Earnings Labs

Global Ship Lease, Inc. (GSL)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Tue, May 12, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Global Ship Lease Q1 2020 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Mr. Ian Webber, Chief Executive Officer of Global Ship Lease. Thank you. Please go ahead.

Ian Webber

Analyst

Thank you very much. Good morning, good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to the GSL First Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. The slides that accompany today's presentation are available at our website, www.globalshiplease.com. Slides 1 and 2, as usual, remind you that today's call may include forward-looking statements that are based on current expectations and assumptions and are, by their nature, inherently uncertain and outside of the company's control. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to many factors, including those described in the safe harbor section of the slide presentation. We also draw your attention to the Risk Factors section of our most recent annual report on Form 20-F, which is for 2019, and was filed with the SEC on April 2, 2020. You can see this via our website or via the SEC's. All of our statements are qualified by these and other disclosures in our reports filed with the SEC. We do not undertake any duty to update forward-looking statements. For reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to which we will refer during this call to the most directly comparable measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP, you should refer to the earnings release that we issued this morning, which is also available on our website. I'm joined today by our Executive Chairman, George Giouroukos; our Chief Financial Officer, Tassos Psaropoulos; and our Chief Commercial Officer, Tom Lister. George will begin the call with some high-level commentary and an update on our current areas of focus. And then Tassos, Tom and I will take you through the quarterly results, our financials and the current market environment, after which we'll be delighted to take your questions. Turning now to Slide 3, I'll pass the call to George.

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Thank you, Ian. As we all know, we're in the midst of an unprecedented global coronavirus pandemic. And while our extensive contract cover provides our financial results with a great deal of insulation from the market, it will be no surprise to anyone on this call today that the global COVID-19 pandemic has been the focus of much of our attention and activity in recent months. The timing and shape of global economic recovery and other potential longer-term consequences remain open questions. That said, we believe that our strategy, fleet composition, contract cover and balance sheet position us well during these uncertain times, and we're focused on taking specific concrete steps to maximize GSL's resilience such as deferral of drydockings and intended divestment of 2 ships. Before I discuss our strategic areas of focus during the crisis and the impact of the pandemic on containerized freight flows and demand for ships, I would like to take a moment to acknowledge the human element underlying these economic issues. The health and safety of our seafarers as well as that of our staff onshore are of highest priority to us. And I'm pleased to report that we have not experienced any COVID-related health issues on ship or shore, which speaks to the effectiveness of the measures we have taken to protect our people and to keep the business running smoothly. Despite the challenging backdrop, Global Ship Lease continues to have strong liquidity and a healthy balance sheet, supported by almost USD 700 million of contracted revenue over the average of more than 2 years, set against less than $5 million of debt maturities between now and late 2022. We have made great progress over the last year in strengthening our charter portfolio, virtually eliminating any debt maturities through the medium term, diversifying…

Ian Webber

Analyst

Thank you, George. On Slide 4, you can see our charter portfolio from which I'll draw 1 or 2 highlights. We have some $696 million of contracted revenue with the TEU-weighted average remaining contract duration of 2.3 years. As you can see, we have limited open periods for our ships in the near term, perhaps best illustrated by the fact that 89% of our adjusted EBITDA, based on certain assumptions, which we set out later. 89% of our adjusted EBITDA for 2020 is covered by contracts already. This tightly limits our exposure to a near-term charter market, but is likely to experience volatility as economies throughout the world work through COVID-related closures and the phased process of reopening. On Slide 5, I'd like to provide some additional color on an aspect of our fleet that George mentioned in his opening remarks, namely its ability to carry a high number of refrigerated containers or reefers, including in some ships, which have market-leading reefer capacity in their size segments. The reason I want to emphasize this particular aspect of our fleet is that reefer cargo represents both the fastest-growing elements of containerized trade and also provides premium freight rate cargo for the liner operators compared to a standard or a dry container. Among other things, reefers are utilized extensively as a vital link in the global supply chain for food stuffs and medicines, both highly important segments of containerized trade considered to be relatively less susceptible to economic fluctuation. Slide 5 shows the superior reefer capacity of our fleet. Midsize and smaller ships with such high reefer capacity represent our outliers in the market and tend to command employment, earnings and valuation premiums relative to a standard vessel of the same size. This is often unappreciated by financial investors. We view this…

