Bob Apple
Analyst · Cowen & Company
Thanks, Fred. Please turn to Slide 7 for a brief update on the XYOSTED launch. We launched XYOSTED in December 2018 and our reps have been detailing the product in the field for a little over two months. Our plan is to initially target high prescribers of testosterone products. With respect to managed care coverage we believe we are making steady progress towards our goal of having two-thirds of all insured lives covered for XYOSTED by the end of 2019. The comprehensive commercial launch strategy includes an initial XYOSTED trial where the patient receives his first injection in the physician's office via sample. So they're comfortable with XYOSTED, it's easy-to-use, an innovative auto injector. After treatment the patient leaves with a prescription and a co-pay assistance card. Our team has created a program to help the commercially insured patient get their first script filled even if it's not initially covered by insurance. We also initiated several pre-launch programs, including an unbranded social media campaign, which targets dissatisfied TRT patients. The information gathered from this engaging and unique consumer program will support our soon-to-be launched branded consumer program, which will aid in growing our brand awareness and reach. During 2019 we have plans to attend numerous scientific and medical conferences in order to engage urologists, endocrinologists and other physicians in a meaningful medical exchange. Turning now to Slide Number 8, according to the most recent testosterone prescription data, the market grew 6% in 2018 with approximately 7.2 million prescriptions filled. The injectable market grew 12% and now represents approximately 70% of all TRT prescriptions written monthly. The overall topical market is declining. We believe XYOSTED offers several compelling reasons to switch from existing therapies, and therefore, our sales representatives will be targeting both injectable and topical prescribers. Although very early in the launch progress, we have seen week-over-week growth in our total prescriptions or TRxs. And more recently, we have seen good trends in our prescription refill data. Additionally, over 400 unique prescribers have written XYOSTED scripts, and that number continues to grow as well. Moving now to Slide 9 and results for our other two commercial products, OTREXUP and sumatriptan. Both of Antares' legacy products continue to be steady topline contributors, with a combined revenue of $7.8 million in the fourth quarter and $29 million for the full year 2018. Based upon our 2019 forecast for OTREXUP and purchase orders received from Teva for sumatriptan, we expect both products will grow in 2019. I'd now like to talk about the commercial progress on the Makena auto injector product on Slide Number 10. AMAG continues to be very pleased with the uptake on the Makena auto injector product. In the fourth quarter, we recorded $6.1 million in revenue, and as I mentioned earlier, for the full year of 2018, we recorded $18.1 million of revenues, which includes product revenues and royalties for the first eight months the product was commercially available. According to AMAG, the auto injector captured a 46% market share of all FDA-approved hydroxyprogesterone prescription volume in the fourth quarter of 2018. AMAG continues to work hard to do a great job of defending the Makena against the generics and maintain a significant share of this market with the novel auto injector. Moving now to Slide Number 11, and an update on our internal development pipeline. We continue development work on our next potential proprietary product, a combination drug device product in the neurology space, which we are now identifying as ATRS-1701. We proceeded with two formulations of 1701 (inaudible) in the fourth quarter of 2018. It did not achieve the optimal PK levels we expect to see with our products. We are now in the process of reformulating the drug with a new data in hand and look to move this product to a clinical trial. We've also commenced an initial development work for another proprietary product, which we hope to announce either later this year or in early 2020. With respect to our Pfizer collaboration, we have initiated development work on modifying the QuickShot device for Pfizer's rescue pen. We've also begun feasibility testing, as well as human factor studies. And although the drug is undisclosed, we remain excited about the potential for this rescue pen. Wrapping up on Slide Number 12, with some potential catalysts for 2019. In the two months since XYOSTED was officially launched, our sales reps have seen 60% of the target and for those physicians who seem most responsive to our core messaging, reps visit them weekly. Most importantly, we're continuing to make inroads in the managed care environment, which is critical for any new product to be successful. The second product launch we are focused on is Teva's generic as Mylan's EpiPen. Part of our product revenue growth over the past two years was the shipment of pre-launch Epi devices for Teva's commercial launch. Our 2019 revenue guidance assumes a full commercial launch in the second half of the year. We expect to receive larger quarterly royalty payments on Teva's in-market sales of the generic EpiPen, as well as significant auto injector product revenue associated with shipping additional devices. Given Teva's recent comments on market share, this could potentially be a solid revenue driver in 2019. AMAG continues to believe their ability to be successful in maintaining market share with the subcu auto injector, as highlighted by the 2019 revenue guidance of $40 million to $50 million in quarterly Makena auto injector sales. And finally, the next big catalyst potentially coming out of our pipeline is Teva's ANDA for a substitutable generic to Forteo. Teva's litigation with Lilly has been settled, and Lilly continues to expect generic competition in the back half of this year. What recently reported in our 2018 10-K, Forteo's global revenue of $1.58 billion was $758 million in revenue reported in the U.S. According to Teva, this ANDA remains a high priority and earlier this month on their earnings call they mentioned the ANDA is moving along and proceeding as anticipated. Teva has indicated their 2019 launch and the second half of this year has been factored into the forecast on a risk-adjusted basis. We've received purchase orders for commercial devices for the potential launch. As a reminder, we received cost plus on the devices we spot with Teva and a high-single digit to mid-teen royalty on in-market sales of the product, assuming FDA approval and launch. We believe it's a potentially big opportunity for both Antares and Teva. In closing, 2018 was a great year for Antares as we made tremendous progress in development and regulatory, as well as operationally. We are looking forward to growing the business through the XYOSTED and generic EpiPen launches, continued growth of the Makena subcu product and the potential for a second half 2019 launch of generic Forteo. With the Pfizer development collaboration and the continuation of the ATRS-1701 program, we are filling the pipeline. We expect to continue to have an active business development and business alliance effort, pursuing both, out-licensing our device platform to partners, as well as out-licensing opportunities for our proprietary products in ex-U.S. territories. We work hard to meet our aggressive guidance of 50% or better revenue growth. We believe we are well positioned to become a leading drug device combination products company. We look forward to a successful 2019 and appreciate the support of our shareholders. That concludes our prepared remarks for today. Operator, you now can open the lines for the question-and-answer session.