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Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Tue, Jul 25, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Houlihan Lokey Fiscal First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this conference call is being recorded, July 25, 2017. I will now turn the call over to Christopher Crain, Houlihan Lokey’s General Counsel. Please go ahead.

Christopher Crain

Management

Thank you, operator and hello everyone. By now, everyone should have access to our first quarter fiscal 2018 earnings release, which can be found on the Houlihan Lokey website at www.hl.com in the Investor Relations section. Before we begin our formal remarks, we need to remind everyone that the discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements, which are usually identified by use of words such as will, expect, anticipate, should or other similar phrases are not guarantees of future performance. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect and therefore you should exercise caution when interpreting and relying on them. We refer all of you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. We encourage investors to review our regulatory filings, including the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2017 when it is filed with the SEC. During today’s call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating the Company’s financial performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our earnings release and our investor presentation on the hl.com website. Hosting the call today we have Scott Beiser, Houlihan Lokey’s Chief Executive Officer and Lindsey Alley, Chief Financial Officer of the company. They will provide some opening remarks and we will then open the call to questions. With that, I will turn the call over to Scott.

Scott Beiser

Management

Thank you, Christopher. Hello, everyone and welcome to our first quarter fiscal year 2018 earnings call. Our cyclically balanced business model performed well in the first quarter of this fiscal year, continuing a strong trend of year-over-year growth. We achieved another record for the first quarter of the fiscal year and we have now experienced five consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth versus the prior year period. We reported $217 million in revenues this quarter, up 20% from last year and our best first quarter in the firm’s history. Our trailing 12-month revenues are now in excess of $900 million. Once again, all three of our business segments reported higher quarterly revenues when compared to the same quarter last year. With respect to earnings, our adjusted earnings per share for the quarter were $0.50, up from $0.35 in the same quarter last year. Our strong earnings were driven by record revenues, a decline in non-compensation expenses and an improvement in other income and expenses, and slightly lower tax rates all compared to the same quarter last year. Overall, a few macro trends continue to affect our results and will likely impact to future results. Since the U.S. election stock prices continue to climb which bodes well for M&A activity, though many investors are getting cautious about general valuation multiples relative to growth. Corporate executives we speak with still have a positive outlook for their businesses, a continued growth in earnings from current levels is getting harder to achieve. Access to capital especially in the middle-market remains strong. The number of new providers of debt continues to grow and the availability of capital across a variety of business purposes and transactions remains robust. However, financiers continue to watch the activity as central banks and their potential negative influence on monetary policy.…

Lindsey Alley

Management

Thank you, Scott. Revenues for the quarter were $217 million, up 20% from the same quarter last year. In addition, adjusted earnings per share increased by 41% to $0.50. In corporate finance, revenues were $124 million for the quarter, an increase of 29% from the prior year. This was a record first quarter of revenues for corporate finance against a backdrop of a sluggish middle-market M&A environment. We closed 52 transactions in the quarter compared to 48 in the same period last year and our average transaction fee on closed deals was more than 20% higher. Financial restructuring revenues were $59 million for the quarter, an increase of 5% from the prior year. We closed 18 transactions in the quarter compared to 10 transactions in the same period last year, but our average transaction fee on closed deals was lower compared with the same quarter last year. Energy restructurings continue to contribute significantly to our current financial restructuring revenues. In financial advisory services, revenues were $34 million for the quarter, a 21% increase from the prior year. FAS saw growth in transaction opinions, portfolio evaluation, transaction advisory services and our new IP product line. FAS grew the number of fee events for the quarter by nearly 20% and also saw an uptick in the average fee revenue per event for the quarter as compared to the same quarter last year. Turning to expenses, our adjusted compensation expenses were $139 million for the first quarter versus $115 million for the same period last year. The increase in adjusted compensation expenses was primarily due to the increase in revenues for the quarter. For the first quarter of fiscal 2018, we had an adjustment of $6.3 million related to the investing of grants that were issued in connection with our IPO and we…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We will take our first question from Ann Dai with KBW. Please go ahead.

