Charles Bracher
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now live
Thanks Mac, and good afternoon everyone. I will start with a discussion of our second quarter financial results and finish with an outlook for fiscal 2019. We were very pleased with our second quarter performance across all of our financial metrics. Sales for the second quarter increased 12.2% to $645 million, compared to $575 million in the same period last year. This growth was driven by a 5.8% increase in comparable store sales on top of a 2.7% comp increase in the same period last year. As well as by the opening of 30 net new stores since the end of the second quarter last year. As Eric mentioned, our second quarter’s comp growth reflects broad-based strength across product categories as well as store geographies and vintages. Our comps also benefited modestly from the later Easter this year versus last. During the second quarter, we opened eight new stores with a balanced mix between mature Western markets where we have high brand recognition and developing markets including Southern California, where we continue to make good progress building customer awareness. Our stores opened thus far in 2019 look to be off to a good start in line with our expectations and we remain very pleased with the continued growth of recent vintages along with the productivity of our entire store base. We closed one store in Pennsylvania during the second quarter which was at the end of its lease term and ended the period with 330 stores in six states. This closure was a legacy company-operated site from the Amelia's acquisition that didn't enjoy the location of box characteristics that we look to achieve. With respect to March end performance, second quarter gross profit increased 13.5% to $198.7 million from $175.1 million in fiscal 2018. Gross margin rate expanded 35 basis points to 30.8% from 30.45% last year driven by strong opportunistic purchasing as well as increased efficiencies in product distribution and inventory management that RJ discussed. We are pleased with the gross margin gains we've delivered in the first half. We expect to carry similar year-over-year gross margin rate growth through the back half. Keeping in mind that our second half gross margins are typically lower than the first half due to seasonal and holiday product mix. SG&A expense increased 12.8% to $157.6 million, largely attributable to an increase in commissions paid to independent operators related to our gross profit dollar growth. As a reminder, our business has a more variable cost structure than traditional retailers due to our gross profit share with IOs which flexes according to changes in both sales and margin rate. SG&A dollars also increased due to occupancy costs associated with new store openings, investments in our corporate infrastructure to further support future growth initiatives in public company costs. Note however, that SG&A in the second quarter benefited from timing shifts whereby just over $1 million of anticipated self-insurance and personnel related expense that was not insured in the second quarter is now projected in the fourth quarter. Stock-based compensation expense increased $22.6 million largely in connection with the vesting of time based options to employees. Under GAAP rules compensation expense for these options which were issued under our 2014 equity plan were not recognized until the IPO. Versus the prior year, interest expense increased $1.5 million to $15.5 million as a result of our higher average debt balance in the second quarter this year. In the last week of the second quarter, we used our net IPO proceeds to pay down our $150 million second lien debt in full and prepaid $248 million on our first lien debt. As a result, we incurred debt extinguishment costs of $5.2 million in the second quarter. In late July, we subsequently repriced our remaining first lien debt resulting in a 25 basis point decrease in our borrowing rate. Together, our debt pay down and re-pricing lowered our effective borrowing rate by 85 basis points results in an estimated annualized debt service of approximately $30 million. As expected, transaction related costs, predominantly stock-based compensation and debt extinguishment expense yielded a GAAP operating loss in the second quarter. As a result, we recorded an income tax benefit of $4.2 million and an effective tax rate of 28.5% in the quarter. Absent a taxable loss, we expect the go-forward tax rate of approximately 28%. The result in net loss was $10.6 million or a loss of $0.15 per diluted share compared to net income of $7.3 million or $0.11 per diluted share in the prior year. In order to better illustrate the underlying performance of the business, we also report adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income, which excludes certain expenses including those related to our IPO and prior financing transactions. A reconciliation of our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income to GAAP results can be found in our earnings release in 10-Q. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA grew 15% to $45 million from $39.1 million last year. Adjusted net income increased 12.1% to $14.5 million or $0.20 per diluted share based on an average of 71.3 million diluted shares in the quarter. This compares to $12.9 million or $0.19 per diluted share on 68.5 million diluted shares in the prior year. Note that our average share count in the second quarter reflects only 10 days of the incremental 19.8 million shares issued in the IPO. Now let's turn to our balance sheet. As of quarter end, we had cash and cash equivalents of $18.7 million. Inventory was $202.7 million as compared to $184.2 million in the same period last year. As a reminder, due to the opportunistic nature of our business, inventory levels can and will fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter as we take advantage of buying opportunities that become available. Over the long term, we expect working capital to grow roughly in line with sales. With respect to real estate, none of our store warehouse and corporate office locations are owned and we are thus subject to the new lease accounting standard ASC 842, which we adopted in the first quarter. As a result of bringing those operating leases onto our balance sheet, you can see a $676.2 million lease right-of-use asset on the balance sheet along with corresponding current and long-term lease liabilities of $750.3 million. Regarding our capital structure, we began the second quarter with $875 million in total debt reflecting a 5.5 times adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio. Post pay down, we delevered by roughly $400 million to $475.2 million in first lien borrowings, cutting our leverage to 2.8 times adjusted EBITDA. Note that while our quarter end debt was roughly $250 million below Q2 2018. Our average debt balance over the quarter was still higher due to our IPO pay down occurring in the last week of the quarter. Now turning to our outlet for our full year fiscal 2019, we expect net sales for fiscal 2019 to be between $2.5 billion and $2.53 billion. This assumes comparable store sales growth of 3% to 4% for the full year and the addition of approximately 32 gross new stores in full year 2019, 16 of which we've opened in the first half of the year. We expect to close one legacy company-operated Pennsylvania store in the second half of 2019, when this lease term expires for a total of three closures in 2019. Within SG&A, we are now incurring costs to comply with public company requirements including incremental insurance, accounting, and legal expense as well as costs required to comply with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. In the second quarter specifically, we incurred roughly $600,000 of public company costs, which were expensed within SG&A. And we expect to incur a further $4.5 million of public company costs in the back half of 2019 and approximately $7.5 million annually in 2020 and beyond. We also will continue to invest in improving our purchasing capabilities and strengthening our infrastructure to support future growth. As a result, we expect full year adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $162 million and $165.5 million. We expect adjusted earnings per diluted share of between $0.68 and $0.71, which assumes a tax rate of approximately 28%. Note that we began the year with roughly 68.5 million fully diluted shares prior to the offering, an expected weighted average of approximately 94.5 million fully diluted shares in the third and fourth quarters. This reflects the addition of 19.8 million IPO shares including the full exercise of the underwriters’ overallotment option as well as the dilutive impact of 7.3 million time-based options and restricted stock units based on current trading levels. Note that this year-end share count excludes the potential future impact of 5.8 million unvested performance options associated with pre-IPO grants. Capital expenditures are expected to be between $85 million and $90 million for the full year with approximately two-thirds of the total related to new stores. The balance of our CapEx will be reinvested into existing stores in various distribution and corporate needs. To recap our longer term objectives, we expect to increase our store base by 10% annually through balanced growth and mature in developing markets. Deliver 1% to 3% comparable sales growth per year, maintain a consistent gross margin rate, grow EBITDA in line with sales as we reinvest in our business once we fully absorb new public company costs and achieve mid-teens adjusted net income growth resulting from continued balance sheet deleverage. In summary, we were very pleased with the broad-based health of our business and the momentum we've carried through the first half of the year. We are excited about our future potential and look forward to reporting our progress in the quarters to come. Now we'd like to open the line for questions.