Greg Hazelton
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thanks, Connie. The overall health of Hawaii’s economy remains sound, as the expansion continues, with ongoing strength in tourism and real estate and the labor force near full employment. At 2.1% in June, Hawaiian unemployment remains at record lows and below the national rate. The tourism expansion that began in 2010 has continued, with the industry building upon its 2017 record results in visitor arrivals and spending. The outlook remains positive on pace for another record setting year, as we approach 10 million visitors and airlines continue to increase air seats to Hawaii. Hawaii real estate also remains strong. Year-to-date, June, on Oahu, sale prices continued to rise due to high demand. While single family sales volume declined modestly compared to the first half of 2017, condo sales volumes rose. Overall, the Hawaiian economy continues performing well and the outlook remains positive. Turning to our financial results, as shown on slide six, second quarter earnings increased to $0.42 per share compared to $0.36 per share in the second quarter of 2017. We realized earnings improvement at both the utility and bank, offset in part by higher holding company losses, which were expected due to lower tax benefits on expenses from a reduced federal tax rate and increased borrowing costs. Pacific Current, which is included in the holding company and other segment, has contributed positively to net income and cash flow year-to-date and has modestly offset some of the holding company losses. Turning to slide 7, HEI’s consolidated GAAP ROE for the last 12 months was 8.6% with contributions of 7.2% from the utility and 12.3% from the bank. Excluding the one-time impacts of tax reform recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017, HEI’s core consolidated ROE for the last 12 months strengthened to 9.2% versus 8.9% for 2017. Our utility LTM ROE for June 2018 reflects the ongoing transition back to a triennial rate case cycle after no base rate increases for six years. This includes ten months of new rates at Hawaiian Electric Light and 4.5 months of new rates at Hawaiian Electric, our largest utility. We are expecting the interim decision in the Maui electric rate case this month and we’ll also benefit from the recently approved Schofield MPIR recovery. Recovery for Schofield is limited to the simple average rate base in 2018, the first year of our operation with recovery of substantially all of the plant investment, beginning in 2019. Regarding other major projects, the enterprise system project or ERP is scheduled to come online in the fourth quarter and under the $78 million cap and portions of the expenses associated with the ERP are already incorporated into recent rate cases. The balance of the ERP investment will be included in upcoming rate cases. Our joint base, Pearl Harbor Hickam PV project is now scheduled to come online in Q2 2019, with interim recovery through the MPIR beginning next year. Thus our 2019 ROE should reflect a full-year of new rates at all three utilities, a full recovery of substantially all of our Schofield investment and partial recoveries on our ERP and joint base Pearl Harbor Hickam PV investments. Our bank ROE for the last 12 months grew, driven by -- primarily by tax reform, continued low cost finding and strengthening yields on earning assets. On slide 8, utility earnings were 31.2 million in the second quarter of 2018 compared to 25.6 million in the second quarter of 2017. The most significant income drivers were as follows: 8 million higher RAM revenues in 2018, primarily due to lower RAM revenues in the second quarter of 2017, because of the return in 2017 to recording Oahu RAM revenues for accounting purposes on a lagged basis beginning June 1, instead of on a January’s calendar year basis due to the expiration of a 2013 settlement agreement and 7 million of rate relief from the now final Hawaiian Electric 2017 and Hawaii Electric Light 2016 test year rate cases. These amounts were partially offset by 6 million higher O&M expenses compared to 2017, primarily due to the reset of pension costs as part of the rate case interim decisions. Lava response costs and higher vegetation management costs, partially offset by higher overhauls in the prior year’s quarter; 2 million higher depreciation expense as a result of increasing investments for integration of more renewable energy; improved customer reliability and greater system efficiency; and 2 million lower net income representing the difference between the tax reform related reduction in revenue requirements based on test year projections and our actual second quarter tax reform related savings. Turning to the bank on slide 9, in the second quarter of 2018, American achieved its second consecutive quarter of record quarterly net income, reaching 20.6 million or 3.8 million higher than the second quarter of 2017 and 1.6 million higher than the first or linked quarter of 2018. Compared to the linked quarter, the increase was primarily driven by higher net interest income, which was mainly due to deposit growth that funded the loan portfolio along with lower -- a lower provision for loan losses. Compared to the second quarter of 2017, the 3.8 million higher net income was primarily driven by higher net interest income and lower tax expense from the lower federal tax rate, partially offset by lower non-interest income. On slide 10, American solid profitability continued in the second quarter with increased return on assets and continued strong net interest margin. We achieved a return on assets of 120 basis points for the quarter, exceeding our first quarter 2018 return on assets of 112 basis points and our 110 basis point threshold for the year. Net interest margin was 3.6% for the quarter and year-to-date, consistent with the linked quarter and