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Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI)

Q4 2014 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 5, 2015

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Group 1 Automotive Fourth Quarter and Full Year Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Pete Delongchamps, Group 1's Vice President of Manufacturer Relations, Financial Services and Public Affairs. Please go ahead.

Peter C. Delongchamps

Analyst

Thank you, Amy, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to today's call. The earnings release we issued this morning and a related slide presentation that includes reconciliations related to the adjusted results we'll refer to on this call for comparison purposes has been posted to the Group 1 website. Before we begin, I'd like to make some brief remarks about forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures. Except for historical information mentioned during the conference call, statements made by management of Group 1 Automotive are forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve both known and unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause the company's actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. Those risks include, but are not limited to, risks associated with pricing, volume and the conditions of markets. Those and other risks are described in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission over the last 12 months. Copies of these filings are available from both the SEC and the company. In addition, certain non-GAAP financial measures, as defined under SEC rules, may be discussed on this call. As required by applicable SEC rules, the company provides reconciliations on any such non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures on its website. Participating with me on today's call are Earl Hesterberg, our President and Chief Executive Officer; John Rickel, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Lance Parker, our Vice President and Corporate Controller. Please note that all comparisons in the prepared remarks are to the same prior year period, unless otherwise stated. I would now like to hand the call over to Earl.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Thank you, Pete, and good morning, everyone. For the full of year 2014, Group 1 reported an 18.3% increase in adjusted earnings per diluted share to an all-time record of $5.87. Adjusted net income increased 16.1% to $151.7 million, marking a fifth consecutive year of double-digit net income growth. During 2014, Group 1 retailed approximately 167,000 new vehicles and 110,000 used units, driving a $1 billion increase in revenue to a record $9.9 billion. This equates to 11.4% growth and marks the fifth consecutive year that we have also grown revenue by double digits. For the full year, revenue increased across each of our business segments with new vehicles up 9.9%; and a double-digit growth in used vehicles, up 14%; parts and service, up 11.4%; and finance and insurance, up 17.4%. We did a better job leveraging this revenue growth and as a result, our adjusted SG&A as a percentage of gross profit improved 90 basis points to 73.9% for 2014. And finally, we made a significant improvement to our capital structure by extinguishing our convertible debt during the year. We're moving these instruments from our balance sheet, significantly reduced our fully diluted share count and greatly simplified our capital structure, making our company's results easier to understand and providing a clear linkage between growth in net income and earnings per share. Turning now to our fourth quarter results. On an adjusted basis, Group 1 earned $40.7 million in the fourth quarter, which equates to an all-time any quarter record of $1.67 per diluted share. On a GAAP basis, net income and EPS were $18.7 million and $0.77, respectively. John will cover the adjustments in his comments shortly. For the quarter, total revenue increased $259.4 million or 11.4% to a fourth quarter record of $2.5 billion. Turning to our business…

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Thank you, Earl, and good morning, everyone. Our adjusted net income for the fourth quarter of 2014 rose $11.8 million or 40.7% over our comparable 2013 results of $40.7 million. On a fully diluted per share basis, adjusted earnings increased 54.6% to $1.67, an all-time record for any quarter. These quarterly results for 2014 exclude $22 million of net after-tax adjustments consisting of $19.9 million of noncash intangible asset impairments, primarily associated with our Peugeot and Nissan franchises in Brazil as well as 2 parcels of real estate that are held for sale in the U.S. and a $1.6 million net loss on dealership dispositions. The comparable results for the fourth quarter of 2013 excluded a $3.6 million valuation allowance for certain deferred tax assets, $3.3 million of asset impairment charges and $237,000 of severance cost associated with restructuring activities. For the full year, our adjusted net income rose $21 million or 16.1% to an all-time record of $151.7 million. On a fully diluted per share basis, adjusted earnings increased 18.3% to a record $5.87. Revenue grew 11.4% to a full year record of over $9.9 billion, driven by strong increases in each line of business. Our gross profit increased 12% to over $1.4 billion, reflecting the strong revenue growth and a 10-basis-point expansion in our gross margin to 14.6%. We leveraged this growth with adjusted SG&A as a percent of gross profit declining 90 basis points to 73.9% and adjusted operating margin expanding 20 basis points to 3.4%. Starting with the summary of our quarterly consolidated results. For the quarter, we generated $2.5 billion in total revenues. This was an improvement of $259.4 million or 11.4% over the same period a year ago and reflects healthy increases in each of our business units. Our gross profit increased $44.6 million…

