James A. Ajello
Analyst · Morningstar
Thanks Connie. First, I'll briefly comment on Hawaii's economy. Year-to-date, visitor arrivals were essentially flat, our expenditures were up 2.5% from last year's all-time highs and still robust after many years of strong growth. Hawaii’s tourism sector is in good position to match a break visitor arrivals and spending records set in 2013. Statewide unemployment remain low at 4.4% in June 2014, significantly below the national employment rate of 6.1%. Why real estate activity was strong in the first half of 2014 with 7.1% increase and medium sales price for single family, residential homes on Oahu with a slight 0.2% decrease in the number of closed sales over the first half of last year. The June 2014 Oahu medium single family home price was $700,000. The Hawaii construction industry exhibited strong growth in the first quarter of 2014 as the value of private building permits increased 21% over the same period in 2013. 2014 state GDP is projected by the University of Hawaii in a research to increase by 2.5%. overall, we expect continuing growth in Hawaii’s economy in 2014, supported by continued recovering and construction industry and steady but slower growth in the visitor industry. Turning to our financial results as shown on slide 5, second quarter earnings with $0.41 for diluted share in 2014 consistent with prior year quarter as expected higher utility earnings offset lower bank earnings which were impacted by the challenging lower interest rates and bank regulatory environment. As you may see on slide 6, HEI’s core ROE for the last 12 months was 10.3% with the equivalent ROE contributions from the utility of 9% although bank continued to provide a strong provide a strong ROE of 10.4% as they continue to maintain a conservative risk profile. On slide 7, utility earnings were $34.2 million for the second quarter of 2014 compared to $28.7 million in the second quarter of 2013. The detailed variances are shown on the slide now I’ll just highlight a few. Utility revenues after tax were $11 million higher than the prior year quarter largely driven by the recovery of infrastructure investments. In the first quarter of 2014, we began recording the estimated revenue adjustment mechanism revenues for a while on January 1 versus June 1. And last year in the second quarter we recorded the Maui Electric customer refund from the 2012 final decision in order. O&M expenses excluding net income neutral items after tax were $2 million higher or 3.5% higher compared to the prior year quarter largely due to installing smart grid technologies as part of our grid modernization program and reversals in the second quarter of 2013 of previously expensed cost partially offset by savings from the deactivation of generating units. Although our year-to-date O&M expense is lower than the prior year by about $10 million pretax, we are maintaining our O&M guidance of flat compared to 2013 levels as we expect higher smart grid plant overhauls and consulting expenses in the second half of the year. At the bank, net income for the second quarter of 2014 was $11.7 million, $2.9 million lower than the length quarter. Noninterest income was lower driven mainly by the $2 million after tax gain on the sale of the municipal bond portfolio in the first quarter. And higher noninterest expense due to higher branch security expense product development cost and the timing debit card related expenses. Compared to the second quarter of 2013 net income was $4.2 million lower. The primary after-tax drivers were $1 million lower interchange fees due to the Durbin Amendment which became effective July 01, 2013 for American and $1 million lower mortgage banking income and $1 million lower gain on the sales of securities. Higher provision for loan losses primarily due $1 million release of reserves in connection with the decision to sell the credit card portfolio last year and the release of allowance associated with specific commercial loan pay downs. Turning to the utility on Slide 9, shows the utility’s actual ROEs for the last 12 months. The consolidated core utility ROE of 9% improved from 8.3% in June 30, primarily due to the impact of the 2013 and 2014 RAM revenues including Hawaiian Electrics incremental 2014 RAM revenues recorded from January 14 and lower O&M. However, we expect the full year 2014 to be 8.0% to 8.3% after the fourth quarter equity infusion from HEI to Hawaiian Electric. Turning to American, on Slide 11, you could see that American continue to deliver solid profitability metrics which were in line with the targets and peers. We’ve maintained a competitive return on assets 98 basis points to the first half of the year. Year-to-date annualized loan growth was 6.5% in line with our mid single-digit target for the year. In the second quarter loan growth was driven primarily by higher commercial real estate loans, residential loans and home equity lines of credit. Year-to-date annualized deposit growth was 7% keeping pace with our loan growth. Year-to-date credit costs were extremely low, our continued excellent asset quality and strong risk manager resulted in a year-to-date net charge-off ratio of a recovery of 1 basis point, extremely attractive related to peers.
