Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2023 Hess Midstream Conference Call. My name is Jonathan, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Gordon, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.

Thank you, Jonathan. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in our fourth quarter earnings conference call. Our earnings release was issued this morning and appears on our website, www.hessmidstream.com. Today's conference call contains projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements. These risks include those set forth in the Risk Factors section of Hess Midstream’s filings with the SEC. Also on today's conference call, we may discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the differences between these non-GAAP financial measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the earnings release. With me today are John Gatling, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Jonathan Stein, Chief Financial Officer. I'll now turn the call over to, John Gatling.

Thanks, Jennifer. Good afternoon, everyone and welcome to has midstream's fourth quarter, 2023 conference call today. I'll review our 2023 operating performance and highlights provide details regarding has midstream's 2024 plans and outlook through 2026. Jonathan will then review our financial results. 2023 was a year of continued strong performance and execution for has midstream. We delivered significant volume and capacity growth, including 15% year-over-year growth in gas processing volumes. And expansion of our compression capacity by approximately 100 million cubic foot per day further enhancing our gas capture capability. As discussed in our guidance release, we've established our 2026 minimum volume commitments, which implies approximately 35% growth in gas volumes from 2023 through 2026. In addition, we've revised our 2025 MVCs upwards by an average of approximately 5% across our oil and gas systems, reflecting strong well performance and delivery by has and continued gas capture success. Now turning to has upstream highlights from their earnings release issued this morning. Bakken net production average 194,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the fourth quarter, which includes 19,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day from percent of proceeds volumes, which don't impact has midstream throughputs. For full year 2023 Bakken net production average 182,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which was an increase of 18% year-over-year. Has also reiterated their plans to continue to operate a four rig drilling program in 2024. Now focusing on has midstreams fourth quarter 2023 results, gas processing volumes average 387 million cubic foot per day. Crude terminaling volumes average 120,000 barrels of oil per day and water gathering volumes averaged 113,000 barrels of water per day. During the fourth quarter has volumes continue to grow while third parties declined primarily driven by delays and new production coming online in the fourth quarter.…

Thanks, John. And good afternoon. Everyone today. I will summarize our financial highlights from 2023 discuss our recently completed nomination process with has and provide details on our 2024 guidance and outlook through 2026, including our continued prioritization of ongoing and incremental return of capital to shareholders. To 2023, we delivered strong results with full year net income of $608 million and adjusted EBITDA of $1 billion $22 million. Looking forward, we have line of sight to at least 10% annual growth in that income adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow through 2026. Driven by has his growth in the Bakken and underpinned by our MVCs through 2026 that provide visibility to annualized growth in gas throughput volumes. Approximately 10% from 2024 through 2026 and continued growth in oil throughput volumes of approximately 10% growth in 2025 and approximately 5% growth in 2026. We continue to execute a unique and differentiate financial strategy, prioritizing consistent and ongoing return of capital to shareholders. In November, we completed our 4th unit repurchase transaction in 2023 of $100 million that was a creative on both a distributable cash flow per class a share basis and an earning per class a share basis. Following the unit repurchase transaction, public ownership of Hess Midstream on a consolidated basis has now increased to approximately 30%. Supported by the repurchase, we recently announced a further return of capital to our shareholders through an immediate 1.5% increase in our quarterly distribution level. In addition to our targeted 5% annual distribution per class a share increase as we have done in the past with the reduced share count following the repurchase, this distribution level increase maintains our distributed cash flow at approximately the same amount as before the repurchase. Since the beginning of 2021, we have returned $1.55…

Certainly. Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from the line of Jeremy Tonet from JP. Morgan. Your question, please.

Hi. Good afternoon. Just want to start off, if I could, with the storm impact that you guys touched on or the cold weather impact, I should say, for 1Q, if you might be able to provide a little bit more color there on the impact. Was it more on the gas or crude oil side? And I guess how do you see the basin recovering or your volumes recovering over the course of the quarter given the extreme temperatures there?

