Mark Hoplamazian
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open
Thank you, Noah. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2021 earnings call. As most of you have seen, we officially welcomed all of the Apple Leisure Group colleagues into the Hyatt family earlier this week. We closed on the acquisition of Apple Leisure Group on November 1, and we're collectively even more thrilled about the prospects for the combined company today than we were when we first announced our plans back in August. As I reflect over the past several months, during which I've gotten to know the ALG much better, met with hotel owners and toured a number of stunning AMR Collection Resorts. I'm energized and really excited about the bright future for ALG as a part of Hyatt. The cultural fit between our two companies with a joint focus of care could not be better. And the timing is proving to be very auspicious as leisure demand continues to be durable, and a growing proportion of our segment mix. We look forward to keeping you well informed on the progress of our integration efforts and performance of the ALG platform moving forward. Turning to our results, we're another quarter into the recovery and have again produced results that demonstrate the strength of our business and reinforce that we're emerging from this challenging period as a more agile and stronger company. In the span of just two quarters, our quarterly adjusted EBITDA has improved $130 million recovering to nearly 70% of 2019 levels in the third quarter. We've worked tirelessly to evolve and reimagine aspects of our operating model, and the financial results and our momentum demonstrate our progress. Importantly, while we had been focused on preserving cash and managing expenses tightly, we've invested in areas that are driving growth, and we've not wavered from our long-term strategy. With vaccination rates continuing to rise, travel restrictions around the world easing and borders reopening, I am as confident as I've ever been that we are on a path to full recovery. I'm optimistic that the most recent trends in our business and also the important developments over the past quarter including of course the acquisition of ALG demonstrates significant progress towards realizing the benefits of our long-term strategy. Before diving deeper into the progress on our strategy, let's take a look at the latest business trends. RevPAR in the third quarter continued to recover at a robust pace, accelerating nearly 30% compared to the second quarter, and doubling RevPAR levels in the first quarter. As discussed on our last earnings call, we experienced a wave of leisure demand during the summer with system-wide RevPAR eclipsing $100 in July, which was approximately 75% recovered as compared to 2019. As we moved into August, RevPAR decelerated by approximately 10% as compared to July, driven by seasonality, coupled with reimposed travel restrictions in certain markets related to the Delta variant. However, this deceleration was short lived, demand rebounded throughout September and has strengthened further as we move into the fourth quarter. Absolute RevPAR in October is nearly as strong as July at $98, what is encouraging is that the recovery has broadened, whereas our strength in July was primarily driven by resort locations, the improvement more recently has been from urban locations, which experienced RevPAR growth of 10% in October as compared to July. From a segmentation perspective, Leisure transient remains the top performing segment. System-wide leisure transient revenue was at 96% of fully recovered levels in the third quarter, an incredible performance when considering the significant restrictions that were still prevalent in many parts of the world. Strong leisure transient demand is proving to be far more than a summer surge, as leisure transient revenue booked in October for all periods was over 20% ahead of 2019 levels. Further, total transit revenue at our Americas resorts is pacing 25% ahead of 2019 levels for the last weeks of December. At this pace, we anticipate the festive season could be one of the strongest we've ever experienced. We've also been pleased with the progression of group and business transient demand. While demand did not accelerate immediately following Labor Day due to the Delta variant, the upward momentum has been steady throughout September and October. The rate of improvement in group during October has been particularly meaningful after seeing elevated levels of cancellations in August and early September due to the Delta variant. Since that time, cancellations have receded while short-term group demand has strengthened. Overall, system-wide group revenue jumps 16% in October, as compared to September and is trending at 50% of fully recovered levels. Group bookings for 2022 are also showing significant improvement. In October, our leads for 2022 grew by 38% as compared to September, and we're now 10% ahead of 2019 levels for group business that is likely to book, while group pace for 2022 is approximately 80% recovered a bit weaker than what we reported last quarter, the strong current level of group bookings coupled with growing lead volume provides confidence that momentum will build as we head into 2022. As for business transient, the recovery has been softer than group but it's still showing steady momentum with demand recovering to 46% of 2019 levels in October. We continue to see stronger growth in our regional accounts as compared to our larger national accounts. However, that gap is narrowing. Our largest corporate accounts have grown by 50% since June, and we continue to be encouraged by dialog with our corporate customers who are returning to offices in bigger numbers, with many planning on a more robust return to travel in 2022. The recovery momentum has also expanded geographically. One of the areas with the most pronounced improvements is Europe, which is now trending at roughly the same level of the United States after seeing RevPAR quadruple over the past five months. We're also seeing occupancy of 70% in the Middle East, which is similar to 2019 levels, driven by very strong demand from the Dubai Expo which kicked off in October and runs through March of 2022. Lastly, occupancy in India, which was below 20%, just a few months ago due to the Delta variant is now trending at almost 60% as we exit October. When you add up the trends both from a geographic and Purpose of Visit perspective coupled with the most recent data on forward bookings, the underlying momentum in the business is clear. And it's consistent with our conviction that we are on a path to full recovery. Turning to our long-term strategy. As I mentioned earlier, we've been actively positioning Hyatt for the future with intense focus on advancing three pillars of our long-term strategy namely, first to maximize our core business. Second, to integrate new growth platforms. And third to optimize our capital deployment. I cannot recall the quarter where we advanced our long-term strategy as much as we did in the