Michael Novogratz
Management
I think the OG profit taking more than we thought is a real thing. And, you know, I think the psychology is you know, if you've ever been a like, a speculator, once you start selling, it becomes like a an idea of a reaction function. Then you sell a little more, you sell a little more, and it is so hard to huddle. To literally hold a position and ride it for a long, long trend. And there were a tremendous amount of kind of religious believers in this concept of hodling, of holding, you know, and not letting go of your Bitcoin. And somehow that virus or that fever broke and you started seeing some selling. Quantum has been the big excuse for people. Now you know, you're seeing some reaction function. From the industry. I think the industry has been slow to kinda like, fund the quantum institutes to say, hey. This is the real this is the real story. Right? The story in layman's terms, which has always been told to me by the, quote, smart guys who and around the Bitcoin core developers is, we get closer to quantum, we're gonna get closer to quantum resistant. And you will have the Bitcoin code changed in time. So the risk, of course, to the Bitcoin ecosystem is the developers all get obstinate and they fight amongst each other. And they don't and they nihilistically blow themselves up. I just don't see that happening. And so I think in the long run, quantum will not be a huge issue for crypto. It'll be a big issue for the world, but crypto Bitcoin especially will be able to handle it. But that's been the excuse. And I think that selling has and listen. We had one customer alone who sold $9 billion worth. And to put that in context, that was one quarter or one third of all of IVET's inflows last year. Right? You know, the biggest player in this market. And so these big chunky positions take a while to work their way through. You know, someone wrote an article, it's like, distributing an IPO. Price usually goes down, then the distribution ends and it goes back up. And I think that's the part of the cycle we're in right now. And I said earlier, I don't know when the seller's exhaustion happens. There is not a lever a lot of leverage in the system anymore. And so Bitcoin specifically and crypto in general, always need a new story, a new catalyst, something that happens. And it's always hard to predict what it's gonna be, and it shows up. And then all of a sudden, like, like a wildfire, everyone kinda gets excited again. And I'm blowing smoke on the embers, hoping the wildfire picks up. I you know, it's not here yet, obviously, by the price action.