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Thanks, John. Related to our corporate development efforts, the fourth quarter included the acquisition of 3 BMW/MINI dealerships in the U.K. We also received and add point for a Sprinter franchise in Beaumont, Texas. During 2014, we acquired a total of 19 franchises that are expected to generate roughly $910 million in annual revenues. We divested 4 franchises during the fourth quarter, which included 1 Fiat franchise in Houston, Texas and 3 Renault franchises in Brazil. Overall, doing 2014, we divested 12 franchises that generated approximately $450 million in annual revenues. We continue to adjust our dealership portfolio to ensure we're generating appropriate returns for our shareholders. Before I turn the call over to the operator for your questions, let me update you on our market outlook for 2015. For the U.S., we expect to see continued growth in the overall new vehicle industry. Total new vehicle sales in 2014 came in at 16.5 million units with the pace increasing as the year progresses. Totally improving the pace across the year, coupled now with lower gas prices and improving consumer confidence, we're looking for a 17 million unit total industry in the U.S. for 2015. Within that total, we are closely monitoring sales and markets such as Houston in the state of Oklahoma, which are fairly dependent on the oil and gas business. Through this weekend, we have not seen any slowing. Our stores continue to report strong traffic in sales, consistent with overall industry trends. If we see any slowing in these markets, we will adjust costs accordingly. For the U.K., we expect the market to be up slightly to around 2.5 million units. And for Brazil, we expect the market to be flat with 2014 levels of roughly 3.3 million units. Within that total, we anticipate the first several months to be weaker as the market adjust for the IPI tax increase that occurred at the start of the year. As John indicated, because of seasonal factors, we expect our first quarter results to be weak, but the cost reductions the team has implemented over the last 6 months should allow us to be profitable on a full year basis. This concludes our prepared remarks. I'll now turn the call over to the operator to begin the question-and-answer session. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Rick Stephens -- Rick Nelson at Stephens.

N. Richard Nelson - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst

It's terrific gains year-over-year in SG&A. And curious if you think those ratios can be sustained or improved and is that more of a function now of getting the grosses up or there's still no cost opportunities.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Yes, Rick, this is John Rickel. Obviously, the gross is part of the equation, but we continue to be comfortable with the guidance that we've given on a go-forward basis. If we can continue to grow gross profit, we should be able to leverage that with 40% to 50%, sort of, flow-through levels. So if we're right that the market continues to grow, particularly here in the U.S., there should be an opportunity to continue to leverage to that.

N. Richard Nelson - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Then taxes, is it a situation where you would make adjustments in advance of any downturn or you're waiting to see sales develop and then adjust accordingly?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Yes, Rick, this is Earl. We've already made some adjustments in advance in some of the energy-dependent markets. So yes, you need to be in front of those things a bit.

N. Richard Nelson - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst

And finally, if I could ask about F&I. Big, big gains actually across the chain. I think U.S. leads this sector than U.K. and Brazil. How much more opportunity do you see there, I guess, especially in the U.K. and Brazil, which will lag the U.S.?

Peter C. Delongchamps

Analyst

Rick, this is Pete Delongchamps, we have additional opportunities in the U.K. and Brazil and we're working on those closely. And in regard to the U.S., we're comfortable with where we are and it's a function of working on underperforming dealerships and we have our processes in place. So we're very comfortable with the business model we have now. It's just -- it's improving, the dealerships that maybe aren't as proficient or are average with the other brands.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brett Hoselton at KeyBanc.

Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

John, I think you've done a fair amount of work in considering the oil and gas and potential impact on new vehicle sales and so forth. I know you haven't seen anything as of this past weekend. But I'm kind of wondering, as you kind of thought through that, what you may be able to add to your -- how are you thinking the -- about that impact? What do you see as the potential puts and takes, pros and cons and where you might actually see some impact, if at all?

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Brett, this is John. There's obviously, multiple factors at play here. And overall for auto sales across the country, it should be a positive. The lower oil prices are translating to significant reductions with gas prices with the a pump, that puts additional discretionary money in consumer's pockets. So on a macro basis, it's gets good for auto sales. Where we're watching specifically, as Earl indicated, are markets that have heavier exposure to the oil and gas industry. For us, that would be primarily Houston, and to a lesser degree, kind of, Oklahoma. As Earl indicated, we have not seen any impact so far but we are monitoring it and started to take some cost-reduction actions. But so far, the market's holding up. I think, one of the challenges with this is this is different than the time the prior oil bust in the mid-80s. The Houston economy is diversified, there's a lot of medical services here. So we're just going to watch and adjust on the fly. But we are -- we're monitoring it closely.

Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Can you just roughly quantify the exposure to those markets that you're citing?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Well, the state of Texas is 36% of our business. I would guess about half of that would be in Southern Texas, which would be more in the heavy energy bell. And then the state of Oklahoma is about 8%. Well, that's of our total vehicle sales.

Brett D. Hoselton - KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc., Research Division

Analyst

And then as we think about switching gears, gross profit throughput, very strong in the quarter. And my thought -- my question is, how do we think about the potential puts and takes, the drivers of what appear to be some very good gross profit throughput. Was there some unusual items? I think last year, for example, you had some spending and maybe had some easier comps. How do we think about that?

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Yes, Brett, this is John, again. I mean, the basic overall guidance that we provide on this is that, overall, 40% to 50% on a same store basis of incremental gross profit that we generate, we should be able to deliver through. We did better than that this quarter. Some of that was driven by the extraordinary cost cutting that's going on in Brazil, allow them to overachieve. That obviously doesn't repeat. So I think that 40% to 50% range is a good one to think about.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from Jamie Albertine at Stifel. James J. Albertine - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division: I just had a quick housekeeping item. First, your tax rate in the fourth quarter, by our math, on a GAAP basis looks somewhat higher than 38% or so on an adjusted basis. But I think we calculated 43.6%. So what may be impacted that from a GAAP perspective on the tax rate first? And then a bigger picture question on, sort of, M&A.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Sure, Jamie, this is John. You're right. That's the exact numbers I recognized. Our GAAP rate was 43.6%, the non-GAAP rate was 38%. So the differential was 5.6 percentage points. And that's basically all explained by the loss on the Renault disposition that happened in Brazil, was basically at present time, not deductible. Those losses are trapped in an amenity [ph] that doesn't have income. We're able to do something in the future with how we structure down there. We might be able to recover some of that. But for the time being, the proper accounting is that we're not able to deduct those losses on the Renault disposition. James J. Albertine - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division: That's very helpful. So we still think about 38% or so kind of going forward?

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Yes. That's the right go-forward rate to think about. James J. Albertine - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division: And given the rebalancing effort you've had -- you've undergone in the US, is it fair to say, I guess, first, you sort of got the U.S. portfolio to where you wanted. And then in light of that, what are your priorities from a capital allocation perspective? And how do you think about M&A? And now important is M&A to the future of the next phase, if you will, of your growth story?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Well, I think M&A is important because I think at the size our company is at, scale helps us. But that said, I think prices on U.S. acquisitions are fairly high. But we still would prioritize growth as our best use of our capital. Similar in the U.K, we've deliberately grown that from getting with 3 dealerships to now 17. Then we have 3 now, we can get to work to absorb here, that we took over in December. So the opportunities in the U.K. are not nearly as plentiful. But we still have an interest to grow in the U.K. And in Brazil, we still have some work to do to shift around our portfolio a little bit there. You're seeing us to do some work with that and we'll continue to do that this year. There are far more opportunities in Brazil than we could ever act upon, that's a totally different environment. But we're going to continue to strengthen that core business there and in particular, lower our cost structure a bit. James J. Albertine - Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division: And just to clarify, we shouldn't expect any more dispositions to the extent that we saw on 2014 and going forward? And that's sort of my next question. And then lastly, if I can sneak another one on Texas, and you said no impact, does that include any potential segmentation shift between cars and trucks?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

