. Business transient RevPAR was up 5.7%, a three-point step up globally and a four-point step up in the U.S. versus the first quarter, driven by midweek demand from small- to medium-sized businesses. Leisure transient RevPAR was up 1.6%, supported by World Cup demand exceeding expectations, but offset by unfavorable holiday shifts and pressure from the conflict in the Middle East. Group RevPAR was up 3.7% driven by growth in company meeting demand and favorable event calendar shifts. As we look to the second half of the year, we expect underlying RevPAR growth to remain strong across chain scales and segments. We expect U.S. RevPAR to continue to benefit from macro tailwinds including supportive tax and regulatory policy increased private sector investment in the AI complex, and ongoing public infrastructure spending should benefit the middle and lower income consumer and drive broader demand growth across our system, and will be coupled with historically low levels of supply growth at less than 0.5%. We expect the business transient segment to lead as its recovery continues to strengthen into the third quarter. Given this momentum, we are raising our full-year system-wide RevPAR growth expectations to 3% to 3.5% with third quarter above our full-year range benefiting from the World Cup and holiday shifts and fourth quarter a bit below due to calendar shifts and midterm elections. Turning to development, we had a strong quarter opening more than 200 hotels totaling over 24,000 rooms. Up 50% from the first quarter. More than 20% of total openings were in lifestyle hotels, including the opening of Conrad Athens, which marked the debut of our Conrad brand in Greece. We celebrated reaching 500 lifestyle hotels with opening across 12 countries, including the brand debut of Curio in India. Additionally, we surpassed 100,000 rooms globally for Home2 Suites and announced the brand's debut in Germany, another key European market. For us. Conversions represented 36% of openings for the quarter across 12 brands in nearly 30 countries, including Spark openings in Saudi Arabia, Germany, and the U.K.. Across our portfolio, the 20 new brands that we have launched over the last two decades have been powerful engines of our unit growth and we expect them to continue driving more than half of our net unit growth in the years ahead. We believe our ability to identify white space develop the right brands in partnership with our owners and launch them with discipline remains a real competitive advantage for us. Building on that strength, in the quarter, we launched undergraduate by Hilton. A new upper-midscale brand created to serve a broader range of college and university markets. Undergraduate expands Hilton's collegiate hospitality strategy with a flexible development model that supports both new-build and conversion opportunities. Undergraduate complements our existing Graduate brand for a different addressable market with long-term expansion potential of more than 400 hotels. In the quarter, we signed approximately 43,000 rooms representing the second largest quarterly signings in our history. Increasing 50% from the first quarter and growing year-over-year above our five-year average historical growth rate. Of total signings, 35% were in luxury and lifestyle with notable announced signings including the Waldorf Astoria Miami Beach, and our first Curio in the Bahamas. More than 70% of our signings were in international markets driven by strong momentum across Europe and Asia Pacific outside of China where we currently only have 21% market share of supply, respectively. In CALA, a fast growing region where we have only 3% market share of supply. Signings grew 20% year-over-year. With growth across all chain scales. Despite the conflict in the Middle East in the quarter, Middle East signings were up low-single digits year-over-year. Our pipeline now stands at a record 541,000 rooms spanning more than 130 countries. Almost half of the pipeline is under construction positioning Hilton for sustained 6% to 7% net unit growth as we continue to capture a bigger slice of a growing global pie. In the quarter, we saw new development construction starts continue to grow led by the U.S., which was up over 40% versus the same quarter last year. On conversions, we continue to take well more than our fair share of quality rooms and expect conversion openings to be up in all regions for the year comprising approximately 40% of total openings. Both new development and conversion growth is driven by continued developer preference for Hilton brands due to industry-leading RevPAR premiums, which further increased in the second quarter. We know our development success is built on strong partnerships with owners, which is why we evaluate every decision through the lens of owner profitability. Over the past year, we have taken several concrete steps to help owners lower costs strengthen hotel profitability and improve their returns. First on fees, reflecting the continued growth in scale and efficiency of Hilton Honors, we reduced loyalty fees for most hotels globally. We also launched Hilton Rise, a program that provides program fee discounts when hotels consistently deliver an excellent guest experience. Second, we are taking a more flexible and tailored approach to renovations balancing owner investment with guest expectations and hotel performance. Most recently, we initiated an intense cross-functional review of hotel-level P&Ls to identify where Hilton's scale technology, and enterprise capabilities can drive incremental owner profitability. Through this work, we are exploring system-wide opportunities across workforce innovation, purchasing power, and brand cost discipline to strengthen hotel-level margins. Reduce complexity and create even greater long-term value for our owners as well as all stakeholders. These owner profitability initiatives are enabled and accelerated by the power of our proprietary technology platform which allows us to innovate faster, scale more effectively and deliver greater value across our entire network. Earlier this month, we announced an industry-first direct connection with Navan, a travel management company This integration was made possible by Hilton-developed booking and content APIs that provide direct real-time access to Hilton availability, rate booking, and authoritative property and room content. This direct connection bypasses both intermediary connections and other more expensive distribution channels providing meaningful cost savings for our owners. The same flexible AI-ready technology stack is also enabling the Hilton AI Planner, which launched earlier this year, bringing more personalized, intelligent, and useful planning tools to all of our customers. We will continue to extend our technology advantage and utilize it to drive superior returns for owners, and better experiences for our guests. Our exceptional Hilton team members continue to bring our award-winning culture to life helping Hilton achieve 19 number-one best workplace recognitions globally so far this year. The highest number we have ever achieved. This commitment to delivering reliable and friendly stays also strengthens our industry-leading brands with Hampton, Home2 and Tru recognized for best-in-category by J.D. Power for 2026. Overall, we are pleased with the quarter and remain confident that our powerful network effect, industry-leading RevPAR premiums and fee-based capital-light business model will continue to drive strong operating performance, net unit growth and meaningful cash flow, enabling us to return an increasing amount of capital to shareholders. Now I am going to turn the call over to Kevin with a few more details on the quarter and our expectations for the full year.

