Peter Gerald Kukielski
Analyst · Stifel Financial
Thank you, Eugene. Our key company objectives for 2026 are summarized on Slide 10. We continue to focus on operational excellence, advancing organic growth opportunities and prudently allocating capital to deliver attractive high-return growth. At the core, we intend to demonstrate continued operational excellence to enable substantial free cash flow generation while maintaining industry-leading cost performance. We plan to achieve this by investing in high-return brownfield growth opportunities across our operating platform, such as the mill throughput enhancement projects. We plan to prudently invest in our attractive organic growth pipeline to deliver long-term production increases. This includes completing the Copper World definitive feasibility study, progressing the New Ingerbelle permitting and development, advancing studies on our regional satellite properties in Snow Lake, executing our large Snow Lake exploration program to look for new anchor deposits, initiating a pre-feasibility study at Mason, advancing Flin Flon tailings reprocessing project analysis and preparing for Maria Reyna and Caballito exploration to provide significant long-term upside potential in Peru. With a strengthened balance sheet and our first ever dividend increase, we entered the year with unmatched financial flexibility. In 2026, we intend to maintain strong financial discipline by implementing our capital allocation framework to maximize returns. This will be achieved by continuing to reduce total debt, sourcing efficient project level financing for Copper World and evaluating all types of capital redeployment opportunities to generate the highest risk-adjusted returns. Turning to Slide 11. As I mentioned earlier, 2025 represents the 11th consecutive year in which Hudbay achieved its annual consolidated copper production guidance, which includes every year since Constancia declared commercial production. 2025 also represents the fifth consecutive year achieving our annual consolidated gold production guidance since establishing stand-alone gold production guidance after Snow Lake became a primary gold-producing operation. In 2026, consolidated copper production is expected to increase by 5% to 124,000 tonnes using the midpoint of the guidance range. This is driven by higher expected production in British Columbia as a result of mill throughput ramping up to the target 50,000 tonnes per day in the second half of the year, partially offset by the depletion of Pampacancha in December 2025. Consolidated gold production in 2026 is expected to decrease by 9% to 244,500 ounces as a result of the depletion of Pampacancha. However, unstreamed gold production is expected to increase in 2026 with higher gold production in Manitoba as operations normalize following the wildfires, and we continued to achieve strong performance at the New Britannia mill. In Peru, 2026 copper production is expected to be relatively consistent year-over-year at 82,500 tonnes as higher mill throughput is expected to largely offset the grade decline with the depletion of Pampacancha. Peru gold production is expected to decline to 17,500 ounces with the depletion of Pampacancha. The short-term mine plan changes in 2025 to optimize the mine plan during the period of social unrest resulted in reduced stripping activities in 2025, which has caused some grade resequencing in 2026, but we expected higher copper production in Peru in 2027 and 2028. In Manitoba, 2026 gold production is expected to be 200,000 ounces, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase as the operations normalize after the unprecedented wildfires. We expect to see continued strong mill throughput at New Britannia continue to operate above 2,000 tonnes per day in 2026, far exceeding its original design capacity of 1,500 tonnes per day. In British Columbia, 2026 copper production is expected to be 30,000 tonnes, representing a 26% increase from 2025 production levels. This increase will be driven by the throughput improvements in the second half of the year. We expect to release an updated 3-year production outlook with our annual mineral reserve and resource update in late March. Slide 12 summarizes our cost guidance. 2026 consolidated cash costs are expected to remain at historically low levels within a range of negative $0.30 to negative $0.10 per pound of copper. Cash costs this year will continue to benefit from higher gold production as a byproduct and our continued focus on maintaining strong operating cost control across the business. Sustaining cash cost guidance for 2026 is expected to be within $1.70 to $2.10 per pound of copper, benefiting from higher copper production and higher byproduct credits, offset by higher expected sustaining capital expenditures. In Peru, 2026 copper cash costs are expected to be between $1.70 and $2.10 per pound, reflecting steady unit operating cost performance, offset by lower byproduct credits with the depletion of Pampacancha. Peru cash costs will benefit positively from lower treatment and refining charges and lower electricity rates with a new renewable power contract in effect. In Manitoba, gold cash costs are expected to be between $500 and $800 per ounce in 2026, remaining at industry low