First, on dispositions, I don't, in the near term, anticipate any major ones in the U.S. But I think it's always possible to have some small ones because it's our job to continue to free up frozen capital and make sure we got a good return. But I don't see anything major in the U.S. at the moment. In Brazil, I think there'll be some more dispositions than acquisitions.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

And then Jamie, on your question and segmentation shift. We are seeing a little bit of strengthening in SUVs and pickups. And a little bit of fall off in things like compact cars. And so on the margin, that's a positive as well.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from David Whiston of MorningStar.

David Whiston - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Analyst

3 questions. The first, could you -- if you -- I can't remember if you talked about this previously. Can you just talk a little bit about why you disposed those Renault stores in Brazil, given that UAB wasn't that long ago?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

We weren't in -- we didn't believe they were good longterm business proposition given their cost structure and the future of that brand. So we can make money was by investing that money elsewhere.

David Whiston - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Analyst

And have you done any scenario planning on Brazil if it were to go well below $3.3 million this year?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Yes. We always do that. And that's one of the reasons we're making some adjustments to get lower cost structure in Brazil.

David Whiston - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and last question. Given your pickup truck expertise in Texas and Oklahoma, I'd be curious to hear your thoughts on GM's new midsized trucks versus the Toyota Tacoma for this year.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Well, the Toyota Tacoma is kind of an icon, that's rock solid. If you ever -- if you're ever to look at what a used Tacoma brings, it'll look just about like the price of a new Tacoma. So I don't think anything's going to happen to the Tacoma. But I think the new entry from General Motors have been very well received, and I think there's room to expand that segment. Some of that comes from the fact that full size trucks have moved up in transaction price point over the years. So I think there's -- I don't think anything's going to happen competitively to the Tacoma. They've sold every one they can make for a long time. And I think they'll continue to it, Toyota to sell every one they can make. But the new GM product seems to be doing nicely in the marketplace. And I think it's going to do -- it's going to fit in very well.

David Whiston - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay, and just following up on that. Can you expand a little bit in your opinion over the years, what makes a consumer at the -- or that wants a pickup truck to say, I want full-size versus midsize? Is it fuel economy, towing power?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Boy, that's a pretty good question, probably better for an OEM person to answer. But I will say the full-sized truck market is very hot right now and it's probably hotter than anyone can see by data because there isn't a good supply of Ford trucks in there right now. So I do think with low fuel prices, you get the more casual urban user invested. I think there was a shakeout in the full-size segment during the downturn and more and more of those customers are people who functionally needed to haul things for work or their vocation of some sort. But it seems to me there's a lot of recreational people who don't necessarily need the function of a truck bed coming into the market these days, both with the midsize truck from GM there, but now these relatively new General Motors product and the all-new Ford products. So I think that segment is going to have a very, very strong year.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from David Lim at Wells Fargo Securities.

David H. Lim - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

So I just wanted to ask on the new vehicle margins. Increased year-over-year after like I think a string of 10 quarters of decline. Can you sort of explain to us how that was achieved and what was it more due to: mix, launches? Any additional color there?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

The way I think that's just kind of a normal vacillation. I expect the fourth quarter's usually a little heavier luxury brand quarter. Clearly, there's a little bit of mixed shifts toward bigger vehicles with trucks and the large SUVs. And also, we've probably hit some volume bonuses from some of the OEMs, which throws that money into gross.

David Whiston - Morningstar Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Got you. And then you mentioned earlier on the call about Houston and Oklahoma and the levers that you've already sort of pulled. Can you give us a little more color on what those levers are? And going forward, what more can you do in the cost-reduction side indicates that there is a slowdown both in Houston and in Oklahoma?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

I don't want to go into too much detail for competitive reasons on that, David. But we've made some cost cuts. We're just getting some things down, they're somewhat discretionary.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

David, this is John. As you know, the same management team's here, that was here in '08 and '09, and we haven't lost a playbook. So worse comes to worse, we know what leverage to go full.