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

Thanks, Christopher, and good morning, everyone. During the quarter, system-wide RevPAR increased 3.9% versus the prior year on a comparable and currency-neutral basis. Growth was driven by underlying demand recovery in the U.S., where business transient and group both exceeded expectations and a strong World Cup. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.054 billion in the second quarter up 4.6% year-over-year exceeding the high-end of our guidance range. Growth was affected by one-time and favorable timing items specific to the second quarter of 2025 and significant renovations in the ownership portfolio in 2026. Outperformance was driven by better-than-expected system-wide RevPAR growth and $17 million of non-RevPAR timing items. Management and franchise fees grew 6.4% year-over-year. For the quarter, diluted earnings per share adjusted for special items was $2.29. Turning to our regional performance, U.S. RevPAR increased 5.4% driven by strong demand across all segments with U.S. Business travel and group exceeding prior expectations and a strong World Cup. For full-year 2026, we expect U.S. RevPAR growth to be in the mid-single digits. In the Americas outside the U.S., second quarter RevPAR increased 4.6% year-over-year driven by strong group and business travel demand with Canada leading regional gains and continued growth across the Caribbean and South America. For full-year 2026, we expect RevPAR growth to be in the low- to mid-single digits. In Europe, RevPAR grew 4.3% year-over-year led by the U.K. and Ireland and continent-wide strong business and leisure performance. For full-year 2026, we expect RevPAR growth for the region to be in the mid-single digits. In the Middle East and Africa region, RevPAR decreased approximately 30% year-over-year, which was better than prior expectations. However, uncertainty in the recovery remains. For full-year 2026, we now expect RevPAR in the Middle East and Africa to be down in the high-single to low-double digits, supported by a strong start to the year before the conflict and modest assumptions for a continuing recovery. In the Asia Pacific region, second quarter RevPAR was up 6.3% in APAC excluding China, led by strength in business and leisure and overall strength in Japan and Korea. RevPAR in China decreased 2.2% in the quarter driven by a decline in group travel resulting from continued government restrictions. For full-year 2026, we expect RevPAR growth in Asia Pacific to be in the low-single digits with RevPAR down low-single digits in China. Turning to development. As Chris mentioned, for the quarter, we grew net units 6.1% and now have more than 541,000 rooms in our pipeline. We continue to have more rooms under construction than any other hotel company, with approximately one in every five hotel rooms under construction globally slated to join the Hilton portfolio. We expect to deliver between 6% to 7% growth for the full-year, the second half of the year stronger than the first half of the year. Moving to guidance for the third quarter including the impact from the Middle East conflict, we expect system-wide RevPAR growth to be approximately 4%. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be between $1.035 billion and $1.055 billion and diluted EPS adjusted for special items to be between $2.28 and $2.34 both affected by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and significant renovations in the ownership portfolio and timing items. For the full-year, we expect RevPAR growth of 3% to 3.5% driven by continued broadening of demand growth across our system and strength in the U.S. as a result, we expect adjusted EBITDA of between $4.04 billion and $4.08 billion and diluted EPS adjusted for special items of $8.89 and $9.01. Please note that our guidance ranges do not incorporate future share repurchases. Moving on to capital return, we paid a cash dividend of $0.15 per share during the second quarter for a total of $34 million. Our Board also authorized a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share for the third quarter. In 2026, we expect to return approximately $3.5 billion to shareholders in the form of buybacks and dividends. Further details on our second quarter results can be found in the earnings release we issued earlier this morning. This completes our prepared remarks.

