Theodore Klinck
Analyst · Dave Rodgers with Baird. Please go ahead
Thanks, Ed, and good morning. As Ed noted, we had solid activity this quarter, signing 907,000 square feet of second-gen office space, which was in line with recent quarterly averages. We continue to see steady activity for our bread-and-butter, midsized customer base. As a reminder, our average lease size is approximately 12,000 square feet and we only have 58 leases for greater than 75,000 square feet. Further, year-over-year asking rents continue to increase across all of our markets. Average in-place cash rental rates across our office portfolio were $23.80 per square foot, 3.7% higher than a year ago. Occupancy was 92.5% as of June 30, which was down modestly from the end of the first quarter entirely due to the previously disclosed, quote, unquote, known near-term move-outs at recently acquired assets. We've reduced the high end of our 2016 year-end occupancy guidance by 30 basis points with our current forecast of 92.5% to 93.2%. Reduction for the top end is attributable to a couple of larger deals we had projected to start late in the year, now being forecast for early 2017. For office leases signed in the second quarter, starting cash rents were up 3% compared to expiring rents. And GAAP rents grew a robust 15.4%. Leasing CapEx was $3.18 per square foot per lease year. Our lease payback ratio or leasing CapEx over cash term rent was 14.5% in Q2, which was impacted by a higher proportion of new leases compared to recent quarters. Turning to our markets. We continue to see strong demographics benefiting the fundamentals in our BBD locations. This was driven by a high quality of life, well-educated workforce, a disproportionate share of population growth and a low business tax environment. As an example, a recent study by LinkedIn and Trulia ranked Pittsburgh as the number one city in its College Graduate Opportunity Index. In short, there's an attractive and compelling mosaic of reasons which continues to drive businesses to choose to relocate and/or expand in our footprint. As Ed highlighted, development as a whole has been moderate across our markets. Projects under construction account for only 1.1% of existing stock across all of our markets and 1.4% across our top five markets. This is approximately half of the prior peak. Construction costs continue to escalate and are north of $400 per square foot in our urban submarkets inclusive of land and structured parking. And despite the positive backdrop of market fundamentals, we don't expect a meaningful uptick in new construction. The outlier to moderate new supply is Nashville where exceptionally strong market activity spurred new construction. According to CoStar, there's 3.5 million square feet under construction or about 6.5% of existing stock. This level sounds daunting for Nashville, but there are mitigating factors that make us hopeful that strong operating fundamentals will prevail. First, 850,000 square feet or 25% of Nashville's new construction is ours and is 87% leased. Second, the pre-leased rate on Nashville's overall construction pipeline is approximately 70% and the market is over 95%. Finally, scheduled deliveries are below the rate of recent net absorption. Sticking with Nashville, the market continued to post positive fundamentals during the quarter. The market's unemployment rate is 3%, 190 basis points better than the national average. There was 205,000 square feet of positive net absorption. Occupancy in our in-service portfolio was 99%. And for leases signed during the quarter, we posted 31% GAAP rent growth. Our Atlanta portfolio was 91.2% occupied at quarter end, which was down 90 basis points from March 31, entirely attributable to a previously disclosed 58,000 square foot known near-term move-out at Monarch in Buckhead that was factored into our acquisition underwriting. At Monarch, we are now 85% leased, up from 80% upon acquisition and we're ahead of underwriting on rents and lease-up. After backing out known near-term move-outs at Monarch, occupancy in our 1.9 million square foot four-building Buckhead portfolio grew nearly 500 basis points from 86.4% at September 30 last year to 91.2% at June 30. As hoped, owning four contiguous unencumbered Class A office towers is paying leasing and operating dividends. Rents in Atlanta continue to accelerate. The year-over-year asking rents were up 10% on average. New speculative construction in Atlanta remains limited, representing only about 1.5% of existing Class A stock. In CBD Pittsburg, occupancy in our portfolio was steady sequentially from Q1. We expect occupancy to increase meaningfully by year end potentially as much as 250 basis points depending on the exact commencement of certain customers hovering around year end. Pittsburg's Class A CBD market is a solid 94% occupied. Asking rents are 5% to 7% higher than expiring rents. We continue to see steady rent growth and we have a list of strong prospects for most of our vacant space. During the quarter, occupancy in our Tampa portfolio increased 60 basis points to 88.9%. We're expecting additional gains in the second half of 2016 that should bring the year-end occupancy to 90%. We're working on backfilling space at Lakeside in Tampa Bay Park and have recently seen an increase in prospect activity. At SunTrust Financial Center in the CBD, our $9.1 million Highwoodtizing efforts are well underway. With regard to leasing, we're ahead of our underwriting assumptions and we expect to increase occupancy by 700 basis points from acquisition to year end 2016. In conclusion, steady leasing volumes and the ability to push rents reflect positive momentum in our markets and demand for our well-located BBD office product. Brendan.