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Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)

Q1 2013 Earnings Call· Tue, May 7, 2013

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Genie Energy’s Q1 2013 Earnings Call. (Operator instructions.) In this presentation Genie Energy’s management team will discuss financial and operational results for the three months ended March 31, 2013. Any forward-looking statements made during this conference call, either in the prepared remarks or in the Q&A session either general or specific in nature are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those which the company anticipates. These risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to specific risks and uncertainties discussed in the reports that Genie Energy files periodically with the SEC. Genie Energy assumes no obligation either to update any forward-looking statements that they have made or may make or to update the factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those that they forecast. Please note that the Genie Energy earnings release is available on the Investor Relations page of the Genie Corporation website, www.genie.com. Their earnings release has also been filed on a Form 8(k) with the SEC. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Claude Pupkin, Genie Energy’s Chief Executive Office and the Genie Energy management team. Please go ahead, Mr. Pupkin.

Claude Pupkin

Management

Thank you, Operator. I would like to welcome investors to the Genie Energy Earnings Conference Call for Q1 2013. Q1 was another positive one, notable both for the strong financial performance of IDT Energy and for the operational milestones achieved by Genie Oil & Gas. During our call this morning I will provide an overview of the company with a focus on Genie Oil &Gas’ operational results. Genie’s Vice Chairman Geoff Rochwarger, will detail IDT Energy’s operational results and our Chief Financial Officer Avi Goldin will review the financial results. When Avi has finished Terry Strona, IDT Energy’s CFO, will join us to take your questions. Those of you who have been on previous calls know that Geoff and I generally start off our discussions by noting some atypical weather event that has impacted operations at IDT Energy. But today, thankfully, we don’t have to go there. The last three months marked a return to typical seasonal weather. Our results this quarter were achieved in something pretty close to a normalized operating environment. Overall the company continues to perform very well. Consolidated EBITDA declined only very slightly compared to the year-ago despite the fact that the scope of GOGAS’ operations increased significantly in that time. That’s a tribute to skillful management at IDT Energy which delivered another strong quarter, boosting IDT Energy’s trailing 12-month EBITDA to $26.5 million. At GOGAS, we made several significant operational announcements this quarter. The one with the greatest potential for impact in the medium term is the decision of the government of Israel to award Genie an exclusive petroleum exploration license covering 396 square kilometers in the southern portion of the Golan Heights. Afek Oil and Gas, the Genie subsidiary that operates the project has already begun initial geophysical tests to characterize the resource and…

Geoff Rochwarger

Management

Thank you, Claude. The most significant operational development at IDT Energy this quarter was the return of more normal winter weather, and with it more typical levels of demand for natural gas and electricity during the winter heating season. Normalized demand combined with the impact of our customer acquisition programs over the past twelve months were instrumental in driving the improved performance of IDT Energy in Q1 compared to the year-ago period. For several years we have provided you with two related metrics for evaluating our customer base – meter counts and residential customer equivalence or RCEs. RCEs are an important metric to evaluate our customer base because they attempt to capture the difference between low- and high-consumption meters. To illustrate, RCE is distinguished between the meter of its single customer residing in a New York City studio apartment as compared to the meter of a large family living in a freestanding suburban home. The RCEs capture this difference because they measure the trailing twelve-month consumption history compared to the fixed level of standard or average residential meter consumption. It is essential to understand and track both actual meter counts and RCEs to understand our operational and financial results. Over the past two years, our meter acquisition activities have been focused on meter acquisition in Pennsylvania and more recently in Maryland. Not only have we added significant numbers of new electric meters but perhaps more importantly the composition of our meter portfolio has steadily shifted – gradually reflecting a consumption pattern that is a little less like the apartment dweller in New York City and a little more like households in suburban Pennsylvania and Maryland. Our results this quarter highlight this shift. IDT Energy served 485,000 meters at March 31, 2013, an increase of 10,000 meters compared to the year-ago…

