Christopher J. Lindop
Analyst · Craig-Hallum
Thank you, Brian. First, I'll review revenue performance for the fourth quarter and full year; then highlights of our quarterly financial results; our revenue, earnings and cash flow guidance for fiscal '14; and finally, the financial implications of our VCC initiatives. In the fourth quarter of fiscal '13, total revenue was $250 million, up 34%, and organic revenue grew 4% as reported and 6% on a constant currency basis. The recent weakness of the yen versus the U.S. dollar resulted in 170 basis points of headwind to our revenue growth rate in the quarter. As we've explained in the past, our hedges are designed to protect our operating income over a rolling 12-month period, leaving a portion of our revenue unhedged and, therefore, susceptible to changes in foreign currency rates. This is expected to continue to impact revenue growth rates in fiscal '14. Plasma disposables revenue increased 10% in the fourth quarter. Order timing can impact revenue from quarter-to-quarter. In the current year, both the third and fourth quarter plasma revenue amounts were approximately $68 million. In the third quarter, this resulted in a decrease of 1%, and in the fourth quarter, an increase of 10% compared with the prior year. The net impact was 4% increase year-over-year in the second half of fiscal '13. Plasma disposables revenue was also up 4% in the full year, including a slow start as a result of the Q4 fiscal '12 buy-in by the Japan Red Cross, as well as lower pricing in the first year of the contract extensions that we put in place late in fiscal '12. Our guidance range for plasma growth in fiscal '14 is 4% to 6%, consistent with the end market growth rates of the industry. We are well positioned with customer contracts covering over 98% of our commercial plasma business in Q3 of fiscal '15. In the quarter, blood center revenue grew organically by 3% to $58 million, with platelets flat and red cells up 13%. Red cell disposables revenue growth was driven primarily by the timing of orders around the end of the quarter in North America. Platelet growth was strong in emerging markets, but recall that we had a tough growth comparable in our platelet business in the fourth quarter, resulting from the Q4 of fiscal '12 buy-in by the Japan Red Cross. For the full year, platelet revenue was up 1%. All in, we expect our blood center business to be flat organically in fiscal '14. The whole blood business continued its reliable performance with $55 million of revenue in the quarter. We had $138 million of whole blood revenue in 8 months in fiscal '13, right in line with our expectations. Whole blood revenue in the quarter included $37 million in North America, $13 million in Europe and European distribution markets and $5 million in Asia, including Japan. We expect approximately $210 million of whole blood revenue in fiscal '14, our first full year of including the whole blood business. This revenue expectation reflects a combination of factors, both negative and positive. During the fourth quarter, we learned that we had lost certain very low-margin, whole blood business with a European collector, totaling more than $12 million annually. The pricing that would've secured this business would not have been within or even close to the range of profitability we consider reasonable. Offsetting this loss, the planned organic growth elsewhere in our whole blood business is around $12 million or about 6%, resulting primarily from planned share gains. In our hospital business, revenue increased 3% to $33 million in the quarter and grew 8% in the full fiscal year. Our IMPACT selling approaches advancing Blood Management Solutions to hospital customers who are seeing the benefits inherent in blood management. Surgical disposables revenue was $18 million in the quarter, an increase of 1%. And while this quarter's growth is not in line with the rest of the year, we know that currency cost us nearly 200 basis points of growth in the quarter. Our installed base of surgical cell salvage devices increased by nearly 800 in fiscal '12 and by nearly 1,200 in fiscal '13. And this is a leading indicator of the future disposables revenue growth. Following the Cell Saver Elite launch, we have had 7 consecutive quarters of growth in our surgical business. We are very pleased with the performance of this new product, as well as the success of our new product launch process, and we expect surgical disposables to contribute meaningfully to our hospital growth in fiscal '14. OrthoPAT disposables revenue was $8 million in the quarter, down 5%. Our new OrthoPAT Advance device, which has received 510(k) approval, is on track for its release later in the first half of fiscal '14. Using our proven new product introduction process and a revamped go-to-market strategy, we expect to increase the level of attention that we can focus on the penetration and growth of this blood management product. Through these efforts, we expect growth to return to our OrthoPAT business in fiscal '14. In Diagnostics, TEG disposables revenue was $7 million, up 17% in the fourth quarter, with 142% increase in China, where the use of the TEG analyzer