Thomas Lister

Analyst

Thanks, Ian. Let's turn now to Slide 8. So in such uncertain times when data expectations and policy will change on a daily basis, forecasting is even more treacherous than usual, so I would describe what follows is a heavily caveated view, which is likely to change as conditions evolve. The charts on this slide essentially translate the latest IMF macroeconomic forecasts with negative GDP growth of 3% in 2020, followed by 5.8% positive growth in 2021 into container shipping terms. So we're potentially looking at cargo volumes shrinking by between 7% and 8% in 2020, which is more or less in line with what we saw back in 2009 during the global financial crisis, followed by a rebound of more than 10% in 2021. And MSI, which is our usual data provider, reckons all trades will suffer, but the main lanes, that is the transpacific and Asia-Europe trades, primarily, are likely to be hardest hit. The chart at the bottom right shows the anticipated demand impact in aggregate, set against a much higher conviction estimate of cellular capacity growth of only 2% or so, both this year and next. So very modest supply side growth. Slide 9 shows what's happening in the freight and charter markets at the moment. Taking the left-hand chart first, which provides freight rate indices for containerized cargo out of China, you can see that rates have come under pressure this year. Nevertheless, they remain above levels seen 12 months ago despite the COVID-19 pandemic, which is a testament to the capacity and pricing discipline exercised by the container shipping lines. Turning to the right, short-term charter market rates are shown on this chart, and having held up well for the first couple of months of this year, charter rates have come under pressure in…

Anastasios Psaropoulos

Analyst

Thank you very much, Tom. Slides 14, 15 and 16 show our unaudited pro forma consolidated balance sheet, statement of operation and statement of cash flow based on the first quarter of 2020. Rather than going through every line item, let me point out a few key items. We generated revenue of $70.9 million during this first quarter. The $3 million increase in revenue year-over-year was principally due to the acquisition of 7 vessels since March 31, 2019. We generated a net profit of $0.6 million after a noncash impairment charge of $7.6 million for the 2 vessels, Utrillo and GSL Matisse, which we plan to sell, and $2.3 million net premium paid on the redemption and repurchase of approximately $55.1 million nominal amount of our 2022 notes. In the first quarter of 2020, there was 224 plant offhire days for 3 regulatory drydockings completed and 2 scrubber installations in progress. 39 days of unplanned offhire and 56 days of idle ballast time giving a utilization of 92.1%. We are experiencing extent in CPR time due to the effects of the virus and congestion in yards, as Ian has mentioned before. The average operating expenses per ownership day, including management fees in this quarter was $6,352, down by $225 per day year-over-year, mainly as a result of the acquisition of the 7 vessels noted above, all of which are post-Panamax with higher daily operating expenses. The general and administrative expenses were $2.4 million for first quarter of 2020 compared to $2.5 million in the same quarter in 2019. The average general and administrative expenses per ownership day in the first quarter of 2020 went down to $595 from $718 in the same quarter in 2019. Finally, the total cash on hand as of end of the quarter of 2020 was $97.7 million after the redemption of $55.9 million of our 2022 notes. Slide 17 now shows information on scheduled drydockings and upgrade works to assist you in modeling CapEx and offhire for the year. And Slide 18 is our usually illustrative adjusted EBITDA calculator. To assist, we have provided 10- and 15-year historic average charter rates per vessel size. I should emphasize here that this is not a forecast. I would now like to turn the call back to George for closing remarks.