Sure. When we have weather impacts like we did in January, it really impacts the entire system. So when you when you have to bring the wells down, you're impacting oil, gas and water coming off the pads. With the extreme cold temperatures, there were situations where it just wasn't safe to have personnel on the road. So as an example, if you have to have trucking to get, say, water off of a pad, as an example, you have a situation where the trucks aren't running because it's not safe for the trucking companies to be out there in that in those conditions. And, for safe operations, you have to just go ahead and shut the shut the wells in. And then along with that, you also have freezing situations where you just have some liquids in the system that gets that gets frozen when temperatures get as cold as it does. We do a lot of winterization as part of our preparation for winter activities. I mean, as we all know, it gets cold every year in North Dakota. It snows and we plan for that. I would say the issue with the January weather was it was extreme. It was very extreme temperatures well below ambience where we're well below 30 -- minus 30 degrees with wind chills of of lower than minus 60. So, again, what we've seen is from the Hess side, we've seen a resilient system, both on the upstream and the midstream side and recovery has been has been good. I can't really speak to the broader basin. I think Lynn Helms and Justin Kronstad are talking a little bit about what the broader impacts are across the basin as they're maybe looking at other operators. But from our perspective, we feel like that the recovery has been good. Having said that, and as I mentioned in my in my remarks in my script, we are we still have further winter ahead of us. So we're trying to be a bit cautious there. Weather has gotten good in North Dakota. It's warmed up quite a lot. And we're recovering from the from the winter storms. But what we also have several months of winter ahead of us that we're still we'll still need to manage properly.

Got it. That's very helpful there. So would you say that your Hess midstream is back to pre-storm levels or how do you see that unfolding at this point, absent further weather event?

Yeah, I would say that we're close to being back to pre-storm levels. I would say that that again the recovery on the upstream and the midstream side has been has been very strong. there's a there's a bit of a lagging effect to taking a system down like that where you may have additional well work as a result of a storm like that. But overall, I would say the resiliency of the system has been has been outstanding. So both the upstream and midstream teams have been working very closely with one another. And, it's the recovery has been strong.

Got it. That's a that's very helpful there. And then just as far as the longer dated outlook, through '26 quite robust volume growth as you put out there, maybe ahead of what some people are expecting for the basin overall. Do you see this kind of Hess midstream taking market share from others or just kind of specific to your serving Hess, in their plans there, especially on the crude oil side, 5% growth through 2026. So, so curious about that. And then also, I guess, egress from the basin, it seems like NBPL is kind of a pretty full physically there. So wondering, I guess, how you think about gas and egress risk and the impact to your forecast there?

Yeah, I'll address kind of those in two parts. So the first part was kind of what's the primary source of the of the growth, as we've said, we, we approximately 90% of our volume comes from Hess, 10% of our volume comes from third parties. We expect that ratio to stay about the same over the long term. So the bulk of the growth is coming from Hess. And, obviously, we have quite a lot of site, quite a lot of line of sight to the to the growth trajectory there and our MVCs kind of demonstrate that a 35% growth in gas over the three years, 10% annualized growth in volumes through the system through the gas system. So, we feel we feel like we've got a good plan, it supports the outlook. And, we're continuing to execute against that. So again, I would say that that, from our perspective, Hess is planning to run the four rigs in 2024. We're going to continue to support that. And as I mentioned, that's including expanding our processing capacity, going, beyond 2020-2025 and into 2027, when that capacity would become available. And we feel like that -- that's necessary to support the development activity. As far as the export goes, as our philosophy has been over the long term, it's always been ensuring that we have flow assurance. And again, I can't really speak to the basin egress, but from Hess's perspective, we're always looking to carefully manage the flow assurance from that. So I would say that both on the crude and natural gas side, we're very focused on maintaining the ability to get the hydrocarbons out of the basin.

And Jeremy, I think just to underline a point that you made in your question, which is robust growth through 2026. And I think as John and I both pointed out with the MVCs implying gas at 495 million cubic feet per day, really right at our capacity in 2026. And then you add $125 million cubic feet per day of incremental processing. That really implies that we really see robust growth, not only through 2026, but really whatever your assumption is on volume growth after that, really through the rest of the decade. And that means that we're not only going to be able to continue the EBITDA growth and the volume growth and the free cash flow growth that we see through 2026, but really have visibility to really that continuing well beyond 2026 and really through the rest of the decade. So really just a robust plan based on all the factors that John said.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our next question comes from the line of Brian Reynolds from UBS. Your question, please.