Ann Dai

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks, all. First question for you is something from the side deck, so you guys talk about wanting to expand by increasing deal size and bringing in bigger deal fees. And I guess I am wondering if we are already seeing some evidence of that movement this quarter or if this is more of a longer term initiative that you are talking about? And then if you could just give some color on your strategy around that how much bigger are we talking, to what extent can you move up and what does that mean for headcount?

Scott Beiser

Management

Sure. Hi, Ann. This is Scott. This is something we have been doing for really last decade and plus. I think the average deal size almost year after year continues to increase, but it’s in ongoing small measures. It’s not a new strategy that we are trying to go after different size businesses. But as the barium increases as we have more bankers, as we penetrate in more different sub-industries, we continue to find more deal flow and typically the average size of the deal continues to increase year after year. So, I think the strategy has been ongoing for many years.

Ann Dai

Analyst

Okay, understood. Also, if you could just maybe talk a little bit about the pipeline, I know you alluded to in your comments, but as you guys discussed it’s difficult for us to see sometimes the pipeline from what’s publicly available and obviously you guys surprised on the M&A side relative to what we saw for this past quarter. So, if you could just give us some color on your outlook? That would be great.

Scott Beiser

Management

The outlook as I mentioned in some of my earlier remarks, it still looks good. We are still bringing in business, number of new projects that we have brought in generally and slightly up from where it was a year ago. There is some seasonality to our business. So you can’t quite look at it quarter by quarter, but still the vast majority of our corporate finance deals are private in nature. And so when we announced that we have closed the deal, we kind of announced that we took it on and closed at the same time. And it’s just not the same as some of our other peers will tend to announce the deal, but it may not close for quite some time. So, unfortunately, the backlog data that is out there by the public research houses just may not always be a good indication of really where our business flow is, but right now, it’s continued to stay strong and steady and growing.

Lindsey Alley

Management

And as a reminder, certainly, the majority of the transactions that we closed are privately held and often not announced until closed, and very rarely, our transaction values amounts to our transaction. So very hard to use some of the information sources to predict revenue in a certain quarter prior to those transactions actually closing. And even in that case, we have more than a handful of transactions that closed that are not announced and that’s just the nature of our clients.

Ann Dai

Analyst

Understood. Thank you, both.

Scott Beiser

Management

Thanks, Ann.

Operator

Operator

And we’ll take our next question from Devin Ryan with JMP Securities.

Devin Ryan

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Hey, great. How are you guys?

Scott Beiser

Management

Hi Devin.

Devin Ryan

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Just a couple here. Maybe first restructuring just wanted to get into the comments a little bit. So, it sounds like we are above that $200 million base, but maybe south of the $300 million pace, we have $300 million plus pace from last year. So just trying to think about some of the moving parts of deals that are closing versus new deals that are coming in and some of the themes and what it would take to get back to kind of above where we were last year?

Scott Beiser

Management

So, the trends that we are seeing in restructuring and pretty much what we have said over the last probably couple of quarters, we still have a decent amount of oil and gas related work that we are finishing off, but we are probably coming closer to the end of that. And therefore, we have said we see that our oil and gas energy-related restructuring revenues will be declining in the foreseeable future relative to what we had in the last couple of quarters or the last couple of years. On the positive side, we are seeing a broadening both in industries and geographies in terms of where we are finding new opportunities to get hired and kind of your ultimate question on, is this a business that does $200 million, $300 million or some different amount of number. Some component of it is just very much market driven and if default rates start to increase, if we start to see weaknesses in some incremental industries or sub-sectors, we would expect our revenues in this particular area would grow in this business. As we said, it’s the most volatile. We can have some very sizable projects that can close and increase or decrease results much more than what we find in our corporate finance or FAS business and it’s a little bit more impacted by where the market default rates are.