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

I will briefly summarize on Slide 20 before moving to our questions -- to your questions. We have entered this current period of uncertainty in the global economy on an active footing, having taken steps both in the preceding year and through the early part of 2020 that have reinforced our resilience and downside cover that will serve us well over the period of near-term volatility while also ensuring that we're positioned to regain forward momentum in a recovery. We have strong downside protection. Our debt service and CapEx are well covered by contracted cash flow and strong cash position. On top of that, we have negligible debt maturities before late 2022. Our charters are performing well, are noncancelable and do not have any force majeure clauses. We are focused on midsize and smaller fleet segments that have flexible deployment options and supportive fundamentals. Most notably, they're negligible to negative net fleet supply growth in recent years and the minimal order book covering any deliveries in the next 18 to 24 months. Now this is very important. This is radically different from prior downturns, which were exacerbated by overcapacity and high order books. We are providing vital services in close partnership with our liner customers. Our consistency -- consistently excellent operational performance and ability to provide highly efficient, well-specified vessels makes it possible for our customers to achieve cost efficiencies in a highly competitive environment. Additionally, our high reefer capacity supports a liner customers' ability to participate in a high-margin, fast-growing business segment, while supporting supply chain integrity for essential commodities such as food stuffs and medicines. Finally, we're prioritizing the safety and well-being of our personnel as well as our financial strength and flexibility. Our operational excellence and the all-around resilience of our business in a complex, uncertain time. Now these priorities are the core of our business throughout economic cycles, but take on the greatest importance in periods of stress. By staying true to these principles and executing our strategy, we believe that GSL is well positioned to weather the storm ahead of us and to utilize the substantial benefits of our diversified contract cover, our highly efficient well specified fleet, our integrated management platform and our close relationships with top liner customers to position the company for a market recovery. With that, we would be pleased to take your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And your first question, line of Liam Burke with B. Riley FBR.

Liam Burke

Analyst

In the prepared comments on the industry overview, you pointed out correctly that the rates on the liner companies are holding up. Part of that is because there's been some idling of tonnage just to keep the capacity tighter. Do you anticipate a correction period as the liner companies start releasing more capacity? And how do you think that will affect some of the vessels you have open for recharter?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Tom, do you want to take this up?

Thomas Lister

Analyst

Sure. I'll have a go in any case. It's very difficult to tell, to tell you the truth. And all I can do really is point back to the fact that unlike previous downturns, the lines have kept their discipline in terms of capacity management. And as a result, freight rates have remained high. I can also, I suppose, point to the fact that much of the idle capacity at the moment is actually operator-owned tonnage. So it's ships owned by the liner companies themselves, and it tends to be the much bigger ships, which, as we've remarked, are deployed on the big East-West arterial trades. So not really ships that -- against which our vessels would be competing in an open market, but much more than that. It's difficult to say.

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

If I may add, what we have seen in the past downturn of 2009, the liner companies, what they have done is they have kept the big ships idle as long as necessary for the market to normalize. So given the fact that since then, we have a substantially bigger fleet of large ships. I would imagine that liner companies would keep idling these 20,000 TEU ships, most likely and letting the rest of their fleet operate to manage capacity. That's what would be my personal guess going forward, which is positive for the operator owners like GSL that do not own such large ships.

Liam Burke

Analyst

Great. That's very helpful. And on the operations, your operating costs per vessel went up for obvious reasons. You added 7 vessels. They were larger. Operating costs are higher. During the same period, did you -- were you able to take a similar amount of revenue credit for owning those vessels? Or was there a lag time between the expense incurred and the realization of revenue?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Yes. Tassos, do you want to answer that?

Anastasios Psaropoulos

Analyst

Yes, of course. Of course. During the time of the operation, most of these vessels have incurred some dry dock. So in this case, we have incurred the OpEx expense during that time, but we haven't received the appropriate revenue. Everything will be normalized on the second quarter.

