Jordan Wu
Analyst · Athena Capital
Thank you, Eric. Amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, customer behavior in the display market remains conservative with panel makers continuing to implement strict outlook control measures amidst the cautious end brand panel procurement environment.
Given the limited visibility, customers tend to maintain lean inventory levels and underestimate demand, thereby providing us with conservative forecasts, accompanied by last-minute order increases. This trend has persisted over the last 7 consecutive quarters, including Q1, with our actual sales consistently at the upper end of or exceeding our guidance range.
As we look ahead to the second half, even with lean inventory levels, we anticipate this conservative market sentiment will persist, causing customers to continue to prioritize agility in response to market dynamics.
With that being said, we believe Q1 will be the low point for this year and see sales starting to pick up in Q2, especially in the automotive sector. With several other upcoming demand catalysts on the horizon, including major sporting events and festival shopping seasons, business momentum is expected to continue to steadily improve throughout the second half.
Now let me elaborate a bit on the near-term outlook for automotive business, our largest source of revenue. While many semiconductor vendors and their customers, are still going through painstaking destocking processes, our inventory position for automotive sector has become healthy since the end of last year with our panel customers also maintaining low stock levels at present. This is best illustrated by the large quantities of rush orders we received from panel customers over the last 2 months, for which we also had to place rush orders to our foundry vendors.
Therefore, notwithstanding the recent headwinds faced by the global automotive industry, our outlook for the automotive display IC business remains positive for the second half of the year.
The automotive display market is experiencing the mega trend of expanding quantities, sizes and sophistication of displays with the vehicles as fancy displays are increasingly becoming a major selling point for car makers. As the leader in the automotive display IC business, Himax is poised to benefit from this trend, which implies higher content value per vehicle for display semiconductor vendors such as us, leading to sustainable growth slated for the next few years. Our confidence stems from our dominant design-win pipeline in TDDI and lower dimming Tcon, both relatively new and cutting-edge technologies for automotive displays with accelerating volume, a momentum, which is expected to carry on over the next few years.
This will further solidify our position in the market where we are already the leader in the traditional DDIC. Moreover, more customers are adopting Himax's local dimming Tcon along with TDDI or LTDI, as an integral part of their development platform for crafting new automotive displays, reflecting strong customer loyalty for our technology and service.
Additionally, we are implementing cost optimization and supplier diversification strategies to enhance supply flexibility and cost-effectiveness, as exemplified by our recent strategic partnership announced with Nexchip for the automotive market.
As Eric mentioned earlier, we just declared our annual cash dividend with a payout ratio of 100% of last year's profit. Our decision for the high dividend payout ratio this year underscores our unwavering commitment to shareholder value, even in the face of uncertain macroeconomic conditions. This not only recognizes the ongoing support of our shareholders, but also demonstrates our confidence in our financial stability.
With that, I will now begin with an update on the large panel driver IC business. In Q2 2024, we anticipate a mid-teens sequential increase in large display driver IC revenue, primarily bolstered by customer restocking following several quarters of muted demand, as well as increasing orders from customers preparing for the upcoming shopping festivals.
Q2 TV and monitor IC sales are expected to increase single digit and nice double digit, respectively, quarter-over-quarter. In contrast, notebook IC sales are poised for a decline following strong restocking in the previous quarter. In the notebook market, a burgeoning trend of AI PC is emerging, prompting demand for display upgrades to include touch-enabled features and/or adoption of OLED displays. Himax offers comprehensive offerings in both LCD and OLED technologies, encompassing DDIC, Tcon and touch-related products.
As we look ahead to 2025, the anticipated beginning of replacement cycles, we are well-positioned to capitalize on this opportunity with numerous in-cell TDDI projects for mainstream LCD notebooks, and DDIC and touch controller for OLED notebooks, some of which poised to enter mass production for leading brands in the second half of this year. We believe this will serve as an important growth catalyst for us in notebook and elevate our presence in the market.
