Jordan Wu
Analyst · Baird. Please go ahead
Thank you, Jackie. Since the Q4 '19, we've started to see a major turnaround in literally all aspects of our business with positive momentum and a strong outlook. This has been due to design wins with new and existing customers across all major product lines. However, the strong momentum was interrupted at around the time of the Lunar New Year holidays, when many areas of China started to impose strict lockdown measures in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak. Uncertainty in the marketplace has continued since. Despite supply chain disruptions caused by China lockdowns, we delivered decent results in the first quarter, although the results could have been better without the coronavirus. China has recently reopened and other countries are seemingly [Audio Gap] first quarter, our second quarter business is being affected by the COVID-19, especially for TV and automotive-related products. However, home working and online education have driven a surge in demand for notebook, monitor and tablet related products. We are also seeing a very strong momentum in our smartphone TDDI business on the backdrop of a sluggish global smartphone market. TDDI for tablet, which has made a decent contribution to our first quarter result, is the major highlight of our business right now as the technology is being adopted and put into mass production rapidly as we speak. We are the dominant TDDI supplier to global Tier-1 Android tablet makers, making Himax the market leader in the emerging trend to replace the traditional design of having two ICs, namely [Audio Gap] in Q2 and throughout the rest of 2020. Despite the coronavirus, we are still making great progress, and remain committed to ongoing R&D projects for forward-looking products, notably ultralow power smart image sensing, TDDI for automotive, 3D sensing and AMOLED. All of these new product areas are growth opportunities with great potential. We have taken proactive steps to strategically manage the business through the current crisis and are confident that we will deliver both top and bottom-line growth in 2020. Now, let me take you through each of our major business areas. Let's start with the large panel display driver IC business. For the second quarter we expect the large display driver IC segment revenue to decrease by high-single-digit sequentially. Although we delivered strong results in Q1, our visibility is low for the second [Audio Gap] in 2020. As a leading IC supplier for the Chinese panel market, Himax is well positioned to benefit from the increased demand coming out of the major Chinese large display players. If we look into specific product segments, the global TV market continues to face challenges with reduced end market demand as well as supply chain disruptions. Conversely, the strong growth momentum we experienced in Q1 for notebook and monitor is expected to extend into Q2 and the second half. Home working and online education have created new demand for these products. In addition, the Chinese government has recently mandated that all public offices and institutions replace foreign hardware and software with Chinese alternatives within the next three years. This has boosted the need not only for the our large panel display driver ICs but also timing controller contents. Our businesses in high-end monitor and new generation low power notebook products, where we are the market leader in DDICs and/or Tcon, will benefit significantly from these trends. On the supply side, in anticipation of there being foundry capacity shortage of 8-inch silicon wafers for display driver ICs, we strategically prepared 12-inch foundry, as well as associated backend packaging and testing, ahead of our peers to cover the potential 8-inch capacity shortfall. Our design project coverage is strong across all leading Chinese panel makers. The additional capacity has enabled us to accommodate customers’ rush orders for monitors which are in very strong demand globally. Looking at technology development, despite the delay of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, top-tier TV brands continue to promote 8K TVs. We have active design-in activities in both 8K TV display driver and timing controller ICs, of which we are the market leader. The 8K TV timing controller technology enables the display to bring more realistic and vivid images, delivering immersive viewing experience especially for high resolution contents such as games. Recently there have been multiple customers announcing their latest 8K TVs with Himax technology inside. Although the penetration of 8K TV is still low, we expect this to be a growth opportunity for Himax as 8K TV sales will boost demand not only for driver IC but also timing controller contents where the product ASP is much higher. Now, let’s turn to the small and medium-sized display driver IC business, beginning with an update on our smartphone segment. Our TDDI product roadmap as well as new design wins with end customers and a foundry capacity advantage have positioned Himax to gain market share [Audio Gap] of next