Jordan Wu
Analyst · Lake Street Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Jackie. Following a successful business transformation in 2013, we delivered strong operational and financial results in 2014. Himax continues to execute on our strategy of becoming a more diversified company with regard to product offerings, as well as customers. We are very pleased to be experiencing growth in both our driver and non-driver business segments. We are particularly excited about the prospects for our LCOS micro display and WLO products, which are integral parts of the eco-system for the rapidly emerging head mounted display products and next-generation cameras for mobile devices. Equally exciting is our market leading single-chip solutions for pure in-cell touch display, which we believe will soon become mainstream in portable and wearable devices. In summary, Himax is at a significant inflection point, with many of our non-driver products ready to enter the consumer market after many years of product development and R&D. Looking into 2015, despite the current softness in China's smartphone and tablet markets, which is worsened by fewer working days due to the timing of Chinese New Year, we are excited about our full year outlook and believe that it will experience strong growth across all our business segments. We anticipate 2015 to be another year of continuous revenue and earnings growth. Following a few years of revenue decline, large panel driver IC sales should be a major growth engine for us in 2015. We expect our large panel drivers in the first quarter of 2015 to register strong growth compared to the same period last year, at approximately 25%. We should continue to benefit from the display capacity expansion in China, where we are market leader in driver IC sales. Furthermore, we expect to grow market share in the non-China large panel market in 2015. On the technology front, we remain a market leader in providing state-of-the-art, high-end large panel driver IC solutions. 4K TV penetration should continue to be the driving force for growth in this segment with its sales volume expected to more than double this year. In the previous earnings calls, we mentioned that large panel markets are increasingly demanding a total solution from IC vendors. We are experiencing accelerating demand from panel manufacturers seeking IC vendors who can provide driver IC, timing controller, Gamma OP, and PMIC as a total solution. Meanwhile, timing controller is getting more and more technologically advanced, with high end models integrating sophisticated functions such as MEMC. This positions us very well in the 4K TV market and beyond. As the industry migrates to 8K TVs, which is already starting to take place in product development, our business and technology strength and integrated product solutions will be a significant differentiator against our competitors. Thanks to our leading technology and comprehensive customer base, we are confident that we are at the beginning of a long-term growth trend for a large panel driver of products, a trend which should last for the next several years. Next, I'll turn to our driver ICs used in small and medium-sized panels, which are primarily used in smartphones, tablets and for automotive applications. We expect continued resolution upgrades this year in both the smartphone and table markets. FHD is quickly replacing HD720 to become the new mainstream for high end smartphones. We also expect to begin mass producing of driver IC for the very high end with our QHD resolution panel at the beginning of Q2 this year. A more favorable product mix should help us mitigate margin pressure in the competitive smartphone market. Notwithstanding our positive outlook, first quarter sales for smartphone drivers are likely to decline substantially, which we already indicated in our last earnings call. The weakness is particularly significant in China where smartphone vendors, lacking new government stimulus programs, are turning cautious as they are forced to try new sales channels such as e-commerce and direct sales points to replace the previous approach of selling through telecom operators. Worse yet, exports are also weak because Chinese smartphone manufacturers are worried that the strong MNP [ph] would further compress their already thin profit margin. Following two quarters of market weakness, we have started to build inventory in preparation for a market rebound toward the end of Q1 or Q2. In addition to our leading position in TFT-LCD smartphone driver IC product offerings, we started small shipments of AMOLED driver IC to certain Chinese customers in Q4 of last year. AMOLED is likely to be a future growth engine for our small panel driver IC business and we are collaborated with multiple customers both in Korea and in China on AMOLED product development. It is worth mentioning that quite a few new AMOLED fabs are being built in China and we are the most comprehensive customer coverage over there, although this will not bring in meaningful revenue contribution until later this year. We also expect a significant sequential sales decline for tablets in the first quarter, for reasons similar to those for the smartphone market mentioned above. Moreover, in the Chinese tablet market there are more smaller and less resourceful players, many of them being forced out of the market due to the Chinese government's credit tightening policy, causing further market weakness. The decline in demand might also be a result of changing customer behavior, as some customers are moving to smartphones with screen sizes similar to those of smaller sized tablets. Tablet demand, after a lengthy slump, may improve after Chinese New Year; yet sales visibility is still quite low as we speak. Going forward, mainstream demand will be 10 inch and above with higher resolutions, instead of the once popular sizes of 7 to 9 inches, we are seeing many Tier-1 OEMs pursuing this segment aggressively which may materialize in 2015 and trigger new market demand. Among driver ICs used in small and medium-sized panels, the most noteworthy category in 2015 is the automotive application. We have successfully engaged key panel manufacturers and module houses for long-term partnerships. We anticipate Q1 sales to be slightly stronger than the previous quarter and expect robust sequential growth throughout the year. We believe that with numerous Tier 1 automobile brands being our indirect end customers, we are well positioned to take advantage of the growing market in 2015 and beyond. The non-driver business segment provides our most exciting long-term growth prospect. Overall, our non-driver business category enjoyed around 35% growth during 2014. Amid a weak overall market sentiment and the usual seasonality, we expect a double-digit sequential decline in our non-driver products for the first quarter. However, looking ahead, many of our non-driver products, including our CMOS image sensor, timing controller, touch panel controller, PM IC, ASIC