Avi Goldin

Management

Thank you, Geoff, and thanks to everyone on the call for joining us this morning. My remarks will cover our financial results for Q1 2013, the three months ended March 31. All comparisons in my remarks are true to results for the year-ago period, the three months ended March 31, 2012. Genie Energy’s revenue, direct costs and gross profit continue to be generated entirely by IDT Energy. Geoff has provided a summary of IDT Energy’s operational results during the quarter which included the prime heating season. I’ll begin my addressing IDT Energy’s financial performance which was strong and continues to trend from recent quarters. IDT Energy’s revenues for Q1 increased a robust 48% year-over-year to $85.3 million from $57.5 million in Q1 2012. Electricity revenues increased 72.2% to $54.6 million from $31.7 million in the year-ago quarter, reflecting both the 65.4% increase in kilowatt hours sold that Geoff discussed earlier and a 4.1% increase in revenue per kilowatt hour sold. Gas revenues increased 19.1% to $30.7 million in Q1 2013 from $25.8 million in the year-ago quarter and accounted for 36% of total revenues. Q1 typically sees the highest gas consumption and yet gas still only accounted for just over a third of our revenues, even in the relatively normal winter compared to 45% a year ago when we had a relatively warm winter. This change illustrates the significant impact that our focus on higher-consumption electricity meter acquisitions during 2012 have had on our product mix. Therms sold increased 10.7% year-over-year for reasons Geoff discussed while revenue per therm sold increased 7.6%. Gross profit was $19 million in Q1 compared to $18 million in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin was 22.3% compared to 31.4% in the year-ago quarter. The gross profit from electricity was $10.3 million, a decrease from $11.6…

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. (Operator instructions.) Our first question will come from Marco Rodriguez of Stonegate Securities. Please go ahead. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Good morning, thank you for taking my questions. First I was wondering if you could perhaps provide a little more color on the heating technology that you might be evaluating here, if you can kind of compare it and contrast it to the in situ process.

Claude Pupkin

Management

Hi Marc, this is Claude Pupkin. Let me just make sure I understand your question. You’re asking the heating technology that we’re evaluating for AMSO? Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Correct.

Claude Pupkin

Management

How does it compare to what we’ve been doing so far – is that the question? Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : That’s correct.

Claude Pupkin

Management

Okay, the overall concept is to heat a fluid at the surface which can be heated with electricity or natural gas – the long-term plan would be using gas; and pipe it down through a closed set of tubes into the existing wells. So effectively you’re removing the electric heater and inserting… Keep in mind, the electric heater went inside a closed pipe and instead of inserting an electric heater that’s doing the heating down hole, now you’re heating a fluid at the service and piping it down hole into effectively the same heater configuration, the same down hold configuration; and piping it back up to surface where it gets reheated. So it’s like a closed loop of reheating. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Is it technically less challenging or what kind of drawbacks and what not have you noticed with the method before or have you tried it out at least?

Claude Pupkin

Management

So a couple things: Our preliminary analysis that it is technically challenging because you’re moving the heating function to the surface and it has more to do with the materials and the tubulars and how they will perform through expansion at high temperatures. But overall we believe that it’ll be a somewhat simpler process. To answer your question why didn’t we do this before, we learned earlier in some of our pilot work that there’s a material which we’re using called aero gel which does an excellent job of insulation, so that as you heat something at the surface and you bring it down whole, earlier, before this aero gel was proven it was expected that there would be too many heat losses as you went 2000 feet down hole. But once we saw the performance of aero gel we kind of brought this technology back to the forefront. Also quite frankly we had always expected that electric heater technology was going to be less prone to fault, to failure, than in fact it has proven to be. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Got it, that’s helpful. And switching gears here on IEI, can you just perhaps give a little more color as to why your expectations for permitting is going to be a much longer process? I think I heard you say about a year.

Geoff Rochwarger

Management

Sure, hi, this is Geoff. So up until now although we received the license and we had been taken twice to the Supreme Court in Israel on challenges by green environmentalist groups in the country we have prevailed in those cases. And the one major item that had been holding us back, which is what we just received now, are the [EIFs] or the environmental directives which are fundamental to the application that has to be submitted for the permits. We believe that although we have received them and we are now responding to that – and we hope and believe that by the end of this month at latest that we will be submitting the application in, the rules in Israel are governed in a way that gives opportunities to outside groups and experts brought in outside of Israel to opine on the various components of the license and some of the concerns that were raised previously. So we view this as a critical milestone that we are now passing, which is the submission of the application. However, we do believe that these groups will continue to try to challenge us now that we will be in the Jerusalem Committee for final permit approval. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Got it, okay, that’s helpful. And is there a, I don’t know – any kind of thinking there… I understand that the technology you’re using there is somewhat different than AMSO but is there any discussion as to perhaps using this new technology that you’re evaluating for AMSO perhaps in Israel?

