Chuck Stevens
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thanks Mary, on Slide 4 we provided a summary of our 2013 calendar year GAAP and non-GAAP results. Net revenue for the year was a $155 billion, up 2.1% from prior year. Excluding the impact of FX translation, revenue was up 3.6% for the year. Our GAAP operating income was $5.1 billion, up from a large loss in the prior period due entirely the special items. Net income to common stockholders was $3.8 billion and diluted earnings per share came in at $2.38. As Mary indicated, the decline from the prior year was largely due to increased tax expense and unfavorable special items. Our automotive net cash from operating activities was a $11 billion or $1.4 billion increase from 2012. For our non-GAAP measures, EBIT adjusted was $8.6 billion in 2013 and EBIT adjusted margin was 5.5% as improved as an core operating performance across most of the business was partially offset by challenging environment and consolidated international operations. Finally, our adjusted automotive free cash flow was $3.7 billion for the year, $600 million decrease in 2012 largely due to the timing and sales allowances. On Slide 5 we provide the EBIT adjusted by region for 2012 and 2013. GMNA’s EBIT adjusted from significantly the $7.5 billion driven by new products. GME had an EBIT adjusted loss of $800 million, an improvement of more than $1 billion from 2012 driven by lower depreciation and amortization, and material and logistic savings. GMIO get EBIT adjusted at $1.2 billion, down significantly from the prior year as the challenging environment and consolidated operations more than offset the improved performance in China. GMSA’s EBIT adjusted was down slightly to $300 million for 2013 due to FX headwinds. GM Financial had record earnings before taxes of $900 million and corporate and eliminations was $500 million expense. This totals to an EBIT adjusted of $8.6 billion, an increase of $700 million from 2012. On slide 6, we provide an explanation of the $700 million increase in year-over-year EBIT adjusted. Our EBIT adjusted was $7.9 billion for 2012. Volume was a $100 million as the impact of increased wholesale volumes in GM North America will partially offset by declines in GMIO and GM Europe. Mix was unfavorable $400 million, primarily due to unfavorable country mix in GMIO and unfavorable vehicle mix in GME, partially offset by favorable vehicle mix in GMSA. Price was $2.4 billion favorable for the year due to the strength of our new vehicle introductions in GM North America and price actions to offset FX impacts in GM South America. Total costs were flat as lower fixed costs in Europe were offset with higher material costs in North America associated with recently launched products. Other was $1.4 billion unfavorable, primarily due to FX challenges in South America associated with the Venezuelan bolivar, Argentinean peso and Brazilian real. Slide 7 identifies special items for the fourth quarter and calendar year that had an impact on our earnings per share. I am not going to go through the entire list, but the items in 2013 primarily relate to strategic actions we announced in GMIO, the wage litigation in Korea, as well as the sale of certain non-core assets. At the top of the slide, our net income to common stockholders in the fourth quarter of 2013 was $900 million and our fully diluted earnings per share was $0.57. The special items listed had a net $200 million unfavorable impact to net income to common stockholders and a $0.10 unfavorable impact on earnings per share. For the 2013 calendar year, our net income to common stockholders was $3.8 billion and our fully diluted earnings per share was $2.38. Special items had an unfavorable impact on net income to common stockholders of $1.3 billion and $0.80 unfavorable impact on earnings per share. Moving on to the result for the fourth quarter on slide 8, our net revenue was $40.5 billion, a $1.2 billion or 3% increase from the prior year. Excluding the effect of FX translation, fourth quarter revenues increased approximately 4.8%. Our Q4 2013 GAAP operating income included $1.4 billion of unfavorable special items as detailed on chart 7. The prior year GAAP operating income performance also included significant unfavorable special items in the quarter. Net income to common stockholders was $900 million, flat compared to the prior year periods. Earnings per share for the quarter were $0.57 on a diluted basis, compared to $0.54 for the same period in the prior year and our automotive net cash from operating activities improved significantly to $2.8 billion, primarily due to the absence of the pension settlement contribution made in the prior year. Our EBIT adjusted was $1.9 billion for the fourth quarter, including $200 million in restructuring costs, overall a $700 million improvement from the prior year. An EBIT adjusted margin was 4.7%, up 1.5 