Jeffrey Eckel
Analyst · Roth Capital Partners
Thanks, Amanda and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you all for dialing in. Today we're announcing core earnings of $13.1 million for the quarter or $0.29 per share and $15.5 million or $1.20 per share for the year, 15% growth year-over-year, consistent with our guidance range for 2016. For the quarter, we closed approximately 350 million of transactions, taking our full your volume to approximately $1.1 billion for 2016 up 14% from 2015. Leverage is presently at 1.71, fixed rate debt at 67% close to the top of our previously stated 50% to 70% target and we'll be providing an update on this target in a bit. And we expect low double-digit core EPS growth for 2017 consistent with prior guidance and our dividend increase in December. Turning to Slide 4, we address the three questions we're getting consistently from investors; interest rates, the election and REIT regulations. First interest rates. We fully expect and are prepared for rising interest rates. We've operated for over 35 years in various interest rate environments and our experience shows we will see spreads on new assets widen as rates rise, improving our asset yields. On the liability side, given our bias towards higher rates, we are increasing our fixed-rate debt target to 60% to 85% from 50% to 70%. This will of course reduce our floating rate exposure. Bottom line, we expect rising rates to be a positive for the business. The change in administration has created uncertainty in investor's minds as well. We believe federal ESPCs continue to enjoy widespread bipartisan support and our ESCO clients are continuing to book new business. As for the Trump infrastructure plan, we and our clients have engaged with the transition team working on this topic and believe there are significant opportunities for us in many of the infrastructure proposals. In addition, there are actionable paths to expand the use of performance contracting to increase federal efficiency beyond just federal buildings and why not. These transactions create jobs all around the country, save the U.S. treasury money and provide updated infrastructure. Finally, at PTC and ITC, we're eliminated and tax reform less than 10% of our $2.5 pipeline would be affected and most of the renewable energy industry does not think it is going away because 87% of all 2016-win installation were in red states and because solar generated one in 50 new jobs in 2016, we've very little exposure to this low probability event. There has been significant interest in our REIT status, which I would like to address head on and I'm showing [REIT] as always qualified as a REIT since our first REIT tax return and fully expects our REIT status to not be questioned by the IRS, but let me put some numbers to this issue. If Hannon Armstrong chose to not be a REIT, we forecast there would be no impact on the dividend or core earnings, we would not pay taxes for more than five years and we would still have approximately $70 million of NOL at that point. When potential tax reform is clear we'll look at the tax impact on our business and determine whether it is still in our investor's best interest to be organized as a REIT. Finally, if our REIT status was challenged today and we do not believe it will be we would hope $5 million of tax for the last four years. That's it. This is going to $5 million problem. I hope we have frame the REIT status and sufficiently clear in quantitative fashion for investors to fully evaluate the perceived risk. Turning to slide five, we continue to enjoy a robust diversified pipeline of more than $2.5 billion of investment opportunities. All consistent with our investment thesis. The better risk-adjusted returns will be achieved by investing on the right side of the carbon line. In addition to our investments in efficiency wind and solar we've increased our focus on opportunities on infrastructure assets. If you remember back 14 months ago or so very few in the renewable industry expected the PTC and ITC to be extended. And with that in mind we started then exploring opportunities and transmission, water system upgrades and storm water remediation, which we've now broken out into a new pipeline category. We also provide a bit more detail on the multiple submarkets in each category. It is important to understand that the growing part of our efficiency business is in state and local governments and commercial properties, all with little access to U.S. federal energy and tax policy. Similarly, wind enjoys diversity with the legacy operating projects for tax equity tail transactions and new-build preferred equity investments. In the solar asset classes, actually three separate market; land for utility scale solar commercial and residential markets, and taken together we are continuing to find strong, uncorrelated investment opportunities; many of which are beyond the influence of federal energy and tax policy. Turning to the right-hand side of the page, the portfolio increased 16% this quarter consistent with our plan and yields have remained fairly constant over the last several quarters. To clear up a common investor question let me clarify that these are forward-looking yields before leverage with our investment decision based largely on the levered return on equity. Turning to slide six, we want to highlight four Q4 transactions. The top right project is an $85 million micro grid system AmResco design to ensure the Marine Corps base of Parris Island South Carolina can still operate for extended periods with grid outages. The micro grid includes the 3.5 megawatt cogeneration plant, a 6.7 megawatt solar array and 8 megawatt hour battery energy storage system and control system capable of optimize dispatch and fast load shedding. This is an example of the military's need for investment in resiliency and this represents our second investment in a military base that combined solar and battery storage. This one uses the Tesla Powerwall and the other uses of Johnson Controls battery storage system. Top left we feature two California's school choosing to go solar and scale, using the SunPower helix system. Well, Parris Island and the schools on the REIT around the retail side of the meter, which insulates our investment from the pressure of low wholesale power prices to the inexpensive natural gas. The bottom two project land for 400 megawatt utility scale solar project in Minnesota and a preferred equity investment in 120 megawatt wind project in Texas by an energy highlight how we help the developer optimize the capital stack of a project and add value to their business. All four investments have attractive returns on equity are diversified by geography, technology, operator and obligor. Turning to the next page, we think it's useful to look back at how our business has developed over the last three years. Our business model which is building a balance sheet of the diversified set of relatively small and uncorrelated assets with long durations and attractive risk-adjusted returns is working. With each investment, we had we strengthen our ability to sustain our dividend given the 11-year weighted average life of the asset, the strong credit quality, and the diversification provided by an ever-increasing number of projects. On the liability side, reusing modest leverage approximately two to one and largely fixed rate debt. We'll continue to work on adding appropriate leverage to get to our target of 2.5 to 1 as we increase our fixed-rate debt. The net result is we are locking in strong returns on equity in a rising rate environment. Now I'll turn it over to Brendan to detail our financial performance.