Devin Ryan

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Got it. Okay. Helpful color. And then with respect to non-comp expenses, I understand the commentary that this quarter was kind of below the range, but kind of the 12% to 13% range still holds. And that can bounce around a bit. I mean, should we expect some catch-up did that kind of remain within that range for the year or was this kind of an unusually low quarter, but just on a go forward quarterly basis 12% to 13% is probably still just a better way to think about it.

Scott Beiser

Management

Yes. I think you can either think of it in terms of 12% to 13% or if you take a look at really what we delivered last year, we were sort of in that range of $26 million to $27 million per quarter. Our headcount has been relatively flat year-over-year. So, our expectation is that we are similar to that range on a quarterly basis. I don’t think there is necessarily a catch up next quarter based on this quarter’s results. I just think we had an efficient quarter. But I think you are back to what we delivered last year on a quarterly basis is kind of the expectation and we may or may have a quarter as efficient as the one we just had, but I am certainly not counting on it.

Devin Ryan

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Yes, got it. Okay. Good to see you though. So, last I want to hear just on the buyback, you repurchased $6 million, I am assuming, you will be opportunistic with respect to future buybacks, but is there from a timing perspective should we think it could be a little more front end weighted just with offsetting stock awards or how should we think about just kind of the timing from here?

Lindsey Alley

Management

Yes. I think our strategy is to offset the amount of the deferred stock that we provide to employees each year. What quarters we do that in, I think is going to be driven by sort of opportunistic repurchases. So, we don’t have a strategy that says we really want to accomplish all of this in the first half of the year. I think we are going to look at the market and look how we are performing and make those acquisitions accordingly, but I do think by the end of the year, certainly our goal is to also have dilution and could happen in the first quarter, could happen sporadically throughout the year.

Devin Ryan

Analyst · JMP Securities.

Got it, okay. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

We’ll take our next question from Conor Fitzgerald with Goldman Sachs.

Conor Fitzgerald

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Good afternoon. Scott thanks for your comments on the conversations you are having with clients. Just trying to kind of more fully understand some of your comments around the challenged earnings growth and how that’s coupled with relatively high valuations and thinking through how that may play out. Just wondering if you think this results maybe a step back in M&A activity in particular on sponsorship side or do you think management teams turn to M&A as a solution to grow their earnings?

Scott Beiser

Management

I think, my comments are generally speaking for most of the executives we are talking to, they still feel optimistic about their business. They still think that earnings will grow on a go-forward basis. I think their comments are – and this has probably been going on for several years. It’s getting harder and harder to continue to grow or grow at a particular growth rate just as the absolute earnings increase. I think that tends to sometimes encourage people to do M&A activity to try to bolster growth. So, we don’t see anything regarding their profile or performance that’s impacting the M&A activity. And then the comment is we are just seeing – people are looking at stock prices at the U.S. across the globe. And it’s been a good run for really last probably year plus and so some people that’s encouraging them to maybe do more deals, some maybe are less encouraged, but in totality, we just don’t see any abatement in people’s interest and actual activity in doing M&A activity.

Conor Fitzgerald

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Thank you. That’s helpful. And then you had a pretty active quarter on the hiring front, just wondering if you could kind of classify the hiring environment today versus a year ago and was kind of this quarter more of a I guess a perfect storm kind of on the hiring front or you think some of the dividends that you talked about when you went public in terms of an improved brand are starting to come through?

Scott Beiser

Management

I think we have been pretty consistent throughout the timeline since we went public in terms of hiring people. Sometimes it changes a little if we made acquisitions and it adjust absorbs management’s time, but we hired a handful of people this last quarter. There is a couple already, where offers are out. They just haven’t started yet. And we typically don’t announce until they do start. So, our pipeline in terms of people that we are looking to hire and where we are, I think is a very consistent. And we are looking for people with unique skillsets and some industries or some products or possibly geographies to both expand our capabilities and build the depth of the bench that we have and so far I think we have been very successful in it. And yes, being public and having been successful over the last many decades financially and otherwise has I think encouraged people to want to join Houlihan Lokey and that’s been helpful.

Conor Fitzgerald

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Thanks for taking my questions.