percentage points from Q4 2012. Our adjusted automotive free cash flow was $1.1 billion, flat compared with the prior year period. On slide 9 we provide the EBIT adjusted by region for the fourth quarters of 2012 and 2013. GMNA EBIT adjusted was $1.9 billion. GME had an EBIT adjusted loss of $300 million, GMIO had EBIT adjusted of $200 million and GMSA EBIT adjusted was at breakeven for the quarter. GM Financial earnings before taxes was $200 million, double the prior year period. Corporate and eliminations was $100 million expense. This totals to an EBIT adjusted of $1.9 billion for the fourth quarter of 2013, up $700 million from the same period in 2012. Slide 10 shows our consolidated EBIT adjusted for the last five quarters. At the bottom of the slide, we again show the revenue and margins for the quarter. Our consolidated wholesale vehicle sales were 1.7 million vehicles in the fourth quarter, essentially flat compared to the prior year and our global market share decreased 0.2 percentage point to 11.4%. On slide 11 we provide an explanation of the $700 million increase in year-over-year consolidated EBIT adjusted for the fourth quarter. In Q4 2012, our EBIT adjusted was $1.2 billion. Volume was flat as wholesale volume increases in GM North America were offset by decreases in GMIO and GM South America. The mix is $300 million unfavorable primarily due to country mix and increased whole sale of both passenger cars in GM North America and unfavorable in country mix in GMIO partially offset by favorable mix in GM South America. Price was $1.4 billion favorable for the quarter due to the strength of our recently launched cars and trucks in GM North America and actions we’ve taken to offset FX in GM South America. Total costs were flat as lower fixed costs in Europe were offset by higher material costs in North America associated with our recently introduced cars and trucks. Other was $500 million unfavorable primarily due to FX challenges in GM South America associated with the Venezuelan Bolivar, Argentine Peso and the Brazilian Real. This totals $1.9 billion for the fourth quarter. We now move on to our segment results for the key performance indicators for GM North America on Slide 12. For the fourth quarter of 2013, our total U.S. market share was 17.2% and our retail share was 15.9%. Retail share increased two tenth of a percentage point from the prior year as our fleet market share decreased due to the repositioning of the Chevrolet Impala and generally lower fleet sales. Our incentives for the quarter were 10.6% of average transaction price, which put us at a 107% of the industry average. Slide 13 we showed GMNA’s EBIT adjusted for the last five quarters. At the bottom of the slide, revenue is $25.1 billion in the fourth quarter up $2.3 billion from the same quarter of 2012. GMNA’s EBIT adjusted margin was 7.5% for the fourth quarter and 8.4% for the second half of 2013, an improvement of over 200 basis points compared to the second half of 2012. This is a clear inflection point as it democrats strong progress toward our mid-decade goal of 10% margins. Our U.S. dealer inventory was 748,000 units at the end of the fourth quarter. The increase from the prior year due to industry growth and the continued launch of our all new Chevy Silverado and GMC Sierra. We’re closely watching U.S. industry and our own inventory levels and we will maintain our disciplined approach to balancing supply on demand. GMNA whole sale vehicle sales were 863,000 units for the quarter, 37,000 vehicle increase from the prior period. Turning to Slide 14, we provide the explanation of the increase in GMNA’s EBIT adjusted which rounds to 700 (inaudible). North America’s EBIT adjusted was $1.1 billion for the fourth quarter of 2012. Volume was $300,000 favorable associated with the 37,000 unit vehicle increase in whole sales. Mix was $300 million unfavorable primarily due to country mix and increased whole sales of passenger cars. Price was $1.2 billion favorable driven by our recently launched vehicles. Costs were $500 million unfavorable which can be more than explained by increase in material costs associated with recent advanced vehicles. Other was $100 million favorable due to FX. This nests some EBIT adjusted of $1.9 billion. On Slide 15, GME reported an EBIT adjusted loss of $200 million for the fourth quarter, a $400 million improvement from the prior year. Revenue was $5.3 billion for the quarter, up $100 million from the prior year and the second consecutive quarter of year-over-year quarterly revenue growth. The EBIT adjusted margin in region was negative 6.5%. Europe’s wholesale vehicle sales for the quarter stayed constant at 269,000 units and market share in the fourth quarter was 7.9%, a 0.4 percentage point decline from 2012 driven by lower sales of Chevrolets. On Slide 16, we provide the major components of Europe’s $400 year-over-year increase in EBIT