Mark S. Hoplamazian
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Atish. Good morning, and welcome to our third quarter 2013 earnings call. We've made a lot of progress on a number of fronts in the third quarter, and I'd like to discuss those first, and then turn to talking about our results. One of our key strategies is to expand our presence in new markets or in markets in which we're underpenetrated -- underrepresented. We've made a lot of progress on the strategy since our IPO 4 years ago. We've opened hotels in over 60 new markets since then. This year, the pace of activity has accelerated. We're on track to open over 45 hotels in 2013, representing almost 10% growth in our system size. This is a record level of openings for us, and reflects the great work of our development and operations teams around world. The strength of our brands and the investment of significant levels of capital from us and many third-party owners is reflected in this. We continue to grow our executed contract base for new hotels, which increased in the quarter and now stands at a record 215 hotels or 50,000 rooms. I'd like to talk about 2 recent openings, in particular, hotels in which we've invested significant capital. First, we opened the Andaz Maui at Wailea in September. This is the first Andaz resort in our system, and it's opened to rave reviews. It's a one of a kind property located in Wailea, which is a master-planned resort area along the islands south shore and it's the first new resort on Maui in well over a decade. As you may recall, this resort was developed by joint venture between Hyatt, Starwood Capital and a local partner. We own, at this time, approximately 2/3 of the venture. The resort includes 297 guest rooms, including 35 suites and 7 villas that are part of the resort inventory and an oceanfront restaurant leased to Morimoto. In addition, there are 12 villas that were built for sale to individual buyers. The projected development cost is approximately $340 million, of which about $120 million is funded by project-level debt. As to the 12 villas that I noted, we expect to sell them over time. And 2 of the villas were under contracts, and that resulted in a $12 million gain recognized by the venture in the quarter. So initial indications are that this resort, together with the residential component of the project, will do quite well. We expect the resort to ramp up over the next 1 to 2 years, as it becomes better known by key customers in the Western part of the U.S. and in key Asian markets as well. The second opening that I'd like to talk about is the Hyatt Regency Orlando. We acquired the 1,641 room Peabody Orlando for $717 million on October 1, and we re-branded it as Hyatt Regency Orlando. This is our largest single property acquisition in our history. As you may recall, we talked for some time about growing our group-oriented presence. And given the significance of Orlando as a meetings destination, we'd always considered having 1,000-plus room hotel in Orlando as being critically important to rounding out our strong network of large group-oriented hotels in a number of U.S. markets, cities like Atlanta, Chicago, Dallas, Denver, New Orleans, San Antonio, San Diego and Washington, D.C. In particular, we've been focused on the Orlando submarket adjacent to the Orange County Convention Center, which is the second largest convention facility in the U.S.. About 13 years ago, we acquired 45 acres of land near the convention center and adjacent to the Peabody Orlando. We bought this land in order to build a large convention hotel. For a variety of reasons over the years, including construction costs, we decided not to build the large convention hotel on the site. So when we were approached with the opportunity to buy the Peabody Orlando on an off-market basis, we took a serious look. What we found was the perfect hotel to meet our needs. The hotel had undergone a $440 million expansion and a refurbishment a couple of years ago. So it's in great condition. It is connected to both sections of the Orange County Convention Center and sits on over 25 acres of land and has over 300,000 square feet of meeting space of its own. Has a great reputation in the market, thanks to a terrific team at the hotel who delivered strong operating results at very high service levels. As we end the road to transaction, we recognize that one of the ways our brand and our system could create value is to add smaller in-house corporate groups to our global sales organization and to add incremental transient business through the strength of our brand, our proprietary channels, distribution channels and through Gold Passport. And we've begun doing just that since we acquired and converted the hotel a few weeks ago. We're comfortable with our underwriting, not only because of the hotel's strong operating history, but because in recent years, we