Charlie Ruehr

Operator

We would now like to open the line for any questions you may have. We would like to speak with as many of you as possible, so we ask that you limit yourself to one question. Chuck, can we have our first question please?

Operator

Operator

And our first question for today will come from Shaun Kelley with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Shaun Kelley

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for all the prepared remarks, a lot to cover. Christopher, I am going to go down a slightly different path, is, I think I feel like your section on owner health and some of the initiatives you have taken there is new. And I would like to just if you could elaborate a little bit specifically, if you could just comment on the reduced loyalty fee you mentioned for owners and maybe elaborate a little bit for those are not as familiar with the RISE program and what that may mean, just some of these initiatives you are taking to help out owners and sort of that point there. Thank you.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yeah. I am happy to do it. And I--you know, we put it in the script for a reason. We are spending and have been spending a lot of time on this. I mean, if you think about it, not to go too far back in time, but if you think about, you know, the lead-up to COVID, and I hate going back this far, but, you know, if you look at 2017, 2018, 2019, you had conditions in the industry that were not great most of those years in the sense of you had very low top-line growth, and, you know, higher growth in expenses. It was not as high as it got post-COVID, but nonetheless, margins were sort of going backwards And I think it made it, you know, made it very challenging. I am talking, you know, predominantly at this point really in the U.S., which is still 75% of the system and where these issues are more extreme. And so, you know, it was quite a difficult operating environment for owners. Then you get into COVID, and we all know it was difficult for everybody, us, and them, but, I mean, all of the operating costs and all that are you know, those burdens you know, are taken on largely by our ownership community. So really, really difficult time. We did as you know, a ton of different things to provide relief during that time We worked very quickly and I think in a really thoughtful way to try and help every way we could. And also make sure we survive those times which we did as did they. And then we got out of COVID and you got into a super high growth period of time. Obviously, a result of getting past the pandemic, and yet very high top-line growth. While inflation was high, you did see some pretty nice trajectory because you had really strong rate growth and in a higher inflationary environment. But, you know and that felt good, particularly after COVID. But then over the last couple of years, what you have been really suffering from is a bit like, you know, the pre-COVID times you know, with a little, you know, even a little bit more extreme. Meaning, in the U.S., you have had, you know, very low or last year negative top-line growth. And expenses growing higher than that and stubbornly sort of high inflation and particularly in areas that matter, in insurance in energy, and in labor costs. And so margins have been going backwards. And so here's the reality, we listen to these things. I come out of the owner community, and it is been a long time now, almost I guess, 19 years, going on 20 years, but sort of cut my teeth in the industry on that side of the business. Have a lot of relationships and friendships in that in the ownership community, and we are listening to them. And so what we have been trying to do over the last year or two is think about on a broad basis, how can we be smarter in that environment to help out. Now I do think things and we will get to it, you see it in the results year to date and what we are guiding to into next year. We will leave that for another question. I think things are going in a really good direction where my belief is owners are going to get margin growth. And that we are going to get into a different cycle. The reality is they have had more challenging time. And so we have been at the same time growing scale and utilizing AI and lots of process change to get more efficient in every way, not just that affects our P&L, but that affects the broader P&L and the entire system that we manage for the owner community. And so last year, we launched and it started life in January officially, but we launched last year. Reductions in loyalty fees because we can, because we have been continuing to garner scale and efficiencies in that business. And then we put Project RISE, and I talked about in the script, in place which is basically a reduction in program costs, again, around efficiencies that we are able to find. We think we still run the system, but do it more efficiently. Utilizing better process, AI, and a lot of other innovative thinking. And the combination of those things is, you know, somewhere between 75 and 100 basis points in margin for owners. Now in RISE, we did create a gating system, which we think is good for everybody. Which means, you know, we know during COVID, you know, that there was in the whole industry a lack of investment, And so we are trying to and we obviously are going through a big investment cycle. Our owners are investing a lot of money, but we basically want, you know, set it up so that if you get if it is a good experience for the customers, you get through the gate. And if it is not, then you have to work on that. And if you do, you will get through the gate. And right now, a little--and those standards move up every year, but roughly half the system right now in the United States is getting the full benefit of both of those things, and I believe that will continue to grow. So I think it is good for the ownership community. it is incenting the right behaviors vis a vis delivering the right outcomes for customers, which ultimately is what helps us continue to drive share growth, which is good not just for us, it is good for the system and good for us. The last thing is we are doing another body of work, which I would describe as RISE 2 internally, which is trying to figure out in a very granular way across the entire P&L, as I mentioned in my comments across our entire cost structure across all brand standards, both operating and physical property level standards? Are there things that we can do to push the envelope and that is utilizing sometimes old fashioned elbow grease and sometimes utilizing benefits of our technology and AI where we are making really good progress. And we do think there is more opportunity to come. So that is why I put it in. I mean, I put it in because I said Charlie and Sofia, we are spending a huge amount of time on this for all the right reasons. Spending a lot of time as we always do with our ownership community And we want you and they to know that we recognize that they are extraordinarily important partner and customer of ours, and it needs to work for the customers in the hotels and it needs to work for them for our flywheel to keep flying. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Daniel Politzer with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Daniel Politzer

