David Gladstone
Analyst · Vernon Plack with BB&T Capital Markets
I hope all of our listeners out there will read our press release and also obtain a copy of the quarterly report called the 10-Q and 10-K. We filed the 10-K yesterday with the SEC. You can access the press release and the 10-Ks and 10-Qs on our website at gladstonecapital.com and also see on the SEC website. I think the big news for this quarter was, we continued to make progress with our portfolio of investments and our desire to pay down our short-term line of credit with KeyBanc and BB&T. As many of you know that they replaced our primary lender, Deutsche Bank. As part of the new agreement, we have or promised to reduce the commitment of KeyBanc to $75 million by December 31, 2009, and after the quarter ended as Gresford reported, we reduced KeyBanc to $80 million, and we are in the process of reducing them to $75 million, probably this week, and now we are in the process of working on it now. So, our line of credit will be at a $102 million soon and there is plenty of room for our company, especially short-term line of credit. We are happy with our new lenders and have moved away, we’re very happy to have moved away now from Deutsche Bank which placed us in a very difficult position, when Deutsche Bank decided not to renew our line of credit. They did this to a number of other people in our industry and other industry. So, it’s not just us that we are damaged; they damaged a lot of other companies as well. Our biggest challenge today is the debt marketplace for companies like ours as well as for our portfolio companies that we finance. So, we have a line of credit with very supported lending and that’s [sufficient] today and that’s working very fine, and it’s really sufficient for the near-term. By the way we are having discussion with our lenders now about our renewal of the line of credit, stay tune for that, we’ll let you know when we have finally negotiated those terms and condition. However, just need to remind you that we need to raise long-term debt and have long-term capital such as the issuance of preferred or common stock in order to finance new investment. Our new investments, as you all know, are long-term, so we need long-term liabilities to go along with that. We can’t rely on a short-term line of credit for making long-term investments. For our portfolio companies, we worry too that they will not have the ability to get either line of credit or long-term loans that they need. There are a fair number of regional banks that are making new loans based on primarily on the assets of the business. These asset based lenders are more clinical than they were last year of course, and we hope to get banks to finance all of the lines of credit for our portfolio of companies and get out of the business of providing lines of credits to our small businesses that we work with, but we just have to see how that works out over the next year. We continue to worry about the price of oil; it's a terrible risk to our economy. Oil prices are probably going to continue to go up as the economy improves; at least that's where we see things going. We're currently worried about inflation now. The decision by lawmakers in Washington to expand the money supply will probably cause much more inflation to return. The government’s projecting to issue about $2 trillion worth of government borrowings such as key bills that will fuel inflation as well, and we wonder about all the spending that the federal government is doing now is just off the chart. So look at the so called stimulus package and it’s filled with spending goodies for many of the supporters over the legislators and the healthcare bill that's coming down the pipe seems to reward a lot of supporters of legislators as well. These stimulus packages as they call them and the healthcare bill are really dislocating a lot of the markets out there, and we have to worry about that when we're investing and worry about it for our portfolio companies. I'm really not sure how this will turn out, it looks like that the government is partially nationalizing a lot of banks, insurance companies and the auto business as well as the healthcare area, and this can't be good for the long-term success that our country, as we know, governments are very inefficient and many decisions are made on politics rather than business decisions. The amount of money that's being spent of the war on Iraq and Afghanistan is certainly hurting our economy. We are certainly supportive of our troops; they are the heroes of this period history. They risk their lives for us every single day, and we pray for their safe return back to the homeland. The costs are horrendous, and as all of you know, all of that spending is off-budget. They don't have that in the budget. So that's over and above what they are spending in the budget, each time you hear those budget numbers. All of this spending means one thing and you know what it is that taxes are going to have to increase and I just do not see how people can handle more taxes. It's going to cause even more dislocation and the government will have to sell more debt. That will cause more inflation, and many in the Congress today, legislators are calling for increase in taxes on what they call the so-called wealthy, but their definition of wealthy includes most of the middle class, even down to as low as $40,000 a year in earnings. So, we can bet that taxes will be increasing over the coming years. Our worry about the trade deficit with China and certain other nations is just terrible right now. China continues to subsidize their industries to the disadvantage of our businesses. For example, they've subsidized their oil prices significantly. Oil prices, the business is there about half of what it cost the government to buy oil on the open market, and this of course means that our companies here in the United States can't compete with those businesses, and that leaves jobs just leaving the United States and going to Asia. It's a sad state of affairs. The downturn in the housing industry and the related disaster in the home mortgage defaults continues to hurt our economy. I'm not sure anyone knows how many home mortgages