David Scheible
Analyst · Ghansham Panjabi with Robert W. Baird
Thanks, Brad. We're very pleased with our fourth quarter performance and full year results. For the quarter, adjusted earnings per share were $0.06 compared to $0.03 in the prior year period, while full year 2010 adjusted earnings per share were $0.22 versus $0.03 for the full year 2009. Volume was positive in both the fourth quarter and for the full year. We've seen a steady increase in some of our key leading indicators over the last two quarters and as a result, sales in the fourth quarter increased a healthy 3.4%. The primary drivers were higher volumes and pricing. While the overall operating environment remained challenging throughout 2010, we improved our operating margin and exceeded our EBITDA and cash flow targets by optimizing our converting in-mill assets and increasing productivity throughout the supply chain. In the fourth quarter, we generated over $169 million in operating cash flow, and our adjusted EBITDA margin increased 50 basis points to over 13%. For full year 2010, operating cash flow exceeded $338 million and our adjusted EBITDA margin improved over 40 basis points to 14%. Our full year net debt reduction result was $210 million, ahead of our original target range of $180 million to $200 million. With the economy slowly improving, volumes beginning to pick up, pricing moving higher, we believe there is momentum heading into 2011. Our mills had another very strong quarter. We produced more prime tons of paperboard, and we sold those additional tons generating higher profitability and lower year-end inventories. Board production per day was up nearly 2% on a year-over-year basis in the fourth quarter. We took five days of scheduled cold outage downtime in our West Monroe facility and almost four days of scheduled maintenance at our Macon facility. So comparing the fourth quarter on a year-over-year basis, we incurred nearly five additional days of scheduled downtime across all of our mills. Despite this, we still produced and sold more tons of paperboard in this year's fourth quarter than last year. We annually produce roughly 2.5 million tons of paperboard, and we see additional opportunities to improve efficiencies and reduce costs in our seven paperboard mills. We have focused our capital investments to do exactly that. I'm really excited about our recent announcements of plans to build a new $80 million biomass boiler at our Macon, Georgia, facility. The majority of the fuel source for the new system will be parts of the pine trees that cannot be used in the pulping process. Principally, these are tree tops and branches that are generally left behind in the forest as part of the logging process. This abundant source will now be collected and delivered to the mill where it will be consumed to produce energy. The objectives of the biomass project are to further the company's sustainability strategy, reduce our energy costs and improve the profitability of the Macon mill in advance of expected increase in electricity costs going forward. The new biomass system is expected to make the mill self-sufficient from electrical power and steam generation standpoint, thereby reducing energy costs and dependency on fossil fuel alternatives. In 2013, we expect the mill to become a net producer of electricity with the ability to sell power back to the grid. Looking at our Folding Carton business, we continued to see some incremental positive trends there as well. Volumes in our Paperboard Packaging segment increased a little over 1% in the fourth quarter, and we have seen a slow but steady increase in new machine orders, sample requests and other trial work, which typically in our business bodes well for future new product introductions and demand. Unemployment in the United States remains very high, so the overall economic environment remains challenging for our business but we are cautiously optimistic that volume trends are slowly moving in the right direction. The trends in the fourth quarter mimic what we have experienced all year. We continued to see a shift away from premium products and strengthened the everyday staples and value-driven merchandise. In this environment as you would expect, the more discretionary refrigerated items struggled as commodity prices inflated and consumers traded down to more valued items. Dry and frozen foods do much better in this environment, and our sales reflected these macro trends. We also saw significant strength in our Facial Tissue segment in the fourth quarter as consumers built inventories for the cold and flu season. Beer consumption across the industry also remained relatively unchanged, with volumes down slightly in the fourth quarter and down low- to mid-single digits for the full year. The one bright spot here remains the Crash segment, which continues to grow at a double-digit rate. Similarly, soft drink volumes across the industry were down about 1% in the fourth quarter and 4% for the full year. Conversely, our international beverage business, particularly in Europe, saw a nice pick up in the fourth quarter. This business is benefiting from a recovery in both the pricing and volume side and appears to be building momentum heading into 2011. This momentum is partially attributable to a substitution trend from plastics to paperboard. In the quarter, a major international soft drink company purchased new machines to make the change to paperboard from plastic, and we see others following this trend. So while international markets are a relatively small part of our business today, it's