Kevin Latek
Analyst · Gowshi Sri with Singular Research
This is Kevin again. With U.S. political dollars moving around, every cycle political dollars move around as races tighten up and races break away. We saw in this campaign, money moving out of states that we thought would be very competitive early in the year, and they move to other battlegrounds. That happens every single cycle. It's part of the fun for the political people. We traditionally are there to capture the money because we have such a great footprint in battleground places. Not always, but we usually cover them pretty well. In '22 and '24, we saw money move to places -- move out of our markets and into states where we don't have much of a presence or any presence like California, like Pennsylvania. This cycle, as money moved out of Georgia and out of North Carolina, for example, they moved into Iowa and Alaska, in Maine, Nebraska, places where Gray has a huge presence. In fact, almost every one of those places, we are the largest media company in the entire state. For context, in 2022, our political revenue was $11.50 per TV household. '24 was $10.83. So a little bit less. We had presidential there, but we didn't have as much of the Senate piece in 2024. In 2026, our political ad dollars work out about $13.45 for the TV households that are covered by Gray's local news TV stations. That's just incredible. It's still heads and shoulders above anyone else, whether it's a network or another group. So $13.45, call it, is a pretty remarkable number. It's because of where our footprint is. As we look forward, as Hilton said, as you're now reading in every analysis of this, every single swing state that has existed in the last 3 presidential cycles, it remains a swing state today. And now we also have several additional swing states that will likely be added to that column. These additional swing states are places where, again, Gray has a very strong position. So the map as we look forward to 2028, I can't say yet, it's going to be as nearly perfect or 100% perfect with Gray's footprint because it's too early to know exactly who the candidates are and whatnot this far out. But looking at the swing states the last 3 cycles, plus the newly competitive, we're not missing anything. We have strong #1 TV stations in all of them. And most of them, we cover or darn -- we have a very, very strong presence in all of them. So looking forward, we feel political worked out very well for us and will continue to work out very well for us because the politicians want to reach persuadable voters and the voters who are interested. And those are people who watch local news, and we deliver a bigger local news audience than anyone in the country.