Turning to the small and medium-sized display driver IC business. We anticipate second quarter revenue to increase single digit sequentially. Automotive IC revenue is expected to grow high teens sequentially, with sales for both DDIC and TDDI poised for sequential growth, despite recent reports of softening electronic vehicles demand. Our leadership position in automotive TDDI remained solid, underscored by the rapidly expanding adoption as demonstrated by more than 450 secured design-win projects, and a continuous influx of new pipeline and design wins across the board.
It's also important to note that only approximately 30% of awarded projects are currently in mass production, as an indication of the potential lucrative growth opportunity, we believe, is yet to be realized.
Automotive TDDI sales are anticipated to represent more than 40% of automotive driver sales in Q2. In contrast, both smartphone and tablet sales are projected to decline quarter-over-quarter, as consumers prolong their replacement cycles in response to the challenging economic environment. To mitigate these sluggish conditions, we have taken steps to improve our cost structure by diversifying our supplier base, to position Himax for resurgence in demand.
To elaborate further on our automotive IC business, where we have more than 40% market share. Himax offers the industry's most comprehensive LCD product lineup, which includes traditional DDIC and TDDI technologies, alongside cutting-edge LTDI and local dimming Tcon solutions. Moreover, we are actively expanding and bolstering our footprint in OLED with a comprehensive range of products covering DDIC, Tcon and on-cell touch controller while forming strategic alliances with top panel manufacturers in Korea and China. This proactive approach aligns us with the dynamic transformation of the industry towards increasing adoption of OLED displays for high end vehicles.
The inherent flexibility of OLED displays to cater to foldable or curved shapes, along with the outstanding visual performance and low power consumption, opens new horizons for automotive interior displays.
Notably, our meticulously engineered OLED on-cell touch controller sets a new standard as it boasts an industry-leading touch signal-to-noise ratio exceeding 45 dB and offers heightened sensitivity, accommodating challenging user conditions such as glove-wearing and wet-finger operations.
Our comprehensive solution in our automotive LCD and OLED displays address a broad spectrum of customer preferences and requirements, nurturing robust customer loyalty and fostering collaborations with global panel makers, Tier 1 suppliers and automotive manufacturers. We anticipate our automotive business will remain a significant catalyst for our growth moving forward.
Next for an update of our OLED business. As I just covered, we have made significant progress in providing solutions for automotive OLED displays, an area with exciting growth potential. We also are expanding into other OLED applications such as tablet, notebook and monitor, through collaborations with leading panel manufacturers in Korea and China, featuring a comprehensive offering, covering DDIC, Tcon and touch controllers. Additional products with new feature enhancements are slated to enter mass production in the second half of 2024.
Regarding smartphone OLED, the current slowdown in smartphone market demand has unfortunately necessitated adjustment to our initial timeline. Nevertheless, collaborations with customers in Korea and China persist, with ongoing verification and partnership projects.
I would like to now turn to our non-driver IC business update. First, for an update on our Tcon business. We anticipate a notable sequential increase of more than 40% in Tcon sales in Q2, propelled by escalating shipments for Tcon in large-sized displays and automotive. Himax has been devoted to developing panel driver ICs and timing controller for decades. We stand as the industry leader in both monitor and automotive Tcons, universally adopted by leading panel makers across the board.
In the monitor Tcon sector, Himax excels in the high-end market, especially in gaming, where intricate designs are required for high resolution, high refresh rate and low latency display performance, crucial for achieving immersive gaming and entertainment experiences. In the automotive Tcon domain, our leading position remains unchallenged, boasting well over 100 design-win projects, powered by our cutting-edge local dimming technology along with our industry-leading proprietary algorithm.
The incorporation of local dimming Tcon not only significantly enhances the display's contrast ratio but also offers improved power efficiency, particularly crucial for EV and large-sized displays. Our industry-leading local dimming Tcon solutions support super high frame rates and a wide range of resolutions from full HD to up to 8K. We are encouraged by the rapidly expanding validation and widespread deployment of our solutions initially in customers' premium car models, which have been expanded into mainstream models worldwide.
In the second quarter, automotive Tcons are anticipated to grow more than 30% sequentially, representing more than -- around 3% rather of total sales. From a longer-term perspective, the growing traction of our local dimming Tcon for automotive is on track to mirror the success of our automotive TDDI over the last couple of years.
