Theodore Klinck
Analyst · Jamie Feldman with Bank of America Merill Lynch. Please go ahead
Thanks, Ed and good morning. We had solid activity this quarter. Fundamentals across our markets remains consistently healthy over the last several quarters. We continue to see long-term dynamics benefiting our markets, simply stated people enjoyed living and working in the Southeast for population and job growth were routinely above the national average. Raleigh had major employment growth announcements from numerous companies this quarter. Included in these are more than 1000 expected new hires from both Credit Suisse and Infosys, a new entrant to Raleigh plus MetLife’s planned growth at our campus for them. Nashville has been our highest growth market this cycle. It continues to attract new residence and employers and its existing companies continue to expand their office footprint. Atlanta, our largest market has garnered many corporate relocations in the organic growth of large corporate users has been strong. With limited new speculative supply and solid growth. The outlook in Atlanta continues to be bright. This past weekend, a New York Times article highlighted Pittsburgh as a growing tech centre. Demand from leading tech companies such as Google, Uber, Facebook, Amazon and Apple will help drive office absorption across the market. There is also healthy demand from legal, financial and professional services firms as well as corporate users. The combination of a palpable, urban, affordable cost of living and steady stream of graduates from local universities has Pittsburgh on the map for employer seeking well educated talent. Turning to our stats for the quarter. Total portfolio occupancy held steady from Q1 at 92.7% and office only occupancy increased 50 basis points to 92.9%. As Ed noted, rents continue to move up and this was a fifth consecutive quarter with both positive cash rent spreads and double-digit positive GAAP rent growth. Further, are in place cash rents per square foot are up 2.6% from the prior year even with Bridgestone’s 500,000 square feet where we are not receiving cash rent as this lease is still under early possession GAAP rent recognition. We leased 575,000 square feet of second-gen office space in an average term of 6.1 years this quarter, and year-over-year asking rents continue to move higher. TI’s are generally moving up with escalating constructions cost, but we have been mostly successful in recouping these costs with higher rents. Over the last four years, average net effective rents on second-gen office leases signed have increased approximately 25%. Turning to our operational performance in the quarter, we grew same property cash NOI by 5.3% over the prior year. We attribute this to higher average occupancy and in place rents, plus lower operating expenses. We expect NOI growth will moderate in the second half of 2017 due to timing and seasonality of operating expenses and the previously disclosed move outs. Overall, we are pleased we were able to increase our same property NOI growth outlook again this quarter. Our updated outlook is 3.0% to 3.75% growth which we view as positive considering average occupancy in the same property pool is projected to be modestly lower year-over-year. We ended the quarter with 92.7% occupancy and our year-end outlook remains unchanged at 92.2% to 93.2%. I’ll first start with a brief update on our work to backfill of the larger 2017 move outs we have previously disclosed. In Nashville, at the end of Q1 we had re-let 37% of the former 210,000 square foot HCA space. We are now at 44% and have strong prospects that would take us above our year end goal of 50% re-let. In Richmond, we mentioned last quarter that we already re-leased 39% of the 163,000 square feet and FCI scheduled to vacate through third quarter. We moved the re-let percentage to up to 64% at the end of the second quarter and we have prospects for approximately half of the remaining space. We feel good about the level of interest we are seeing. In Atlanta, as previously disclosed, we will get back to 136,000 square feet in two blocks in the third quarter. These move outs are heavily driven by customer M&A activity. The positive are the blended in place rents are approximately 10% below market and there aren’t a lot of large blocks of Class A space available in the Buckhead. Sticking with Atlanta, we continue to generate strong rents as evidenced by GAAP rent spreads of positive 30.5% on signed deals in Q2. The positive backdrop of fundamentals and the quality of the blocks of space we will soon have available combined to make us confident will drive NOI upward as occupancy normalizes. We have seen the most year-over-year improvement in our Tampa portfolio, where occupancy is up 420 basis points. Our occupancy is 93.1% and activity remains healthy. We signed 96,000 square feet of second-gen leases in the quarter with GAAP rent growth of 19%. According to JOL, asking rents in Tampa were up 3.8% over the last 12 months. At Suntrust Financial Center were now 89.7% occupied, up from 77% when we acquired it less than two years ago. With no new speculative office construction and healthy demand from diverse prepaid users, we expect solid fundamentals to continue. In Raleigh, the market continues to show steady growth. Per Avison Young, Class A rents were up 5% year-over-year and vacancy is down 140 basis points to 9.0%. Our portfolio is 93.3% occupied up from 91.9% a year ago. We have been watchful of the new supply, which is now 2.1 million square feet or 4.5% of the market. At 38% pre-leased and spread across numerous submarkets in Raleigh and Durham, we believe the level of supply is meeting market demand. Less than 1 million square feet of this supply is competitive to our BBD located office portfolio. Finally in Nashville, leasing activity and rents remain strong. Per Cushman Wakefield, market vacancy is 6.9% and 6% for Class A properties. Class A asking rents were up 10% year-over-year. New supply is 2.5 million square feet or 6.7% of inventory which is approximately 60% pre-leased. New supply levels are down from the peak in 2016 and net absorption was robust in Q2 at 667,000 square feet. The market steady demand suggest the remainder of this new product will be appropriately absorbed. Our portfolio occupancy is 95.7%, up 150 basis points from Q1 and we posted solid GAAP rent spreads of 15% in Q2. In conclusion, the positive fundamentals across our markets are for a healthy backdrop for our business. Solid demand for our well located BBD office product should support strong organic NOI growth going forward. Mark.