are going to ultimately fail. There’s been estimate as high as $1 trillion. Right now, I read this morning that one in four homes that people own today are under water in terms of the mortgage that they have on the houses is higher than the value of the real estate. Real estate defaults are the main cause of this recession that we have today, it ticked it all of. However the housing problem by estimates will likely turnaround in 2010, because housing prices have fallen so much and mortgage rates have come down so much, they are also being subsidized and of course there is a tax credit if you are a first time buyer. So all of that’s probably going to bring back some qualified buyers into the housing industry in 2010. So, we’re hopeful that that will turnaround. In spite of all of these negatives and there are a lot of negatives, but I want to say some positives here. The industrial base that the US is not a disaster, it’s not going over the edge, it continues to struggle along. The recession is having an impact on all businesses including our portfolio companies. But again it’s not a disastrous one. Unlike most companies, our portfolio of companies has not seen big increases or any increases at all in revenue or backlog. Some of them have seen their revenues decline, but most have cut their cost as best they can in order to keep their profits up. But revenues haven’t increased, and until we see revenues increasing you probably aren’t going to see the economy turnaround, and perhaps that will be next quarter or the quarter after, but we’re hopeful that 2010 will be a good strong year. They only think that’s hurting us is the lack of bank lending money and it’s been mentioned before. We need long-term debt not short-term debt. We have plenty of short-term debt, and I am sure that our portfolio of companies over 2010 will be able to get their short-term debt. However, most banks have just stopped making long-term loans. This is like the 1990 recession, except in this case the federal government is pouring money into the banking system and they’re pouring in short-term money into the banking system rather than as they did in 1990. They took over the bad banks and sold off the asset. So, we will have to see how this strategy, this niche strategy by our government is going to work out in the financial system. I believe that the downturn that began in 2008 will continue well into 2010. I don’t see any let up; I'm hopeful that it continues at a slow pace that we are going out now. However I do think the economy is going to stabilize in 2010 and if that’s true, we can take advantage of it. This will be a great time for us over the next two to four years as this is the stabilizing, but we’re all awaiting to make sure that the economy has stabilized before we jump out and stat making new loans and investments. Our plans today are to seek some long-term debt for our fund. We need to borrow long-term, because we invest long-term. We’re making the rounds with some of the long-term lenders such as insurance companies to see if we can raise some long-term debt. This will take us while to get that in place, and we haven’t yet applied to the SBA for an SBIC licenses and if the SBA grants the license, we’ll be able to borrow up to $120 million on very attractive terms. By the way, under that program, we can borrow money through the SBA for 10 years and interest only for 10 years at a rate that’s only a few percentage points above long-term treasuries. So 10 year treasuries plus the small amount would be the rate that we could borrow at. So it would be very advantageous if the government will let us have an SBIC license, but we still don’t know if we'll receive it. We thought we are in line and we’re hopeful that they will get through us soon and issues us the license. We’re also looking at issuing some preferred stock or something similar to preferred stock, but today it would be very expensive if we do find a way to issue preferred stock or something like that in a good price range, then we’ll certainly consider it and that would help us to generate long-term capital that we could use to make investments and we had looked at some convertible preferred stock and that may work for us as well, as we continue to look at that. We are considering issuing common stock, but certainly not at this time. Its price is just way too low and that may change as time goes on, and so we can raise some money either with preferred or common or long-term debt that will get back into the lending business. As you all know, the distribution is $0.07 a month. For October, November and December we will declare the next dividend in January. In our projections when we set up the $0.07, we didn’t assume that we'd make any new investments. So if we do start making new investments, it will help our projections and we can exceed them and hopefully continue to grow the business, but obviously there is no guarantee on that today we’re just going to do the best we can. At the distribution rate that we have in October, you're talking about $0.07 a share. At $8 as the stock closed yesterday, the yield on the stock is now about 10.5% at the very high income rate considering the company is strong as it is and continues to go forward at a good pace. Now let me ask you all, please go to the website at gladstonecapital.com and sign up for our e-mail notification, so we won’t send out junk mail, which is good news on the company. Remember in summary here that, as far as we can see the economic conditions look like they will change; that we’ll get to bottom during 2010; that we’ll start to gain some strength in this company. We just don’t know when that's going to happen, and the next two quarters will be very telling. As we watch the quarter that ends in March, we'll have to make some judgments as to whether we've reached bottom or not. As you know we are stewards of your money, we're going to stay the course and continue to be conservative in our investment approach and continue to have a good portfolio and continue to have a good portfolio. Well operator, why don’t you come on now and let’s open up the lines to some of the analyst and our shareholders who want to have some questions.