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Hudson Technologies, Inc. (HDSN)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 1, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Hudson Technologies' Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jennifer Belodeau. You may begin.

Jennifer Belodeau

Analyst

Thank you. Good evening and welcome to our conference call to discuss Hudson Technologies' financial results for the third quarter 2023. On the call today are Brian Coleman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Nat Krishnamurti, CFO. I'll now take a moment to read the Safe Harbor statement. During the course of this conference call, we will make certain forward-looking statements. All statements that address expectations, opinions or predictions about the future are forward-looking statements. Although they reflect our current expectations and are based on our best view of the industry and our business as we see them today, they are not guarantees of future performance. Please understand that these statements involve a number of risks and assumptions and since those elements can change, in certain cases, are not within our control, we would ask that you consider and interpret them in that light. We urge you to review Hudson's most recent Form 10-K and other subsequent SEC filings for a discussion of the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our business and our performance and the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially. With that out of the way, I’ll turn the call over to Brian Coleman. Go ahead, Brian.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Good evening and thank you for joining us. We delivered solid third quarter results which included continued profitability and strong cash flow to close out our traditional nine month cooling season. That said, as we expected on a comparative basis, third quarter of 2023 revenue margin decreased relative to the significantly strong revenue margin performance achieved in 2022. The primary driver for the comparative decrease was a 27% decline in the sales price for certain refrigerants when compared to the third quarter of 2022. As we detailed previously throughout most of 2022, we saw substantial sale price increases without a corresponding increase in inventory price. Conversely, the 2023 cooling season was characterized both challenging pricing environment and lower sales volume for the nine month season. Specifically for the nine month period, we saw a decline of approximately 17% in the sale price of certain refrigerants as compared to the first nine months of last year. In addition, the late arrival of warmer weather to many parts of the U.S., which impacted demand for certain refrigerants, slightly impacted volume unfavorably for this season. Even with the significant pricing headwinds, we achieved our gross margin of 40%, which is slightly higher than our long-term targeted gross margin levels. Margins were favorably impacted again this quarter, similar to what we saw in the second quarter this year, from higher margin carbon sales and from sales related to the DLA contract. Without those additional contributions, gross margins would have been closer to 38%. As we mentioned last quarter, we are tracking toward the highest annual revenue from our DLA contract. From our vantage point, we remain comfortable with our long-range gross margin target of 35%. Our ability to consistently deliver strong profitable and operating cash flow allowed us to aggressively pay down our debt…

Nat Krishnamurti

Analyst

Thank you, Brian. For the third quarter ended September 30, 2023, Hudson recorded revenues of $76.5 million, a decrease of 15% compared to revenues of $89.5 million in the comparable 2022 period. The decrease is primarily related to decrease selling prices for certain refrigerants, partially offset by increased refrigerant sales volume, and revenues from the company's DLA or Defense Logistics Agency program during the period as compared to the third quarter of 2022. Gross margin was 40% for the third quarter of 2023 compared to 49% in the third quarter of 2022. As expected and previously communicated, gross margin has begun to moderate as the gap between inventory cost and sales price narrows to more historical levels. Third quarter gross margin was favorably impacted by increased DLA and carbon credit revenue, and we remain comfortable with our long range gross margin target of 35%. SG&A for the third quarter of 2023 was $6.8 million compared to SG&A of $7.2 million recorded in the third quarter of 2022. We recorded operating income of $23.1 million in the third quarter of 2023 compared to operating income of $36.3 million in the third quarter of 2022. The company recorded net income of $13.6 million or $0.30 per basic and $0.29 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2023 compared to net income of $29.4 million or $0.65 per basic and $0.62 per diluted share in the same period of 2022. During the third quarter of 2023, the company recorded $3.4 million of non-recurring costs, primarily related to the write off of deferred financing costs with respect to the full and final payoff of the company's term loan, which are included as interest expense in the company's statements of income. Excluding these non-recurring costs, Hudson achieve non-GAAP adjusted net income of $16.1 million…

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Thank you, Nat. Our third quarter performance provided a solid close to the 2023 cooling season. As I said earlier, we believe the unprecedented 40% step down in the HFC baseline production and consumption allowances represents a tremendous opportunity for our company and its reclaim capabilities to bridge the anticipated gap of the HFC supply and demand. We remain focused on our commitment to providing the sustainable products and services, which will allow safe and efficient cooling and refrigeration, utilizing more environmentally friendly alternatives. Operator, we will now open the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Gerry Sweeney with ROTH Capital. Gerry, please proceed.

