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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 2, 2018

$191.97

+2.05%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Gulfport Energy Corporation Third Quarter 2018 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to your host, Jessica Wills. Thank you. You may begin.

Jessica Wills

Analyst

Thank you and good morning. Welcome to Gulfport Energy Corporation's third quarter of 2018 earnings conference call. I am Jessica Wills, Director of Investor Relations. Speakers on today's call include Donnie Moore, Interim Chief Executive Officer, and Keri Crowell, Chief Financial Officer. In addition, with me today available for the question-and-answer portion of the call are Paul Heerwagen, Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Strategy, and Ty Peck, Senior Vice President of Midstream and Marketing. I would like to remind everybody that during this conference call, the participants may make certain forward-looking statements relating to the company's financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business. We caution you that the actual results could differ materially from those that are indicated in these forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors. Information concerning these factors can be found in the company's filings with the SEC. In addition, we may make reference to other non-GAAP measures. If this occurs, the appropriate reconciliations to the GAAP measures will be posted on our Web site. Yesterday afternoon Gulfport reported third quarter of 2018 net income of $95.2 million, or $0.55 per diluted share. These results contain several non-cash items, including an aggregate non-cash derivative loss of $4.1 million, an expense of $917,000 in connection with the litigation settlement, a gain of $2.7 million in connection with the sale of additional common stock held in Mammoth Energy Services following the underwriters' partial exercise of its option granted in the June 2018 offering, and a gain of $12.9 million in connection with Gulfport's interest in certain other equity investments. Comparable to analyst estimates, our adjusted net income for the third quarter of 2018, which excludes all the previous mentioned items, was $84.6 million, or $0.49 per diluted share. An updated presentation was posted yesterday evening to our website in conjunction with the earnings announcement. Please review that at your leisure. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Donnie Moore.

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Thank you, Jessica. Welcome everyone and thank you all for joining this morning. We had a solid third quarter. I look forward to discussing it in more detail with you in a moment. First, I want to acknowledge the other announcement we made yesterday afternoon about Mike stepping down from his positions and resigning from the board. We've been very transparent and there isn't much to add what we disclosed in our press release and filings yesterday. The board has asked me to take charge and that's what I plan to do. I have more than three decades of experience in the E&P industry and have had most of the year now as COO to get to know the team, the operations, and the assets here at Gulfport. So your expectation of us should be that we'll drive forward and my aim is to raise the bar. I met with our team yesterday after the announcement we are all focused on moving forward. The board now will continue to act in the best interest of Gulfport keeping our shareholders foremost in mind. In this spirit we will be disciplined capital allocators, we remain focused on developing attractive opportunities to enhance value and deliver profitable growth. With that, I want to move ahead to discuss our third quarter performance. As announced in the earnings report yesterday, for the third quarter of 2018, Gulfport reported approximately $84.6 million of adjusted net income on $365.1 million of adjusted oil and natural gas revenues and generated approximately $238.8 million of adjusted EBITDA. The third quarter marked a strong operational quarter for Gulfport, delivering a 7% increase in total production per day over the second quarter of 2018 and experiencing strong price realizations across all of our products. Total net production averaged approximately 1.43 billion…

Keri Crowell

Analyst

Thank you, Donnie, and good morning all. Gulfport's third quarter production came in ahead of expectations, and as Donnie mentioned, was driven by the continued strong performance of the existing asset base, turn-in-lines in both our core asset areas and increased ethane recovery. Production averaged 1.43 billion cubic feet of gas equivalent per day and consisted of 89% natural gas, 8% natural gas liquids and 3% oil. Based on the results year-to-date and our forecasted activities for the remainder of the year, we now forecast our full-year 2018 average daily production to be in the range of 1.36 billion cubic feet per day to 1.37 billion cubic feet per day, an increase of approximately 25% over 2017. On the realizations front, during the first nine months of 2018, our realized natural gas price before the effect of hedges and including transportation costs settled $0.59 per Mcf, below the average NYMEX price. Based upon actual results and utilizing current strip pricing at the various regional pricing points at which the company sells its natural gas, we have narrowed our full-year guidance and we now forecast to average in the range of $0.58 per Mcf to $0.61 per Mcf below NYMEX settlement prices in 2018. During the first nine months of the year, before the effect of hedges, our realized oil price came in at $1.83 of WTI. Given the strength we've seen in oil pricing in all of our operating areas, we have updated our full-year guidance and now expect to realize approximately $1.75 to $2 of WTI during 2018. Our realized NGL price came in approximately 45% of WTI and we reiterate our expectation to realize 45% to 50% for NGLs during 2018. Our realized prices continue to be supported by our hedge position and during the first nine months…

