David Maher
Analyst · Stephens, Inc.
Yes, Daniel. So when you look back at our business, we would say, of course, we're experiencing strong demand. And we know and expect that most of this comes from our core dedicated golfers. We know they're playing more. We know they're purchasing greater levels of equipment and apparel. And adding to that, we know that the more golfers play, the more dedicated, they tend to become, and we're seeing this also. And sort of, I think fundamentally to your to your question is this is the growth the group, these are the players which most often prioritizes performance in their purchase decisions. And I think fair to say this group has grown proportional to the total golfer base. So that's sort of broad commentary on how we think about the market today. As we look forward and I kind of tend to agree with your premise that, hey, you're looking at 21 rounds that were at a record level, and I don't know that a 22% decline would be because of golfers getting in and out of the game, I think it's more going to be a function of just the evolution towards a new normal in society, and as folks transition maybe from remote work to hybrid work. But I think at the end of it all, you're left with a game that's still going to be up double digits versus 2019, and we're just going to be left with the ebbs and flows of how the society responds in year three of a pandemic. But I do think there are some really good habits and trends and fundamentals of the game that should stick. But again, to wrap it up, I agree that, hey, there should be some -- it should surprise nobody of round to play or down a bit in 2022. Broadly equipment, again, we like what we see. We like current demand, as I said a minute ago, inventories are lean. We think we can get enough out of our supply chains to grow the business. That is a tall ask given the base we established in '21. But when you add it up, golfer marketplace and inventories demand, we think we're in a pretty good place as we head into the new year.