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Just to explain a little bit on this, the deal was on some of the ships when we took them over, that we would pass the special survey and then get a clear 5-year, 3-year employment on the ships. That is why we had to perform the dry dock special surveys right7 away and then have a clear runway of the remaining of the charter.

Operator

Operator

Your next question, line of Mark Stan [ph] with DB.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Solid performance. I guess just given the environment we're in, I wanted to ask if any of your charters have looked to renegotiate any of the charters in place? And if so, how the company has responded?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Well, we have not had any negotiations. And I think we haven't had any negotiations in our history, but Ian can add to that because I was not in the company a few years back. Ian?

Ian Webber

Analyst

Yes, sure, George. No, we're not talking with anybody about renegotiating terms. But as George says, it happens from time to time. The last time for us was I think back in 2014, when we agreed to amend the charter rates against 4 ships -- against a 3-year increase in the duration of the charters, so-called amend and extend, which was clearly beneficial to us improving our credit profile. But to answer your direct question, Mark, as just to reaffirm what George says, no, we're not talking with anybody right now.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And it's encouraging, I guess, to see liquidity position that you have as well as basically the runway until the upcoming bond maturity, and I guess, given the circumstances, maybe refinance isn't as imminent as would have been planned maybe a few months ago, probably you could have looked to call it and refinance cheaper. But I guess, what is the most current thinking with respect to the upcoming bond maturity to the extent there is any update?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

The refinance is, like we said, that form the core, is our top priority, and it was all along. The discussions we've been having with various financial institutions in achieving that have been pretty forward moving. And none of the parties that we have been in discussion has backed off these discussions. Unfortunately, the pandemic came and our focus is right now into this, which is far more pressing and demanding requirement. Once this is settled and the market settles to a more stable state, we were going to refocus back on to the refinance. One thing that is though important to mention is that as time goes by, our bond is maturing anyway. So the net position, cash plus debt at any given time, more or less, it's the same as time goes by. So we're not building up debt, and as time is slipping away. So that shouldn't worry any of our investors. But yes, we are fully focused on the refinance as before.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And final question. It was encouraging to see the new charters. When did those come into place? What part of the quarter? Was it pre-COVID or post?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Which charters do you referred to?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I think there are some extensions to the presentation. It looks like...

Ian Webber

Analyst

So I think the answer, Mark, is both before, during and -- well, we're not yet after, sadly. So the charter market is obviously a bit more challenging. But it's still active, and we've been able to fix ships despite the pandemic.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes. I'm just looking at the presentation, the charter contract cover, it looks like there's some smaller vessels, which -- that were added to this year, the $9,000, pretty good levels. So wondering whether that occurred at the very beginning of the year or pre -- where the market getting more difficult or if it's -- it was more in the back half of the quarter?

Thomas Lister

Analyst

Mark, this is Tom. I would say that the $9,000 per day rates were agreed earlier in the year. And the $8,000 a day rates for the Keta, which is at the top of Slide 4, was agreed when the market was beginning to get more challenging.

Operator

Operator

Next question, line of J. Mintzmyer with Value Investor's Edge.

J. Mintzmyer

Analyst

So continuing the discussion there, I think we had a good start asking about the charters. I noticed they're all kind of short term. And I saw the same from some of your peers that have reported -- we talked with Costamare as well and a lot of short-term little extensions for 6 months, 12 months, maybe even shorter. Is there any interest in the market right now for something of a longer duration of 2 or 3 years? Or are these just a little patchwork, 3-month, 6-month, 12-month type deals?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Well, I'll try answering that, and Tom can also add. Right now, nobody knows when the world economy will be fully open and back to the normal operation, equally our charters. Therefore, for the time being, we're not seeing really the market. We're just seeing psychologically driven market where people are having uncertainty. And when you have uncertainty, you just want to keep rolling until you see where this -- the end result of this pandemic, economically wise will end up. And that's the time where the liner companies will come into the market for some more material engagement with owners and longer charters. So I do not believe in the next 2 or 3 months, we will see any liner company willing to commit long term, and long term means more than 12 months, if at all, 12 months, until they have a view of what the new norm for demand will be.