service, WLO and LCOS micro display are poised to grow significantly in 2015. I will now highlight some of the non-driver products areas. Our touch panel controller product line continued to experience significant growth in Q4 2014, increasing more than 40% sequentially. We exited 2014 with our touch controller sales more than doubling from the previous year. We expect this strong growth momentum to continue in 2015. On top of our displaying – of top of our rapidly growing market share in the discrete touch panel market segment, we are extremely excited about technological advances in the latest pure in-cell technology where we are one of the pioneers in offering one-chip solutions integrating driver IC and touch panel controllers, or TDDI. Driven by top-tier TFT-LCD makers, the industry is moving towards pure in-cell panels, which is set to start mass production in the second half of this year. We are in partnership with essentially all of the leading panel manufacturers in pure in-cell touch for joint technological development and expect the market to see major launches of this new technology very soon. Our CMOS image sensors also experienced significant growth in 2014 and should continue to be a fast growing product area for us in 2015. Sales of our 2 and 5 megapixel products were particularly strong, mainly due to robust demand from several international demand, as well as from Chinese white-box customers. Looking into 2015, we expect our sales of 8-megapixel sensors, now the mainstream design for smartphones, to accelerate while high end 13 megapixel sensors to start mass production later in the year. This puts Himax firmly on the map as one of a small handful of companies capable of offering a comprehensive product portfolio for smartphone cameras. In addition to the aforementioned consumer applications, we are also making significant progress in CMOS image sensors for non-consumer applications, which typically enjoy higher margins and have relatively little direct competition. We already started initial shipments to a Korean automotive end customer and are actively engaging more module houses to penetrate into Chinese before market-installation automotive applications. As we grow sensor sales for automotive and other non-consumer applications and continue to turn the bulk of our CMOS image sensor sales from 2 and 5 megapixels to higher end, higher margin 8 and 13 megapixels, we expect our CMOS image sensor business to accelerate this year. Regarding our LCOS business, we are very excited to see major new head-mounted display devices and/or programs unveiled by a growing list of industry heavyweights recently. Some of these devices are truly revolutionary in nature with potentially breakthrough applications which are not possible without a head-mounted display. This is clear evidence that the head mounted display is establishing itself as a new product segment for future computing. Major technology companies are moving quickly to develop HMD technologies and that – this new product category should transform the way people interact with the environment. Being the market leader in the micro display technology, we are therefore in a unique position to benefit significantly from this industry trend, where our products are integral components. As we mentioned typically in previous earnings calls, we continue to work with multiple top tier customers who are committing significant resources to develop cutting edge HMD products. We are working with some of them on multiple designs simultaneously, many of which involve custom-built designs that are funded by these customers development fees. Our Front-Lit LCOS technology which unveiled in the middle of last year, it still represents one of the most significantly more logically breakthroughs in the HMD industry. We are seeing more and more customers adopting our proprietary technology. By consolidating two key components of optical engines and integrating them into the micro display module itself, Front-Lit LCOS enables an ultra-compact, high brightness and extremely power-efficient optical engine which is also easier to manufacture, compared to traditional optical engines. There is essentially no competition to this product. Furthermore, we continue to partner with numerous industry leading companies using our cutting edge and industry-dominant wafer level optics, or WLO, for the development of three technologies of the future, namely array cameras, special purpose sensors and micro display wave guides for head-mounted displays. This product development often requires the collaboration of our internal CMOS image sensor, LCOS micro display and/or video processing algorithm teams. Himax sits in a leading and unique position with respect to these exciting new technologies and we are the only company in the industry able to offer a true one-stop total solution. As this Tier 1 customers begin to mass produce products embedding these new and unique features, Himax, being in the heart of that supply chain, should benefit significantly. To meet the anticipated demand growth of our LCOS and WLO products, we are expanding our production capacity starting in Q1 2015. We will report our progress in due course. Collectively, our LCOS sales and WLO NRE incomes should more than double in the first quarter of 2015. This illustrates our strong customer engagements with tailor-made designs and represents products in the pipeline which will translate into meaningful sales and profit contribution in the near future. Although we are is seeing weakness in market demand, especially in China, which will lead to sequential revenue decline in the first quarter, we remain confident and excited about all these aforementioned new developments and the increasing business opportunities across every business segment for 2015. We believe Himax is strongly and uniquely positioned for another successful year. We're excited with respect to our business outlook in 2015 and beyond, both in terms of revenue, profitability growth, and the adoption of many of its non-driver products. Well, let me provide on the Q1guidance. Although first quarter is sufficiently the quarter of the year in terms of sales because we had kayos in base due to Chinese New Year, we expect revenue at least here in Q1 to decline 15% to 22% compared to the last quarter. Gross margin is expected to rise 1% to 1.5% from the previous quarter, depending upon the final product mix. GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of $0.07 to $0.085 per diluted ADS based on $172.2 million outstanding ADSs. Non-GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of $0.073 to $0.088 per diluted ADS, based on the same number of ADSs. We provided the top earnings guidance, we have assumed a 20.5% income tax rate, calculated based on exchange rate of NTD 31.65 against the US, which is also the exchange rate of the end of 2014. Thank you for the interest in Himex. We appreciate you joining today’s call. And we are now ready to take your questions.