Brian Grass
Analyst · Bank of America, Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Julien. Good morning, everyone. We’re pleased with our second quarter results and to be in a position to raise our full year consolidated outlook. Before discussing the quarter in more detail, I’d like to further discuss the impact of tariffs, since I know it is an important topic for many of you as it is for us. As you probably know, the U.S. announced List 4 tariffs of an additional 15% on a broad range of consumer goods. List 4A became effective on September 1st and List 4B is scheduled to become effective on December 15th absent any new developments. The great majority of increases that will impact our product categories are List 4B tariffs. Based on the scheduled effective date, we expect minimal impact on our cost of goods sold in fiscal ‘20 with most of the impact in fiscal ‘21. This ultimately implemented, we anticipate taking the same approach that we’ve taken in the past. The goal would be to offset the gross profit dollar impact with pricing, cost reduction, supplier consolidation, other sourcing changes, exclusions and other mitigation efforts. We also expect to forward buy some inventory in selected categories during the third quarter in order to defer the impact on our cost of goods sold as long as possible. I’d also like to briefly explain the various impacts of foreign currency fluctuations that I will be discussing during the call. Average foreign exchange rates were generally unfavorable compared to the same period last year, which negatively impacts the year-over-year comparison of net sales and gross profit. You’ll also hear me refer to a favorable impact from foreign currency and SG&A, which primarily relates to the settlement of favorable currency hedges that are intended to offset the impact of unfavorable currency fluctuations on net sales and gross profit. Turning to review of the quarter, we achieved strong results with adjusted diluted EPS above our expectations, largely due to stronger than expected net sales in Housewares and Beauty, partially offset by Health & Home which was slightly below our expectations. EPS also benefited from tariff exclusion refunds received in Q2 related to certain duties paid in prior quarters. Exclusions were granted for several categories of our goods, primarily concentrated in our Health & Home segment. At this time, exclusions are being granted for a one year period of time. Increased tariffs will become effective for these product categories at the end of that year, if the exclusion is not granted again. As such, we believe it’s prudent to consider the exclusion refunds as one-time in nature. Furthermore, we expect that much of the refund benefit will be reinvested for the benefit of our brands and our retail customers. We believe that reinvestment is the best way to mitigate any potential declines in consumer demand that may result from tariffs and related consumer price inflation. Consolidated sales revenue was $414 million, a 5.2% increase over the prior year, driven by core business increase of 5.7% reflecting strong demand in Housewares segment, growth in consolidated online sales, and increase in appliance sales in the Beauty segment. Core business growth came on top of 14.2% growth in the same period last year. Sales in the online channel grew approximately 25% year-over-year to comprise approximately 24% of our consolidated net sales in the second quarter. These factors were partially offset by lower sales in the Health & Home segment, a decline in personal care sales within the Beauty segment, and the unfavorable impact from foreign currency of approximately $1.9 million or 0.5%. This was a very strong quarter for our Housewares segment which posted a core business increase of 22.4% on top of 19.4% growth in the same period last year. The segment continues to see strong demand for both OXO and Hydro Flask brands online and in store. Health & Home core business net sales declined 9.1% which was slightly below our expectations. The decline reflects an especially difficult comparison to core business growth of 20.3% in the same period last year, the timing of seasonal shipments, less wildfire activity this quarter, and net distribution changes year-over-year. Beauty core business net sales increased 9.3% primarily due to growth in the appliance category, especially online and growth in international. These factors were partially offset by a decrease in brick and mortar, and a decline in personal care. Consolidated gross profit margin was 43% compared to 39.4%. The 3.6 percentage point increase is primarily due to a higher mix of Housewares’ revenue at a higher overall gross profit margin, the benefit of tariff exclusion refunds I mentioned earlier and a lower mix of shipments made on a direct import basis. These factors were partially offset by the net margin dilutive impact from tariffs and related pricing actions, unfavorable foreign currency, a lower mix of personal care sales and higher inbound freight to high demand in Beauty appliances. SG&A was 29.8% of net sales compared to 26.3%. The 3.5 percentage point increase was primarily due to higher incentive compensation expense related to short and long-term performance, the unfavorable impact of a lower mix of shipments made on a direct import basis, higher outbound trade expense, higher advertising and new product development expense, and higher amortization expense. These factors were partially offset by the impact from tariff related pricing actions taken with retail customers, greater operating leverage and the favorable impact from foreign currency hedges. GAAP operating income grew to $54.5 million or 13.2% of net sales. This compares to $50.7 million or 12.9% of net sales in the same period last year. Consolidated adjusted operating income increased 10.4% to $65.8 million, or 15.9% of net sales, compared to $59.6 million or 15.1% of net sales in the same period last year. Housewares’ adjusted operating margin was flat at 22.4%. The quarter benefited from a more favorable product and channel mix and greater operating leverage. These factors were offset by higher incentive compensation expense, higher new product development expense and higher freight and distribution center expense to support integration activity, and higher retail and direct to consumer demand. Health & home adjusted operating margin was 11.2% compared to 10.5%. The 0.7 percentage point increase primarily reflects the tariff exclusion refunds and the impact of favorable currency hedges. These factors were partially offset by higher media advertising expense, unfavorable operating leverage, the margin impact of a less favorable channel mix and the impact of unfavorable currency on net sales and operating margin. Beauty adjusted operating margin was 