Operator
Operator
Good afternoon, and welcome to Gerdau's Conference Call to present the results of the third quarter of 2012. [Operator Instructions] We would like to clarify that forward-looking statements that might be made during this call regarding the business outlook for Gerdau's projections and operating and financial targets are estimates based on the company's management expectations regarding the future of the company. Although Gerdau believes that these remarks are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no guarantee that future events will not affect this evaluation. Today with us, we have Mr. André Johannpeter, CEO and Chairman; and Osvaldo Schirmer, Vice President and Investor Relations Officer. Now I would like to give the floor to Mr. André Johannpeter. Mr. Johannpeter, you have the floor. André Bier Gerdau Johannpeter: Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our conference call for the results of 3Q 2012. Before I start talking about our operating and financial performance in Q3, I would like to share with you our new mining strategy. We made a decision of terminating the process to seek for strategic partner for our mining project at the moment. This decision was caused by the upward review of iron ore discovery and the fact that the proposal did not fulfill the expectations of the company. The project, presenting to the potential investors contemplated resources of 2.9 billion tons of iron ore where, currently, according to the construction [ph] in study that indicated a volume of 6.3 billion tons of iron grade, which was up by 40%. Thus, Gerdau reinstated its commitment with the mining project, implementing a investment plan without compromising the necessary resources in the sustainability of the steel business. Our new investments involved BRL 500 million for an increase in installed capacity of mining by 11.5 million tons to 18 million tons by 2016, thus Gerdau will have a very broad product portfolio of iron ore concentrated centrally in granulated products with good enough quality to fulfill all the requirements of the very demanding market. All the BRL 500 million will be used to deploy a railway terminal in Minas Gerais to distribute additional products from Gerdau. These investments announced today are in addition to investments of BRL 838 million, which have been previously informed and aimed at obtaining installed capacity of 11.5 million tons on an annual basis into 2013, which will allow us to be self-sufficient in iron ore and also to trade the product. Gerdau's objective is to reach 24 million tons of annual production capacity by the construction of the new processing plant that should begin operation in 2020. This expansion is still under study. In terms of the construction process of a new port terminal in Port of Itaguai and distribution of the volume for export, Gerdau is still developing strategic solutions to ensure sustainability and the profitability of the project. Moreover, the company is constantly looking for available opportunities to fulfill short-term distribution demands. We just concluded our first exports business of iron ore involving 160,000 tons of sinter feeds, and it should be shipped in October -- in November. Now we will talk about the world situation in the case of steel, and then we will talk about Gerdau's performance. Right after this brief presentation, Osvaldo Schirmer will talk about the financial performance. And next, we'll be available to take questions. I would like to stress that we will evaluate the performance of Q3 2012 and compare it with the same period of the year before. Our world outlook, starting with the crude steel production, which was 382.6 million tons in Q3 of 2012, which is a volume in keeping with the same period of the year before. Excluding China, world production was 197.4 million tons, in keeping again with the volume, which was fulfilled in Q3 of 2011. Steel production in Brazil was down 3% vis-à-vis the same quarter of 2011, reaching 8.7 million tons. Steel production in other countries of Latin America, not including Brazil, was 7.7 million tons, down 8% when compared to the same period of the year before. Steel production in the United States was 21.9 million tons, obviously in keeping with the same period of the year before. Now I will mention some highlights of Gerdau's major figures. Undoubtedly, the global economic landscape and the respective impact in the steel market was -- we experienced lower growth in the demand for steel, and also more global competition impacted Gerdau's performance in Q3. Our consolidated shipments were 4.8 million tons, in keeping with the same period of the year before. Now steel production was down 5% when compared to the period from July to September of 2011, reaching 4.7 million tons. Net sales grew 10% vis-à-vis the same period of 2011, reaching BRL 9.8 billion. Operating cash generation, also known as EBITDA, was BRL 1 billion, down 15% when compared to Q3 of 2011. Net income was BRL 408 million in Q3, down 43% when compared to the same period of the year before. In terms of dividends, the dividend payout will be BRL 119 million paid to shareholders of Gerdau S.A. and BRL 36.6 million paid out to shareholders of Metalúrgica Gerdau. In terms of the investments in the same quarter, Gerdau invested BRL 904 million and year-to-date, BRL 2.4 billion. For those of you who follow us online, I'm on Page 5. And I'll refer to the outlook for the end of this year and 2013. I would like to start giving you a general overview of the world. According to expectations by the IMF, the global GDP points to growth of 3.3% in 2012. For next year, the outlook indicates that the world economy should grow 3.6%. Now referring to the world steel consumption, most recent projections published by World Steel showed growth of 2.1% this year and 3.2% for 2013. The estimated volumes are lower when compared to previous forecasts and this certainly reflects the economic crisis in Europe and also the slowdown in China's growth. Now I will talk about Brazil where the Brazilian economy should grow 1.5% in 2012. In view of the lower growth expectation for Brazil, the Instituto Aco Brasil recently published its new projection for steel consumption in the country, which should reach 25.9 million tons, up 3.3% when compared to volumes of 2011. Now for 2013, the expectation for growth in Brazil is 4% GDP. And consumption should reach 27 million tons and a growth of 4.2% over 2012. Now still talking about Brazil and looking at the specific construction industry, most recent estimates indicate that there will be a 2.5% growth in terms of construction GGP. And the industry -- industrial production should go down 2.1%, impacted by the de-industrialization process that we are experiencing in Brazil. Now I would like to refer to North