Jordan Wu
Analyst · Lake Street Capital
Thank you, Jackie. Before I discuss about our business outlook, I would like to highlight that our bottom line has been substantially affected by the major increase of R&D expenses since some two years ago when we decided to invest heavily into a number of new areas, something we brought to the market’s attention repeatedly before. We believe our operations will be out of the trough starting from the fourth quarter, initially driven by the anticipated ramping of the new foundry for the TDDI product line and, thereafter, shipment of 3D sensing products next year. 3D sensing, in particular, will represent a paradigm shift in our business when it starts to achieve a broader market adoption. With that, now, let me give you some insights behind our guidance and trends that we see developing in our businesses. Our large display driver IC business recorded low-single-digit growth in the second quarter due mainly to our Chinese panel customers’ ongoing capacity expansion, a more favorable product mix driven by the market’s 4K TV demands and shipment to a new panel customer who recently started ramping up their first fab. Looking into the third quarter, while the Chinese domestic market is relatively slow for reasons such as weak currency, the western markets, especially the US, remain robust. We see single digit growth for the third quarter as we continue to benefit from Chinese panel customers’ capacity expansion and ramping of new fabs. However, foundry capacity shortage remains an issue. While we are making good progress in adding new capacity into our pool, the ultimate ramping schedule will depend on how fast our panel customers can go through their customer qualification, something all our major customers are working very hard on. Looking into the future, with the 2020 Tokyo Olympics approaching and more Gen 10.5 fabs coming online to enable very large screen 8K TVs, many TV manufacturers are rushing to introduce consumer-grade super high end products with 8K resolution. Capitalizing on our 4K TV success, we are strongly positioned for this emerging market opportunity. Turning to the small and medium sized display driver IC business. The trend for full-screen, 18:9 display is already fully in place for smartphone with phone makers now aggressively adopting such screens for 2018 and 2019 models even for mid-end and entry-level products. Our comprehensive TDDI product portfolio positions us well to support this trend. We are pleased that both our full HD+ and HD+ TDDI ICs enjoyed significant growth during Q2, with revenue and shipment volume both more than tripled during the quarter, despite being able to fulfill just a fraction of orders amid severe foundry capacity shortage. Capped by the very limited capacity, our Q3 TDDI shipment will likely see some 10% decline from that of the second quarter. TDDI’s foundry capacity shortage is even more challenging than that of the large display driver IC. To capture the TDDI opportunity, we have been working very hard to source and qualify additional foundry capacity. We are on track to complete the porting of our existing products into another foundry vendor and start mass production toward early fourth quarter. The addition of the new foundry capacity will substantially grow TDDI revenue starting from Q4 with further growth expected throughout 2019. In parallel, to further widen our reach, we are working on new designs based on additional foundry partners’ processes which, however, will only be ready next year. We expect TDDI penetration will reach 40% in 2019, which represents an enormous growth opportunity for Himax. TDDI has more than double the ASP of the traditional driver IC with better margins. It will change our product mix for smartphone display driver IC and make a very significant contribution to our growth going forward. Looking into the third quarter, sales for smartphones are likely to decline around 40% sequentially as the TDDI shipment is constrained by capacity shortage and the traditional discrete driver IC is being quickly replaced by TDDI and AMOLED. In automotive segment, we continued to have new projects going into mass production which were design-wins of the prior years. During the second quarter, sales into automotive sector already accounted for more than 19% of our total driver IC sales and close to 16% of our total revenues. On top of the world’s first TDDI projects for automotives during the first quarter, our team further successfully added AMOLED design-wins during the second quarter. We have achieved a distant number one market share position thanks to our superior product quality, service and stable delivery. Q3 revenue in this segment is set to grow around 20% sequentially. For third quarter small and medium-sized driver IC business, we expect revenue to decline mid-single digit sequentially. The non-driver IC business segment has been our most exciting growth area and a differentiator for Himax in the past few years. Now, let me share some of the progress we made in the last quarter as well as our views on future growth opportunities. Since we announced 3D sensing as one of Himax’s long term growth initiatives in 2017, 3D sensing, led by Apple’s iPhone X, is gradually becoming a new industry trend as major Android smartphone makers beginning to integrate it into flagship models, although most of such projects are still in development stage. Leading Android smartphone makers are exploring various 3D sensing technologies, namely structured light, active stereo or ASC and, to a lesser extent, time-of-flight or ToF, trying to strike a good balance of cost, specifications and application. More software players are entering the ecosystem to develop 3D sensing applications beyond the existing applications, namely facial recognition, online payment and camera performance enhancement. Being a leading player in the 3D sensing space, Himax is in partnership with several leading smartphone names to enable their 3D sensing by providing optics, projector or total solution, depending on the customer’s needs and their in-house capabilities. The projects we are involved in cover all the three types of 3D sensing technologies mentioned above. These efforts will facilitate a broader adoption of 3D sensing on Android smartphones starting 2019. Our goal is to ensure that the smartphones backed by Himax 3D sensing technology will deliver the industry’s highest standard in all of 3D depth accuracy, indoor/outdoor sensitivity, power consumption, size, data security and eye safety. Now, let me go through the progress we have made in structured light and ASC 3D sensing businesses and our approaches. SLiM, our structured light 3D sensing hardware total solution, which we jointly announced with Qualcomm in last August, targets premium smartphone market. The Qualcomm/Himax solution