Aditya Puri
Analyst · Rahul Jain from Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Srini. Good evening, all of you, and thanks for taking the time off to listen to us. I will cover the opening remarks in 3 portions. First, I want to get these Twitter messages out of the way. Then I will give you an idea as to what kind of work we've put in to get the results that we got during the COVID quarter. And last but not the least, I would like to clear all the uncertainty regarding our future in terms of succession, management planning, our business plan. And then our team, which is actually what has performed to give you the results, will cover individual aspects, whether it is about NPA, whether it's about our unsecured loans, whether it is about our credit risk, whether we will have a sudden jump with the moratorium going off or we've taken proactive measures to see what is happening, the fact that we have a clearly defined succession plan coupled with the team in place. So let me start first. So we've been getting these messages seeming to suggest that there is some turmoil in the employees based on transition. So let me cover that one by one. As far as Mr. Munish Mittal, our Chief Technology Officer, was concerned, he talked to me about me and the management about a year back, whereby he said he would like to go into more detailed and advanced studies in technology at Oxford. I told him, "No problem. You've been loyal and you've been -- we know you love the bank." So he was set milestones that he had to achieve before he moved on. He's achieved the milestones; and now he's sitting in Oxford in London, preparing for becoming an even better expert on technology. The second was Mr. Abhay Aima. Abhay was one of the founding people with the bank. He's been with us 25 years and loves the bank with his life. And he played a stellar role in achieving a lot in terms of private banking, in terms of product management, in terms of high net worth. And he also expressed alternative interest which I am aware of but I don't want to specify. He again was told by me that, as soon as he's trained his successors and I'm satisfied with their ability to cope, I would be happy if he pursued his active interest. Because you only live once. He did that, and he moved on. Then we've had this issue on the auto loan business, so let's -- let me clarify that very clearly. The bank has a robust policy and process to deal with complaints and allegations and take action as appropriate in the said instance as well. The bank has followed due process, suffice it to say, that as a bank we have always upheld the highest standards of governance and proprietary at all times and will continue to do so. We had received some whistleblowing complaints. Internal inquires carried out in the matter on the complaint received has not bought out any conflict-of-interest issue, nor does it have any bearing on our loan portfolio. The inquiry did bring out other aspects related to personal misconduct exhibited by a set of employees, for which appropriate disciplinary actions have been initiated or taken. Based on the internal inquiry timing, the appropriate action was taken against a set of employees of auto loan business segment for their active personal misconduct. Mr. Ashok Khanna, being head of the referred business segment, had also participated in the inquiry process. Subsequently, he superannuated on March 31, 2020, upon expiry of his tenure and as per the original term of employment. Based on further development in the inquiry process, appropriate action as necessary will be taken in the highest form of corporate governance. Lastly, we come to this alone. I don't want to take the name of the company, where we've been asked by RBI to refund some money. We had appropriated that money based on sound and very strong legal advice. However, as the regulator has advised us, we thought fit that we will return the money. This -- and we become pari passu with the other creditors, and whatever amount there has been provided for. So I think we have exhibited exemplary standards across 25 years. And I don't see any reason why the culture, the base of 200,000 people, will change. So that -- now that I put that aside, let me tell you how we got our results during COVID. It's been a superhuman effort, and I thank all our employees for that. The economy appears to have recovered sharply from April, the trough in response to unlocking, a whole range of high-frequency indicators ranging from oil consumption and electricity consumption, to e-way bill and toll collections and the purchase managers' index on marked improvement in May that sustained in June. Anecdotal evidence on capacity utilization of some of the companies like auto, steel, FMCG seems to corroborate this conclusion. The pickup in tractor 2-wheeler and small car sales as well as the nature of FMCG items that have shown robust growth point to a rural bias in the recovery and are consistent with 2 themes. First, the rural economy seems to have been relatively isolated from the virus. Second, the robust rabi or winter crop of the previous cycle and the satisfactory progress of this season's summer or kharif crop has manifested in a healthy income in the hands of the farm sector as well as expectations of income boost going forward as the summer crop is