within our guidance range of 3.7% to 3.8%. On slide 11, American’s net interest margin reflects higher yields on interest earning assets and continued low cost deposit growth that funded earning asset growth in loan and investment portfolios. Our interest earning asset yield of 3.99% increased 1 basis point over the linked quarter. Our funding costs have remained low in a rising interest rate environment, as we continue to benefit from our disciplined approach and our focus on relationship banking. Cost of funds were 24 basis points in the second quarter, just 1 basis point above the linked quarter and well below peers. On slide 12, net interest income grew by approximately 2% compared to the linked quarter, also driven by continued low cost deposit growth and higher yields on interest earning assets, discussed on the last slide. Total loans, as of June 30, 2018, increased by 104 million or 4.4% annualized from December 31, driven mainly by a $91 million increase in commercial real estate months. We expect to meet our target of low to mid single digit earning asset growth for the year. As of June 30, 2018, deposits increased by 226 million or 7.7% annualized from December 31, including approximately 100 million in repurchase agreements that were transferred into deposit accounts. Excluding such transfers, deposit growth was 4.2% annualized. On slide 13, credit quality remains sound due to prudent risk management and the healthy Hawaii economic environment. Our residential portfolio remains very clean, consumer unsecured credit quality is in line with expectations and the commercial and commercial real estate portfolios are stable with improving trends. Provision for loan losses reflected increased reserves for loan growth and additional loan loss reserves for the consumer and residential loan portfolios, partially offset by the release of reserves due to improved credit quality in other portfolios. Allowance for loan losses of 53 million was 1.11% of outstanding loans at the quarter end, a reduction from 1.14% in the linked quarter and 1.19% in the prior year. Our net charge-off ratio increased to 32 basis points for the second quarter compared to 28 basis points in the linked quarter, primarily driven by our higher margin unsecured consumer credit portfolio, which remains a profitable area of growth. Non-accrual loans, as a percent of total loans receivable held for investment, was 0.57% compared to 0.53% at the end of the linked quarter. American’s asset and finding mix remains attractive relative to peers. 100% of our loan portfolio was funded with low cost core deposits versus the aggregate of our peer banks at 88%. In the second quarter, total deposits increased by 37 million and our average cost of funds was 41 basis points lower than the peer median. American also paid $11 million in dividends to HEI in the second quarter, while remaining well capitalized at June 30 with a leverage ratio of 8.6%, the tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio of 7.6% and total risk based capital ratio for 13.9%. As we look ahead to the remainder of the year, we are revising our utility CapEx forecast for 2018 to 400 million from 450 million, due to a combination of cost savings and some scheduled delays. An estimated 18 million of the decrease is attributable to our joint based Pearl Harbor Hickam PV project, representing lower project costs of 10 million as well as our expectation that the project will now be completed in 2019 rather than 2018. An estimated 16 million is due to delays in certain other major projects, including 5 million relating to permitting for the Waiau hydro project, 5 million relating to land easements for the Maui substation project as well as lower costs for Schofield as the project was completed under budget. The remainder is due to baseline work delays due to lava flows on the Hawaii Island -- on Hawaii Island technical issues requiring additional planning and other scheduled revisions. As a result of these changes to our CapEx forecast, we now expect 2018 rate base growth of 7% to 9% versus 8% to 10% previously forecasted. Turning to our financing outlook on slide 16, the 50 million decrease in utility CapEx plan resulted in corresponding decrease of approximately 30 million in HEI’s expected 2018 investment in the utility, now estimated at 100 million. In addition, the lower utility CapEx reduced the utility’s debt requirements by 20 million, resulting in 130 million forecasted for the year, of which 100 million was placed with investors in May. At the consolidated level, we anticipate no new equity required in 2018, while we manage two metrics and a profile consistent with investment grade ratings. Turning to slide 17, we’re reaffirming HEI’s 2018 earnings guidance in the range of $1.80 to $2 per share. We are working to offset some headwinds, including one-time costs, year-to-date, partial recovery of our Schofield capital investment in our first year of operation under the MPIR mechanism and our lower CapEx outlook for the year. We have revised the utility assumptions for 2018 O&M increase over 2017 to 4%, which is the original 2% plus one-time items year to date for smart grid costs incurred before approval of a revised grid monetization strategy, a one-time rent expense adjustment for existing substation land, unbudgeted emergency repair work on -- in Oahu transmission line and an increased scope of Maui overhauls. As discussed earlier, we revised our 2018 CapEx outlook to 400 million, which impacts AFUDC. In 2019, we should benefit from the full-year of reset rates across all three utilities and a full year of recovery on substantially all of our Schofield investment. Finally, we do not expect Pacific Current to contribute meaningfully to 2018 earnings, given startup costs for the year, as we build out the platform and team. Connie will now make closing remarks.