Gerry Sweeney

Analyst

Good afternoon. Brian and Nat, thanks for taking my call.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Good afternoon, Gerry. Hello.

Gerry Sweeney

Analyst

Could you talk a little bit about the HFC reclaim activity at Hudson as well as potential opportunities to increase just overall reclaim industry, reclaim activity, vis-a-vis the EPA rulings that are being worked out?

Brian Coleman

Analyst

So, we typically report our annual reclaim numbers at the end of the year. And the reason we've done that historically, while the refrigerant sales typically wind down at Q4, our recovery comes in pretty strong. All the way through our refrigerant sales wind down in the Q3, the recovery and reclamation activity continues through most of Q4. Part of it is the accumulation of refrigerants held by contractors. But we're now entering that season where larger systems are being turned down and retrofits and conversions occur. So we'll be reporting on that at the end of the year. But so far it's been a strong reclaim year. Moving to the other part of your question and the refrigerant management rule, the EPA is really taking a significant move to mandate the use of reclamation both at the OEM level and at the servicing level. And the anticipated demand in the future, depending on the type of refrigerant and the CO2 equivalent, is certainly in some instances as low as maybe a six-time growth from where we are today to possibly as high as a 10-fold growth where we are today. Particularly, what we think will be interesting to see is how allowance holders will treat higher GWP refrigerants like 404A or possibly 410A and whether they'll be willing to continue to produce them and whether or not that then becomes an opportunity for the higher GWP gases to really be served 100% with reclaimed refrigerants. These kinds of things we don't really know today, how all of this will progress, but likely we'll see trends occurring throughout 2024 and into 2025 about how folks will think about higher GWP refrigerants versus lower GWP HFC refrigerants. So I hopefully answer your question, Gerry.

Gerry Sweeney

Analyst

Yes. And just on the higher GWP refrigerants, correct me if I'm wrong, but the 404A, it's a higher impact to the environment. So it uses up more allowances. So that's from a, say, economical point of view, producers would want to produce less of that and more of a lower GWP gas so they can produce a higher volume of that. Is that correct if I articulated it correctly or clearly?

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Yes. No, I think you're exactly right. So to be specific, 404A is like 4,001. 134A is closer to 1,000. A refrigerant that's likely going to get a foothold over the next five years is R32, and that's about 675. So say in another way to what you just described, if you're going to make, let's say, 134A, you could probably make close to four pounds compared to one pound of 404A. So should 404A be priced at four times 134A as an example or just not make it at all? And these are things we just don't know yet. As I just said a moment ago, we'll start to see trends in 2024 and then certainly by 2025, we'll have a better understanding how people will think about things. And to go back, this is why, this particular phase out has many differences compared to the ODS phase outs. One particular difference here is even with a 40% reduction in the HFC consumption allowances for next year, all new equipment for the most part will be HFC-based being installed. Whereas with 2022, the equipment was phased out 10 years before the refrigerant was. So there's a lot of differences there. But again, the big difference here, it's not a refrigerant phase out, it's a CO2E phase out.

Gerry Sweeney

Analyst

Got it. Excuse me, second kind of question, gross margins 40% above your long-term goal of 35%. And I do see prices down in terms of refrigerant prices down. So you would assume if you're collecting gas and paying 50% of the price, you would assume somewhat of a lower gross margin depending on the inventory rolls. But can you walk me through maybe the 40% gross margin, how impactful with the carbon credit sales and the DLA project versus I guess some of the other gas sales so we get a little bit clearer picture of what's going on there?