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. Appreciate the prepared remarks about the evolving situation at Hess Midstream sponsor level with the potential change of ownership to Chevron and also a GIP to Blackstone. Well, I know it's a little too early to probably assume broad assumptions of what the sponsors may or may not do. Kind of just curious if you could talk about the implications to the board around the change of sponsor control and then perhaps through the lens of Hess Midstream's financial flexibility as outlined in the long term outlook, could you perhaps talk about the opportunity set to buy back from sponsors going forward as these deals close or if we should be thinking about anything outside of that in terms of M&A as it relates to financial flexibility as well. Thanks.

Thanks. I think in terms of the with regard to the Hess Chevron pending merger, we don't have any additional information to share in the merger other than what I already said in my script, which is that Hess will have 37.8% ownership and the right to appoint their four board seats. As a reminder, the total board is four Hess, two Chevron, three GIP, and three independent directors. And as we said, Hess's contracts remain in place as well as the dedication. On the GIP side, there's no change to the fund that holds the Hess Midstream investment. There's also no changes expected to GIP's investment operating approach or even to the investment team involved with Hess Midstream. So we're not expecting any changes there as well.

Great. Thanks. And then maybe just to follow up on kind of the long term outlook in the Bakken, with the cost of service arrangement moving, to fix fee largely going forward, and Hess Stream being much more of a standalone midstream company relative to its inception, can you talk about, how Hess Midstream is thinking about anything strategically different than in the past as whether it's pursuing third party volumes? I think you alluded to the third party volume mix should stay roughly the same. could that change over time? And then when you approach these processing expansions, how do you approach them a little bit differently? in 2027 in the past, are you still getting kind of guaranteed MVCs to support those volumes? Anything there in terms of, future capital investment will be helpful. Thanks.

Sure. I would say that from an overall operational perspective, we really our strategy remains unchanged. I mean, I think we're our primary customer is Hess and we're staying focused on that priority for sure. We're always looking to pick up additional incremental third party volumes to fill any olage in our systems. We're going to continue to operate under those that kind of strategic direction. as we add additional processing capacity, we are looking at what additional third party volumes are available in the area. As especially north of the river, so north of the Missouri River is kind of our stronghold. And that's where Hess has significant development remaining. We as we've done in the past, we're going to continue to build out kind of a standard modular philosophy, tightly integrated with our system. A lot of the future development is in that kind of north of the river west area. And we have a really good understanding of that area and are well positioned to support Hess and third parties, third parties there. So from a from an overall strategic perspective, really transitioning from cost of service to the fixed fee period, nothing really, really changes strategically from our perspective.

And I think, as I really had highlighted there on the question before, I think, the business model that we have and the financial strategy model that we have is really unchanged and really unique and differentiated as we go forward. In the sense that we have the volume growth that we've talked about, which is visible to our MVCs as we talked about even beyond that. And all that growth really being captured with stable capital levels in the 250, 275 level that includes the necessary investment to capture that growth. So that means with growing EBITDA and stable capital, that means we'll continue to grow our free cash flow and that free cash flow is growing greater than our target distribution level, which means we're also building free cash flow after distribution, as well as leverage capacity relative to our long term target. All that is supporting just through 2026, the $1.25 billion that we talked about, which gives us capacity for potential ongoing multiple repurchases per year for that period. And on a longer term basis, you can see really how that model really has the potential to just really continue with the existing investments that we're making really driving growth on stable capital, but with continued volume growth, continued EBITDA growth and therefore continued free cash flow growth.

And, Brian, just to build on that a little bit and Justin Kronstadt has talked about this several times from the North Dakota Pipeline Authority. They're forecasting gas growth somewhere from the three and a half BCF growing up to near six BCF by mid 2030. So, as Jonathan mentioned in the prior response to the earlier question from Jeremy, and then also kind of adding into this, there definitely is going to be opportunity for further growth and, that will support the infrastructure, but also, as Jonathan mentioned, sets us up strong from a financial perspective as well.

Thanks, Brian. Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Doug Irwin from Citi. Your question, please.