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Christopher, you talked about a broad-based momentum and strengthening of demand trends for the remainder of the year and actually into 2027. Can you talk about what underlies that confidence in line of sight over the course of the next 18 months? And how do we kind of reconcile that with the kind of nuances in your cadence for RevPAR up 4% in the third quarter? And then I think it implies about up low-single digits in the fourth quarter.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yeah. I mean, so at the risk of a lot of data, let me try and, like, lift up because there is a lot of noise in this year. there is some negative noise. You know, which is largely sort of oriented towards the Middle East. A little bit of Mexico, then there is a lot of positive noise, if you will, between easier comps broadly and World Cup. And so we spent and hopefully this is helpful and we spent a huge amount of time on the science of, like, getting underneath what is really going on and when you cleanse it, for all of that, how does it make you feel? And so what I would say, like, let me break down Q2 A Little Bit. let me talk about In Both in the U.S. And globally, and then let me talk about the year and the setup for next year. So if we were at 5.4 in the U.S., in Q2, I would say roughly half of that so a little leaving behind 2.7%, a little over 2.5%. Was what we say is real sort of run rate growth. The other 2.7 was comps and World Cup. I mean, they just you had a you had meaningful benefits from those 2 things. If you look at the world, we were at roughly 4% and there was roughly 2 points of that 4 that I think were those things. So you would say 2 to 2.5 in both cases when you round it. And you take out the noise. Now remembering this is gonna complicate it more, the Middle East in the quarter was a full percentage point. So the, you know, the 4 would have been 5 you know, but for or 5 and the 4 above, but for Middle East. But let's leave that out for the moment. So the run rate I would say when you look at the full-year, in the U.S., sort of implies around 2.5%. We think that is what it is going to be for the second half of the year. Kevin said in his comments, third quarter is getting a little extra juice from the World Cup and some holiday stuff. The fourth quarter has got some calendar shifts in the midterms. When you look at the year, the second half of the year, we think it looks a lot like the first half of the year when you take out the noise. Of comps and World Cup. When you look at the full system-wide, we do the same thing, we think it ends up at like 2% or 2.5%. So what we would say, like, as we get into budget season here in the next few weeks, what we would say is you start off a base, which is I mean, the big difference is really business transient midweek coming back. In a very meaningful way, which is where you are seeing the greatest improvement, we think that you are running at 2% or 2.5%. So as I think how that translates, so and I think the second half of the year is just fine. there is just noise that is with World Cup and calendar shifts going on. We do not think there is anything wrong with the fourth quarter. that is just noise. that is just like that stuff happening as between the quarters. As I think about 2027, which we are starting to do a lot of thinking on because we are literally getting in the budget season and even though it will be a granular exercise, there is some top-down view of the world that Kevin and I and others will provide. I sort of look at it like you are starting out at 2% to 2.5%. And then what do you add to it or take away from it? I would say most of the stuff I see is a tailwind to that. So I think could debate it, but I would be happy to debate it with you. The U.S. economy is getting stronger. I mean, it shows up in our results. The strength is broadening for the reasons that I talked about in my script. You have very favorable tax and regulatory policy, huge investment cycle, in AI infrastructure to support the AI complex. Broad based spending that is continuing to go on infrastructure. Just look at the NFI numbers, this single highest correlation between demand growth and hotel rooms historically and now increases in NFI. Those numbers are going up, not surprisingly. When you are spending trillions of dollars on these things, it leads to good things. So I think that is picking up steam. Things can happen good, bad, and ugly. Realize but I would say I would take the over, you know, the 2.5 that were baseline in the U.S., it is getting better. You have got more opportunity in recovery of government On top of that, you have got inbound international, in the U.S. opportunity. I mean, the second quarter was great because the World Cup, but I mean broadly next year through the whole year, you have got opportunities for recovery and inbound international travel. Okay. So that all feels pretty good. And then you think about the rest of the world that there is a lot of uncertainty. I am an optimist by nature, everybody knows that. I would think the Middle East is going to get resolved one way or another, and that we have got tailwinds which are probably the Middle East this year alone is costing us 0.5 a point, something like that in overall growth. I do not know what it will be, but I think it will be better than so I think we have that tailwind. I think we have got a Mexico tailwind. Again, it is a relatively small part of the business, but impactful. And I just was in China a couple of weeks ago, and been a great week with our teams there. it is hard to know the China economy is sputtering, and it is growing, but not consistent with what prior growth rates have been. But it feels like it is sort of hitting some level of stability. And I think there is an opportunity you know, to not maybe see incredible upside, but a bit of upside there, which is obviously been a bit of a drag for the last few years, we thought, well, China would be flat this year. it is not going. it is gonna be down another, you know, another couple points, something like that. So again, when I put all that together and I think about our budget, off of sort of a 2.5-ish baseline, I would say, I think it will be better than that. And I think we will have another really healthy year of growth. All things being equal. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Lizzie Dove with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Elizabeth Dove

Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

I guess maybe expanding on that a little bit. You talked last quarter about the C-shaped economy and the convergence between the chain scales, particularly in the U.S.? Could you maybe expand on that and kind of how you are seeing that now and how that is evolved through the quarter and to the extent you believe that could continue to be a tailwind as we move into 2027 as well?

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yes. And then, Lizzie, thank you for the question. I talked about it a bit, so I will try not to be too redundant. I mean, we are definitely seeing it. I mean, that does not mean, by the way, that the top of the C is coming down. I mean, luxury is doing, you know, the high-end of this continues to do quite well. And I told you my expectation is it will. I think it was particularly toward during World Cup because World Cup was very focused on, you know, lots of inbound high-end inbound international during the quarter and in urban markets. So think it got extra torque in the quarter, but I think the high-end for some you know, extended period of time will be good. But what you are definitely seeing, if you look at last year, the midscale, upper-midscale, all that was negative last year, And biggest sort of flip around, if you will, has been in those segments going from circa like minus 2% to plus 4% to 6%, a very, very big turnaround. I think it is, like, it is hard to deny. Again, look at the NFI numbers, all that investment going out in the country the people that do it are not staying in luxury hotels, the people that do that are staying in midscale, upper-midscale, and that is what we are seeing. As I think I already said, the biggest single change we have seen over the last couple of quarters is midweek business transient growth, which is exactly what we have been dying to see and really strong growth in SMBs. Small- and medium-sized businesses within business transient. That is significantly from a growth rate point of view, outstripping what we are seeing with like big corporates and the like. And, I think it is all sort of fundamentally connected to the regulatory tax investment cycle, AI cycle, I do not know how all that ends. I am not smart enough to know what it looks like two, three, or four years now. I would bet a lot of money it is awfully hard to stop the spend. Once all those trillions are sort of committed you know, all these data centers I mean, their data centers, one in Kentucky written about in The Journal. it is a $500 billion data center, one data center. Once this stuff's going, it will keep going for a period of time. And so I think you know, I do think we are seeing the bottom and the mid, the middle class is getting back in the game and all these midscale, upper-midscale, everything you know, that has been fairly weak over the last couple of years. Is really strengthening. it is really it is really impossible to deny. We continue to see it, by the way, going into the third quarter. We continue to see it post World Cup. Now we do not have a ton of data post World Cup, I mean, World Cup was winding down. There were fewer and fewer games. And yet into the third quarter, we continue to see really good strength in rate. We continue to see really good strength in midweek business transient, really good strength in SMB all the things that we are talking about. So I think this C-shaped thing is alive and well. And I think it is personally, I think it is sustainable. Just based on the basic laws of economics. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Brandt Montour with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Brandt Montour