America, and this does not include Mexico or any other specialty steels located in the United States. I will start referring to the United States, which is presenting good demand in the energy and industrial industries. According to PMI, Purchasing Managers Index, the main indicator of industrial production in the U.S. reached 51.5% in September, and anything above 50% represents growth. Investments now into the construction, and we are not including residential or infrastructure. Construction was up 9% in the period between July and August of 2012 when compared to the same period in 2011, reaching BRL 50 billion, mainly boosted by many constructions of buildings in the United States. As a consequence of this landscape, it is estimated that the U.S. GDP should grow 2% in 2012, above the outlook that was published early this year. In consumption, according to World Steel, should also be higher than the expectation, reaching 96.5 million tons, 8.3% increase, when compared to 2011. Now in 2013, the GDP estimate is 2.1% growth, and steel consumption should be up by 3.6%, reaching 100 million tons. In terms of Canada, the IMF outlook is that GDP will grow 1.9% and steel consumption, 2.8%. Now in 2013, GDP estimate growth is 2% and steel consumption, 2.9%, reaching 15 million tons. In Latin America, according to IMF, the economies of Latin American countries are presenting a positive performance. In Peru, it is up 6%, Chile up 5% and Colombia up 4.3%. However, the World Steel reviewed downward steel consumption estimates for countries in Latin America which should reach 40.9 million tons, which is 5.7% up, when compared to figures of last year. Now for 2013, the growth forecast is 6.4%, reaching 43.5 million tons in Latin America. Now Page 7, we will talk about our Specialty Steel operation, including North America, Brazil, Europe and India. Starting with North America, where there were 3.7 million light vehicles produced in the third quarter, considering the markets of Canada, U.S. and Mexico, which represents a growth of 15.4% when compared to the same period of 2011. In terms of heavy vehicles production, it was 105,000 tons or up 5%. Now for 2012, market expectations indicate an important growth of 16.1% in the production of light vehicles and 14% in the [indiscernible] of mid-sized and -- mid and heavy vehicles. Now in Brazil, vehicle production was 910,000 units in the third quarter, which was in keeping with the same period of the year before. According to ANFAVEA, the production of light commercial vehicles in the country should grow 1.4% in 2012, reaching 3.2 million tons. However, the outlook for the heavy vehicle segment is still negative, down 27% in terms of production volumes. In Europe, statistics show that vehicle registration experienced a drop of 9.3% vis-à-vis the same period of the year before, reaching 2.7 million units. Now registration of commercial vehicles was 389,000 units in Q3, which was down 10.6% when compared to the same period in July and September in 2011. And these drops already reflect crisis in Europe. In India, there is growth, an expansion of 8.3% for light vehicles this year. And for heavy vehicles, it should reach 907,000 units, which is up 2.3% over 2011. On Page 8, I will talk about investments in this quarter. In addition to all of the investments that have been announced for mining, I would like to announce a new melt shop with installed capacity of 650,000 annual tons at Riograndense mill located in Sapucaia do Sul in the state of Rio Grande do Sul. This melt shop will replace the current one, which has a capacity of 450,000 tons of steel a year. This investment, involving BRL 460 million will also allow for the expansion and productivity, more operating security, better quality of products, environmental protection, in addition to reducing our energy consumption. The value of the investment that will make this melt shop get into operation in 2015 also covers the construction of necessary infrastructure and the expansion of the unit, acquisition of machinery and equipment. Considering the uncertainties in the world economy market, we will still be very selective when it comes to evaluating new investment projects. We are already reviewing our investment plan of BRL 10.3 billion, which was announced for the period of 2012 to 2016. This new plan will be announced when we announce our results in February of 2013. To conclude on Page 9, I would like to stress our decision to continue investing in mining without compromising the sustainability of our business in the steel industry, which represents another initiative to improve the company's results in view of higher cost of raw material, lower demand in the world for steel and also the stronger global competition. In addition to mining investments, we are also increasing the supply of coal coming from our operations in Colombia and also the network of captive scrap suppliers. Not only that, we have already initiated the sale -- the trade of our iron ore. And we will start producing flat steel and hot coils at the end of 2012 and early 2013. So we are facing a moment with many economic uncertainties and market volatility. And because of that, the third quarter was more difficult than what we had anticipated. However, there are -- there is a very good outlook for 2013 in the several geographies where we operate. The United States, for instance, experienced a gradual recovery of its economy. In Brazil, the volume outlook in terms of investments in infrastructure in the country will certainly boost steel consumption. Therefore, we can say that we will quickly adapt to the ups and downs in the market with a lot of agility in our decision-making process and flexibility of our operations, since these are features that are very much part of the company's management. And this will help us overcome all of the difficulty that we see in the world economic scenario. But before I give the floor to Schirmer, I would like to once again thank him for his dedication and all the work he did over -- more than 25 years of work at Gerdau. As you know, Schirmer will retire on December 31 of this year. I would like to especially acknowledge Schirmer. And he has been Gerdau's -- one of the most important partners of Gerdau. And he worked nonstop with our investors. He has been an important partner in all of our discussions and debates and acquisitions. So I would like to, once again, thank him very much for all the work he did. And also, I would like to say welcome to the new VP. He will be the Executive VP for Finance and Controllership. He will also be part of Gerdau's executive committee. André Pires de Oliveira Dias is in the U.S., but he will soon come here. So with that, I would give the floor to Schirmer. And then I'll be available to take your questions. Thank you very much.