generation high refresh rate TDDI solutions, for which Himax is a leading technology provider. Also, the demand for 5G in China is expected to stimulate smartphone demand in 2020 which will in turn drive the growth for TDDI. Expecting aggressive Chinese government subsidy for 5G to boost the economy, smartphone makers continue to aggressively develop 5G products. And Himax will benefit from all these trends. Although global smartphone market demand has been severely impacted in the short-term by the pandemic, based on the current pipeline, we expect our TDDI smartphone shipments to grow significantly in Q2 due to the new design wins into certain newly launched models as well as our ongoing strength in new design-ins scheduled for 2020 mass production. Bucking the strong headwind of a declining global smartphone market, we are confident that our smartphone TDDI business will grow strongly from last year for the reasons mentioned above that are specific to Himax. The price erosion of TDDI over the past year is expected to abate in 2020. This is not only because the new high refresh rate products will enjoy a better ASP but also that the industry-wide tightening of foundry capacity for TDDI would likely provide a price support. Although we are currently facing some pricing pressure, we expect this to stabilize in the second half with gross margin improvement for smartphone TDDI. We have prepared the capacity to meet strong TDDI product demand and capitalize on the opportunities for smartphone TDDI as well as other TDDI applications such as tablet, in 2020. Due to the strong demand, we expect in Q2 and the second half, we foresee the potential for capacity tightness again. We are, therefore, working diligently to enable additional capacity. Our Q2 sales into TDDI for smartphone is expected to increase by over 40% sequentially. Our traditional discrete driver IC sales into smartphones posted a slight sequential decline for the first quarter. We expect traditional smartphone display driver ICs shipments to continue to decline in Q2. This will be more than offset by the increase in smartphone TDDI shipments. The traditional discrete driver IC for smartphone for the second quarter is expected to decrease by around 60% sequentially. As discussed previously [Audio Gap] at this time. We are encouraged by the progress we have made, collaborating closely with leading panel makers across China for AMOLED product development. We expect a small volume of smartphone AMOLED DDICs shipments in 2020. Additionally, we see OEMs aggressively gearing up to provide -- to produce wearable devices. Beyond smartphone, we have made progress in wearable AMOLED display driver ICs where Himax is very active. Overall, we believe AMOLED display driver ICs will soon become one of the major growth engines for our small panel driver IC business. Turning to the automotive sector, the worldwide auto sales remain sluggish with highly uncertain consumer demand in the second half. Himax commands more than 30% of the global market in automotive display driver IC and inevitably this business has been impacted. Revenue was down 9.7% sequentially in Q1 and we expect to see around 15% decline in Q2. Even so, combining the two quarters, we are still up around 4% year-over-year. The year-over-year growth is mainly due to Chinese panel makers’ increased market share globally for which we benefit. Our Chinese customers’ ambition to gain market share in auto displays, combined with our technology and leadership in this area, position our automotive related business for further growth. Despite short-term challenges, Himax will remain the leader as the market developing -- as the major developing trends have not changed. In the auto display segment, the number of displays per vehicle continues to rise as the overall auto display market is set to increase from 2020 onward. Equally important for Himax, the market is quickly shifting towards a number of new technologies for auto display, including higher resolution, in-cell touch, slim border, giant pillar-to-pillar screen, local dimming for higher contrast, and plastic AMOLED for free form design, all of which are contributing to expanding demand for automotive display driver ICs. [Audio Gap] with existing leading panel makers, we have numerous TDDI design-in projects with multiple new Tier-1 customers and our R&D activities in new technology development continue without delay despite the pandemic. While we only expect a small volume of shipment [Audio Gap] adding backlight improvements for instrument cluster display, especially in dark surroundings. Local dimming has shown the potential to improve contrast and achieve OLED display properties without reliability concerns, while also providing power savings over traditional backlight. Currently, we have numerous local dimming design-in activities with global Tier-1 car makers. Turning to the tablet and consumer electronics businesses, we expect the tablet business to be a major growth area for Himax during 2020 with a significant volume of tablet TDDI shipments that began in Q1. This strong momentum