harvested. While this points to a potentially good recovery, there could be moderation going forward. A part of this demand is indeed pent-up demand from the lockdown phase that could lose steam. Second, the steady rise in infections and the greater dispersion across the country means that containment remains a policy challenge. And partial lockdowns that are being imposed in different pockets could hinder a full-grown recovery. [Indiscernible] has been recovering strong in the range of 5% to 6% year-on-year over last few fortnights. This could sustain as credit disposal to MSMEs backed by government guarantee gains momentum. The transmission of 150 basis point rate cuts in February and the presence of a large surplus liquidity of 6,50,000 crore currently has led to a sharp decline in yields and borrowing costs for other tenures. It also augurs well that the market would be able to absorb the additional borrowing of the government. However, duration risk and the large supply of central and state government paper have set a floor to longer-tenured loans and debt paper. In our internal review, we expect another 25 to 50 basis points cut in the policy rate over the near term and yield management operations such as twist and conventional open-market operation to pick up in the second half of '21. Now we come to employees. It is imperative to place on record our sincere appreciation to the thousands of our employees across the bank. We are proud to say that our bank is one of the few in the country which has given increments, bonuses, promotions as we have always done. This is no favor to anybody. The employees delivered, and since they have delivered, they were entitled to their share of the profits of the bank. Our bank has been well positioned to play a meaningful role in the changing work landscape. 2/3 of our employees outside of the branches are working from home. Certain branch staff come in to service customers on a rotational basis. We have improved productivity across the board. We have been extremely careful about the safety of our employees, from arranging for transport, from having them work from home, from disinfecting, from making doctor service available, from making insurance available, as employee safety is our prime concern as well. In quarter 1, the highlight was rolling out our "anywhere working" construct for the retail branch personnel through various initiatives in early April that enabled our people to engage with customers telephonically or through video conference, which is much appreciated by the customers. During the quarter, and this is what I want to get across, we have been working at an excellent capacity. During the quarter, on an average, we had customer interactions per month of approximately 225,000 per day, totaling to 68 lakh customer interactions in the month, almost double of what we saw in March, with higher salience towards telephone or video. During the quarter, we acquired 1.2 million liability customers, approximately 1,30,000 accounts, the -- no, sorry, approximately 13,000 accounts a day. This is about 80% of prior year quarter 1 levels. Despite the COVID-19 environment, this was driven through various strategies that we've adopted, including enhanced digital journeys. The enhancement to digitization of our processes such as InstaAccount journey, new account, online funding journey , fixed deposit renewal through voice bot, are some illustrative examples that help us to acquire new customers and have them onboarded digitally. It also enables the customers to access net banking and cash -- cardless cash withdrawal through ATM and so on. We are entering prime time to scale up our various digital journeys. The technology is in place. The people are in place. And as the lockdown moves, we will keep the -- digitizing our current account onboarding, video KYC and so on to supplement our existing digital offering. By and large, our branches remain open for customers. 95% of the branches are operational, and I'd like to thank -- and we as management would like to thank all our employees for their dedicated efforts. Approximately 13,000 ATMs across the country are operational, which is with an average uptime of 92%. Digital, a lot of people talk about digital. Our virtual relationship team continues to be enabled on our available technology solutions to ensure productivity of resources on WFH, which is work from home, i.e., CRM on mobile and customer engagement. We are seeing good traction on liabilities at this channel. Our launch of video KYC on a limited pilot basis through this channel has enabled 100% digital full KYC accounts for our customers. This capability has been scaled up in quarter 2. VRM has increased its relationship productivity to 22 call engagements per day versus 18 in April. On phone banking and telesales, 50% of our resources are unable to work from home. As far as marketing is concerned, a lot of you will have seen that A.R. Rahman, who is a customer of the bank and understands that we are a good citizen as well, agreed to do the concept along with his colleague for free. And I would like to take this opportunity to thank both Mr. Rahman and Mr. Prasoon Joshi personally. On phone banking and telesales, 50% resources are unable to work at home, that I've told you already. We also dispelled this doom and gloom corona