is growing fast in connection with interventional cardiology. For the full year, TEG disposables growth was 18% overall and 66% in China. We installed 425 TEG devices in fiscal '12 and nearly 60% more, a record 675 devices in fiscal '13. We fully expect the strong TEG disposables growth to continue. We expect 6% to 9% growth in our hospital disposables business in fiscal '14, with strength in surgical and TEG and a return to growth in OrthoPAT. In the fourth quarter, software solutions revenue was $19 million, down 4% due primarily to weaker plasma software revenues in North America. This weakness was somewhat offset by increased sales of BloodTrack, resulting in a revenue decline of 1% in fiscal '13. We expect the software business to grow approximately 5% to 7% in fiscal '14. Hospital customers are increasingly seeing software play an important role in identifying and implementing blood management solutions. We expect accelerating growth in blood bank -- in BloodTrack, excuse me, and other hospital software solutions, bolstered by the implementation of SafeTrace Tx at numerous locations by a major U.S. hospital system. This is a big win, and Brian will provide more details in his closing comments in a few minutes. Equipment revenue was $18 million in the quarter, up 2%, reflecting the timing of orders, tenders and capital budgets. Full year equipment revenue was up 3%, and we continue to see strength in our hospital business, led by TEG analyzers and surgical products in North America and in emerging markets. Our overall installed base of equipment, meaning equipment that is -- was repurchased and placed, increased 7% in fiscal '13. And these are good indicators of future growth and right in line with our stated disposables revenue growth expectations. Geographically, fourth quarter organic revenue was up 9% in North America, down 13% in Japan, up 28% in Asia and up 1% in Europe. And of the 13 points of decline in Japan, 5 points were the result of the recent weakness in the yen versus the U.S. dollar, with the balance attributable to last year's buy-in. Fourth quarter fiscal '13 adjusted gross profit was $124 million, up $29 million or 31%. Adjusted gross margin was 49.7%, down 110 basis points year-over-year. Operating efficiencies partially offset the impact of lower margins from the addition of the whole blood business and inventory reserves related to the lost whole blood business that I mentioned a moment ago. Operating expenses were $89 million in the quarter, up $22 million or 32%. Whole blood business expenditures were $13 million of the increase, including deal amortization of $3 million. Most of the remaining increase was planned ramp up in growth and infrastructure investments. Operating income was $35 million in the quarter, up $7.9 million or 29%. Continued operating discipline enabled us to ramp up investments in key growth driver initiatives that will be meaningful to our future growth profile. Interest expense associated with our loans was $2.9 million in the quarter and $6.5 million in fiscal '13. Our tax rate was favorable at 21.6% in the quarter, or 320 basis points below last year's fourth quarter, as we had favorable mix of earnings towards foreign jurisdictions where we enjoy lower tax rates. As a result, adjusted earnings per share reached $0.48 and the full year ended with $1.71 per share, above the upper end of our guidance range of $1.65 to $1.70 per share. Adjusted earnings per share increased 19% in the quarter and 13% in the full fiscal year. As we did last quarter, in order to facilitate comparison with other companies, we have posted a supplemental table to our website showing adjusted results on a basis that excludes the tax-affected, deal-related amortization expense from all periods. Given the significant impact of deal-related amortization on our earnings per share, we will report our adjusted results exclusive of deal amortization beginning in fiscal '14, as it provides a view into our results that reflect our company's strong cash-generating capability. I'll briefly recap those results. In the fourth quarter, we reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.48, up 19%. Had we excluded deal-related amortization, we would have reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.56, up 30% over last year's fourth quarter. Similarly, for the full year, we reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.71, up 13%. Had we excluded deal-related amortization, we would have reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.99, up 21% over last year. Our Board of Directors authorized the use of up to $50 million of cash for the repurchase of shares in fiscal '13. We repurchased roughly 695,000 shares in the quarter at an average price of $41.52. And in the full fiscal year, we repurchased just over 1.2 million shares at an average price of $40.44. We ended fiscal '13 with $179 million of cash, down $14 million in the quarter after utilizing $32 million to repurchase shares in the open market. We generated $24 million of free cash flow in the quarter after making net investments of $13 million in net capital expenditures and before funding $8 million