Thomas Lister

Analyst

And just to add to those remarks, I agree completely. But I think that the short-term nature of the contract or at the moment is not just something that suits the liner operators, it's also something that owners prefer, neither the liners nor ourselves would want to go long in such an uncertain context. So we're both waiting for more visibility on the market.

J. Mintzmyer

Analyst

It certainly makes sense. You don't want to trade off your longer-term upside as well if things pick up. So look, I mean, last year, when we were talking last fall, 2020 was that pivotal turnaround year, right, where you completed the refinancing of those 2022 notes. We were talking about maybe bringing the dividend back, but look, coronavirus has changed a lot of those things. But I did notice at the start of the year, you repurchased a little bit of those notes. You called a little bit of them back. They now trade around 80% to 85% par. They have a yield maturity of around 18% right now. Is there any additional levers out there to maybe do some open market repurchases? Or are you preferring to just keep a high cash balance for now?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Well, liquidity is key in these uncertain times, and we will maintain liquidity until we can see clearly the light at the end of the tunnel. When we see the market where it settles, and then once that's done, then we will rethink and reconsider. But as of today, when we don't know really how the market will develop, we wouldn't want to lose the strength of our liquidity, which is a very material advantage of our company. I don't know, Ian, if you have any further comment to add to it.

Ian Webber

Analyst

No, I think that sums it up nicely. J, we're in a relatively good position with our charter cover and forward cover, but we're not complacent. Cash is king. We've taken steps to defer dry docks. We are reducing the work being done on dry docks that we can't defer. We're looking again at OpEx to bring that down. So we're conserving cash. And whilst, yes, it looks like a smart treasury decision to go and buy back bonds in the low 80s, which is where they're trading at the moment, we don't want to prejudice the company's cash position just yet. We need some more visibility on the recovery.

Operator

Operator

Your next question, line of Howard Blum with UBS.

Howard Blum

Analyst

While I appreciate the need to husband cash and I think being conservative in this environment is, of course, the right way to go, some of us were long-term owners. Remember that there were a number of restrictions in place previously to this year about payings. If you saw the market stays and conditions improve and become more normal, is there anything in any of your financing arrangements currently that prevents the Board from paying cash dividends to shareholders?

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

Ian?

Ian Webber

Analyst

There are some theoretical limitations, but in practice, no, Howard. The principal limitation is in our bond instrument. But just to illustrate the point, if we raise cash equity, then we're allowed to pay a dividend or repurchase stock to the extent of the cash that we raised. We raised $50 million of cash equity last year. So we have $50 million of dividend capacity because of that. And we're also allowed to pay a dividend now based on 50% of last year's earnings. So we are permitted to pay a dividend. But conserving cash, as you -- as I've just said, when I talked about buying back bonds, and you've observed conserving cash right now is key to us. But we do understand the importance of the dividend in due course for our patient, common stockholders.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Your next question, line of Phill Larson with Millstreet Capital.

Phill Larson

Analyst

Solid quarter. I also just wanted to ask about the notes rather quickly. So just to be clear, have you repurchased any additional notes since the end of the first quarter?

Anastasios Psaropoulos

Analyst

No. We haven't.

Georgios Giouroukos

Analyst

No.

Phill Larson

Analyst

So the $267 million is the total amount outstanding right now. Okay. And then is there anything in any of your financing agreements that would prevent you from repurchasing those notes in the future should things change?

Anastasios Psaropoulos

Analyst

No, none. Nothing.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And there are no other questions. I will now turn the call back over to Ian Webber for closing remarks.

Ian Webber

Analyst

Thank you very much. Thanks for your interest and your questions. We look forward to providing you with a further update on GSL and the markets later in the year after our second quarter closes. So we'll speak to you then. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for you participating it. You may now disconnect.