Switching gears to the WiseEye Ultralow Power AI Sensing solution, a cutting edge endpoint AI integration featuring proprietary ultra-low power AI processors, always-on CMOS image sensors and advanced CNN-based AI algorithms.
In the rapidly evolving AI landscape, WiseEye AI technology stands out for its expertise in on-device tinyML solutions and unique ultra-low power consumption, measuring merely single-digit milliwatts. This opens the door for battery-powered endpoint devices to incorporate AI sensing for intuitive and intelligent user interaction, something that would otherwise be impossible without such extremely low power consumption AI.
For instance, in smart door locks, which are typically battery-powered device, China's leading high-end door lock maker DESMAN, harnessing Himax's ultra-low power WiseEye AI technology, created the world first smart door lock products that feature 24/7 sentry monitoring and real-time event recordings.
Our WiseEye total solution for DESMAN, boasts an exceptionally low power draw of just 2.2 milliwatts representing a novel and highly advantageous features with minimal impact on battery life. The potent AI inherent in WiseEye allows the door lock camera to capture snapshots periodically on a 24/7 basis and when detecting human presence, immediately start recording while concurrently waking up the door lock's much higher power consuming main processor. The result, it's a comprehensive event recording for seamless threat protection that better ensures security, while mitigating potential breaches, all achieved with a battery-powered door lock.
By working with ecosystem partners and customers, we are expanding WiseEye AI applications aggressively, covering new areas, including, but not limited to smart home, smart agriculture, automotive, smart office, AMR nor automatic meter reading, healthcare and a wide range of other AIoT applications.
To broaden our market reach and help shorten customers' development cycles, we also offer seamless decisions integrated, plug-and-play WiseEye modules. These modules enable no-code/low-code AI development, while providing building context-aware AI algorithms, which are reprogrammable for the customer. Within a few months of this launch, WiseEye modules have been successful -- have seen successful adoption in battery-powered parking systems across Asia as well as applications in fleet management, occupancy sensing, pet tracking, people flow sensing, access control, among others.
Moreover, for companies with their own AI expertise we provide hands-on open source AI frameworks, tool chains, and robust AI models to streamline development efforts and reduce cost and lead time for AI development or AI product introduction.
This year at the ISC West, a leading U.S. trade show for the security industry, Himax unveiled WiseEye Palm Vein technology and ultra-low power contactless biometric authentication solution, powered by the advanced WiseEye 2 AI processor, WiseEye Palm Vein can swiftly authenticate an individual's identity in less than 100 milliseconds while consuming merely milliwatts of power. In both exceptional accuracy, enhancing security by minimizing the risk of duplication or spoofing through the distinct palm vein presence unique to every individual. The solution targets battery-powered access control devices for a small group of authorized individuals. Having only launched recently, WiseEye Palm Vein technology has already attracted interest for applications such as automotive, door lock, surveillance, laptop and more.
We are actively accelerating verification and partnership projects in these areas and are enthusiastic about the potential for WiseEye Palm Vein authentication, that marks a significant breakthrough in the industry.
Next, for an update of our LCoS Microdisplay technology. At the upcoming Display Week 2024 in May in San Jose, California, Himax will unveil its groundbreaking ultra-luminous, new generation Color Sequential Front-Lit LCoS Microdisplay, capable of achieving a brightness of up to 250,000 nits. This represents a notable 2.5-fold increase from its predecessor announced at the Display Week 2023, while maintaining low power consumption of just 300 milliwatts.
Additionally, thanks to its compact form factor of just 0.5 cc in volume, when incorporating both illumination optics and the LCoS panel, stylish and everyday-ready AR glasses are becoming a reality. While volume commercialization of AR glasses targeting the general public may still take several years.
We are proud that Himax's new-generation Color Sequential Front-Lit LCoS stands as the sole viable solution in the marketplace for authentic see-through AR glasses, delivering unparalleled brightness, power consumption, form factor, display quality and mass production readiness. Collaborations with leading tech companies worldwide are on the rise solidifying Himax's position, as the leader in the field.
For non-driver IC business, we expect revenue to increase double digit sequentially in the second quarter. That concludes my report for this quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today's call and are now ready to take questions.