.: On Slide 12, our net interest margin is at 3.55% in the second quarter of 2014 was 9 basis points lower than the linked quarter. Interest earnings asset yields declined by 9 basis points attributable to multiple factories including the store recognition of mortgage related fees as prepayment rates declined accounting for 3 basis point, the effect of the sale of the higher yielding municipal band securities in the first quarter accounting for 1 basis point. And the ongoing effect of the continuing low rate environment. A liability cost of 22 basis points was 1 basis point lower than the linked quarter supported by growth of our core deposit base. In the second quarter of 2014 non-interest income was lower than the linked quarter a $2.8 million gain on the sale of the municipal bond portfolio in the first quarter we discussed earlier. In addition, as expected mortgage banking income was lower as the refinancing market continues to slow and more production was dedicated to the portfolio. Turning to credit quality, provision for loan losses was $1 million in second quarter consistent with the linked quarter but higher than the net credit of $1 million in the second quarter of ’13 driven by the reserve release in connection with our credit card portfolio sale. Full provision was $2 million year-to-date in the second quarter increases in reserve results for loan growth and charge-offs were offset by recoveries from two previously charged-off loans. Consistent with the improving credit quality trends American had a net recovery of $0.4 million in the second quarter as compared to net charge-offs of $0.2 million in the linked quarter and $0.8 million in the prior year quarter. Second quarter 2014 net loan charge-off was especially low at a recovery of 4 basis points compared to a charge off of 2 basis points in the linked quarter and 8 basis points in the prior year quarter. We now expect provision expense to be at the lower end of our 2014 guidance range of $5 million to $7 million. The allowance for loan losses was 0.99% of outstanding loans at quarter end consistent with the 0.98% for the linked quarter. The asset quality continues to improve reflecting the healthy local economy and strong risk management practices. The nonperforming assets ratio on Slide 15 of 1.05% was 7 basis points lower compared to the end of the first quarter and lower than the 1.56% at the end of the second quarter last year. This is consistent with our improved credit quality effective credit, risk management and strong loan growth. Slide 16, illustrates American’s continued to attractive assets and funding mixed relative to our peer banks. Americans June 30, 2014 balance sheet is fact again the last available dataset for our peers which is as of March 2014. 96% of our loan portfolio was funded low cost versus the aggregative of our peers of at 91%. In the second quarter total deposits increased $47 million or 4% annualized to $4.5 billion. American remains well capitalized with a leverage ratio of 9%, tangible common equity to total assets of 8.5% and total risk based capital ratio of 12.6% of at June 30, 2014. In the second quarter American paid $9.75 million in dividends to HEI for maintaining capital levels are healthy. Turning to our 2014 outlook, we are reaffirming HEI’s earnings guidance range $1.57 to $1.67 per share. Our assumption of our 2014 equity needs also remains the same. We would note that this includes July 14 settlement of 1 million shares under the equity forward net proceeds of approximately $24 million. These proceeds were used to pay short term borrowings and will later this year be used to fund roughly $60 million of equity in Hawaiian Electric by year-end. There are currently 4.7 million shares left under the equity forward. There is no change in the EPS guidance range of utility or the bank, but noted the utility historically that utility earnings were weighed more towards the second half of the year, however, with the 2014 revenue adjustment mechanism for a while reported from July 01 instead of June the lower spending at the utility during the first half of the year. 2014 utility earnings are expected to be more expected to be more evenly distributed between the first and second half of the year. Jim, let me just interrupt. Recorded from January 01, I think it’s July 01.