levels, driving strong margins at current gold prices. In British Columbia, copper cash costs are expected to decrease in 2026 to a range of $1.50 to $2.50 per pound. The decrease will be driven by higher copper production, higher by-product credits and higher capitalized stripping related to the accelerated stripping activities. Capital expenditures in 2026 include approximately $96 million of capital deferrals from 2025, higher growth capital spending as we reinvest in several high-return growth projects and onetime sustaining capital expenditures. Total sustaining capital expenditures are expected to be $435 million and total growth capital expenditures at the operations are expected to be $140 million, excluding Copper World joint venture spending. The growth capital for Copper World is expected to be $135 million. In Peru, 2026 sustaining capital is expected to be maintained at $140 million, which includes about $20 million of deferrals from last year and $18 million in onetime heavy civil work projects, offset by lower spending on tailings dam raises. Growth capital in Peru of $40 million relates to the installation of 2 pebble crushers to increase mill throughput starting in the second half of 2026 and includes $13 million of capital deferrals from 2025. In Manitoba, sustaining capital expenditures are expected to temporarily increase to $105 million in 2026, including $5 million of deferred capital, $20 million in onetime expenditures related to a project at New Britannia to lower nitrogen levels and $12 million for an accelerated 1-year construction project for a dam raise at our Anderson tailings facility. Underground capitalized development at Lalor is expected to return to normal levels after reduced levels in 2025 from the wildfires. Manitoba growth capital is expected to be $15 million this year related primarily to the development of exploration platforms and haulage drifts at the 1901 deposit. In British Columbia, 2026 sustaining capital expenditures are expected to be $60 million, an increase compared to 2025, including a $5 million onetime expenditure for the replacement of the feed and head of the primary SAG mill as well as $13 million in capital deferrals from 2025. We expect to incur $130 million of capitalized stripping costs in 2026 related to the continued accelerated stripping program. BC growth capital expenditures are expected to increase to $85 million, including $10 million in capital deferrals with the remaining capital related to early works and infrastructure development for New Ingerbelle. As we continue to advance Copper World towards a sanction decision, we expect capital expenditures to be $135 million, excluding post-sanctioning construction costs. This growth capital has been largely funded by the proceeds from the Mitsubishi joint venture received in January 2026 and relates to feasibility study costs and continued derisking until a sanctioning decision. It includes $35 million of capital deferrals from 2025 and approximately $60 million for accelerated long lead items and derisking activities. Post-sanctioned construction costs will be updated at the time of project sanction. Looking at exploration expenditures in 2026, we expect an increase in spending to $60 million as we continue to execute the multi-year extensive geophysics and drilling program in Snow Lake as well as spending allocated to New Ingerbelle inferred resource conversion efforts. As part of our long-term growth pipeline, Slide 13 summarizes the threefold strategy we are executing in Snow Lake as part of the largest exploration program in the company's history in Manitoba. The first objective is to execute near-mine exploration, including underground and surface drilling at Lalor. This past year's significant progress was made with the completion of the initial exploration drift at the 1901 deposit, which saw positive step-out drilling and delivered some zinc development ore to the Stall mill. Underground drilling is planned for 1901 from the new exploration drift to upgrade and expand the mineral reserve and resource estimates. Activities at 1901 over the next 2 years will focus on exploration, definition drilling, ore body access and establishing critical infrastructure for full production in 2027. We also plan to complete underground and surface drilling at Lalor to continue expanding mineral resource and reserve estimates. The second strategic focus area is on testing regional satellite deposits within trucking distance of the Snow Lake processing infrastructure to identify potential additional ore feed to fully utilize the available processing capacity. In 2026, we plan to advance activities at many of our satellite deposits, including Talbot, New Britannia and Rail, testing for both base metal and gold potential. We will touch more on Talbot, a highly prospective target on the next slide. And the third strategic focus area is on exploring our large land package for a new potential anchor deposit to significantly extend the mine life of our Snow Lake operations. In 2026, we will continue the ground electromagnetic survey and extensive airborne geophysics survey. In early January, we announced the signing of an amended option agreement with JOGMEC and Marubeni to expand the Flin Flon exploration partnership