Scott Beiser

Management

Thanks, Conor.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We’ll take our next question from Mike Needham with Bank of America/Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead.

Mike Needham

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon guys. Hey, so just first on growth areas outside of the traditional business like the attritional, M&A advisory or restructuring like clearly maybe acquisition or the team coming in for intellectual property in FAS. It looks like you are growing that business pretty quickly. Maybe if you could drill down on that business the demand from your clients, how you think the firm is positioned in that area? And then on the horizon where else are you looking to expand?

Scott Beiser

Management

So, on the intellectual property side, I mean, it’s a unique asset class and we are doing not only work on the valuation side, but there are businesses where we are at times representing to sell those intellectual assets. Sometimes it’s procuring financing against them. Sometimes it comes up in a restructuring. So, we think it’s something that works in all of our different product lines and it’s just a different kind of a asset that is not otherwise traditional cash flow type of asset. So, we think it’s something what has been growing before we bought it and has continued to do well and we think it will expand in our platform. And I think there is always areas that we are looking at to continue to grow they can be ancillary type items, much like when we bought the intellectual property business or a management consulting business. We have continued to tell people, we always look at the fund placement business. We look at a variety of industries that we still don’t think we are as strong as we would like, where we can make acquisitions. We are in two dozen or so of different locations. There are other locations across the globe that we can continue to grow into. I think the key point to us is we always try to be disciplined about what we will either hire or acquire or grow into. You can’t be an expert in every single area. And we look where we can differentiate ourselves in terms of all of our growth strategies, but at this point, I think there is still plenty more opportunities we can grow into relative to the market size. So opportunities is not our issue, I think it’s you just need to be patient and disciplined in finding the right situations to get into it.

Mike Needham

Analyst

Okay, that makes sense. Just one more on the topic, just curious how new people have been performing be it recent hires, promotions the last couple of acquisitions you have done. I know it’s a hard thing to track, because the environment drives a lot of it. But just on the organic kind of growth component of the firm, how that’s progressing versus the last couple of years?

Scott Beiser

Management

So, the litmus test is our financial results are better today than a couple of years ago, with net essentially the same headcount. So, therefore it says there are whole bunch of reasons things are working. But I think with any promotions or hirings or acquisitions, there are some people who don’t do as well as we hope and some people do much better than we hope and some kind as we expect. And I think we are getting better all the time in trying to screen for those things and find the right attributes, but like I said, I think the litmus test is kind of looking at our results, which is revenues by headcount, whether it’s total headcount, total MDs or whatever measure you want to look at. It’s better today than it was a year or two years ago.

Mike Needham

Analyst

Got it. If I could just ask one more follow-up on the restructuring questions, if your oil price stays low, could that cause any incremental restructuring in that area or is it the things that we have gotten done already working their way through resolution?

Scott Beiser

Management

So, I think we would describe it as there are certain people who put together business plans at different, make it simple, oil prices and they put together their business plans and a capital structure that could have happened longer term amortization schedules and some hedge shorter amortization schedules. So, there are still businesses that put together a business plan at prices well above where oil is today. They just had a longer timeframe to make it work out, but eventually that time will disappear and if oil and gas prices don’t increase, there will likely still be some incremental restructurings to go. We just don’t see it at least as of today it’s not going to be at the same level or a wave that started probably two years ago.

Mike Needham

Analyst

Got it. Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

We’ll take our next question from Brennan Hawken with UBS.

Brennan Hawken

Analyst · UBS.

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. I just wanted to follow-up on the point that you made Scott earlier on geographic and industrial expansion for the restructuring business. I appreciate it is hard to try to forecast that. But could you maybe give us a sense of some of the specific areas and businesses that you think could present interesting opportunities for this business for you?