is expected to accelerate into Q2 and throughout the rest of 2020. The business growth will be driven primarily by leading Android tablet brands’ rapid adoption of the newly developed in-cell TDDI solutions. In-cell TDDI is quickly becoming mainstream for tablets due to its lower cost and a simplified supply chain as well as faster and easier integration for display manufacturers. At the same time, consumer demand is expected to accelerate for these cheaper, slimmer, lighter and more stylish tablets. Himax is the primary supplier for all Android tablet in-cell TDDI products right now. While we only started mass shipments in Q1, it already represents over 30% of our tablet revenue and around 5% of our total revenues for the quarter. We continue to see growing demand in Q2, further boosted by the current trend of home working, online education and the Chinese government’s plan to replace IT equipment. Furthermore, we see TDDI tablet with active stylus becoming a new mainstream and Himax is also the market leader in this space. It is worth highlighting that, while tablet market is smaller than smartphone, the ASP and number of units for TDDI in each tablet are much higher than that in smartphone. In the second quarter, TDDI for tablet is expected to increase by around 80% sequentially. Additionally, for larger-sized tablets with slim bezel design, we continue shipping our traditional display driver IC with CoF packaging to a leading Chinese brand customer and expect strong shipments in Q2. We expect the strong momentum in our tablet products, both display driver IC and TDDI, to be one of the main growth drivers in Q2 and throughout 2020. Tablet DDIC and TDDI sales for the second quarter are expected to increase by around 40% sequentially and 150% year-over-year. For the second quarter, revenue for the small and medium-sized display driver IC is expected to increase by low-single-digit sequentially. Now, let me share some of the progress we made on the non-driver IC businesses in the last quarter. First on the WLO business. We delivered very strong results in Q1, almost doubling the business year-over-year despite a modest decline sequentially. However, we expect a significant decline in Q2 sequentially due to the coronavirus outbreak. The factory to which we usually ship this product has been ordered to shut down by the local government as part of their disease containment measures. The much reduced shipment in the second quarter, i.e., the much lower WLO fab utilization, will also have a negative impact on our overall gross margin. The demand for this product is likely to remain uncertain for a while even after the factory reopens. Despite the short-term disruption, we continue to make progress with our ongoing R&D projects for next generation products centered around our exceptional design know-how and mass production expertise in WLO technology. Next, is an update on the 3D sensing business. In the smartphone segment, we have advanced our WLO optics solution to cover both structured light and time-of-flight or ToF 3D sensing. We are seeing increasing ToF adoption by smartphone makers for world-facing cameras to enable advanced photography, distance/dimension measurement and 3D depth information generation for AR. In the past few months, we have been actively working with an industry leading ToF 3D camera vendor to develop a new and advanced ToF solution, targeting Android smartphones. Leveraging on our WLO technology, we have made great progress providing the partner with spot projector for their reference design which has been ready for leading Android smartphone makers’ evaluation this quarter, a slight delay from Q1 due to the pandemic. We have received positive feedback from our partner and have ongoing active design-in activities providing optical component or projector to our Tier-1 smartphone OEM customers. 3D sensing remains one of the main growth drivers for us. Our non-smartphone 3D sensing engagements continue to focus on smart door lock and industrial automation applications where we provide structured light-based 3D sensing total solution. We have [Audio Gap] projects with several smart door lock end customers. In addition to providing a total solution, we also offer individual key components including optics and/or our proprietary 3D decoder ASIC where we have received frequent inquiries from customer for various applications in 3D sensing. We also continue to work with partners in shoe automation to optimize manufacturing process for both cost and production efficiency. I am pleased to report that prototypes of our 3D sensing-enabled automatic robotic cementing system are ready now for production optimization testing. [Audio Gap] AI-enabled, ultralow power intelligent sensing, especially in markets such as home appliances, door lock, doorbell, TV, notebook, building control and security. WiseEye, our total solution for AI-based ultralow power smart sensing is built on Emza’s unique AI-based algorithm, on top of Himax’s proprietary computer vision processor and CMOS image sensor, all equipped with ultralow power design. Currently