John Carroll
Analyst · Wolfe Research. Your line is now open. Please go ahead
Thank you, Irwin, good afternoon. Hain Celestial U.S. saw improved performance in many areas in Q2 versus Q1, but we have a lot of opportunities to do more. Our Q2 net sales were $342.3 million, down 3% versus year ago. This shortfall was driven primarily by five key factors. The first was Sensible Portions' year ago Walmart display sales that were lost when Walmart implemented a clean floor policy. The second was unprofitable year ago club programs on baby and nut butter that were not repeated. Third was lost sales and inventory from distributor and account shifts. Fourth was lost private-label sales, primarily on nut butter; and finally, currency on Ella's Kitchen UK. These factors cost us approximately $28 million in Q2 net sales. Without these factors, Hain Celestial U.S. sales would have been up 3% plus in Q2. Q2 consumption for our top 13 brands, which account for over 80% of our IRI MULO sales, was up 1% versus year-ago. This growth measure was weighed down by weak Celestial Seasonings consumption trends in the middle of tea season, when Celestial represents a bigger part of the portfolio. Ex-Celestial tea, consumption for our top 12 brands was up 3.4%, which, quite frankly, is very similar to the growth adjusted number I just reviewed for the five factors. We experienced double-digit or mid to high single-digit Q2 MULO consumption gains on Greek Gods, MaraNatha, Earth's Best Frozen, JASON, Alba Botanica, Spectrum Essentials, Sensible Portions, Imagine Soup, Hain and Westbrae. Now, it's important to remember that MULO only accounts for approximately 60% of our consumption. For example, MULO does not include Ella's Kitchen UK, where we continue to be the number one baby food brand. Regardless of whether it's organic or conventional, we are number one with a double-digit consumption growth. It also doesn't include Amazon, which is our fastest growing top 10 customer as well as our number one baby customer. In fact, MULO doesn't include any of the fast-growing ecommerce customers we have. Finally, it's important to note the very strong Q2 performance of three key U.S. businesses' personal care, yogurt and Ella's Kitchen UK. These three businesses each delivered high single-digit sales in the quarter. However, four brands did not perform up to our forecast in Q2. They were Celestial Seasonings, Sensible Portions, MaraNatha and Spectrum. We implemented an aggressive action plan on each of these brands and we are already seeing results. Let me give you an update on each, starting with Celestial Seasonings. Our bag tea consumption was down 10% in Q2, due to unseasonably warm weather and consumer confusion with our new packaging. Now, look, we can't control the weather, and quite frankly, neither can anyone else in the category, given that the category was down 6.1% in Q2. But we can help Celestial Seasonings consumers find their favorite herbal teas. To do that, we focused on driving consumer awareness of our new packaging. We increased brand support with a full page national FSI featuring the new packaging; impactful shelf signage at Walmart; shelf blades bracketing the Celestial Tea set at leading grocery retailers, featuring the message fresh new look, same great taste; and incremental shopper marketing programs at our top accounts. We also ramped up our social media with our fresh new look, same great taste messaging to help reduce confusion about the new package. We will keep up this increased support program throughout the balance of the tea season. Early indications are that the program is working, as Celestial Seasonings tea unit consumption has improved 10 points since we've started the program. We expect Celestial Seasonings' unit consumption will improve ahead of dollars throughout Q3 and into Q4. We're also doing additional research on the new package, in addition to the research we had already done to see what refinements and visual cues we might need to add to help our loyal Celestial Seasonings consumers find their favorite herbal tea. Now let's turn to Sensible Portions. The brand's consumption growth is still up, but it has slowed due to lost displays at Walmart, as mentioned before. We're going to continue to lap those lost displays through Q3 and into April. We've worked with Walmart on a plan to increase support of the Sensible Portions brand. Our plan includes moving the brand to the more heavily trafficked warehouse snacks aisle, increasing year-on-year display support, and adding secondary shelf placements. We've also seen -- we're also seeing accelerated Sensible Portions growth in grocery with the introduction of our stackable chips. These products are available now at Target, Publix, Albertsons, Safeway, Meijer and Giant Eagle, with more retailers to come. The stackable grocery introductions, coupled with our new Garden of Eden Bowls launch makes us very bullish about our snacks business prospects. Finally, let's look quickly at MaraNatha and Spectrum. Now, although MaraNatha is showing strong consumption growth versus year ago, the brand is still recovering from last year's voluntary recall, specifically in regard to the loss of almond butter sales velocity and private label, a business which had totaled $20 million in annual sales prior to the recall. We are addressing the velocity issue by strategically reducing price on