Scott Beiser

Management

So, on the geographical side, I think we have done restructurings now in several dozen countries all over the globe. So, we effectively have and will continue to follow people who are making investments and/or the distressed debt players and that just continues to grow year by year. So, our business which used to be almost exclusively U.S. maybe a decade or two ago has gone very much international and we will continue to go international. And then we do find in any given time, there are certain industries and if it was a couple years ago, it was oil and gas obviously right now, there is some distress going on in the retail sector and then it feels like it will be for quite so many years. And there is just always a subset business as they put together the wrong business plan, maybe they have the wrong management team, maybe they have gotten hit with certain litigation. They have the wrong capital structure just missteps that there is always a certain subset of businesses regardless of how healthy the economy is that are just going to not perform as well and that’s what we have found even this lower default environment, where we still continue to have I think pretty good restructuring revenues and how and when it can get up to new record highs. The potential is there. There is a lot more high-yield debt out today than there was before. And the default rates are still pretty low. And as we all know things will cycle, but those are some of the things that we look at in growing both geographically and looking for unique industries or unique issues going on with management or other kinds of business plans that you start working.

Brennan Hawken

Analyst · UBS.

That’s fair. Thanks for that. I noticed that the segment profitability actually declined year-on-year despite lower MD headcount and higher revenue. Was there something specific, I know the commentary you said that it was due to the comp ratio moving up, but could you help us understand why that would be if the MD headcount is going up?

Scott Beiser

Management

And is your question specific to restructuring?

Brennan Hawken

Analyst · UBS.

Yes.

Scott Beiser

Management

Go ahead, Lindsey.

Lindsey Alley

Management

Okay. So, Brennan, I think what we do when we allude to it in the footnotes that we include in the earnings release and in our 10-Qs is we always track our revenues according to the product line. So, if it is a financing, it is included in our corporate finance business. If it’s a restructuring assignment, it’s included in restructuring regardless of who works on the transaction. We had a large fee transaction this quarter that was essentially executed by a combination of financial restructuring employees and corporate finance employees. And as a result that fee which happened to be of financing showed up 100% from a revenue standpoint and our corporate finance business, but the compensation that will be paid to employees as a result of that fee was split between corporate finance and financial restructuring and the compensation generally follows this segment. So, you will see relatively higher compensation expenses in financial restructuring and relatively lower compensation expenses in corporate finance, which happens to have 100% on the fees. And so you will see that dynamic in our business through the years and through the quarters. It was a little more pronounced this quarter because of the size of the mandate.

Brennan Hawken

Analyst · UBS.

That’s fair. Thank you for that. And then last one from me, you guys made reference to the fact that slower policy movement on the tax front could end up holding back, you haven’t seen it holdback transactions yet, but the expectation isn’t that easily could happen? Is that as a result – or is that expectation as a result of specific conversations that you are having with some of the clients is that mostly in the mid-market deal marketplace for M&A or is that just based on your experience on related activity levels?

Scott Beiser

Management

I think the comment regarding tax policy isn’t necessarily what impact it may have per se on M&A activity. So, we are not hearing people saying I am purposely trying to accelerate a transaction or hold off on a transaction. It’s more a commentary than I think most people whether their business owners, whether they are investors, financiers, all expected to believe that there would be some kind of a tax reform, all which would point to lower taxes to some extent. And therefore that – therefore going to increase people’s earnings and therefore people’s valuations. Obviously, we have not had any tax reform yet whether we will or when it will be just an issue I think that it is in the back of certain people’s minds, which is at what point if we don’t get a change in tax policy, will the stock market take a different view on what assets and businesses might be worth and it could – in certain cases they are going to be positive or negative to people, but just we have been 7, 8 months since all of this came up. And so far, we have no tax reform or changes in tax policy, but the administration is still talking about it.

Brennan Hawken

Analyst · UBS.

Yes. Okay, now I completely appreciate the comments. Thanks so much for clarifying.

Scott Beiser

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And it appears there are no further questions. I would like to turn the conference back over to Scott Beiser for any additional or closing remarks.

Scott Beiser

Management

I want to thank you all for participating in our first quarter call and we look forward to updating everyone on our progress when we discuss our second quarter results for fiscal 2018 in the fall. With that, thank you everyone.

Operator

Operator

And once again that concludes today’s presentation. We thank you all for your participation and you may now disconnect.