Nat Krishnamurti

Analyst

Well, as we said, without those two groups of sales, gross margins would have probably been closer to 38%. DLA right now, we're seeing a tremendous amount of activity, much more so than we've ever seen before. This is now the second quarter that we reported their revenues are up and we're likely headed towards a record annual revenue volume with the DLA, which we'll report at your end. Carbon sales just kind of come and go. They're not overly material, but because the offset market has been pretty strong in terms of pricing the margins on that transaction when you complete them, which could take some time, could be higher than what they might have been historically. So at some point, we're not sure how our inventory costs will compare to pricing. But if there was a stable pricing environment, then our costing should increase relative to the sale price, which then should take us on to something closer to overall blended 35% gross margin. If we see price increases like we saw with 2022, then we could do much better on the gross margin level. And then certainly, if we see the growth and reclamation as anticipated in the refrigerant management rule from the EPA, then our mix would change and then we would have higher or more volume refrigerants that we reclaimed versus distributing product we bought from a producer. And the margins on reclaimed typically are closer to 50%, which would help improve that overall blend.

Gerry Sweeney

Analyst

Got it. Helpful. I'll jump back in line. I appreciate it.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Ryan Sigdahl from Craig-Hallum Capital. Please proceed.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

Hey, Brian, Nat.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Good evening.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

Curious, the decline in refrigerant pricing, I think it was down a little bit sequentially as well. But can you talk through what you're seeing in the industry and what you think drove that as we get closer to 2024, A little surprised when we saw it dripped a little lower at the tail end of the season here?

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Yes, so we think as it relates starting back to Q3 of last year, like the very tail end, let's say the month of September, we saw prices starting to come down and possibly that allowance holders overestimated what demand might be in the second half of the year relative to the first half of the year. And they may have found that they had extra allowances, so they started to lower the price. We think that philosophy for the allowance holders continued into the beginning of the 2023 year. And unfortunately, Q1's weather was not as warm as Q1's weather in 2022. So if you're in a situation where you need to sell, you're likely going to be forced to sell at a lower price. And we saw the lower pricing condition continue pretty much through most of the nine-month season going from somewhere above $10 a pound to probably a low of about $8 a pound in general for HFCs. Recently, we've seen a little rebounding in HFC pricing as we exit in Q3 starting into Q4. We feel pretty good about where the pricing is at the moment. It's headed back towards that $10 a pound, it looks like, price that we sort of started the year at. And so we just think next year is going to be a whole new year to start over, in some respects. Most of the customers that buy refrigerant are not going to buy until, let's say, March of next year, April of next year, once they get out of the heating equipment and start to get into the cooling equipment. And likely the overall psychological impact of a 40% reduction will somehow be reflected in pricing starting in Q1 of 2024.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

With the price headwinds this year, you're still putting up, surprising upside to the margins. I guess keep talking at 35% or a little better. But without those price headwinds, I would think it would have been even better in the quarter. So, I guess, can you talk through structural margins in the business, in the industry, you mentioned the one-timers, but even at 38%, that's solidly better with those price headwinds. So any extra color on the margin?

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Again, I think we have done a pretty good job going back a few years. We started the initiative of trying to create more of a value proposition with not all customers, not all buyers of refrigerant, because many buyers of refrigerant are just looking for cheap price. But we focused on working with customers that had the opportunity to support recovery and reclamation, to support the principles we have around lifecycle refrigerant management. And as a result, I think the strength of the relationship helps in some respects relative to other customers who are just focused on price. And we think that's going to be important as we enter 2024. I think and certainly I can't say that this is true, but I think that those folks that were focused on price are going to have a hard time getting access to the supply next year, or certainly having a hard time to buy in a manner by which they previously did so. So we're happy with our customer base. We try to grow the customer base. We try to introduce reclamation and recovery programs to customers. We spent a lot of time this year going downstream to contractors to help educate them on the importance of recovery, to give them best practices, to help speed up the recovery once they have that opportunity. So we feel pretty good, I mean, really good, I guess, about our relationship with our customers and our ability to translate that into value and profitability.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

Good. Then just switching over to the carbon credit opportunity, we're hearing more excitement in the industry around that opportunity. Any quantitative metrics you can share about growth in your carbon credits and how you think about the opportunity over the next few years?