Geoff Rochwarger

Management

Yeah, that’s an excellent question, Marco. You may have heard us speak in, I don’t know if in one-on-ones or in larger meetings, that longer-term for IEI we’ve considered and are actively evaluating molten fluids. Conceptually it’s a very similar idea to what AMSO is evaluating, which is to heat a fluid at the surface and pipe it down hole through a closed set of tubes. IEI’s specific approach is molten [salts] that have a very high heat capacity and a low boiling point, but again, conceptually and in terms of the applicability to long-term commercial operations they’re both on the same track. And should we succeed with one or the other there’s always the possibility that we may deploy a similar technology in the other project, but right now what we’re talking about is two similar approaches – one using… I’m not at liberty to disclose what fluids AMSO is considering using; and in the case of IEI it’s molten salts. But just to be clear, the IEI pilot is not going to be using molten salts – this is a longer-term development project. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Right, okay. And then switching here over to IDT Energy, fairly decent growth rates here on the RCEs here once again on a year-over-year basis, especially on the electricity side. How should we be thinking about the growth rate of RCEs on the electricity side and the natural gas side as the year progresses?

Geoff Rochwarger

Management

Well, first I’ll talk a little bit about how we see the growth opportunity for growth in general, for both electricity and gas; and then we can talk a little bit more about specifically the RCEs. For us it has been a little frustrating over the last two quarters or so in that we have been very progressive and thought to be very proactive in terms of submitting licenses for additional territories, additional utilities that are so important for our underlying growth of the business. And as we’ve said and as we’ve shown over the past few years we are extremely opportunistic, and assuming all of the criteria lines up in way that presents for us what we believe is an acceptable return and payback on that customer we take the decision to invest as much as possible in taking advantage of that opportunity. And one of those underlying criteria are that we also do have new utilities to help us grow and expand our footprint. We do hope, and again, at this point there are several key gas utilities in Pennsylvania that we have been waiting for approvals to go forward that although we have not received the final licenses back yet, based on additional efforts that we’re trying to apply we are hopeful that that really now is hopefully just around the corner. So our assumption is that the gas RCEs in Pennsylvania will probably be larger than the gas RCEs that are our legacy gas customers in New York City; just like the electric RCEs in Pennsylvania are significantly larger than the electric RCEs in New York City. And I use New York City as a point to measure against just because New York City, New York State has really been where the vast majority of our legacy customers are. So in addition to being able to finally upsell and collect gas meters from our customers, there are several additional utility areas that we are also waiting for licensing approval. So our belief is, I guess in summary, is that as these utilities start opening up and we receive our licenses we believe that the gas RCEs will certainly increase. In terms of the electric RCEs we’ve seen a lot of growth, a lot of strong growth and I think that that is a direct result of the very aggressive growth curve that we’ve realized in the last year, year and a half, with the addition of so many Pennsylvania electric meters. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Great, okay, that’s helpful. And then last quick question here: in terms of the churn here you had some nice commentary in regard to the change of mix if you will on your residential customers, helping there. Perhaps maybe if you can give a little bit of color as to where you think that churn might normalize and any sort of timing aspects of when you think you can get it there.

Terry Stronz

Analyst

Hi, this is Terry Stronz. Churn is a really difficult metric to measure and to predict because there’s so many things that impact it like the weather, the price of the commodity, things like that. We think that where we’re at right now in the low 6% range is probably going to be what we see in the foreseeable future given kind of normal patterns. The other thing that could impact that is our acquisitions and moving into these new territories, and typically that may cause a little bit of an increase. But I think for the most part the low 6%s are where we’re headed. Marco Rodriguez – Stonegate Securities : Got it, thanks a lot guys.

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions.) I’m having no further questions. This concludes our question-and-answer session and conference call. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.