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Thank you, Keri. In closing, we continue to see outstanding performance from the resource base, exceeding our production estimates and increasing our 2018 production guidance while remaining dedicated to funding our 2018 activities within cash flow and spending within the range of our previously provided guidance. As we exit 2018 and head into 2019, we are committed to sustainable cash flow discipline as we allocate capital. As we've highlighted in the past several quarters funded entirely within cash flow at current strip prices, we were able to generate low double-digit growth in 2019. This program is supported by the tremendous assets in our portfolio, which only require investment of approximately $500 million in maintenance capital mode, which yield significant free cash flow at current strip prices and providing meaningful growth capital to be reinvested across our low-cost resource base. As we consider our plans for 2019 and beyond, Gulfport's investment of future cash flow, whether into the assets, returning cash to shareholders, or debt repayment may vary over time, but will be underpinned by disciplined thoughtful allocation process centered around recognizing the most value with every dollar invested. This concludes our prepared remarks. Now as I'm sure you can appreciate you're the first of many stakeholders we're touching base with today. With the time we have left for questions, I'd like to focus on our results and our business. As a team, we're moving forward and that's what we're focused on. Operator, please open the phone lines for questions from the participants.

Operator

Operator

Thank you [Operator Instructions]. Our first question is from Neal Dingmann from SunTrust. Please go ahead.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst

Donnie, my first question, you've referenced it just at the end that Utica certainly is a great cash flow vehicle. I'm wondering when you look at for '19, do you plan to use this more as a cash flow vehicle to grow the SCOOP or you'll grow the Utica sort of independently also?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

I mean, that is a great benefit of having such a resource, such an asset like the Utica continues to deliver day in and day out for us. As we go into '19 that's definitely an option for us as we've always talked about continuing to shift more and more of our capital over toward the SCOOP. I think '19 with the DUC inventory, I mentioned as well, the 55 DUCs, it's a little different dynamic as we began to bring that inventory back down to more of a working inventory for us, but yes great option for us, and definitely on the table.

Neal Dingmann

Analyst

And then when you look at the SCOOP, could you talk a little bit about more just from a higher level, how -- I know, since you've been there when you are looking at the SCOOP, the cost, and sort of the results you're seeing. I know you did that one test here just recently on more of the Sycamore, but just more the SCOOP, I guess, would for some of the more common results. Could you talk about cost and results and what you anticipate maybe changing for '19?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

I mean as far as performance results from the well set, from the resources sale, from a -- we continue to see just outstanding results there, very excited about that. As we've talked every quarter about our efficiencies that we're gaining on the drilling and completion side, we've continued to see that well after well. I mentioned a little bit on my prepared remarks about the things we see in more of a development mode going from the first well to that eighth well or whatever in a section and the learnings we get and the improvements we see across that well set. So, as also mentioned, going into '19, we're looking at more co-development and in that co-development, you start getting efficiencies, again that we're seeing in drilling, but now in our completions as well as the things that we don't talk about a lot with our facilities and infrastructure. So yes, efficiencies cost will continue to go down, as we get into co-development next year and excited to see that play out.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jason Wangler from Imperial Capital. Please go ahead.

Jason Wangler

Analyst

Maybe taking Neal's question a little further, just was curious with the results that you've had in the Sycamore so far looks pretty good. What's that balance that you're thinking as you look at '19, maybe in a percentage of how many wells you kind of target, the Woodford versus the Sycamore, or how should we think about kind of the activity specifically in there given the results you've seen so far?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Yeah, great question, Jason. And yes, we are very excited about what we are seeing, whether it's the Lower Sycamore, the solid or what we just released on our Miller well and that's Upper Sycamore, and the liquids content there. So as we're thinking about, and I will get into percentages, but as we're thinking about 2019, co-development Upper Sycamore, Lower Sycamore, Woodford, we will have a test next year more of a cube type development in the section, testing all of those and again excited about each of those targets and what they're delivering for us.

Paul Heerwagen

Analyst

Jason, as we think about next year that cube development Donnie mentioned, we feel like that's important, from an aerial extent perspective, we feel like the Sycamore is pretty well derisked both from our activity and others. Really we had already get some color on is that density components. And so with regard to 2019, while we're not giving specific percentages on activities within each zone, it will include some density work to understand that.

