Rafael Japur
Analyst · Safra Bank
[Interpreted] Well, Daniel, my perspective here, it's far from being the truth, but what I think about what it means, especially for wire rod, in a rough approximation, whenever we think about longs, we have something between 10% to 20%, depending on the time of the year that is equivalent to wire rod, national production. And the proportion vis-a-vis rebar is approximately 3.5:1 or 4:1. What happens is that oftentimes, the producers of road products, they also produce rebar. And when you have a lot of wire rod entering the country with dumping margins of $550 per ton of dumping, and this is what was verified by the Ministry of Industry and Trade, and this then leads productive companies that -- they don't want to sit idle. It leads them to produce prices for contribution margin, so they produce rebars or other products. Therefore, this is not specifically about rebars, but it is also about the spillover, the tripling effect coming from a massive entry of wire rod, which leads producers to produce something else. And since this can be an input for other products like cut and bend, profiles, columns, this has a detrimental effect in the entire margin of the long steel segment in general. So we have -- there are two investigations going on like China with a margin of $550 per ton and Russia with $100 per ton approximately. It is a significant amount that leads to a great impact in competitiveness. So what we are asking for is fair trade, we should conduct a technical analysis and say, okay, there is dumping, there is damage, there is nexus, and we cannot ignore the facts because the facts do not matter to us at the moment A or B. So we should be mature enough as a democratic country that the rules that have been set up, they have to be enforced. Those who are selling to Brazil, they should also abide by the same rules. So we should be able to enforce them. So in the second half of the year, we expect to see the conclusion of this investigation related to wire rod dumping, and we have the potential to improve not only wire rod specifically, but also other long products that gravitate around this portfolio of products. And my last point on this competitive dynamics is that I see that somehow the market share in Brazil is very stable. Now we still have further opportunities to be captured because it doesn't matter if I have all of my assets in the south, and I have a 30% share, but only in the north of Brazil because this is inefficient, logistically speaking, but we have a very encompassing product portfolio. And I think now this market share among more stable players gives us a very unique opportunity, which is improving our efficiency on the way that we serve our customers, and we started capturing these opportunities, and I see a very good avenue of opportunity going forward. We do have a market share that was redefined last year with all of our recent initiatives. But once given our share of the market, it is not being served the most efficient way possible. I mean, from which mill we will serve, the way we will serve, whether it's via Comercial Gerdau or via a distributor. So there are things that are up to us to do or to decide the most rational possible way to serve the share that it has been given.