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Great. Thanks. I was hoping, maybe, Kevin, if you could talk a little bit about the EBITDA guidance that you guys gave you beat the Q2 guide by a healthy figure and did not flow through all of that to the full-year EBITDA guidance in the midpoint. Just wondering if there is anything to call out there or just general conservatism?

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

No. I think that, look, we put something in both our prepared remarks and the release about some of the items that were timing items. And those timing items about $17 million was really across the P&L, more smaller things, nothing sort of major you know, that I would even call out in that category. Then the rest of it was driven by RevPAR. Right? And if you think about how we outperformed and if you divide it by four and our rule of thumb, that all sort of holds together in terms of the beat on RevPAR flowed through the way you would have expected it. And the increase in our guidance is flowing through for the full-year the way you would have expected it. what is really going on over the course of the year, if you think about the midpoint of our guidance being close to 9% growth, you have got, we mentioned it, a pretty significant drag in the ownership segment, right? We have three hotels, three major hotels. And if you think about if you take a step back in not to go on a full rant about that segment. But if you go back in time, we had about 100 hotels. We are down to about 46 hotels in leasehold or a few JV hotels today. And among that is about a third of those hotels that drive over 80% of the EBITDA are really important really great hotels, that provide a lot of benefits to the company in terms of serving customers. three of those strategic hotels are either fully closed in the case of Munich Park and Amsterdam or under significant renovation in the case of Tokyo, which is our largest EBITDA producer in that portfolio. These are really good long-term decisions that are going to drive great performance in these hotels going forward. So if you go down the line a few years, you are going to have significant couple of years, going to have significant tailwinds. But this year, it is over $20 million to $25 million just in those three hotels alone impact to EBITDA. And then if you take the Middle East, that is $20 million of impact just there in terms of incentive management fees and base fees. And so if you take a step all the way back, you just in those two dynamics, you are adding $40 million-plus, maybe even $50 million of EBITDA for the year. So if you adjust that, the full-year is well ahead of the algorithm, the algorithm is alive and well. So that is really what is going on if you take a step back from it.

Brandt Montour

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Perfect. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

David Katz

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. Apologies for focusing on just one hotel, but you mentioned it Christopher. And I think it is an important hotel and important market, and that is the Waldorf Astoria Miami Beach. Can you talk a bit more about number one, presumption is that there probably was some key money involved there. And two, just how you see your presence in that market given some of the other luxury dynamics with other hotels reopening and some other trades and upgrades, etcetera, etcetera. Thanks.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yes, you are right. it is one hotel, but an important one. Because for luxury lifestyle, South Beach, Miami, important market. We have been working We have another Waldorf in the broader Miami market, but nothing in the you know, in the South Beach market at the high-end. And it is something we have been working on for a very long time. The you know, our partner in London and what will be a spectacular hotel that is opening up later this fall, the Waldorf Astoria in London at Admiralty Arch you know, a real jewel box, as the Reuben brothers out of the U.K.. And they ended up buying the hotel in South Beach I think a couple of years ago, we have been we have a great relationship in the in the work that we are doing in London, and we ended up having lots of conversations with them. And, ultimately, they are big believers in the Waldorf brand, and we are able to make a deal. We do not get into disclosing individual deal economics. There is definitely key money. there is key money in every deal like that, you know, particularly, you know, in the United States. that is that is just what the competitive environment suggests. By the way, the key money does not change our guidance on key money, in terms of the broader guidance that we have given. But we are really excited about it. They are going to close the hotel you know, really reinvent it, you know, from a beach club point of view, food and beverage, public space, rooms, you know, they are gonna, you know, they are gonna really do a thoughtful job. And based on our experience with them in London, but broader experience in seeing the work that they have done. We think it is gonna be an exemplary representation of in South Beach and will, you know, will fit you know, the work they are doing will certainly fit that market dynamic. We are very excited about it.