David H. Lim - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Got you, very good. And then on the -- and finally, I just wanted to get a little color on the F-150 performance. If you could shed a little light on the customer demand between the old and the new truck. And any kind of indication on the profitability or like the -- how well you guys are holding grosses on the new truck, excuse me?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Now there isn't a very good supply of the new truck yet but they're going out as quickly as they come in. And the demand is always -- is for the very highly equipped ones and grosses are quite good. And strangely enough, the demand on the old model, which is also good, is on the more highly equipped vehicles as well. But it's -- the profile for that -- the demand for that truck is very strong.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Bill Armstrong at CL King & Associates. William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Going back to Texas, are you seeing any change in the attitude of lenders who are making oil loans to your customers? Any signs that they're getting nervous given the conditions in the energy industry?

Peter C. Delongchamps

Analyst

Bill, this is Pete Delongchamps. I spent time with the heads of each of the large lenders like in Equitable, and we say no. William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay, moving to Brazil. Really, all year, your gross profit per unit on used has been up big time. And I guess, in the previous year, maybe those numbers were depressed. Should we -- as we're modeling this out, should we be looking for further increases in 2015? Or do you think that, that gross profit per unit is more at, kind of, a stable level where you think it's more sustainable.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Bill, this is John. My sense is that there's probably some more to come there, we've been helping them. One of the things that we brought was the ability to actually finance and keep some of the inventory a bit longer. They were turning their used vehicles pretty rapidly. A lot of it went to wholesale. So they're moving some of that mix to retail. And I think there's still opportunities there. William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. And then finally in the U.K. F&I was up quite sharply. What's driving that?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

I think it was we put much more focus on -- it was one of our top priorities in the U.K. operation last year, and we dedicated management to that. With that management working directly, with Pete here in the U.S. So we've now applied some of the things Pete has done in our U.S. business to our U.K. business and the results were immediate and significant. William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Right. And then I guess, I'll just add a similar question that we have in Brazil and that is do you see further improvement in 2015? Or do you think you've now pretty much captured the low hanging fruit?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Was that question about F&I or in total? William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Yes, that F&I in the U.K.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Relative to Brazil, the potential in the market is much lower than the other 2 markets. But I think relatively speaking, we still have some significant opportunity for improvement there. And Pete and our Brazilian team are starting to try to put more structure into that effort also. So I think we have a little upside in Brazil on the F&I. William R. Armstrong - CL King & Associates, Inc., Research Division: And how about in the U.K?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

U.K., there still some more. We've got the low hanging fruit and a massive lift. I think there's still a little bit more in the U.K.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Scott Stember at Sidoti & Company. Scott L. Stember - Sidoti & Company, Inc.: Can we just talk about that new margin again on the -- in the U.S.? You talked about the fourth quarter, there were some mix shift which helped in -- towards were luxury brands, in some of the volume, bonuses. Can you talk about the midline imports performs from a pricing standpoint in the fourth quarter? And how should we look at this without some of those masking items for 2015 where the margins should be?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Scott, on the midline imports, it's still extremely competitive, very difficult. And too much of the business is being -- is related to certain incentives and bonuses, which it is not historically been that way. But there's just an awful lot of competition, in particular, in those midsized and compact cars, which tend to dominate those brands.

