Stephen M. Lacy - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · JP Morgan. Please go ahead
Thank you very much, Mike and good morning, everyone. Participating with me this morning are Publishing Group President, Jack Griffin; Broadcasting Group President, Paul Karpowicz, along with our Chief Financial Officer Suku Radia. I'll begin with an overview of our key accomplishments, discuss performance in our Publishing and Broadcasting Groups and conclude by updating our current earnings outlook. Then we will be happy to answer any questions that you might have. We are very pleased with our second-quarter performance. Earnings per share were $0.75, up 4% from a year ago. We achieved this growth despite the dual challenge of a significant increase in postal rates along with an off-political year at our television stations, where net political revenues were $22 million less than in the prior-year quarter. Publishing advertising revenues grew 8% on a strong increase in net per advertising page. Circulation contribution and margin increased in the quarter. Circulation revenues declined due primarily to the ongoing transition of Parents, Family Circle and Fitness magazines to the Meredith direct-to-publisher model. Broadcasting non-political ad revenues rose 6%. Meredith Integrated Marketing continued its strong performance with revenues up 50% and operating profits climbing more than 60%. Additionally, in the second quarter we generated more than $40 million in free cash flow, repurchased 490,000 shares and retired $40 million in debt. Finally, we are pleased that two of our largest magazines received industry accolades during the quarter. Better Homes and Gardens, our flagship property, was named Magazine of the Year by Advertising Age and More magazine, which was the 2006 Magazine of the Year was runner-up. For the first half of the fiscal year, earnings per share rose 7% and net earnings rose 6%. Publishing Group advertising revenues grew 11%, Broadcasting Group, non-political advertising revenues grew 4%, and we continue to exercise disciplined expense management across the enterprise. Our fiscal 2008 performance reflects the strength that had made Meredith one of America's top-performing media and marketing companies over time. We combine a tremendous base of traditional publishing, broadcasting and marketing assets along with a growing and profitable array of online, digital and video initiatives. This enables us to reach approximately 85 million unduplicated American women every month with content delivered how and when she chooses to receive it. Now, let me turn to our Publishing Group performance for the second quarter. Publishing operating profit increased nearly 30% over the prior-year quarter to $45 million and operating profit margin increased nearly 3 percentage points. Revenues rose 5% to $309 million. Strong growth in magazines and our custom marketing activities was partially offset by continued weakness at Meredith Books. To strengthen Book results we're combining our Special Interest Media, Newsstand, and Book operation into one business unit now called Meredith Retail. We're implementing our retail marketplace strategy that allows us to take full advantage of the strength and capabilities we possess in the areas including content creation, brand management and extension along with sales and marketing. Our consumer magazines continue to demonstrate powerful and enduring consumer appeal. According to recently released data from Mediamark Research and Intelligence, readership across Meredith's large subscription magazines is nearly 100 million consumers, equal to levels five years ago. This is in sharp contrast to trends in the print industry, particularly newspapers and news weekly magazines which have experienced significant readership declines in recent years. Our strong readership drives advertising revenue growth that is particularly evident at four of our key brands including Parents, More, Family Circle, and our flagship Better Homes and Gardens. Parents have strengthened its leadership position in the parenthood field. Advertising revenues increased 17% in the quarter and net revenues per advertising page grew 18%. In July, we launched our new parenthood portal, Parents.com along with Parents TV, our new broadband video channel. In December, Parents TV launched across the 12 million household Comcast cable systems as a new video-on-demand outlet. More continues to be a major creative and financial success. Advertising revenues grew 30% in the quarter and net revenues per advertising page grew 13%. We raised More's rate base to 1.2 million with the February 2008 issue, which is on newsstands now. Family Circle continue to flourish under Meredith's ownership. Its advertising revenues increased 8% in the quarter and net revenues per advertising page grew 5%. It's now the Number 2 book in the women’s service field behind Better Homes and Gardens. When we acquired the title in 2005, it was Number 5 in a six-titled field. Better Homes and Gardens continued its strong performance driven by new creative and sales leadership. Advertising revenues increased 9% and net revenues per advertising page increased 5% in