David Katz

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead

Congrats. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Steven Pizzella with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Steven Pizzella

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead

Hey, good morning and thank you for taking our question. On the NUG outlook, believe you have indicated growth should accelerate in the second half relative to the first half run rate. Can you walk us through the key drivers behind that acceleration? How much visibility you have into those expectations today? And any early thoughts on the 2027 NUG outlook?

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

Yeah. I will take this one, Steven. Look, I think we have a lot of visibility. The vast majority of our of what we expect to open this year is under construction between, you know, new-build construction and conversions that are in flight. So if you the reality is we did say in our prepared remarks and in the script sorry, in the press release that is back-end loaded. that is just math, right? So we think we are going to do 6% to 7% for the year. That means we still feel good about the midpoint or we would not be giving you 6% to 7%. And so that just implies that there is going to be an acceleration. Historically, we are back-end loaded in terms of deliveries. This year maybe a little bit more than normal, but again we have visibility into all that is in flight. there is still a lot of year left, so you still have still have time to do in-the-year-for-the-year conversions and things like that. So the range is still the range. But we feel comfortable with the midpoint. And then what we have been saying for a while, we will continue to say is we think we can deliver 6% to 7% for the foreseeable future. So as we go in when we go into next year, we will again have the vast majority of what we expect to deliver will be under construction. You always have in-the-year-for-the-year conversions. that is why we give you a range, but we feel like 6% to 7% is the right way to think about what we can produce in going forward. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Smedes Rose with Citi. Please go ahead.

Smedes Rose

Analyst · Citi. Please go ahead

Hi, thank you. I just I wanted to ask you, you mentioned that, in the quarter, small and medium sized businesses were a big driver of some of that great business transient you saw at 5.7%. Was it a similar small and medium that were helping to drive group? And could you speak to maybe what you are seeing from your larger corporates on the business transient and group side? Is that maybe a source of incremental strength going forward? Or kind of what does that, look like from here?

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yeah. I think the answer is yes. We saw SMB growth in business transient, sort of 7%-plus roughly It also definitely was a driver on the group side. Corporate the big corporates were growing, but at a at a lower pace in both regards. But not dramatically so. I mean, if SMB was growing at 7, the corporate was growing at 5. So, you know, 4.5 or 5. So both were pretty healthy, you know, but the but the pickup you know, I noted the pickup in SMB for a reason. That is been a very strong driver of the tailwind on midweek. Business transient. Just that pickup you know, that segment had not been growing as much. And now it is not only growing, but it eclipsed it is eclipsed from a growth rate point of view. So it is both it is SMB is helping you know, both. it is leading the charge in business transient recovery and helping on group as well. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Robin Farley with UBS. Please go ahead.

Robin Farley

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

Great. Thanks. And I apologize if you addressed this already. I have three calls going right now at the same time. So, but a lot of commentary about the strong midweek business and group that definitely is a pickup from last quarter. Can you give a little color on what is going on, on the leisure side of things? Yeah.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yeah. We did not talk about that in great detail. Leisure was strong. I mean, it was in third place behind business transient and group in the quarter. That has, I think, ultimately more to do with you know, the shift in Easter and other sort of holiday timing going on. But we feel very good about continued growth in leisure. We think it will be driven by high-end leisure growth, but it will also, if you believe what I am saying about getting the middle class back into the game, that means not only are they going to be traveling more for business purposes, but we think they are going to be traveling more for leisure purposes. Too. So we think that, you know, that will help in, you know, in the you know, in that segment on weekends and otherwise. So continues to grow I think, on a run rate basis, we will be relatively strong for the year.

Robin Farley

Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead

And then, thank you for that color. And just as a follow-up, I do not know if you quantified anything about the leisure RevPAR in the quarter. And then I know you mentioned World Cup and calendar benefits adding about half the RevPAR growth. Could you break out just the World Cup piece of it just separately?