11.9% compared to 12.8%. The 0.9 percentage point decrease was primarily due to the impact of higher freight expense to meet strong demand in the appliance category, higher incentive compensation expense, the margin impact of a less favorable product and channel mix, and the impact of unfavorable currency on net sales and operating margin. These factors were partially offset by lower advertising. Our effective tax rate was 10.3%, compared to 8.3%. The year-over-year increase in the effective tax rate is primarily due to shifts in the mix of taxable income in our various tax jurisdictions, and increases in certain statutory tax rates. Income from continuing operations was $46.1 million or $1.83 per diluted share, compared to $44 million or $1.66 per diluted share. Non-GAAP adjusted income from continuing operations grew to $56.5 million or $2.24 per diluted share, compared to $52.5 million or $1.98 per diluted share. This represents a 13.1% increase in adjusted diluted EPS, the strong results on top of 20% growth in the same period last year, and 10.2% growth in the first quarter of fiscal '20. We believe our second quarter results demonstrate the benefits of our diversified portfolio and our reinvestment formula, which targets a healthy balance between growth investments and margin expansion. Now moving on to our financial position. Accounts receivable turnover increased to 68.4 days for the second quarter, compared to 65.4 days in the same period last year. Turnover is an average trailing 12 months calculation and the increase primarily reflects the timing of revenue growth and cash collections period-over-period. Our accounts receivable balance at the end of the second quarter was $310.4 million, compared to $313.6 million at the same time last year. Trailing 12 months inventory turnover was 2.9 times, compared to 3.3 times in the prior year period. Inventory was $370.9 million, compared to $284.8 million at the same time last year. This includes approximately $12 million of additional inventory value related to higher tariff rates, as well as higher inventory levels due to lower direct import sales in the first half of fiscal '20. The remaining increase largely reflects additional inventory to support strong demand and distribution center volume, as well as for risk management as we progress with supplier consolidation, complete and optimize integration activities, and implement systems and processes to increase capacity and throughput for future growth. Even as we plan for tariff related forward buying of inventory in the third quarter, we continue to expect to improve our inventory levels over the remainder of the year and believe we remain on track to meet our cash flow objectives for the full fiscal year. Net cash provided by operating activities from continuing operations for the six months of fiscal '20 increased $0.9 million compared to the same period last year. The increase was primarily driven by an increase in income from continuing operations, higher non-cash expense, the collection of a $10.8 million supplemental payment in the second quarter related to the divestiture of our former Nutritional Supplements segment and the comparative impact of a $15 million dispute settlement payment made in the same period last year. These factors were offset by an increase in cash used for inventories. Total short and long-term debt was $301.2 million, compared to $301.1 million. Our leverage ratio was 1.2 times for both periods. Turning now to our outlook. Our strong business performance in the first half of the year gives us the opportunity to raise our full year sales and earnings outlook, while further increasing our growth investments consistent with our stated objective of maintaining a healthy balance, the margin expansion and growth investment. For fiscal '20, we now expect consolidated net sales revenue to be in the range of $1.61 billion to $1.64 billion, which implies consolidated sales growth of 2.9% to 4.8%. This compares to our prior expectation of 1.7% to 3.6%. Our net sales outlook reflects an increase in Housewares net sales growth to 13% to 15% compared to our prior expectation of 6% to 8%. We're lowering our outlook for Health & Home net sales to a decline in the low single-digits compared to our prior expectation of net sales growth of 2% to 3%. This reflects second quarter performance and the lower expected growth in the second half of the year due to net retail distribution changes and the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange rates year-over-year. We continue to model an average cough/cold/flu season but are positioned to meet the demand of a strong season if one should occur. We're increasing our outlook for Beauty and now expect sales to grow in the low single-digits compared to our prior expectation of a decline in the low single-digits. We now expect consolidated GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations of $6.84 to $7.04 and non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations in the range of $8.50 to $8.75, which includes any asset impairment charges, restructuring charges, share-based compensation expense, and intangible asset amortization expense. Our net sales and diluted EPS outlook continues to assume the severity of the upcoming cough/cold/flu season will be in line with historical averages and that September 2019 foreign currency exchange rates will remain constant for the remainder of the fiscal year. The year-over-year comparison of adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations is now expected to be impacted by an increase in growth investments of 13% to 18% in fiscal ‘20. Our diluted EPS outlook is based on an estimated diluted shares outstanding of 25.3 million. The increase in adjusted diluted EPS outlook for fiscal ‘20 reflects the company’s strong performance in the second quarter partially offset by an expected increase in growth investments, higher expected incentive compensation expense, and higher expected freight and distribution costs. The higher freight and distribution costs are expected in order to support strong demand in our Housewares segment and Beauty appliances business as well as integration activity and increases in capacity and throughput of our operations for future growth. We expect the reported GAAP effective tax rate range of 9.6% to 10.7% and an adjusted effective tax rate range of 9% to 10% for the full fiscal year 2020. The likelihood and potential impact of any fiscal ‘20 acquisitions and divestitures, future asset impairment charges, future foreign currency fluctuations, further tariff increases, or future share repurchases are unknown, and cannot be reasonably estimated. Therefore, they are not included in our sales and earnings outlook. And now, I'd like to turn it back to the operator for questions.