Yemi Okupe
Analyst · Canaccord
Thanks, Andrew. In the third quarter, we continue to apply learnings to make a deliberate set of decisions that we are confident will position Hims & Hers for durable multi-year growth. We expect some of these decisions to create near-term volatility, but we believe they will strengthen the subscriber experience across our platform and, ultimately, drive long-term revenue growth and healthy free cash flow. I'll cover 4 areas today. First, our third quarter results, including the subscriber trends we saw in the quarter; Second, the investments we're making as we enter the new year and why they give us high confidence in the path forward. Third, our outlook for the fourth quarter and full year; And lastly, our framework for continuing to hold our high bar for capital allocation as we head into 2027. In the third quarter, revenue grew 49% year-over-year to $890 million, marking our second consecutive quarter of accelerating revenue growth. Revenue for the quarter excluded $18 million from the scaling of membership revenue in our weight loss offering that is deferred and will be recognized in the fourth quarter. This revenue deferral has no impact on free cash flow generation. Subscribers grew 13% year-over-year to 2.8 million, though declined sequentially by 100,000 net subscribers quarter-over-quarter as a result of measured marketing spend in our domestic weight loss specialty and brand migrations in our international markets. I'll address this dynamic as we walk through the performance of the domestic and international areas of the business before moving on to how growth is influencing profitability and cash flow generation. Domestic revenue growth accelerated for the second consecutive quarter to 21% year-over-year as U.S. operations generated $657 million of revenue, up from 16% growth in the second quarter. This acceleration occurred even as we held back on marketing investment in the third quarter. Over the last 6 months, we've learned an incredible amount from the weight loss pivot made late in the first quarter. From our partnership with Novo, we've learned how to scale a new category consisting predominantly of branded offerings at higher price points than our historical offerings. The introduction of the Wegovy Pill from our partnership with Novo has brought an immense amount of interest in consumer acquisition to the platform, which resulted in record level subscriber additions in the first half of the year. Rapid scaling of our weight loss specialty has reinforced the learnings across our other specialties that durable growth requires a broad assortment of options that appeal to different consumer segments as well as tools that unlock deep engagement throughout a subscriber's care journey. Knowing that a broader weight loss assortment and a more connected care experience were coming to the platform in the fourth quarter, we made a deliberate decision to pace our marketing spend in the third quarter. As Andrew noted, the choice trades near-term subscriber growth for what we believe is a stronger long-term position. Let me briefly walk through each of these levers and how we see them supporting long-term growth in the weight loss specialty. First, we expect to expand the assortment of offerings available across the platform, giving consumers access to a broader set of treatments. Our agreement with Lilly unlocks an experience that will allow our subscribers to more seamlessly access Foundayo and Zepbound. We also expect our partnership with Novo to continue to succeed as we continue offering both the Wegovy Pen and Pill today with plans to add CagriSema once available. Second, we expect to continue scaling the capabilities and reach of our proprietary consumer-facing AI platform. This AI-native experience [ reaches ] 70% of weight loss subscribers as of quarter end, and we anticipate reaching nearly 100% of weight loss subscribers before the end of the year. We expect continued scaling will help providers match patients with the right treatment plans more efficiently while also offering an easy way for patients to connect with providers where different treatment plans or dosages may be required. We anticipate continued long-term domestic revenue growth outside of our weight loss specialty. Hers continues to progress towards achieving $1 billion of revenue this year as specialties such as dermatology and menopause continue to scale alongside weight loss. Testosterone continues to progress towards achieving a $100 million annualized revenue run rate, and we expect this trajectory to continue to strengthen with the launch of injectable solutions onto the platform last month. Switching to international. Our global expansion efforts continue to thrive. Revenue more than 4x year-over-year to $233 million. This includes an approximately $135 million contribution from Eucalyptus with the remaining portion of the international portfolio growing nearly 80% year-over-year. In the third quarter, we began the process of introducing and expanding the Hims & Hers brands around the world, utilizing Eucalyptus' platform. The Hers brand launched in Australia and Germany and the breadth of specialties expanded within the U.K. The Hims brand also launched in Germany and Australia, further expanding its global presence beyond the U.K. The consolidation of our brands is expected to result in some near-term subscriber volatility, but will unlock future opportunities to leverage global branding strategies and assets. Switching to profitability. GAAP net income in the third quarter was a loss of $33 million. As we've previously mentioned, our priority is to scale the platform, but to do so in a way that allows for strong adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow generation. Adjusted EBITDA grew 37% quarter-over-quarter to $82 million in the third quarter, representing a 9% adjusted EBITDA margin. Similar to revenue, adjusted EBITDA did not reflect the $18 million of revenue that was deferred at the end of the third