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yeah. I would say, you know, we did talk about leisure in our prepared comments. It was up 1.6%. 1.6% up again with impact from shift of holiday, etcetera. So it would have been otherwise when you neutralize for that, it would have been stronger. I would say World Cup in the second quarter if it is 2.7%, I think it is like 1.7% was probably World Cup and the other point the other 100 basis points was easier comps. Plus or minus. Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Duane Pfennigwerth with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst · Evercore ISI. Please go ahead

Hey, good morning. Thank you. Just to revisit the owner profitability initiatives that you highlighted. Maybe you could speak to what specifically Hilton is doing that you believe differs from your competitors on this front. And is this more relevant for a specific set of chain scales? In other words, are these efficiency initiatives more relevant for full service versus select service hotels? Thank you.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Well, I really cannot speak to what our competitors are doing, but I am not aware that our competitors are doing similar things. what is notable is we are reducing the fee load to you know, to our owners across the board on loyalty and then if they get through the gate, as I described on system fees broadly. What was the second part of the question? Just if this is more relevant for specific chain scales, is this more of a it is across the board. Loyalty is across the board. Project RISE, is system fees across the board. So it affects it affects program fees across all categories.

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

And then Duane, I would just add, we have said this before a bunch of times, But these discounts that we are talking about are in the program fees, you know, in loyalty and in the program versus other fees.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst · Evercore ISI. Please go ahead

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Michael Bellisario with Baird. Please go ahead.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Just on the signings front, one of your best quarters. Is some of that pickup because RevPAR is better and owners and developers are more confident today? And how much of it is just you continuing to capture an outsized share of deal flow? Thanks.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Yes. I think listen, think the second quarter mean, the first quarter was a little bit slower just people getting their engines going. It took a little longer. So some of that was just calendar the second quarter, but I believe part of it, I cannot scientifically tell you how much of it, is, yeah, better environment. People are looking at, you know, the broader environment. And I think our you know, believe what I am describing to you because they are seeing it in their performance broadly in their hotel across the system. And so you know, fast you know, deals that they have been trying to get in the ground, they, you know, they are, you know, they are more interested in getting going on and more interested in signing deals. And as you heard, construction starts were up in a very material way in the U.S. too, which I think again is reflective of people's number one ability to get the deals done, ability to get them financed, and then confidence in the forward outlook for the business. So some of it is definitely you know, we are getting into a cyclical upcycle of people, you know, and people believe, what I believe, which is this is sustainable and we are going into a pretty good part of the cycle for performance.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Raymond Bowers with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Raymond Bowers

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Hey guys, thanks for the question. A lot of my questions have been asked, maybe I will do more of a modeling question. Kevin, you might have addressed it in the $17 million of kind of puts and takes, but just looking at franchise and license fees up 8.5% year-over-year. If I look at 7% NUG and 4% RevPAR, just anything to call out on comparisons of kind of non-RevPAR fee growth that we are in the quarter last year, not in the quarter this year that would cause that discrepancy? Thanks so much.

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

No. I mean, we--well, if you are talking about the full-year, it is really everything except for ownership, right? So you do have the Middle East impact, a little bit of Mexico on incentive management fees and you do and in the quarters, you do have a couple of one-time items So if you are talking about the second quarter, as we mentioned, there was a there was a big one-time item last year that everybody knew about. And then if you are talking about the full-year, it is it is really just the incentive management fees and the impact of the Middle East. And if you adjust for that, and a little bit of FX, you get the algorithm or better.

Raymond Bowers

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Sorry, I was just talking specific franchise and license, not total fees.

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

So on franchise and license fees? Yes. That is if you look at that for the year that is algorithm or better as well.

Raymond Bowers

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Okay. Okay. Thanks.

Kevin J. Jacobs

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Christopher J. Nassetta for any additional or closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Christopher J. Nassetta

President

Thanks, Chuck, and great to have everybody. We always appreciate you spending time, particularly if we have three other calls going on. Hopefully, everybody got a chance to listen in. Obviously, a lot going on in the world, a lot of complexity, you know, in terms of Q2, mostly good complexity in the sense of things that were helping it. But as I said, I think when you distill it down, I think there are very good things going on. We feel really very good about the setup for the rest of this year, and more importantly, the setup for the next year or two. We think we are in a good cycle of same-store growth. And we obviously continue to pick up some great momentum on the development side. So we feel great about the business, feel great about where we are going, appreciate the time, and we will look forward to talking to you after the third quarter.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our conference call for today. Thank you for your participation and you may now disconnect.