aaya toh corona jayega bhi. Duniya chalegi, thoda beech me difficulty hoyega. Summer treats launched by us has shown good traction in participating merchants and consumers, where we have a plethora of merchant-funded offers, some national offers on electronics, for example, Apple, Samsung; and great deals on various products. This was launched to boost sales and send a confidence message to consumers, manufacturers and merchants that HDFC Bank is with you even in times of adversity. On the payment business. Payment business volumes, both acquiring and issuance, in June '20 saw a bounce back to about 70% of January '20 levels. Strong tractions are seen on the categories such as daily essentials, medical expenses, food home delivery. Since these are low-ticket spends with high frequency, it led to higher engagement levels with customers on payment instruments. While travel, hospitality and the like have been muted, many other high spends have increased, such as online education, subscription services, e-commerce, as a consequence, has grown faster than off-line payments. On the merchant acquiring business, the model has been to create a thriving and efficient HDFC Bank merchant payments and collections ecosystem, with value-added services helping drive merchant business. As far as corporate and wholesale banking is concerned, we actually went in for AAA corporates. On a total basis on our balance sheet, we improved the risk rating of our balance sheet by 30 basis points to 4.3. And we had also restricted consumer loans, which are good, but till we have a greater recovery, we have stopped them. And we are watching the recovery, which we hope we should be able to start by September. We have seen significantly higher activities by domestic companies and FIs during the quarter in the debt market. The debt raised was in excess of 22,155 crores. This amount was 60% higher on a year-on-year basis. In the corporates, also raised 102,665 crores from the equity markets through a mix of various instruments. We were actively involved in these fund raisings. SME assets were on a declining trend but received a partial offset Q-on-Q to the -- because of the guarantee scheme. Retail asset. Retail originations fell by 70% during the quarter, both as a combination of tightening of credit standards as well as some amount of pessimism in the borrowers. The personal loan book, not surprisingly, contributed to the brunt of the impact, a drop of 86% in origination, a reflection not just of the lockdown but also our own prudence as we tightened in an otherwise uncertain environment. Credit cards dropped by 87%, and spends fell by 40%, leading to a book contracting by 4.5% during the quarter. Loan originations in the vehicle segment fell. However, the recovery and this time, we are almost back and especially for the small cars and 2-wheelers, tractors is record, these are back to about 75% of pre-COVID level. Other products showed recovery as well. Then we come to collection. The good part is we gave everybody full salary. We gave the increment. We gave them the bonus, and we have not laid off a single person. We have also told our people that, given our expectation of delivery and the superhuman efforts they have put in -- which is the main strength of HDFC Bank, the training and the HDFC Bank team. So we moved our excess sales staff to collections. And Srini and Jimmy will cover this later, which will tell you how well we have been able to estimate our NPAs as well as what success we've had in our collection efforts. We've also contributed to society, which we normally do. We are a good bank, but we have a heart of gold. Besides our CSR activities, we also gave INR 70 crores to the Prime Minister's relief fund and have given in various states, improving hospital service, buying of kits, buying of ventilators, providing for umbrellas for the police, providing food, medical supplies, all of that. Now this gives you of some idea of the effort and how much we have changed to be able to produce this result. Now I come to the second part. The second part clearly is an understanding that did I train my successor. Do I have a management team that is in place to take care of the future? Did we put in the right technology? And what is going to happen? When I came back from Silicon Valley, after I had a lot of people tell me that, between the fintechs and the other developments that were taking place, we will be blown out the market, what I found there was that, with the secular shifts in telecommunication, computing, social mobility and artificial intelligence, the operating models for the companies will change completely. The people who understood this and changed their operating models, leading to a better product delivery to the customer, coupled with lower transaction costs and better customer service thrived. That's where you've got the Apples and the Googles and the Netflix. We came back and decided that we should -- we also wanted to try using this change that has come in the world. And we set ourselves the goal that we will provide frictionless service, benchmarking against an Amazon or a Google. We will provide frictionless service and enjoy the customer journey across a wide product range and geographies in the most convenient manner to the customers. So we all sat down, the entire