the quarter. Additionally our Hispanic business, while still an emerging category, continues to experience strong growth. Our Spanish language women’s lifestyle title Siempre Mujer increased advertising revenues more than 70% in the quarter and 40% in the first-half of fiscal 2008. We recently combined our two Spanish language parenthood brands, Ser Padres and Healthy Kids en Espanol under the Ser Padres banner. We increased the frequency of the new Ser Padres to eight times a year and boosted its rate base 40% to 700,000. Looking more closely at advertising across the group, the categories of food and beverage, direct-to-consumer pharmaceuticals, direct response and toiletries and cosmetics were particularly strong. They accounted for approximately 55% of magazine ad revenues in the quarter. Weaker categories included, non direct-to-consumer remedies, consumer electronics and media and entertainment. A key factor to our advertising success is an increased emphasis on developing multi-platform advertising and marketing programs for our clients. We secured a series of new business wins in the quarter with programs expanding several Meredith media platforms. For DreamWorks we created a campaign to promote the release of Shrek 3 on DVD. It included ads in our October issue, and a mock cover for our November issue of Parents magazine, a billboard in Times Square, pod cast promotions on the web and iTunes.com and a national PR effort. For Discover Card, we created a parents banded campaign that runs across the magazine, Parents.com and Parents TV. Aimed at providing timesaving tips for busy parents, the campaign seeks to generate new customers for Discover. In November, we created a Family Circle holiday television network special that was sponsored by Dodge and hosted by Food Network personality Sandra Lee. It was featured across the magazine, Internet and Better.tv. Meredith's Integrated Marketing had an outstanding quarter as revenues rose more than 50% and operating profit increased more than 60%. Results included the increased contribution from three marketing acquisitions over the last year; Genex, New Media Strategies and Directive. On a comparable basis, revenues and operating profit each rose 15% reflecting strong performance by our legacy business and from online marketer O'Grady Meyers. Let me share just a few Integrated Marketing highlights. During the quarter, we were awarded new business by Wal-Mart Stores. We'll produce two versions of an idea book, one that will be mailed directly to 3.7 million homes and another that will be inserted in more than 11 million copies of our largest magazine, including Better Homes and Gardens, Midwest Living and Country Home. We renewed our business with of Nestlé’s Good Start line of infant nutrition products. We were also awarded new interactive and customer relationship management business from Gerber. We were also awarded additional database marketing and analytics work from Suzuki. Over the past two years we transformed Meredith Integrated Marketing from a pure custom publisher to a full marketer of service providing. Our added capabilities are further strengthening our competitive position and our relationship with key corporate clients allowing us to more successfully compete for a win, multi-platform customer relationship marketing program. Revenues at Meredith Interactive Media rose more than 25% during the quarter, benefiting from the recent redesigns of BHG.com and Parents.com along with strong performance across the company niche enthusiast sites. The number of unique visitors averaged 10 million and page views averaged nearly 150 million per month during the quarter. The average time spent on the site per visitor grew 5% to 12 minutes. The total number of videos viewed rose 75% to 2.7 million. Among sales successes, we launched a product called Recipes-To-Go that delivers Better Homes and Gardens food recipes to Motorola's Q9 cell phones. We also created a program for AT&T's Places campaign that reaches consumers in a holiday shopping mindset through advertising focused on holiday, food and entertaining across several of our interactive properties. It is a multi-million dollar program, the largest ever sold in Meredith Interactive Media's history. Turning to broadcasting, operating profit declined to $28 million from $40 million and revenues did decrease 16% to $88 million in the second quarter. For the first six months, operating profit declined to $41 million from $58 million and revenues decreased 13% to $162 million. These results reflect a cyclical decline in political advertising. Net political revenues were $22 million less than the prior year quarter and $30 million less than the prior year fiscal first half. Non-political advertising revenues grew 6% in the second quarter and 4% in the first six months of fiscal '08. Looking more closely at advertising, the categories of professional services, furnishing and entertainment were particularly strong. They account for nearly 25% of total broadcasting revenue. In addition to political, weaker categories included movies and automotive, which was down 4% as growth in import advertising partially offset the decline in