Neil Bowden
Analyst · Jonathan Komp with Baird
Thanks, Dani, and good morning. First, I'll cover the details of our third quarter performance and then outline the concrete actions underway to deliver operating margin expansion over the long term. Revenue for the third quarter increased 13% year-over-year to $695 million, led by strong growth in both DTC and Wholesale in North America and Asia Pacific. Turning to channel performance. DTC revenue increased 13%, supported by double-digit growth in North America and Asia Pacific. Comparable sales grew 6%, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of positive comps with contributions from both stores and e-commerce channels. Sales were strong across all major product categories. Wholesale revenue increased 14% in Q3, with revenue up 3% on a year-to-date basis over the same period last year, ahead of our expectations, supported by elevated brand positioning with our partners, well-managed inventory levels and healthier demand for our year-round assortment. Revenue in our other channel was $15 million, roughly flat versus $14 million a year ago. Moving to regional trends. In North America, revenue grew 20%. Comparable sales increased in the high single digits, supported by strong traffic in both Canada and the U.S. and conversion improvement. Retail execution was sharper this quarter, underpinned by staffing investments and improved inventory positioning. E-commerce also contributed to positive DTC performance, benefiting from solid traffic trends throughout the quarter. Wholesale benefited from shipment timing and incremental orders and other channel performance was also positive, albeit minimal in the quarter. In APAC, revenue increased 12%, led by strong DTC performance and high single-digit comp growth driven by exceptional volume. Mainland China was the largest contributor with robust consumer demand, strong e-commerce momentum on Douyin and Tmall and conversion gains in several key stores. In EMEA, revenue declined 3% year-over-year, reflecting continued softness in the U.K. consumer environment. Continental Europe performed comparatively better as our newly relocated Paris and Milan stores ramp up their activity. Comparable sales decreased mainly due to lower tourist traffic, most pronounced in the U.K. despite healthier trends in several European locations. Wholesale was softer due to planned shipment phasing that pushed more deliveries into different periods versus last year. Our focus in EMEA remains on improving conversion, tightening digital execution and sharpening marketing effectiveness to mitigate ongoing macro headwinds. Moving down the income statement, let's turn to gross profit. In Q3, gross profit grew in line with revenue and gross margin declined 40 basis points year-over-year. The primary driver was product mix. While customer demand for down-filled outerwear was strong this quarter, non-down-filled outerwear grew faster, putting pressure on overall margin. This is consistent with our strategy to expand year-round assortment. This was partially offset by a favorable channel mix with another quarter of positive DTC comp growth. While this product mix shift weighed on DTC channel margin, it supported margin in our Wholesale business as we build demand for our expanded offering with wholesale partners. Moving to SG&A. SG&A increased by $66 million to $314 million or 45% of revenue, up 450 basis points year-over-year. Two discrete items accounted for $24 million of this increase. First, a $15 million onetime bad debt provision related to a U.S. wholesale partner and a $9 million foreign exchange gain in fiscal '25 that does not recur this year. Planned marketing investments represented a further $13 million of the increase year-over-year. Outside of these items, we continue to generate leverage in our corporate cost base through disciplined headcount management and tight control over discretionary spending. Operating margin compression in our DTC channel came from both gross margin decline and SG&A investments to fuel growth. Our Wholesale channel operating margin increased year-over-year, excluding the bad debt provision. In DTC, we absorbed the planned run rate impact of new stores and relocations coming online, but the larger issue was store labor productivity during the quarter. In months of exceptionally strong traffic and revenue, we maintained labor levels that were higher than required to support demand, and this dynamic drove SG&A deleverage in DTC. Taken together, the gross margin dynamics and SG&A profile flowed through impacting our adjusted EBIT. Q3 adjusted EBIT was $204 million. This translated to an adjusted EBIT margin of 29.3%, 450 basis points lower than the previous year for the reasons I've covered. Adjusted EBIT excluded $3.5 million in earn-out costs related to the acquisition of our European manufacturer. This is the last quarter in which we'll have the earn-out related charges. Adjusted net income attributable to shareholders was $142 million or $1.43 per diluted share compared to $148 million or $1.51 per diluted share last year. We ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet. Inventory of $409 million remained relatively flat year-over-year despite strong sales growth, reflecting strong demand and tighter inventory management with turns improving to 1.1x, up 16% from last year. Net debt fell to $413 million from $546 million in Q3 last year, mainly due to disciplined working capital management, cash generated from operating activities in recent quarters and lower borrowings from our credit facilities compared to the prior year. We allocated more capital to new store builds in Q3, reflected in higher expenditures in the quarter over last year. As we look ahead, we're taking decisive steps to realign our cost base with the level of rigor our growth now demands. We've defined a clear set of actions already underway, and we expect these initiatives to support meaningful margin expansion in fiscal '27. Our first group of actions is about operating more efficiently. We've already started to make changes in the way we manage store labor, tightening our models to become more agile and drive higher labor productivity. These changes were implemented in Asia Pacific in mid-December and rolled out across the rest of the regions in January. While the financial impact will be immaterial in fiscal '26, ensuring that store payroll aligns with expected conversion outcomes is the clear path forward to creating leverage in the DTC channel. Next, we're improving marketing efficiency with the intent to reduce marketing as a percentage of revenue in fiscal '27. We will continue to invest to drive in-quarter demand and sustain brand momentum and expect to apply this year's learnings on channel mix, funnel allocation and working dollar effectiveness to our fiscal '27 plans. We are fully committed to delivering on our operating imperative and a key part of that is driving more efficiency and getting greater returns from every dollar we invest in marketing. Spending in the fourth quarter is expected to be lower than last year as a percentage of revenue, reflecting a more balanced cadence throughout this fiscal year versus the back half heavy investment last year. We will also continue our disciplined focus on minimal corporate expense growth, including headcount and discretionary spend. Our second area of focus is the optimization of our retail network. We continue to evaluate our store footprint to ensure every location supports our target brand and margin profile. Even with 4 consecutive quarters of positive comp growth, we see opportunities to further strengthen the economics of our retail network. To be clear, we will open new stores in fiscal ' 27 and the plans related to those locations are coming into focus. However, over the balance of this fiscal year, we are reviewing our entire network and expect to implement optimization initiatives in fiscal '27. Our third set of actions is centered around gross margin. This has had a modest positive contribution to EBIT margin so far this year even with limited price increases. Being vertically integrated is a core strength of the Canada Goose brand, offering several levers to expand gross margin over time, which has been evidenced in our historical performance going back many years. While there are always opportunities with sourcing and operational improvements, we have delivered cost efficiencies despite a changing product mix, which, as we have heard, has been key to our growth this year and will continue to anchor our product pillar. Finally, on pricing, we are planning to implement price changes across our markets and product assortment in early fiscal '27 as usual, which we expect will be a source of gross margin leverage. Lastly, our plan is to continue to deliver durable broad-based revenue growth as the primary driver of margin expansion. January performance remains strong, and we expect this momentum to continue with Lunar New Year shopping occurring later in the quarter versus last year. As we move into Q4 and beyond, our priorities are clear: balance the strong revenue growth we have seen in fiscal '26 with a level of investment that delivers operating margin expansion beginning in fiscal '27. Before closing, I want to say thank you to our teams. Our peak season, of which Q3 is the most important period is our most anticipated time of the year. The work you delivered in our stores, our factories and across our business shows up clearly in these results. Let's now open the call for questions.