team, and prepared our plans to figure out what we're going to be doing going forward. This was the team effort for determining the strategy, for determining our action plan, for determining the changes required in process, the changes required in marketing, the changes required in technology and what could -- it could do to increase our distribution. The team worked and came out with a vision and an action plan. We appointed a change agent to make sure that -- most changes fail because there is not enough monitoring and commitment. Every man jack of the 200,000 people bought into the change. That's our strength. You can talk to anybody anywhere, and he will give you the same talk that I'm giving you here today. And we put our plans in place completely to see which businesses we will dominate, what we would do, what technology we will have. That has been in place, and where do we find ourselves today. We are the only brand -- and I'm not talking Indian brand and I'm not talking about a bank that comes in the top 100. We are #65 in the Millford brand recognition globally, among all global companies, which I think is a great achievement in our being able to get across our strengths to our customer base. We have approximately 18.9% capital adequacy, which is a result of our deciding the proper target market, the proper marketing, the proper technology, the proper costs, the probability of default and leave and monitoring that this is effectively monitored to give us enough return to take care of our delinquency, return on -- to equity shareholders, pay our employees and return their deposits. We have -- our base portfolio is not strained because in all cases we are in the middle and upper middle. And Jimmy will explain how even the cash flow-based lending, which all of you people call unsecured, is -- the quality of that lending, how it holds up even in the most tough circumstances. So that's not a cause of worry. It's a cause of strength, which I will let Jimmy and all explain as we go forward. We changed our technology from core banking to middleware, to enterprise and now service -- software as a service to be able to deliver across all channels and omnichannel experience. 2 clicks, and you're able to do your business. And using artificial intelligence to come down to customer segmentation of one. All this is almost complete. And among with us, we have some of the most advanced technology companies who are not fundamentally the old, the IBM and et cetera. These are the people that are looking at software as a service, and they have told us we are among the top 5 globally. You will be hearing shortly from us on the subject. We talked so 5 years back about semi-urban and rural India. And we are today almost an emerging market in terms of product, in terms of technology, in terms of distribution. We opened 50% of our branches in semi-urban and rural India. And we added already about 15,000 banking correspondents, which will increase further, giving us one of the largest distribution franchises in semi-urban and rural India. I can continue forever, but I've got a very competent team to talk from here onwards. And so regarding my successor, the main successors in respect of where the RBI finger points are -- have been with me. They understand the business. They were part of the transformation. They were part of the training. They are part, and the people love them, so there is no issue on who is the successor. And you would have seen in today’s AGM all the talk about there is difference here, difference there. I think it should have been very clear there is no difference anywhere, and we are very clear on we are going -- where we are going forward. The team itself will cover where -- how we've transformed our banking experience in the branches; what we are doing to dominate the payment business; where our digital will take us both for retail and corporate, retail in terms of our frictionless omnichannel experience, corporate in terms of either host-to-host integration or APIs; and further, how we've been able to take our products in vernacular to the semi-urban and rural areas. We are market leaders in retail lending. We -- and what we did in terms of what we did on corporate lending. How we have been able to maintain and sustain what we are doing on SME, what we're doing in agriculture, what -- we are one of the few people even on small lending. We are also a company with a heart of gold. And they will also cover what we've done in terms of adopting villages, completely transforming the village, what we've done in terms of sustainable livelihood, why we are on the Guinness book of world record on blood, what we've done about changing education, what we've done about in productivity. So with that, I hope I've covered for you where we're going, what we are doing, what are the rumors, the facts that we -- 25 years, we have been icon of corporate integrity and governance. I don't think anything changes there. The team that we have, the plan that we have, the execution capability we have, the training that we have, the succession planning and the equation between the intended successor and the team. So what I said in my annual report, the best of HDFC Bank is yet to come. Srini, can you take over on the financials? And then Rahul can talk on corporate, and Jimmy can talk on...