domestic automotive spending. Among second quarter highlight, broadcasting continued to strengthen its news position in the November rating book. Our CBS affiliate in Hartford and our Fox affiliate in Portland, Oregon were both the top-rated station across all time periods. Additionally, our Fox affiliates in Greenville, Las Vegas and Portland posted strong growth in morning news, which is the fastest-growing day-part in terms of viewers and ad revenues. Morning news now accounts for one-third of news revenue across the broadcasting group, up from about 25% three years ago. Broadcasting online revenues rose 50%. The number of average unique visitors rose six fold to 3 million per month reflecting our ongoing investments in technology, contents, promotion and sales in related activities. The number of video streamed on our broadcasting sites nearly doubled to 1.5 million per month. Better, our daily lifestyle television program that runs across our station group and is in syndication to three non-Meredith stations is off to a strong start. If one is time period in Hartford and has strong ratings in both Greenville and Portland, content from the Better show is also available online at www.better.tv and parents.tv, Meredith broadband video channel. Last month, Meredith parenthood content launched across Comcast cable systems on a new video-on-demand channel branded Parents TV that reaches more than 12 million households. Meredith and Comcast share in the advertising revenue. Turning now to full Company financial metrics, our total debt at the end of the quarter was $420 million and our weighted average interest rate was 5%. As I noted earlier, we generated more than $40 million in free cash flow in the quarter. We repurchased approximately 490 million [ph] shares. We repurchased 1.4 million shares in the first half of fiscal 2008, compared to 1.1 million shares in all of fiscal 2007. We've repurchased an additional 200,000 shares since the end of the fiscal second quarter. As a result, to date in fiscal '08, we repurchased approximately 1.6 million shares. Additionally, during the second quarter, we reduced our debt by $40 million. Our overall effective tax rate for fiscal 2008 is expected to be 38.9% with some quarter-to-quarter variance due to the adoption of FIN 48. We expect our effective tax rate in the third and fourth quarters of fiscal '08 to be 36.6% and 39.3% respectively. With that review of our business operation, let's turn to our expectation for the fiscal third quarter and full fiscal 2008. At this early point in the year, the outlook for advertising in calendar 2008 remains unclear for both of our major businesses. Advertisers continue to make decisions later resulting in uneven spending patterns and continued period-to-period volatility. In publishing, after an extremely strong calendar 2007 where our advertising revenues grew 8% calendar 2008 is off to slower start, whereas continued strong growth at our industry leading parenthood titles, but our women service field titles are down in early calendar 2008. Over the past five years, our publishing advertising revenues have grown in the low-to-mid single digit range on average. We see no reason to believe that this trend will change as we look to the future. In broadcasting, local advertising, which accounts for almost two-thirds of the group’s non-political ad revenue remain strong. However, national advertising is not as robust. The real wildcard at this point is the timing and amount of early political advertising. In addition, we continue to absorb an annualized postal rate increase of more than $13 million in our fiscal 2008. For the fiscal third quarter, Publishing advertising revenues and Broadcasting pacings are currently down slightly compared to the prior year quarter. We expect to report earnings per share of approximately $0.98 in the third quarter of fiscal 2008. We continue to expect full-year fiscal 2008 earnings per share to range from $3.50 to $3.55. This guidance is consistent with what we have provided since the beginning of the fiscal year. A number of uncertainties remain that may affect our outlook as stated in the press release for our results in the third quarter and the full fiscal year. These include overall advertising volatility, the performance of the company's retail businesses, the amount of political advertising revenues generated at the company's broadcast television station and paper prices and postal rates. These and other uncertainties are referenced under the Safe Harbor and in certain of our company’s SEC filings. To conclude this morning, I am very pleased to report another strong quarter and first half for our shareholders. As we look ahead, we continue to focus on five key areas. Strengthening and growing our publishing business and brands, strengthening our retail operations, integrating and expanding our custom marketing capabilities, maximizing the margin opportunity in our broadcasting business and expanding our online and video platforms. In addition, we continue to exercise disciplined expense management across the enterprise. Now we'll be happy to answer any questions that you might have this morning. Question and Answer