adjusted on a rounded basis. Volume was flat with the prior year. Mix was $100 million favorable driven by increased sales of the Malta and Insignia. This is an encouraging sign as this is the first favorable European mix in several quarters. Price was $100 million unfavorable due to competitive pressure in the region. Cost was $500 million favorable primarily due to $200 million in lower depreciation and amortization, $100 million in favorable material performance and $100 million in savings and fixed costs. Other was $100 million unfavorable primarily due to FX. This totals the GME’s EBIT adjusted loss of $300 million for the fourth quarter of 2013. On slide 17, we show GMIO’s EBIT-adjusted for the most recent periods. In the fourth quarter, EBIT-adjusted was $200 million including equity income from our joint ventures of $400 million, partially offset by a loss of $200 million in consolidated international operations. At the bottom of the slide, GMIO's revenue from our consolidated operations was $4.9 billion, down $1.4 billion from the prior year. GMIO’s EBIT-adjusted margin from consolidated operations was a negative 2.2%, a significant decline from the prior year as we continued to encounter challenging dynamics across consolidated international operations. On average, net income margin for our China joint ventures was 7.6%, a 1.5% decrease from the prior year, primarily driven by higher competitive pricing pressures and increased manufacturing costs associated with two new plants coming on line in the near future. GMIO had wholesale vehicle sales of 259,000 for its consolidated operations and 865,000 for the China JVs. GM market share in the Asia-Pacific region remain constant compared to the prior year due to the continued growth of China market, offset with declines in the balance of the region. Turning to slide 18, we provide the major components of GMIO’s $500 million decrease in EBIT-adjusted. The impact of volume was $200 million unfavorable, primarily due to decreased wholesale units in the Middle East and RGM countries. Mix was $200 million unfavorable due to country mix and price was $100 million unfavorable due to pricing pressure in the Middle East. Cost was $100 million favorable because of materials and logistics savings. Other was $100 million unfavorable due to foreign exchange and a slight decline in equity income from our China JVs. This totals the GMIO’s fourth quarter 2013 EBIT-adjusted of $200 million. On slide 19, we move on to GMSA region and look at EBIT-adjusted for the last five quarters. At the bottom of the slide, revenue was $4.1 billion in the fourth quarter, a $300 million decrease from 2012. The EBIT-adjusted margin in the region was 0.7%, a significant decrease from the prior year period. South America’s wholesale vehicle sales were 260,000 units, down 20,000 units compared to the fourth quarter of 2012. Although, our market share in the quarter rose to 17.8% on the strength of our sales in Brazil and Argentina. On slide 20, we look at the components of the $100 million year-over-year decrease in South American operations. Volume was $100 million unfavorable due to the decline in wholesales. Mix was $100 million favorable, primarily due to increased sales of our successful new products in Brazil such as the Onix, Prisma and S-10. Price was $300 million favorable due to actions we have taken to offset unfavorable foreign exchange and the sustained strength of pricing on our new products launched in Brazil. Cost was $100 million unfavorable due to charges related to the decision to terminate production of our legacy product. Other was $300 million unfavorable due to the Venezuelan Bolivar, Argentinian peso and the Brazilian real currencies. Slide 21 provides a look of adjusted automotive free cash flow for the fourth quarter. From our net income to common stockholders of $900 million, we add back the impact of non-controlling interests, preferred dividends and the undistributed earnings allocated to Series B and then deduct GM Financial earnings to arrive at an automotive income of $900 million for the fourth quarter of 2013. We had $200 million in non-cash special items and our depreciation and amortization was a $1.5 billion expense. Working capital was $200 million source of cash. The $1.3 billion decline in the prior year was due to a decline in payables as we experienced more payment cycles in the fourth quarter of 2013. U.S. pension and OPEB cash payments exceeded expenses by $300 million in the quarter. The prior year period included the $2.3 billion contribution to settle and annuitize our seller retention plan. Other was a $200 million source of cash, a $700 million improvement from the prior year largely due to an increase in deferred taxes and an increase in dividends from our China joint ventures. This total was down to automotive net cash provided by operating activities of $2.8 billion. We have $1.8 billion of capital expenditures in the quarter. In addition, we exclude the interest associated with the prepayment of the Canadian Healthcare Trust debt. This totals to our adjusted automotive free cash flow of $1.1 billion, flat compared to the prior year. The positive cash flow helped improve our liquidity position on Slide 22 to $38.3 billion including $27.9 billion in cash and marketable securities. Debt increase to $7.1 billion compared to the prior year and due to our recent $4.5 billion refinancing transactions. $3.2 billion of the proceeds from the new debt was used to redeem Series A preferred shares that had a book value of $2.4 billion. The remaining $1.2 billion was used after the fourth quarter end to retire the Canadian Healthcare Trust notes. Series A preferred stock is $3.1 billion after the most recent redemption. Our total U.S. qualified and non-qualified pension plans are underfunded by $7.2 billion, a significant improvement versus a year ago which we will further discuss in a moment. Our non-U.S. pension plans were underfunded by $12.4 billion at the end of the fourth quarter and our global unfunded OPEB liability is $6.3 billion. On Slide 23 we will take a look at the funded status of our global and U.S. pension plans for the past four years. At the end of 2013 we had a global pension benefit obligation of $99 billion. The first time our global PBO was under $100 billion since 2002. Our global pension underfunded position improved $7.9 billion to $19.9 billion from 2012 to 2013. The first time our global underfunded position has been under $20 billion since 2007. As I relate to our U.S. pension plans, our underfunded status at the end of 2013 improved to $7.3 billion, nearly half of the underfunded amount in 2012. The timing and combined effects of raising discount rates, asset returns and other items partially offset by interest and service cost resulted in a $6.7 billion improvement to the funded status in our U.S. clients. Slide 24 provide the summary of our auto financing activities. GM Financial reported the results this morning and will hold their conference call at noon. Our U.S. sub-prime penetration in the fourth quarter remained constantly to prior year at 7.2%. Our U.S. lease penetration is 20.8% in Q4, up 6.1 percentage points from the prior year as we continue to [distant] average. Lease penetration in Canada is at 20.4%, an increase of 14.3 percentage points. GM New Vehicles as a percentage of GM Financial loan and lease originations grew significantly as our financing subsidiary continues to grow its leasing and subprime footprint. GM Financial’s percentage of GM’s U.S. consumer sub-prime finance and leasing remained fairly constant at 19% in the quarter. GM Financials annualized net credit losses improved to 2.1% and their earnings before tax were $225 million for the fourth quarter. I will now highlight a few items of note for Q1 2014 on Slide 24. January 2, this year we indicated that we do not expect our quarterly earnings scale to follow a typical seasonal trends in 2014. We expect Q1 earnings to be approximately 10% to 15% of total 2014 calendar year earnings. Restructuring charges included in Q1 EBIT adjusted are expected to be approximately $300 million primarily related to the bulk plant closing in Germany and the strategic actions we’ve announced in GMIO. We expect a weaker GM South America Q1 result giving extremely volatile conditions in Venezuela, reducing production in the quarter. Additionally, given the governmental policy actions and currency fluctuations within the region over the past few weeks, a risk profile has increased. We also have increased marketing process associated with supporting our vehicle launches. Additionally, we will have volume and mix headwinds in GMIO as we change over for the launch of the full-size truck and full-size SUVs in the middle of these. On Slide 26, we remind you the slide that we shared at the conference in January. Q1 as we discussed, will be significantly weaker than seasonal trends. Q2 and Q3 we expect to be similar their trend. However, Q4 will be stronger as restructuring costs are front loaded in the year and China will benefiting from their new vehicle launches. Finally on Slide 27, we remind you of our 2014 calendar year outlook. We plan to take the advantage of the strength in North America and China to fund our restructuring efforts around the globe. We expect EBIT adjusted for 2014 to be modestly improved over 2013, while EBIT adjusted margins are expected to be similar to last year on a consolidated level. Restructuring charges for the calendar year will be significantly higher than recent historical trend. We expect to incur over $1 billion in restructuring expense and cash payments in 2014, primarily related to the Bochum plant closure in Germany and the strategic actions we announced in GMIO. Now here is Mary with her closing remarks.