of cash integration, transformation and deal costs. Now turning to fiscal '14 guidance. I'd like to provide 2 important elements for clarity, and then I will summarize revenue and adjusted earnings guidance. First, the weakness in the yen versus the U.S. dollar, which cost us 2 percentage points of revenue growth on a reported basis in the fourth quarter, is expected to be a similar headwind in fiscal '14. And second, in fiscal '14, we will be reporting earnings before deal amortization and, accordingly, are providing guidance for adjusted earnings that reflect this change. We have posted a table to our website providing quarterly and full year historical deal amortization for fiscal '12 and fiscal '13 for comparative purposes. In fiscal '14, we expect plasma disposables to grow approximately 4% to 6%; blood center disposables to be flat on an organic basis; hospital disposables to grow 6% to 9%, with strength in surgical and TEG supplemented by a return to growth of our OrthoPAT product; and the software business to grow 5% to 7%. Overall, we expect organic revenue growth of 5% to 7% in constant currency and 3% to 5% on a reported basis, which includes the impact of recent yen weakness upon expected Japanese revenue. Adding expected whole blood revenue of approximately $210 million, we expect our range of total revenue growth to approximate 9% to 12% or approximately $1 billion at the upper end of that range. On an adjusted basis, gross margins is expected to approximate 51% to 52%, up between 50 and 100 basis points over fiscal '13. And operating margin is expected to be 15% to 16%, up approximately 100 basis points over fiscal '13. And excluding deal amortization, operating margin is expected to be approximately 18%, also up 100 basis points over fiscal '13. We expect our fiscal '14 tax rate to approximate the same rate we had in fiscal '13, and we are anticipating an adjusted EPS range of between $2.30 and $2.40, excluding $0.35 of deal amortization. And this range is consistent with the preliminary indication we provided earlier last year. Although we provide annual guidance and not quarterly, I want to provide a few comments intended to help you directionally with the first 2 quarters of fiscal '14. First, the timing of certain orders that favorably affected the fourth quarter of fiscal '13 will negatively affect the first quarter of fiscal '14. And this is especially relevant in our plasma and red cell businesses. Second, the weak yen to dollar exchange, currently roughly 100, down from 81 in the first quarter of fiscal '13, is expected to continue through fiscal '14. Third, a planned strategy to go direct, taking over the business of our distributor in Australia and New Zealand, will result in a revenue shortfall in these markets in Q1 as we work through the inventory already in the channel. And finally, the loss of the low-margin, whole blood business in Europe, which I mentioned earlier, will adversely affect the expected revenue run rate. So our revenue performance will be down sequentially, reflecting both the normal seasonality of our core business inherent in the current consensus, expectations and the impact of the factors that I've just mentioned. These factors, plus the seasonality we normally see in the second quarter, lead us to expect about 48% of our total fiscal '14 revenue in the first 6 months of the year. And product mix and ramping gross margins during fiscal '14 will result in an earnings distribution between the first 6 months and the last 6 months, which will align with the patterns we saw in fiscal '13. As in the past, our website includes revenue and income statement scenarios which are based on the elements of guidance provided in my comments for the full year. In fiscal '14, our expected free cash flow generation, before funding, restructuring and capital investments related to our transformation activities, is planned at $125 million or $2.37 per share. And with our adjusted earnings guidance range of $2.30 to $2.40 per share, we expect a conversion rate of adjusted earnings to free cash flow of approximately 1x. And as Brian discussed, we currently plan to utilize $88 million of such free cash flow to fund $36 million of additional capital expenditures and $52 million of transformation activities associated with our manufacturing optimization and other VCC initiatives in fiscal '14. Additionally, we have utilized $23 million for the Hemerus acquisition, with $3 million to follow, and we anticipate that $27 million will be directed to the scheduled repayment of our outstanding debt. At this point, we have not assumed any share repurchase activities in establishing our fiscal '14 adjusted earnings guidance. Finally, we have included no net benefit in our fiscal '14 guidance from the VCC teams and the manufacturing network transformation. As Brian noted, current period advances will principally be capital investments and technology transfers associated with the transformation. Benefits should begin to be realized in fiscal '15 and will ramp up by fiscal '18 to a targeted level of $35 million to $40 million in annual savings. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Brian.