John C. Rickel

Analyst

Scott, to the other part of your question, this is John. I think what we've been talking about for 3 or 4 quarters now is basically for modeling purposes, stability in those new vehicle margins. It was up a little bit in the fourth quarter. Earl indicated some of the reasons. But I think if you can continue to model something in this flat range, you're probably safe. Scott L. Stember - Sidoti & Company, Inc.: Got you. And just last question on Brazil again. Can you just remind us some of the maneuvers that you've taken this last year as far as cost cuts? And how far along the curve while we here, what can we expect going forward?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Well, the major action was we reduced our headcount by 10%, which was about 150 positions. There's probably been a few more of those trimmed out since that major action in the third quarter, so that effort's ongoing. The 3 Renault dealerships we disposed of were in a very high cost area of São Paulo. It's kind of like doing business in Manhattan. And we added a Mercedes dealership, out in a lower cost area. It's a town of 1 million people in Western Brazil, so we kind of rebalanced the portfolio in that regard. So those were some of the major actions we took last year. Scott L. Stember - Sidoti & Company, Inc.: And just to get one step further. I know we've talked about, at some point, having a common DMS and advanced systems would certainly help for you guys take it to the next level in Brazil. Could you maybe talk about that, where we are in that process?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Unfortunately, we're not close to being able to do that. It's one of our top priorities. We have talked with some suppliers. But there actually is no system that meets our needs yet available. And we're trying to interest some suppliers in entering the Brazilian market and will help them pioneer that.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from John Murphy of Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Just a first question. I mean, if you think about the M&A environment being pretty hot and valuations being somewhat extended, wouldn't this be a good time to potentially pair the portfolio, maybe, a little bit more aggressively with underperformers and maybe realize good prices? I mean, you alluded to sort of slowing down at the sales pace in the U.S. But I'm just curious if there might be opportunities.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Well, took advantage of some of those opportunities last year, John, because that is true. It's -- if it's a bad time to be a buyer because you think you're paying too much, it's a good time to be a seller because somebody might pay you too much. So we've done a little of that, and we'll continue to do that. But I don't think we have any major underperformers that are on the radar screen for us at the moment.

John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then just a second question on used vehicle pricing. I mean, there's a lot of consternation, that it's going to fall off sometime in the short run as we see an increase in supply in '15. But it looks like in the quarter in the U.S., your average transaction prices were up almost 5%. We're seeing this from a number of other dealers as well. What's your take on what's going on in the used vehicle market? Because there is a lot of fear out there, but the pricing keeps coming through pretty strong.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Yes, I think the relative price level probably will continue to be under a little bit of pressure. But as you may have noticed, our CPO business grew a lot. And I think because there's an increasing supply of off-leased vehicles, particularly for luxury brand, that, that's driving up some of the average transaction prices. And that will probably continue. But there will also continue to be increasing off-lease supply, which may put a little negative pressure. So maybe the mix is richening up a bit. But I think the supply and the aggressive marketing in new vehicles is going to continue to put a little bit of downward pricing pressure on used vehicle prices overall.

John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

And Earl, do you foresee that being an issue with trade-in values as people's collateral might be lower as they're coming in trade-ins or is that something that you don't think is going to be a big deal in the near-term?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

I don't think it's going to be a big deal in the near term. I think that only becomes a big deal if it's something dramatic, and I don't see anything dramatic happening.

John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

And then just lastly, on the F&I PVR of $1,521, it's a big number. Can you just parse out sort of the major buckets there of financing and warranty and other items that might be in there? Just so we can remember what's actually in that number, because it's getting pretty large.

Peter C. Delongchamps

Analyst

John, It's Pete Delongchamps. So we play close attention to vehicle service contract. Our GAP business has improved with the increase in leasing. We work hard on maintenance, which improves the retention rates for us. Road Hazard Tire is a product that we believe in along with a dent insurance and sealant. And that's pretty much the products that we focus on. And we've really worked on making sure that we penetrate those at a high level in order to provide value to our consumers or to our customers. So it's been a lot of hard work, a lot of process, but it's working for us. And the other piece that I think is important to recognize is in April, we adopted the NADA fair lending practice act, which put additional process into our system and its workforce. So we're very comfortable with our position and proud of the work that our -- some of our associates have put in.

John Murphy - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division

Analyst

Can you actually disclose the dollar value or the sort of, percentage roughly of that $1,521 that's actually just financing?

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

It's about 1/3, John.

Operator

Operator

At this time, we show no further questions. Now I'd like to turn the conference back over to Earl Hesterberg for closing remarks.

Earl J. Hesterberg

Analyst

Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. We look forward to updating you on our first quarter earnings call in April. Have a good day.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.