Peter Allen
Analyst · www.gencoshipping.com
Thank you, John. For Q2 2023, the company recorded net income of $11.6 million or $0.27 basic and diluted earnings per share. During the second quarter, we paid down $8.75 million of debt on a voluntary basis, bringing our cumulative debt paydown since the start of 2021 to $296 million or 66% of our debt levels. This has enabled the company to achieve a low net loan-to-value ratio of 11% currently. As of June 30, our cash position was $54 million, and our debt outstanding was $153.5 million. Furthermore, we have $207 million of undrawn revolver availability, bringing our total liquidity position to $261 million. Looking ahead to Q3 2023, we anticipate our cash flow breakeven rate to be $9,715 per vessel per day, which remains well below our Q3 TCE estimates to date of $12,262 per day for 61% fixed. During the second quarter of 2023, the Baltic Capesize Index crossed $20,000 per day in early May before pulling back. Spot Capesize rates currently stand at approximately $15,000 per day. Regarding Supramax rates, the Baltic Supramax index began the second quarter at approximately $13,000 per day and has since declined to approximately $8,000. On the demand side, cargo volumes, particularly of iron ore and coal into China, had been firming, increasing by 8% and 93% through June, respectively. China's iron ore port inventories also remained well below last year's peak levels as we enter a seasonally strong period for iron ore volumes from Brazil and Australia, which we believe will provide China opportunity to restock depleted inventory levels. On the macro front, China's Q1 GDP growth surprised the upside, resulting in the government prematurely easing policy support. Lending declined by approximately 50% in Q2 versus Q1 and China's PMI declined back into contractionary territory. However, at China's meeting in July, the government signaled a pro growth shift in policy, particularly to assist its property market. Regarding the Black Sea Grain Initiative, as has been widely reported, Russia exited the deal, which has seen 33 million tons of agricultural products shipped since inception. Various attacks have materialized thereafter any ports and infrastructure leading to significant damage, which has impacted grain supplies and led to volatility in wheat and corn pricing. Regarding the supply side, annualized net fleet growth in the year-to-date is 3.3%, primarily due to the front loaded nature of the delivery schedule and low scrapping levels. The historically low order book as a percentage of the fleet as well as near-term and longer-term environmental regulations are expected to keep net fleet growth low in the coming years. Overall, we have a constructive outlook on the drybulk market given the various demand catalysts highlighted together with historically strong supply side fundamentals. This concludes our presentation, and we'll now be happy to take your questions.