Jason Wangler

Analyst

Maybe one more on that, if I could two. I mean the Woodford seems to be pretty well delineated across the entire acreage position. I mean how do you feel how far along as you were just saying Paul, do you feel the Sycamore, is it still some work to be done kind of the full extent of the acreage, or do you feel pretty good about it across the entire position?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Yeah, Jason this is Donnie. Yes, we feel good about this, Paul mentioned, now we're kind of focusing in on what's that density look like in more of a co-development of all those zones. So yeah, I mean as you said, the Woodford has had phenomenal results across the play, and we'll continue to work on that co-development and again looking at density.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Ron Mills from Johnson Rice. Please go ahead.

Ron Mills

Analyst

Just a follow-up on this co-development concept, Donnie, I think you mentioned the Serenity wells running 80% above your type curve, your Winham wells are 100%. I know in terms of the Woodford, your Woodford wells are also running above type curve. Just curious of your thoughts in terms of what drove that level of outperformance in the Serenity and Winham. Do you think it's related to the co-development of the two zones and just getting a better connectivity? Just curious of what your thoughts are that have driven that co-development and I'm assuming that's what is leading you to do more of that next year.

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Ron, I mean those are great wells, as you said and repeated, the number there, I mean, they are fantastic results. And yes, I do think that co-development, that fracture connectivity that we're doing there is really paying off for us, we're seeing it some in our Woodford as well across the board. So that's why we are moving in that direction. I mean, to me that's how you maximize efficient recovery in a resource play and that's where we're headed to now. So what's really exciting for us is now being able to layer in that Upper Sycamore onto that, and that's why we want to get a test in the ground pretty early next year, so we can really see what those results look like.

Ron Mills

Analyst

And then as it relates to the Upper Sycamore, I think the concept we are trying to prove was more oily, obviously, a strong proof of concept, but when you think about the Upper versus the Lower Sycamore, the 40-plus percent oil versus 11% oil between the upper and lower. And in terms of the initial deliverability of this Miller well, can you provide a little color in terms of what you're seeing versus what you may have hoped for? Is this in line or are you even potentially more encouraged than what you had hoped for?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

When we went into this well to really prove up was that liquid content, we weren't looking for upbeat 24-type well, we want to prove up that liquid content we got it. We're very, very excited that we've done that and again ready to absorb, folding that into our program as we move forward.

Ron Mills

Analyst

And then lastly, just in terms of activity, you talked about 55 DUCs up in the Utica. I don't know if you really have many in the SCOOP, but it seems from the CapEx standpoint to keep yourself within the high-end, you may be pushing some activity from the fourth quarter into the first quarter. But when you think about activity that you had in 2018, is that a pretty good proxy in terms of what 2019 will look like, or what are your initial thoughts in terms of '19, in terms of how that activity ramps back-up once you get back to work? Thank you.

Donnie Moore

Analyst

I'll touch on a couple of different places where you mentioned activity in the capital. And yeah, when you have 55 DUCs in inventory to continue to drill and add to that inventory for us in this quarter just really didn't make sense. We pushed that out. If you think about activity for next year, and we haven't come out, of course, with what our plan is, but more than likely, in both assets, we'll be starting up completion activity in the first of the year probably very similar to what we saw in the past year, drilling will continue on in the SCOOP, probably closer to the level we started this year with. And then, in the Utica, you're probably looking at starting a rig early sometime next year, one to two rigs, but again, we haven't finalized plans for next year, but that's kind of part of the things that are on the table for us.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Tim Rezvan from Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Tim Rezvan

Analyst

On the topic of Utica, economics in the wet gas part of the play are improving with stronger NGL and oil prices. I know you have about 50 DUCs, how nimble can you be in 2019 with the wet gas program? And what would you be looking for to actually make that move?

Paul Heerwagen

Analyst

Obviously, we don't have the '19 plan out yet, but I can tell you that the current base case assumptions we're working from right now include us shifting some activity in the Utica back to the condensate/wet gas window side of things. As Donnie mentioned the activity there is going to be a little lower than it has been historically on the drilling side, and so that activity occurs and then probably starts actually showing up in terms of production, probably in the second half of the year. But look at, you're on point with regard to the economics in that window, things have shifted in its favor.

Tim Rezvan

Analyst

The mid-year maybe impact, I mean, then if I could just shift gears a bit, I know you're not here to talk about the CEO search. But I was curious if you could kind of, from an organizational point of view, Donnie maybe, in your conversations with the board kind of maybe from the organizational point of view on management level hires, cost inflation was a big issue for you all this year and there has been kind of budget overruns for a couple of years in a row. Can you speak to the board's thoughts on kind of on staffing and on the organization and what can be done to deliver a more disciplined budgeting process going forward?