Thanks for the question. My first one is just on capital allocation. We assume a similar size and cadence to the buybacks moving forward, even with the increased financial flexibility guidance you've given today. And I'm just curious if there's a point where it might make sense within your strategy to look at other potential uses of capital, whether that's more organic growth, like some of the projects you've just talked about, or maybe even some potential unreal opportunities?

Sure. Well, in terms of the repurchase program, really, as we did this past year, we expect to continue to do multiple repurchases per year. As including 2024 through 2026. So don't expect a change in that program, utilizing the capacity, both the free cash flow after distribution, so the building cash balance, as well as the leverage capacity that we have. And so with those, as we've done in the past, we'd also expect the opportunity to increase our dividend level as well, to be able to maintain the same distributed cash flow that we had prior to each of the repurchases, so no expected change in that. As we go forward, I think one of the things in terms of the use of our capital allocation, obviously part of our financial strategy, as we said, is continued prioritization of shareholder returns, including the ongoing 5% growth, but also incremental returns, such as the repurchases and associated dividend distribution level increases. But I think we're in such a great position, as we just talked about, that with the existing investment that we have and really stable capital, we can really drive just through 2026, as we've talked about, 10% growth in volumes, more than 10% growth in EBITDA, including 12.5% growth in 2024 alone. And then on that stable capital, really driving more than 10% growth in free cash flow. So of course, we'll continue to evaluate, particularly assets and the like, as we've done in the past, but the bar is very high because our existing plan already drives growth and doesn't require significant capital investment, really stable capital to really capture that growth.

Got it. Thanks. And my second question is just around the contract structure. We're into the second term here, which has 10 more years on it, but there's potentially some new changes coming up at the sponsor level and the board. I'm just wondering how you're thinking about the potential for the contract terms to change or be renegotiated. It's something we receive questions on a lot. So really just looking to better understand how you think about your contracted position moving forward.

Yeah, there's really nothing really to say, because, as I said before, there's no change in the contract and no mechanism to change the contract. So we don't expect any change in the contract going forward.

Got it. Thanks for the question. Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our next question comes from the line of John McKay from Goldman Sachs. Your question, please.

Hey, everyone. Thanks for the time. I want to get back to the growth outlook again and maybe take it from another angle. Are you guys expecting any higher underlying oil outlook than kind of last time you gave an update? Or is this really just, hey, getting a better sense of what the rising GORs look like, and that's what's driving most of this? And then on a related note, is the underlying assumption of 200,000 barrels of oil equivalent for your sponsor still kind of the driving bogey there?

Yeah, so just on the oil versus the gas question, overall, I would say the wells continue to perform very, very strongly. And I would say that it's not necessarily a new set from an oil perspective. It's just that continued growth in gas. And as I mentioned, you can see it across the basin that gas does tend to outpace on a slight basis, outpace oil. And we're just kind of looking at that longer term, and we're building that infrastructure that we feel like we need to kind of set that up. So from an overall development perspective, the gas is coming. As it relates to Hess's plans, we're close to, I mean, Hess on a net BOE basis is close to 200,000 barrels a day now. So, I mean, I think as we think about the four rigs for the balance of this year, we're really kind of knocking on that door already. So from our perspective, we're continuing to set ourselves up. We talked about the gas growth of 35%, approximately 35% between now and 2026, 10% annualized growth. And then as Jonathan mentioned, our MVCs are showing 495 million cubic foot a day on an implied production basis. Our capacity is 500, adding the 125 million a day of additional processing capacity kind of gives you an indication of the longer term outlook from a gas growth perspective. So again, we see robust production coming from the wells. We do see gas outpacing oil a little bit. And that's driving a lot of the infrastructure that we're talking about.

Thanks for that. And maybe just thinking about that processing plant and kind of cadence of decisions from here, you will, will you have your 2027 MVCs kind of lockdown signed up before you need to make the call on starting to invest in that plant?

Yes. So essentially this year is primarily engineering and 2025 will be when we start long lead purchases and some early construction activity. So as we go through our normal annual process, we'd be setting new MVCs through this upcoming plan cycle that'll get locked down going into early next year. So I think the timing of this will set us up where that kind of three year rolling MVC will give us a chance to lock that in from a growth perspective.

Thank you. And thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the question and answer session as well as today's program. Everyone have a great day.