significant growth opportunity and area where we also see some positive leading indicators. Let's talk about our Flexible business. This is really more closely tied to the general manufacturing and housing sectors. The partial recovery trend in volume that we saw in the first half of the year just did not continue into the second half. Similar to the third quarter, unit volume declined 5% on a year-over-year basis in the fourth quarter. The decline was driven primarily by weaknesses in the industrial and construction sectors of the business. Partially offsetting this volume decline was an increase in pricing in the fourth quarter through the successful recovery of higher paper and resin costs. As we did in 2010, we will continue to aggressively manage this business by consolidating volumes into our most productive facilities, reducing the overall cost structure and managing capital expenditures. New product introductions and innovation was a positive in the quarter. This is a key strategic growth area for Graphic Packaging, and our customers depend on us to provide differentiated packaging to support their marketplace growth and cost reduction goals. New product sales increased 20% in the fourth quarter over $70 million. For the full year, new product sales increased to about $250 million, which exceeded our internal targets. Our microwave products continue to provide superior performance and convenience to our customers and varying consumers. We had several new product launches in the fourth quarter including a LEAN CUISINE spring rolls from Nestlé, a panini sandwich from Wal-Mart, a quiche with Santa Teresa in Spain and a take-home dumpling product from Tokyo in Japan. In addition, we are working aggressively on expanding our micro-right [ph] trade offerings with ConAgra's popular Marie Callender line of microwavable meals after a very successful initial launch in mid-2010. Our shrink packaging platform remains focused on helping customers lower their supply chain costs through better distribution efficiencies. In the fourth quarter, our patented Z-Flute packs were utilized in an oatmeal product by PepsiCo Quaker. The strength of the Z-Flute structure allows pallets to be double-stacked and makes for a four-sided shoppable pallet display resulting in significantly lower transportation and handling costs in the store. Our Z-Flute technology was also used by Langer's Juice and PouchSmart in expanding their business into additional West Coast markets. And finally, our new eight-sided heavyweight SUS Folding Carton was adopted by Faribault Foods for all of their private-label pouched beverage business. Our barrier platform continues to grow with the customers' adoption of new and patented structures. In the rigid barrier market, we commercialized a new detergent package in the fourth quarter with Sun Products for their Surf and Sun brand. The next-generation detergent package allows us to reduce materials by 15% to 20%, thus reducing packaging costs and improving the packaging's environmental profile. We are encouraged by strong customer interest in this product as a result of the cost reduction, environmental improvement and enhanced consumer functionality. Our Beverage business saw a consistent level of activity for new products in both the United States and Japan. We see an increasing interest in our Cap-it, our patented paperboard replacement for plastic secondary packaging. Gatorade is currently testing the new six-pack solution in specialty stores across the U.S. Reviewing pricing and inflation impacts on the quarter, as we expected, the differential between these two moderated in the fourth quarter. Pricing continues to move higher as a result of both contractual, inflationary pass-throughs and open market price increases on board. At the same time, inflationary trends have eased off of their peak level in middle of 2010. Price turned meaningfully positive in the fourth quarter at $23 million, offsetting the majority of the commodity inflation, which ran at roughly $32 million in the quarter. Higher-priced externally purchased board was the single biggest component of overall inflation in the quarter. However, the nature of our customer contracts allows for a quicker recovery of changes in external board prices. Our other input costs saw increases on a year-over-year basis in the fourth quarter, included OCC and resin. Dan will discuss the individual components of inflation in more detail during his talk. In the fourth quarter, we implemented another $40 a ton price increase in both CRB and CUK. This was the fourth increase in CRB and the third increase in CUK in 2010. For the full year, we announced pricing increases of $165 per ton in CRB and $135 per ton in CUK. As a result, we should see a benefit from open-market board pricing heading into 2011. In summary, we are cautiously optimistic about our prospects in 2011. We believe higher pricing in the first half in a relatively stable to improving demand picture should provide a favorable backdrop. While we cannot predict the level of raw material inflation, the differential between pricing and input cost should narrow in 2011 versus 2010. At the same time, we will continue to push our continuous improvement projects that should deliver additional benefit to our bottom line. Finally, we remain committed to our key financial strategy of deleveraging our balance sheet and expect to achieve financial progress towards this goal in 2011. With that, I'll turn it over to Dan for a more detailed discussion of our financial results and guidance for 2011. Dan?