shelf to eliminate or reduce competitive price deltas. We implemented a $1 off price rollback at Walmart the first week of January and have already seen a 10-point unit sales acceleration versus the previous period. We are concurrently increasing promotional support at key natural and grocery retailers in Q3 and Q4 and expect to see increased unit velocity in this channel as well. We're also making some progress recapturing our private label customers, one of which is on track now to be back to us in early summer 2016, and will represent 10% to 20% of our pre-recall private label business. Finally, in regard to Spectrum, we implemented a 10% to 12% list price reduction on our coconut oil. We have already seen the shelf price decrease reflected at some retailers and expect to see most others reflected in February. This price decrease should reduce our competitive price deltas and increase our unit velocity, while we leverage social media to more strongly communicate Spectrum's superior product quality. The last initiative I'm going to discuss is our top 500 SKU focus. As I have mentioned on previous calls, consumption trends on our top 500 SKUs, which account for 90% of our MULO consumption, are outperforming our total business. We are prepared for this year's category review season with an emphasis on driving top 500 SKU MULO distributions which, by the way, in the last 12 weeks, was already up 7% versus year ago. We had our national sales meeting here in New York last week and we directed our sales team to focus almost exclusively on driving top 500 SKU distribution in natural, grocery, mass and club channels. These SKUs will provide the highest return for Hain and quite frankly the retailer and will ultimately improve our growth profile and decrease supply chain complexity. Now, to summarize, our Q2 performance showed improvement against Q1 across several measures. We had 3.4% MULO consumption growth on our top 13 brands ex-Celestial Seasonings, as well as strong double-digit growth on Ella's Kitchen and Amazon, and strong single-digit growth on personal care -- hold on, I skipped that one -- and Greek Gods. We drove 7% MULO distribution growth on our top 500 SKUs and we implemented action plans on all four key brands that were struggling; Celestial Seasonings, Sensible Portions, MaraNatha and Spectrum, and saw a positive response in each instance. And we delivered $52 million and 15.2% in operating income and income margin, respectively, despite climbing over $28 million in year-on-year net sales losses. Now, before I close, I just want to comment briefly on the U.S. natural and organic category, and Hain Celestial US' role in it. We appear to be at an inflection point in the natural and organic category with, among other things, more competition than ever before, be it traditional, natural and organic competitors, or deep-pocketed conventional CPG-backed competitors, private label or startups. And with almost all retailers asking for more natural and organic products and increasingly asking for exclusively in regard to products, programming and even, in some instances, exclusive brands. And we've got millennials increasingly becoming a bigger part of the natural organic purchaser pool and redefining how and where consumers will buy their favorite natural and organic brands. And with more -- and increasingly with more conventional brands trying to get a piece of the growing natural and organic category by repositioning their conventional offerings to draft on the category's momentum. Those are just a few of the factors impacting the category today. And over here at Hain, we're changing and evolving our business model to address this changing market. Because we believe these changes spell tremendous opportunity for Hain Celestial U.S. We believe we have a portfolio of brands that is unsurpassed in the category. And we are well-positioned for today's and tomorrow's natural and organic consumer, the numbers of which are growing. And we're changing to leverage this opportunity and build a path to sustainable growth by putting, first, more focus on driving our brand's household penetration, as Irwin mentioned, along with our HCB distribution, as we acknowledge that just putting products on shelves will not be enough to win with today and tomorrow's natural and organic customer. And by driving unaided awareness of our core brands and, just as importantly, and maybe even more importantly, is building higher-order emotional relationships, not just functional relationships via social media and other engagement with our customers and consumers. And by recognizing that there is no one approach that will work for all of our retail customers. We are implementing specific channel strategies, products, programs and, in some cases, dedicated brands, to meet our customers' needs. And by working with Boston Consulting Group to help identify savings across Hain Celestial U.S. P&L to fund the increased consumer investment that will be required in this changing natural and organic marketplace. These are just some of the exciting changes going on at Hain Celestial that, coupled with the action plans we currently have in place, will position us well to drive sustainable, profitable growth going forward in the changing natural and organic category. I look forward to talking to you more about this in the future. Now, I'll turn the call back to Irwin.