brings together Qualcomm’s industry leading 3D algorithm with Himax’s cutting-edge design and manufacturing capabilities in optics, NIR sensors, and ASIC, as well as our unique know-how in 3D sensing system integration. It is by far the highest quality 3D sensing total solution available for the Android market right now. At present, we are working with customers who are targeting to bring new 3D sensing applications to smartphone, on top of facial unlock and online payment. We are now targeting the end of the year or early 2019 for shipment to the customers for their product launch in first half 2019, although the actual shipment date will ultimately be dictated by end customers. Another noteworthy update is that our SLiM total solution can work on Qualcomm’s high end mobile platforms now, as opposed to being limited to only the premium Snapdragon platform when we first launched the technology, thereby lowering the total cost barrier of 3D sensing. Our ASC 3D sensing solution, targeting mass market smartphone models, achieved a significant milestone during the second quarter. While structured light 3D sensing offers outstanding depth precision for its complex projector design, ASC 3D sensing can also enable facial recognition with a simpler projector. While it is somehow constrained by its limited depth precision, it is a lower cost alternative for face authentication and enjoys better software readiness since it is building on the existing dual camera ecosystem. We are already working with top tier smartphone makers and leading platform partners concurrently on multiple projects. Early shipment is targeted to begin towards the end of the year with major ramp in 2019, although again the actual shipment date will ultimately be dictated by the end customers. We expect more design-wins in the coming months. It appears that ASC 3D sensing, with its cost advantage and the existing dual camera ecosystem, has a better chance of accelerating 3D sensing adoption for facial recognition on Android smartphone market during 2019. As anticipated, the shipment volume to our WLO customer for the second quarter was a lot higher versus that of the first quarter and our WLO capacity utilization improved subsequently. We expect the shipment for the second half to increase significantly versus that of the first half. The overall 2018 shipment will increase considerably year-over-year. Meanwhile, we are encouraged by the progress of our new R&D projects with the said customer for their next generation products centering around our exceptional design know-how and mass production expertise in WLO technology. We are very excited about the significant growth opportunities of these projects. While 3D sensing is the top priority of our WLO business at present, we also have engineering collaboration with select world-class technology leaders to develop wave-guide for AR glasses and micro displays using our advanced WLO technology. We expect to kick off new R&D projects during the third quarter. Now, some update on our capital expenditure. We announced the increase of the Phase I capital expenditure budget, which is on top of our regular CapEx for the IC design business, from 80 million to 105 million in early 2018. The majority of the Phase I investment is going to land and building, new equipment for the WLO anchor customer, and an initial capacity of 2 million units per month for 3D sensing. Of the 105 million budget, 33 million has been paid out in 2017, followed by 17.5 million made in the first quarter of 2018 and another 15.2 million in the second quarter. The payment for the remaining 39.3 million is to be made throughout the rest of 2018. With the anticipation of broader 3D sensing adoption in 2019, we expect to further expand production capacity towards the end of the second half. Kick-off timing and amount of the Phase II investment is still being evaluated, depending on the customers’ projected volume and timetable. As we mentioned in the previous earnings calls, the CapEx budget will be funded through our internal resources and banking facilities. We have more than sufficient banking facilities with favorable cost for such CapEx budget and will start to draw down some of them in Q3. In the last earnings call, I reported Himax has been working with the industry leading fingerprint solution provider to develop an under-display optical fingerprint product in the last two years, targeting smartphones using OLED displays. Himax provides a customized low-power image sensor in the solution. I am pleased to announce that the solution has entered into mass production with a major Android smartphone OEM for their new flagship model with shipment expected in the coming months. The CMOS image sensor used in the solution will have a notably higher ASP than the company’s traditional display driver IC products. On other CMOS image sensor business update, we continues to make great progress with our two machine vision sensor product lines, namely, near infrared sensor and Always-on-Sensor. NIR sensor is a critical part for both of our structured light and ASC 3D sensing solutions. We expect significant growth in our CMOS image sensor business as 3D sensing shipment gets started. On the AoS product line, the acquisition of Emza enables Himax to be uniquely positioned to provide ultra-low power imaging sensing solutions, leveraging Himax’s industry leading super low power CIS design and Emza’s unique AI-based computer vision algorithm. We are pleased with the status of engagement with leading players in areas such as connected home, smart building and security, all of which new frontiers for Himax. For traditional human vision segments, we see strong demands in laptop and increasing shipment for multimedia applications such as car recorders, surveillance, drones, home appliances, and consumer electronics, among others. I will now give an update on the LCOS business, where our main focus areas are AR goggle devices and head-up-displays for automotives. While AR will take a few years to fully realize its market potential, we have seen many companies, be the top name multinationals or new start-ups, invest heavily to develop the ecosystem -- applications, software, operating system, system electronics, and optics. We are slated to kick off another AR goggle project with tailor-made micro display for a tier-1 tech name during the third quarter. In addition, we continue to make great progress in developing high-end holographic head-up display for automotives. Timing for such revenue contribution would be 2019 the earliest. For non-driver IC business, we expect revenue to increase around 15% sequentially in the third quarter driven primarily by WLO shipment. That concludes by prepared remarks for this quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today’s call and we are now ready to take questions.