for 3 projects in the Flin Flon region, including Cuprus-White Lake, West Arm and North Star. Turning to Slide 14. In July, we commenced an extensive summer drill program at the copper-gold-zinc Talbot deposit focused on expanding the known mineralization at depth. Talbot is located within trucking distance of the Snow Lake processing facilities, making it an ideal deposit to potentially provide supplemental feed to our mills. As part of the initial drilling program in 2025, Hudbay drilled 6 holes to test the continuity of the Talbot deposit at depth with all the holes yielding positive results and 4 of them returning mineralized intercepts with economic potential. The image shows a 3D view of the deep holes drilled at Talbot confirming continuation of the mineralization at depth. As shown in the image on the slide, the drill results indicate that the mineralized footprint of Talbot has doubled. We have commenced the 2026 drilling program in January with 6 drill rigs turning, including 1 rig focused on continuing to expand the footprint of the deposit at depth. An additional hole provided a significant intercept of visible copper mineralization over approximately 20 meters and assays are pending. This year, we plan to progress a PFS and prepare an updated mineral resource estimate utilizing our standard method that has a high reserve conversion rate. Turning to Slide 15. Our Copper World project in Arizona continues to achieve key milestones to progress towards sanctioning later this year. The closing of the strategic joint venture partnership with Mitsubishi validates the attractive long-term value of Copper World as a top-tier copper asset and endorses the strong technical capabilities of Hudbay. Together, we will continue to advance this high-quality copper project and unlock significant value for all of our stakeholders. With the closing of the transaction, Mitsubishi's initial cash inflow of $420 million will be used to fund the remaining feasibility study and pre-sanctioned spending in addition to initial project development costs for Copper World once we sanction. Mitsubishi will also contribute the remaining $180 million within 18 months to complete its initial 30% stake and will continue to fund its pro rata 30% share of future capital contributions. Copper World feasibility activities are underway, and we are on track for the completion of a definitive feasibility study in mid-2026. We have allocated growth capital expenditures in 2026 for accelerated detailed engineering, certain long lead items and other derisking activities, and we continue to expect to make a sanction decision in 2026. We are very well positioned to build one of the next major copper mines in the United States while continuing to maintain a strong balance sheet and reinvesting in other growth opportunities across our portfolio. Before we conclude, I want to take a moment to highlight the New Ingerbelle expansion permits at our Copper Mountain Mine just received and announced. This is a very exciting milestone for the British Columbia team as we expand growth optionality for Copper Mountain. The receipt of these permits is an important step to enhance the copper and gold production profile at Copper Mountain. It secures a longer mine life, preserves more than 800 jobs and ensures continued economic benefits and long-term financial stability for the region. We received the amended Mines Act and Environmental Management Act permits through the coordinated authorizations process managed by the British Columbia Major Mines Office. Throughout the permitting process, we proactively engaged with the local communities and the upper and lower Similkameen Indian band to ensure transparency. We recently finalized refreshed participation agreements with the bands, reinforcing our commitment to strong Indigenous partnerships. The New Ingerbelle permit ensures that we'll be able to advance this BC major project and extend our partnership with the local communities to facilitate additional growth investments at Copper Mountain and further add to our 99 years of successful operations in Canada. Concluding on Slide 16. 2025 demonstrated the benefits of Hudbay's diversified operating base, our unique copper and gold exposure and our operating resilience. I'm extremely proud of the performance we were able to achieve despite the many operational interruptions. Our continued focus on cost control enables us to maintain industry-leading margins and deliver strong and stable cash flows. Once Copper World is in production, we expect our annual copper production to grow by more than 50% from current levels. This will reinforce our position as one of the largest Americas-focused copper producers with a well-balanced and geographically diversified portfolio of assets. Our expected production will be weighted approximately one-third each in Canada, the United States and Peru and further enhanced Hudbay's exposure to copper, representing more than 70% of consolidated production and revenue. I have no doubt that we will continue to see more transformations as we execute on our growth strategy and prudently invest in our world-class pipeline to deliver the highest risk-adjusted returns for our stakeholders. And with that, we're pleased to take your questions.