Brian Coleman

Analyst

We actually don't necessarily think the carbon markets have a growth opportunity for Hudson. We're currently participating in two types of markets. One is a mandatory market relative to the state of California, but the protocol that is related to refrigerants is solely attributable to the destruction of CFCs. And as you know, CFCs and CFC equipment haven't been installed or manufactured since 1994. We just feel that that protocol and the availability of CFCs are sunsetting. And so to the extent that there are no more CFC systems at some point, then the protocol really will have no material value. On a voluntary basis, currently there's a protocol that supports a reclamation of HFCs, but because it's voluntary, it likely is going to go away when the mandate for uses of reclaimed refrigerants are put in place, because then it's not really a voluntary process, it's a mandated process, and typically when that's the case, the voluntary protocol goes away. So we don't know what will happen with these different protocols, but the ones that we currently operate in likely will diminish or possibly go away in time. Alternatively, new protocols could be established, and then there could be a new opportunity if and when they were established.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

Helpful. Thanks. Good luck, guys.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Austin Moeller with Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

Hi, Brian. Good evening.

Brian Coleman

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

Good evening.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

So just a question here. Do you expect that the contractors in the HVAC industry are adequately prepared to increase the amount of reclamation that's going on and the number of cylinders being sent to reclaimers by the second or third quarter of next year? Or do you think that it could potentially be quite chaotic just given the 40% virgin production cap?

Brian Coleman

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

Historically, participants in our industry are less prepared than we would think they should be, and likely that's the case for next year. However, what we have been doing particularly for this calendar year and probably started the second half of last year is trying to create more awareness and participate in educational seminars and training seminars geared for contractors. So I think the folks that we've been able to touch and reach and speak to and folks that listen to the playbacks and things like that should be prepared. You raised a good question, cylinders and access to cylinders. There may be some reclaimers that will have difficulties getting access to cylinders and supporting greater recoveries. We already use a pretty substantial reusable fleet, which recovery cylinders are reusable steel as opposed to disposable. And so while we can't say that there won't be some shortages on cylinders next year, particularly if there's a significant growth in reclamation, I think our position with cylinders and availability of access to getting cylinders possibly would be better than most others in the reclamation industry.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

And do you expect that your current number of laboratories and your footprint is sufficient to meet the uptick in reclamation? I know you've talked about adding chips.

Brian Coleman

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

You're correct. We're still waiting for the 2022 data should be out very shortly, but as it goes back to the 2021 data, if you look at the totality of the reclaimed pounds, 2021 was lower than some of the peak years by a few million pounds industry-wide. So today, let's say reclaimers on average are probably reclaiming fewer pounds than what was the peak period. But even back to the peak period, the EPA has done studies on our industry that would have said that there was enough capacity to more than triple the volume. We've always talked about we could always go to a second shift if we needed on a reclaimed capacity. We've been investing each and every year on more lean production processes, but also automation, particularly around the handling of cylinders so that when a cylinder comes in the door within two business days, a cylinder goes out. And a lot of the automation that we're adding would correlate to how the propane industry evolved in the mid to late 90s with the general swap programs that you see today and how to refurbish and move steel through a plan to their fill lines and so forth. So we spent a lot of time and energy. We think we'll be able to meet any growth in capacity. We certainly do expect to have additional CapEx dollars, but typically our CapEx is $5 million annually or less. And likely that kind of trend I would expect to continue unless there was something meaningful in a change of what we decide to do.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Canaccord. Austin, please proceed.

Okay, great. Thanks for the details.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of the question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to management for closing remarks.

Brian Coleman

Analyst

Thank you, operator. I'd like to thank our employees for their continued support and dedication to our business. I want to again thank our long time shareholders and those that recently joined us for their support. We look forward to speaking with you after the fourth quarter results and have a good night, everybody. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.