the laptop is the market of focus. Our Himax WiseEye 2.0 notebook solution provides a laptop-ready 3-in-1 RGB/IR/AI solution, respecting privacy while enhancing security for notebook users. A number of leading notebook OEMs and ODMs demonstrated our WiseEye notebook solution in their next generation premium notebooks with positive feedbacks. In addition to notebook, we have also made progress with more OEMs in WiseEye solution into the displays [Audio Gap] Although the COVID-19 disrupted the development schedule, we see customers already starting product promotion. In order for our WiseEye technology to reach its maximum potential, we have adopted a flexible business model, whereby in addition to the total solution approach mentioned above, we also offer individual key parts, both hardware and software to address the customers’ specific needs. For customers who own their own technology and wish to develop their own applications, we can provide our ultralow power AI processor and image sensor without our algorithm. The customer can piggyback on our technology and focus their effort on bringing AI to edge devices and transforming sensor data into actionable information for image, sound, activity, gesture, temperature, pressure and biometrics, among others; all with extremely low power consumption. We continue to collaborate with Google TensorFlow Lite and other AI framework providers in order for our WiseEye AI processor and image sensor platform to boost the inference performance and shorten the time to market for the customers targeting a wide variety of AIoT applications. Moreover, we are also collaborating with cloud computing service providers in deploying the Himax WiseEye platform to edge-to-cloud certified IoT devices. We believe it will be a long-term growth driver for Himax in smart manufacturing, retail and smart building applications. Moreover, for those customers/partners whose main business is to provide AI processor, we can offer our ultralow power image sensors without our AI processor and algorithm. We are pleased to report that our industry-first ultralow power backside-illuminated VGA CMOS image sensor has already been commercialized. It’s designed with low latency and autonomous modes for always-on, intelligent visual sensing applications which enables, with extremely low power consumption, human presence detection and tracking, gaze detection, behavioral analysis, and pose estimation for growing markets such as smart home, smart building, healthcare, smartphone and AR/VR devices. The VGA resolution also support greater than 90-degree wide field-of-view lens that makes it ideal in monitoring, detecting and image capturing. We expect demand for the ultralow power sensing AIoT market to explode in the near future and numerous customers/ecosystem partners are expressing strong interest in our unique technology where we have made extraordinary progress in AI TV, smart home appliance, smart door lock/ bell, smart surveillance applications that integrate voice and audio activation beyond facial recognition on edge device. Next, on our CMOS image sensor business update. We have covered our ultralow power smart sensing product status above. Now let’s turn to our CMOS image sensor business update. We expect to see a strong growth in this business due to the accelerated adoption of home working and online education. Our industry first 2-in-1 CMOS image sensor, which is another critical part of the WiseEye 2.0 notebook solution, is currently available for our partners/customers. This hybrid CMOS image sensor combines high quality HD image capabilities with ultralow power output for AI visual sensing applications, specifically for notebooks. Featured in unique design and small form factor, it enables laptop makers to achieve ultra-narrow bezel design which is on track to become the mainstream in the next couple of years. Our sensor has also incorporated an RGBIR design to enable Windows Hello facial recognition. It helps reduce costs by eliminating the need to add an additional camera. We expect a small volume shipment for this product in 2020 with much expanded volume in the years after. For the traditional human vision segments, we see a strong demand in notebooks, where we are one of the market leaders, and have experienced increased shipments for multimedia applications such as car recorders, surveillance, drones, home appliances, and consumer electronics, among others. Lastly, on LCOS. We continue to focus on [Audio Gap] inside at the 2020 CES with positive market feedbacks. Our technology leadership and proven manufacturing expertise have made us a preferred partner for customers in these emerging markets and their ongoing engineering projects in AR goggles and HUD for automotive applications. For non-driver IC business, we expect revenue decrease by over 15% sequentially in the second quarter. Aside from the WLO sales which are expected to be down, we expect other products to grow sequentially. That concludes my report for this quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today's call and we are now ready to take questions.