turned away enough group business in Orlando due to our lack of room inventory and meeting space to more than fill this hotel on an annual basis. Our purchase price is below our estimate of replacement cost for this high-quality hotel. The investment rationale is strong, and the hotel is a good strategic fit that improves our group position over the long term and particularly, as we're just starting to see more signs of stable group recovery. We anticipate earning about $10 million of EBITDA in the fourth quarter of 2013 and about $55 million of EBITDA in 2014. Over prior years, this hotel has generated about 2/3 of its annual earnings in the first half of the year, and we believe that this will be true going forward. While we do not have any immediate plans for the land that we own, we think having this parcel of land in this high barrier-to-entry location provides various options in maximizing results at the hotel and in the context of any effort we undertake to sell the hotel in the future. In addition to these 2 openings, we expect to launch 2 new brands later this year, Hyatt Ziva and Hyatt Zilara, will both offer an all-inclusive experience, with Hyatt Zilara being adults-only. We expect to add our first Hyatt Ziva resort in Los Cabos, Mexico and our first Hyatt Zilara resort in Cancún, Mexico. The resorts are owned by Playa Resorts, and their renovation and conversion is on track at this time. We expect to add a total of 6 hotels out of the Playa portfolio under our 2 new brands over the next 2 years. As a reminder, we made a significant common and preferred equity investment in Playa Resorts during the third quarter. Playa also raised $675 million of total debt as part of its recapitalization. We expect to earn between $18 million to $20 million of joint venture adjusted EBITDA from Playa in 2014, and there will be fluctuations by quarter due to seasonality and timing of renovations. In addition to current and future openings, I'd also like to talk about our asset recycling activities. As lodging transaction activity has increased due to more liquidity and capital looking for hotel investments, we significantly increased the pace of asset recycling. Over the last 6 months, we completed the sale of 6 wholly-owned, full-service hotels that we had listed earlier this year for a total of $433 million. We sold these hotels at attractive pricing levels, a blended 5% trailing 12-month NOI cap rate or about 15x trailing 12-month EBITDA. Each property remains within our system as a managed or franchised hotel, which preserves our presence in each of these markets. While we don't currently have any additional hotels listed with brokers, we continue to be in discussions with several parties and would expect to sell additional full-service and select-service hotels over the next 6 to 9 months. Over the last 4 months, we've also realized cash proceeds of approximately $375 million related to our interest in the Hyatt Regency Waikiki and Hyatt Regency New Orleans. Hyatt Regency Waikiki was sold in July, and we received the payoff of our first mortgage loan, as well as proceeds from the sale of our minority equity position. Our preferred equity investment in Hyatt Regency New Orleans was redeemed last week. We continue to manage both of these hotels under long-term agreements. We continue to be focused on returning capital to shareholders as well, and we've repurchased over $250 million of stock this year. We did not purchase a significant amount of stock in the third quarter, partially due to transaction activities. Our Board of Directors just authorized up to $200 million in additional share repurchases, so we now have $211 million available under our current authorization. Now I'd like to turn to our third quarter results. As you read in this morning's release, we reported strong RevPAR and revenue growth in the third quarter. RevPAR for full-service hotels in the Americas increased 7.7%, over 50% of which was due to the higher average daily rate. We benefited from strong RevPAR growth in markets such as San Francisco and Hawaii, as well as easier comparisons, due to renovations last year in markets, such as San Diego and Dallas. Those renovations benefited the Americas full-service RevPAR by approximately 80 basis points. At U.S. full-service hotels, transient revenue, which represented approximately 60% of rooms revenue, was up almost 9%; and group revenue increased almost 7%. This increase in group revenue was due to strong performance in several important markets, such as Atlanta and Anaheim. Our hotels outside the U.S. did not perform as well. Hotels in ASPAC and EAME/Southwest Asia regions increased RevPAR between 2% and 2.5%. In Mainland China, RevPAR decreased 3% with growth in South China, offset by declines in North China and East China. In our EAME/Southwest Asia region, we had a tough comparison in London due to