Andrew Gubbels
Analyst · H.C. Wainright
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. We had strong financial performance during the quarter with total revenue, land agreement proceeds and interest of $3.8 million, a 192% increase relative to the fourth quarter of 2023 and an approximate 50% increase relative to the third quarter of 2024. This is primarily due to the continued ramp-up of the Cote Gold mine, strong commodity prices and initial revenues from the Vares copper stream during the quarter. We achieved a record $12.8 million in total revenue, land agreement proceeds and interest for the full year 2024, a 146% increase relative to 2023. With this revenue growth and our stable operating costs, 2024 was our first full year achieving positive operating cash flows of $2.5 million as well as positive adjusted EBITDA of $4.8 million. Looking ahead, we expect to see further GEO growth in 2025 to 5,700 to 7,000 GEOs forecasted for the year. Our guidance represents a midpoint increase of 16% relative to 2024. It's important to note that 2025 is a ramp-up year at three of our key assets; Cote, Borborema and Vares, while our other cash flowing assets are expected to deliver relatively consistent cash flows for the year. We are also happy to present our inaugural five year outlook. We are forecasting 23,000 to 28,000 GEOs in 2029. This five year outlook reflects continued contributions from our cornerstone producing assets as well as additional production from assets currently under development, including Agnico Eagle, Odyssey underground at Canadian Malartic, Nevada Gold mines, REN, Orla’s South Railroad and I-80s Granite Creek, amongst others. It also reflects near-term expansion growth amongst assets already in production, including Adriatic Vares mine, IAMGOLD's Cote mine and Aura's Borborema project, which is expected to achieve first production by the end of the current quarter. Moving to Slide 5. I will walk through the key inputs that drive our 2025 guidance range. At Borden, we hold a 0.5% NSR royalty over the eastern portion of the mine. Discovery Silver has published a PEA over the Porcupine Complex, which outlined 124,000 ounces of expected gold production from Borden. Note that the current underground mine workings are plunging further to the east with Discovery's targeted future exploration plans, fully covered by our royalty. At Borborema, where we hold a 2% NSR royalty and provided a Gold-Linked loan. Aura Minerals forecast 33,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold production this year. Gold Royalty will continue to receive 250 GEOs per quarter in preproduction payments until commercial production is achieved as well as 110 GEOs per quarter and Gold-Linked interest payments from Aura Minerals. At Canadian Malartic, where we hold a 3% NSR over the north area of the Odyssey Underground mine, and eastern portion of the Barnat Pit. Our guidance is based on relatively consistent year-over-year attributable production. 2025 production is expected to come entirely from the Barnat Pit. And any potential underground production from the internal zones, Odyssey North and East Malartic represents upside to our forecast. At Cote Gold, where we hold a 0.7% NSR royalty over the southern portion of the pit. IAMGOLD has provided guidance of 360,000 to 400,000 ounces of production on a 100% basis. At Cozamin, Capstone Copper has provided guidance that is slightly up from 2024. We expect our attributable GEOs to be relatively consistent year-over-year. Isabella Pearl is expected to conclude operations by mid-2025, and Fortitude Gold is now focused on neighboring projects to supplement production. Of note is the nearby county line project, which Jackie will discuss later in the presentation. And finally, Vares, where we received initial revenues in Q4 2024 from our 100% copper stream. Adriatic Metals has provided guidance of 625,000 to 675,000 tonnes milled in 2025. Our stream has fixed payability of 24.5% and ongoing payments of 30% of the spot copper price. In addition to the cash flowing royalties and our guidance, we also expect to receive $1.6 million Land Agreement Proceeds, which equates to approximately 600 GEOs at the consensus 2025 gold price of $2,668 per ounce. We also assume a copper price of $4.23 per pound in developing our 2025 guidance. Now looking at our five year outlook on Slide 6. We expect to see significant growth in GEOs to 23,000 to 28,000 by 2029, which represents an over 360% increase from our 2024 GEOs. Key assets ramping up to support this five year outlook include Odyssey, Vares, Cote and Borborema. Both Vares and Borborema are well advanced and funded to expand planted throughput at these operations. And Agnico Eagle is pairing a study expected in 2026, which contemplates a second shaft to increase underground production. Recall that Agnico Eagle has indicated that Canadian Malartic is expected to shift to a fully underground operation by 2028. Note, we also hold royalties ranging from 1.5% to 2% in the surrounding area, including the Midway property to the east as well as properties to the south of the mine. Beyond our currently producing assets, our operating partners have provided more clarity around the development and production timelines for REN, Granite Creek, South Railroad and County Line, which are all expected to supplement our cash flow profile by 2029. This longer-term outlook is based on assets already held in our portfolio and is based on public forecast expected development timelines and other disclosures by the owners and operators of the properties underlying their interest. We assume a gold price of $2,212 per ounce at a copper price of and $4.24 per pound in developing our five year outlook. Lastly, I'd like to emphasize that as this outlook materializes, we expect our operating cost structure to remain relatively stable. This will result in higher future operating margins and increased cash reserves. As this occurs, we will continue to review our capital allocation alternatives, which includes paying down a revolving credit facility to reduce our interest costs and boost free cash flows. With that said, I will pass the call to Jackie to discuss some recent portfolio updates in more detail.