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Tim, I'll probably start off, later on to Paul to add some comments, but we've talked about that all year, and that has been a focus not only with our teams, but with the board and we're seeing continued improvement on that side. I mean our capital efficiency is, continues to get better. I'll point out the discipline part of it. I mean we're coming in toward that high-end of our range, which is not where we want to be, but to take the activity down and continue to manage that, have that commitment to it. I think, I said something for the progress we've made and are making and we'll continue to get better at that and excited about next year to see the fruits of it. So, Paul, if you want to add something to Tim.

Paul Heerwagen

Analyst

Yes, Tim. I may add that the board and management are continuing to collaborate on the annual planning process there. I think it's probably worth noting that you know with Donnie at the helm, bringing his three decades of management across some large cap E&P companies, we view his fresh perspective as a tremendous positive and believe his deep expertise brings an advantage to us as we head into that budgeting process. I would also add that Donnie has built out a strong team here and working all closely together as we head into the end of the year and very focused on putting together a good plan that can be delivered upon.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Holly Stewart from Scotia Howard Weil. Please go ahead.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Maybe first, just a higher level question for Donnie. You talked a little bit about '19 and sort of activity levels starting off similar to '18 in terms of completions, you've got that slide in the deck on. I think it's slide 8 on just the cadence for '18. Should we expect something similar? And I think it's been like that the last few years where CapEx is very sort of front-end loaded.

Donnie Moore

Analyst

I mean I think as we had kind of laid out at least what we've talked about over the past few quarters that's probably a similar type thinking. But again, it's just we haven't finalized that, you don't know what that back in looks like. 2019 is a lot different than we've had in the previous years, especially, as Paul mentioned earlier on the drilling side. With that DUC count, you're really not starting out with the number of rigs we had to start off with. So whether it's drilling or completion, I don't want to guide you one way or the other because you've got some options there that could make that look different to say. I mean those are very efficient economic wells in the DUCs and we're going to be leaning into those.

Paul Heerwagen

Analyst

Holly, this is Paul. I'd also add, as we head into more of that full section development in the SCOOP, I think it probably knocked some of the cyclicality out of that spending too and that change occurs over time, but probably not immediately in 2019.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Okay, it's good color. Maybe just a couple for Ty on the realization side, it looks like the slide deck also has your NGL barrel changing a little bit. I'm assuming that's related to ethane recovery. So I guess the question is, first, is that the case and then is there any other things we should be thinking about like those barrel changes over the next couple of quarters.

Ty Peck

Analyst

So this quarter we did have the opportunities to cap a little bit more I think in both basins, both in the Utica and SCOOP. We thought we're putting into our gas streams, we had that opportunity and we took advantage of it and that's what you're seeing reflected in Slide 25. Going forward, ethane prices have come down quite a bit and we're continuing to look on a daily basis, definitely on trying to optimize the streams, whether that's all three, whether it's gas, NGLs or oil. And so we'll continue to do that and it's not just about -- with regard to ethane, it's not just about the frac spread, it's the other things, the factors we have to look at and put into play. And we've seen a nice rally in our gas prices. So we continue to optimize that and think that as we look into the rest of the year, the Slide 25 shows us we may get it a little bit early.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Well, maybe I'll ask this to -- that what are your recovery levels right now on the ethane side in each of those areas?

Ty Peck

Analyst

It's probably, liked I said, if you look at last quarter's, it's a mixed well, actually the mixture is probably best suited is showed in 25, we're trying to estimate for the year-end. So I mean, it's in that 25% to 30% across those two areas, it's brought down a little bit of the propane recoveries. But again, you should think of it as the overall barrels that we are recovering are higher. So -- I hope that helps.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Yes. And then maybe one -- just one last one from me on the realization for Nate (ph), it looks like that year-to-date it came and so far been at $0.59, you brought down the guidance. Maybe just kind of what you're seeing given all the projects that have come on here as of late and kind of how you're thinking about '19?

Ty Peck

Analyst

Yes, I think it's been a really good year for us, just like we were -- we've been waiting for this to come on with regards to pipeline, with regards to all of our FT commitments and then being ready to take advantage of some of the volatility that's come along with the pipelines. I think the numbers really highlight our midstream connectivity, our downstream portfolio and then really highlights the team that we have that daily looking at these decisions and making them for the benefit of the revenue stream. So, I have been really excited and proud of the team, and what they've accomplished thus far. And I think, if you look into '19, some of that continues to play out, there's still pipelines coming on, there's still low storage numbers, and I think there's good opportunity for us to continue to deliver same kind of results as we look into '19 and put that into the budget. So we're really excited on that side.

Donnie Moore

Analyst

Thank you, Holly. Well, I want to thank you all for joining us this morning. We appreciate your time and interest today. Should you have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out to our Investor Relations team, this concludes our call.

Operator

Operator

And again, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you again for your participation.