the Olympics last year, which led to an almost 15% RevPAR decline in the U.K.. If you were to exclude London, RevPAR for our EAME/Southwest Asia region would have been up over 5% in the quarter. We realized strong RevPAR growth in the Middle East as well. RevPAR in South Asia continued to improve. It was up about 8%, the second consecutive quarter of RevPAR growth in that area. Business conditions in India continue to be difficult. We did enjoy some positive results in the Goa market, which is a resort market, as one of our resort hotels ramped up this year. But overall conditions are challenging at this time. While our RevPAR increases were strong, our overall adjusted EBITDA results were negatively impacted by 3 items: transaction activity in ramping hotels is the first, the second is some areas of owned and leased margins pressure and third was lower-than-expected incentive management fees. So first, on transaction activity. Our total transaction activity negatively impacted owned and leased adjusted EBITDA by a net $5 million in the quarter. Additionally, transaction activity negatively impacted unconsolidated hospitality venture adjusted EBITDA by $2 million. The Andaz Maui at Wailea, which incurred preopening and ramp-up costs, had a $3 million negative impact in unconsolidated hospitality venture adjusted EBITDA. So together, all the transaction activity, including the preopening expenses at the Andaz Wailea, negatively impacted our owned and leased segment inclusive of joint ventures by about $10 million. So adjusted for these transactions, total company adjusted EBITDA growth would have been up over 10%. Second, our comparable owned and leased margins grew only 20 basis points overall and varied significantly by region. In the Americas, comparable owned and leased margins increased 110 basis points. We achieved solid efficiencies in our operating departments despite record occupancy levels and higher benefit cost increases in the quarter. A lease termination fee benefited the Americas comparable owned and leased margins by about 50 basis points, but offsetting these were higher rent expense and property taxes, which negatively impacted Americas comparable owned and leased margins by over 80 basis points. Comparable owned and leased margins for hotels outside the Americas declined approximately 230 basis points. 1/3 of this decline was due to a difficult comparison in London and the remainder was due to concentrated weakness in a few cities, such as Seoul and Baku. The weak market conditions in these cities continue to persist in the current quarter. Third, while overall fees grew over 13% in the quarter, incentive management fees were approximately $7 million lower than we expected. As you may recall, we converted 4 hotels in France this past May. Each are operated under long-term management agreements. While these hotels are doing relatively well in terms of top line revenue performance, higher-than-expected wage and benefit costs negatively impacted our incentive fee earnings in the quarter. Looking ahead, we're working with the owner of these hotels to accelerate hotel renovation plans, which we expect to yield incremental revenues over the long term that we expect will offset higher-than-expected costs. As we look forward, some of the factors that negatively impacted our performance in the third quarter are expected to persist in the near term. For instance, we believe that margin growth is likely to be modest due to the higher rent expense and property taxes, and those increases will lap in the second quarter of 2014. We expect continued pressure on results of our hotels in some international markets, such as our owned hotel in Seoul and managed hotels in China and in France. Having said this, our overall outlook remains positive, and that's due to strong occupancy levels and continued healthy demand among transient guests in the U.S.. As such, we expect corporate rate negotiations to once again yield solid increases in average daily rates. Also, we continue to see signs of stable recovery in group business. Total group production increased 9% in the quarter. While much of the business booked is for 2015 and beyond, our group pace for 2014 has increased and is now up in the low single-digit percentage range. So to summarize, we've made significant progress on expanding our presence and concurrently growing our executed contract base at the same time. And we're extremely happy with the pace, value realization and deployment of capital associated with asset recycling. This year, when considering all our buying and selling activities, we've realized and/or invested nearly $2 billion. We remain focused on improving performance of our existing hotels and expect to generate higher levels of systemwide RevPAR, owned and leased margins and fees over the long term. And with that, I'll turn it back to Atish for the Q&A.