third quarter of this year. Let me start with the first pillar of our strategy, maximizing our core business, as it underpins everything that we do. We've been particularly focused on three key areas within this pillar to drive performance. First, focusing on the high-end traveler going deeper into the segment not extending outside the segment. Second, driving more business to our direct to our director channels through engagement supported by data and analytics. And third, operating with excellence through agility and responsiveness to market dynamics. Our progress in these areas is not only reflected in the third quarter financial results I commented on earlier, but is also demonstrated in the results of our core metrics as compared to the third quarter of 2019. Several highlights including market share growth, stronger direct channel mix, a higher percentage of arrivals to our hotels from existing loyalty members, and better comparable margins as compared to the same period in 2019. The ultimate test is investment by owners and our brands, which is best demonstrated to our net rooms growth and pipeline. Our net rooms growth was 6.9% in the third quarter, again leading the industry with notable openings including the Thomson Hollywood, the Park Hyatt Toronto, and the Hyatt Ziva Riviera Cancun. And our pipeline at 103,000 rooms again expanded from the prior quarter represents an industry leading 41% of our existing property portfolio. We were also able to achieve significant progress with the second pillar of our long-term strategy integrating new growth platforms through our acquisition of Apple Leisure Group, an exciting new asset like growth platform for Hyatt. ALG, now as part of Hyatt immediately doubles the number of resorts in our portfolio, increases our European footprint by more than 60% and positions us as the world's largest operator of hotels and the fast growing luxury all inclusive resorts segment. Further, we expected to increase our system wide stabilized leisure transient revenue mix to over 50%. We also expect the ALG brands to drive accretive rooms well into the future similar to what we've achieved with our Two Roads Hospitality acquisition in 2018, which has been a significant driver of growth for Hyatt this year including conversions and expansion of our pipeline. In 2021, ALG through the AMR collection is expected to finish the year with net rooms growth of 35% with the addition of 31 hotels, and approximately 8500 rooms, and taking the AMR collection to 101 hotels in total with 33,000 rooms by the end of 2021. The ALG acquisition represents a brand defining moment in heights more than 60 year history. Much like the company's international expansion into Hong Kong, or the launch of apartheid brand. We are now marking the beginning of a new chapter for Hyatt. In addition to the exciting growth the acquisition represents for Hyatt and the new experiences the ALG platform provides our guests. The earnings base from ALG also allows us to make significant progress on the third pillar of our long-term strategy, which is to optimize our capital deployment. We are very encouraged that ALG is on track to outperform its 2019 results in 2021, exceeding the expectations of our underwriting. This earnings base allows us to execute an essential part of our capital strategy to unlock the value of our real estate assets by selling assets over time and prioritizing the reinvestment of proceeds into growth opportunities for Hyatt. In August, at the same time as the acquisition announcement, we committed to a $2 billion expansion of our asset disposition commitment. The proceeds from these future asset sales will allow us to deleverage our balance sheet on an accelerated basis. As we reduce the debt incurred to fund the ALG acquisition. We've initiated this effort with two properties currently in the market and other active discussions underway. We feel very confident in our ability to execute on this expanded asset disposition commitment. We realized they were $3 billion in proceeds since our original announcement in 2017. At a very attractive multiple, and we have a high quality and highly desirable asset base that remains on our balance sheet today. As a reminder, the $3 billion commitment was able to parts, $1.5 billion in 2017 and an additional $1.5 billion in 2019. During September, we completed the sale of two assets. The Hyatt Regency Lake Tahoe and Alila Ventana Big Sur for approximately $500 million in gross proceeds, and reached cumulatively over $3 billion in total gross proceeds from asset sales since 2017 at an average aggregate multiple of 17.4 times. We retained long-term management agreements for both of the hotels that we recently just disposed on and exceeded our disposition target well ahead of schedule. In summary, we look forward to continuing our track record of realizing proceeds in excess of evaluation implied by the multiple for Hyatt and simultaneously transforming our earnings mix to an expected 80% fee base proportion by the end of 2024. Importantly, with the earnings from our ALG acquisition, coupled with fees driven by our industry leading growth, we'll be able to achieve this progress while maintaining investment capacity for future opportunities. Overall, I'm extremely pleased with the progress we are making toward our long-term strategy, as we remain intently focused on executing the three key areas I've outlined as we position ourselves for the future. Finally, I want to touch upon the owners meeting we recently held a couple of weeks ago at the beautiful Hyatt Regency Huntington Beach Resort. It strong as it's ever been. And the energy from gathering in person was truly palpable. I was struck by the collective optimism we share about the future, and how our purpose of caring for people so they can be their best has resonated with and been felt by our owners during the most severe downturn this industry has ever experienced. Their feedback centered on our attention to listening intently, focusing on the important issues and staying connected to their needs. We have much to do to ensure we are attracting the best talent in a challenging labor environment to ensure we're doing everything possible to drive market share and operating margins for our brands and owners. And to make sure our systems and services keep pace with quickly shifting trends in technology. I left the meeting feeling energized at the progress we were making, and the opportunities ahead to continue to deliver value to all of our constituents. I'll conclude my prepared remarks this morning by reiterating my optimism. We made significant progress toward realizing the benefits of our long-term strategy. And as the recovery continues to unfold, we have positioned Hyatt to emerge from this pandemic a stronger and more agile company. Our view to sustainable demand in the future continues to sharpen and with each passing month, our conviction and our enthusiasm grows. With that, I'll turn it over to Joan to provide additional detail on our operating results. Joan, over to you.