quarter. Gross margins were 57% in the third quarter, down approximately 7 points on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The scaling of branded weight loss products in our international business, which carry lower gross margins, primarily drove this decline. Our priority remains to continue to reach the broadest set of consumers possible to scale the platform, and we will continue to utilize a few key levers to ensure continued strong cash flow generation as we scale. At the foundation of these levers is investment in our technology, talent, and platform, which represented 8% of revenue in the third quarter. We've strategically scaled technology, talent, which is well-positioned to help drive leverage across a few key areas. The first being marketing. Providing consumers with a world-class experience from beginning to end drives higher retention. The new Hers 2.0 app launched last quarter and the scaling of our new AI native experience are showing an early ability to drive stronger consumer satisfaction, which we believe will result in stronger retention. Marketing as a percentage of revenue improved 7 points quarter-over-quarter to 28% despite revenue growth accelerating quarter-over-quarter. Second, we see an opportunity for this talent to create new tools and capabilities that can further automate our fulfillment facilities. The progress we've made on this front allowed us to improve operations and support costs as a percentage of revenue 1 point quarter-over-quarter to 12%. Lastly, over the long term, the engineering talent that we've brought on can establish an architecture that fundamentally transforms the way that we operate as an organization. We expect this will allow us to scale G&A and supporting functions at a slower rate than revenue, providing multi-year leverage opportunities as this gains traction. G&A expenses already improved 5 points on a GAAP basis quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter to 17%. A keen focus on scale and efficiency resulted in $65 million in cash flow from operations and $26 million in free cash flow in the third quarter. As of the end of the third quarter, we had over $710 million of cash and investments. That brings me to the investments we're making as we head into the new year and why they give us confidence in the path forward. As Andrew mentioned, our long-term objective is to be the first and primary contact for consumers for their daily health needs globally. A robust balance sheet and healthy execution will uniquely position us to execute on growth levers necessary to continue making this objective a reality, leveraging technology to elevate the subscriber experience, new specialty expansion, broadening access to more personalized care, expanding partnerships to becoming a world-class curator of health services, and extending our global reach. I'll highlight 3 areas where we expect to focus investment in the coming quarters. First, we expect the investment in international to be more significant as the Hims & Hers brands come online around the world. We have strong early signals from AI initiatives that meaningful improvements to our U.S. operating cost structure are possible. As these savings occur, we expect them to unlock a greater pool of resources for reinvestment to accelerate expansion of the platform. While we learned a great deal around scaling our brand in the weight loss category in the U.S., our international teams have multiple years of experience in this area. As a result, we expect to lean aggressively into marketing strategies and strategic pricing initiatives in the U.K. and Germany within the weight loss specialty as well as in the expansion of other specialties such as dermatology, sexual health, and low testosterone. In the U.S., we designed ecosystems to benefit from economies of scale and deliver strong cash flow. We believe that experience uniquely positions us to capture scale and set up the next wave of future profit generators, which we expect to include the U.K. and Germany. Second, we will continue investing in our technology, talent, and platform. This was the largest hiring quarter in our engineering organization's history and early impact on the platform enhancements is already starting to multiply what each of our engineers can deliver. We believe this will allow us to extend our AI native experience to more subscribers across the care journey, driving stronger engagement, retention, and helping more subscribers leverage the platform for more comprehensive care. Additionally, this talent is a critical component to transforming our operating cost structure and enabling strong leverage on G&A costs over time. Third, our supply chain is a critical part of our brand, which consumers associate with safety and trust that allows us to efficiently scale in these specialties. Later this month, we expect to launch the first phase of our peptide offering that includes sermorelin, glutathione, and NAD+. We plan to add BPC-157 and TB-500 when the regulatory environment permits. Our years of investment in our U.S.-based peptide manufacturing facility and our fulfillment facilities unlock the ability for us to manufacture and compound key peptides domestically, which we believe differentiates us from other offerings currently in or likely to come to market. Investment in our supply chain also allows us to broaden the assortment of offerings in the platform, similar to the launch of injectable testosterone last month, as well as realize efficiencies as we verticalize more offerings over time. With that context, I will now walk through our outlook for the remainder of the year. In the fourth quarter, we are anticipating revenue in the range of $875 million to $895 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 42% to 45%. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be between $70 million to $90 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9% at the midpoint of both ranges. For the full year, we are tightening our 2026 revenue outlook to $3.13 billion to $3.15 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 33% to 34%. We are reducing our 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to between $257 million to $277 million. This is a reflection of the more aggressive strategic pricing and marketing actions that we expect to take in the U.K. and Germany and the weight loss membership deferral noted above. Adjusted EBIT and revenue ranges imply an adjusted EBITDA margin of 9% at the midpoint of both ranges. To help contextualize our outlook, I'll highlight a few key points. First, we expect the impact of deferred revenue from accelerating membership revenue in our weight loss newer specialties to negatively impact revenue and adjusted EBITDA by at least $20 million for the full year as certain membership payments received in December will not be recognized as revenue until January. Second, we expect to invest in bringing additional value through pricing changes in our weight loss specialty and heavy marketing investment to scale the Hims & Hers brands in strategic markets such as the U.K. and Germany prior to the period of historically higher acquisition levels in the first quarter. While this will impact near-term revenue, we believe that efficiencies from economies of scale and subscriber gains will make these moves accretive in the midterm. Our expectation is that our international business delivers at least $650 million of revenue in 2026, up from our prior expectation of $600 million. Third, we expect to continue to moderate domestic marketing investment in the U.S. within our weight loss specialty in the fourth quarter, which may lead to an additional quarter of subscriber count headwinds. Our focus in the fourth quarter will center on broadening our platform's weight loss assortment, inclusive of Foundayo and Zepbound. As we enter the new year, we're excited to bring an assortment from both Lilly and Novo to our customers and believe it will present real opportunities to strengthen our weight loss business. Fourth, revenue contribution from our peptide offering is not expected to be material in the fourth quarter. We will take a similar approach of gated investments to scale this offering as well as closely monitor the regulatory landscape to inform the overall breadth of the offering. Fifth, we expect gross margin declines to start to moderate as the pace of mix shift towards international and weight loss specialty begins to moderate. Continued gains in our operating cost structure from our technology investments set a foundation for further reinvestment in new specialty and international expansion as well as future margin expansion. Lastly, our expectation is that we will drive positive free cash flow for the full year of 2026 and be well-positioned to do the same in 2027. The strategic pivot we made in the first quarter has transformed the business and will position us well in the long term. As Andrew mentioned, we are in a period where we are investing to achieve our long-term ambition of becoming the primary channel for consumers' health and wellness needs globally. The investments that we make to fulfill this objective are likely to result in some quarter-to-quarter variability, but position us well over the long term, similar to investments that we've made in the past. Learning how to scale our branded weight loss specialty will be instrumental in the long term as we expect a rapid rate of innovation in this area over the next several years. We believe future generic offerings in the specialty will be additive to the branded offerings, unlocking our ability to reach an even broader population as well as benefit from strong unit economics from verticalized operations. We've seen this in the U.S. and other specialties such as sexual health and hair, both in terms of scale and economics. We're now seeing early signs of the same dynamic in our weight loss specialty in Canada, where generic options became available earlier this year. Average monthly orders have grown more than 50% following the launch of generics, while margins are also benefiting from a mix shift towards these lower-cost options. In our longer tenured in specialties, that same shift expanded our addressable market, strengthened retention, and drove meaningful margin expansion over time. Canada gives us an early view of how we expect weight loss to evolve. Before I hand it over to Bill, I'll close with our framework that we expect will allow us to continue holding a high bar for capital allocation as we head into 2027. As we make long-term investments, we constantly assess them against a comprehensive scorecard. We expect to go deeper into our longer-term success metrics next quarter alongside our 2027 outlook. But at a high level, we actively measure investments against our ability to deliver against our long-term corporate objectives, which are to increase subscriber count and drive towards holistic care as measured by the number of subscribers, retention, and subscribers treated with 2 or more conditions on the platform; drive greater breadth of partnerships with other health care players on our platform, reduce our overall operating cost structure measured in the form of leverage on cost as a percentage of revenue, expand our category leadership in countries that we operate in as measured by the number of countries where we hold the #1 or #2 position, efficiently scale new specialties and the breadth of assortment on our platform; and lastly, drive strong free cash flow. We look forward to providing updates on our progress across our investments and developments across each of these areas in the future. Our success would not be possible without the significant efforts of Hims & Hers' employees around the world. I'd like to thank them, our subscribers and our shareholders for supporting us in our mission to help the world feel great for the power of better health. With that, I will now turn the call back over to Bill to kick off Q&A with 2 questions from our retail community.