Earnings Labs

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 21, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to The GEO Group's Fourth Quarter 2011 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Jeremy, and I will be coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Mr. Pablo Paez, Vice President of Corporate Relations. You may proceed, sir.

Pablo Paez

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for today's discussion of The GEO Group's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Earnings Results. With us today is George Zoley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Brian Evans, Chief Financial Officer; John Hurley, President of GEO Corrections and Detention; and Jorge Dominicis, President of GEO Care. This morning, we will discuss our fourth quarter and full year performance and current business development activities. We will conclude the call with a question-and-answer session. This conference call is also being webcast live on our website at www.geogroup.com. Today, we will discuss non-GAAP basis information. A reconciliation from non-GAAP basis information to GAAP basis results is included in the press release and supplemental disclosure we issued this morning. Additionally, much of the information we will discuss today, including the answers we give in response to your questions, may include forward-looking statements regarding our beliefs and current expectations with respect to various matters. These forward-looking statements are intended to fall within the Safe Harbor provisions of the securities laws. Our actual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors contained in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including the Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports. With that, please allow me to turn this call over to our Chairman and CEO, George Zoley. George?

George Zoley

Analyst

Thanks, Pablo, and good morning to everyone, and thanks for joining us as we review our company results and provide an update on our efforts to pursue quality growth opportunities. Organizationally, 2011 was another uniquely important year for the GEO Group with the integration of the Cornell Company's acquisition and the acquisition of B.I. Incorporated, based in Boulder, Colorado. These key acquisitions and their successful integration into the GEO Group position GEO to become the world's leading diversified provider in privatized correctional services. GEO's new profile includes 20,000 employees, 115 facilities and 80,000 beds located in the U.S., U.K., Australia and South Africa. Financially, 2011 performance was the best in our history with revenues climbing to $1.6 billion and pro forma net income of $98.5 million. But unfortunately, we fell short of some of our company goals due to an unprecedented political and legal realignment in California of low-security prisoners from the state down to the counties. This major policy change resulted in the deactivation of several GEO facilities contracted to the state, which we are now marketing to county and federal agencies who need detention and correctional beds in the State of California. Turning to the fourth quarter, we activated the 1,500-bed Riverbend Correctional Facility in Georgia, which is continuing its prisoner ramp-up through May of this year. Our contract with the Georgia Department of Corrections marks our first project in this important market and is indicative of our continued growth at the state level. Additionally, our U.S. Corrections and Detention division continued to ramp-up our new 650-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center-East, which is representative of our continued growth at the federal level. In addition to these project activations, we're in the process of completing 3 new expansion projects totaling approximately 1,800 beds, including 2 federal projects in Texas…

Brian Evans

Analyst

Thank you, George. Good morning, everyone. As disclosed in our press release, we reported quarterly pro forma EPS of $0.39. Our fourth quarter pro forma EPS excludes $0.09 per share in after-tax start-up and transition expenses. Our total revenues for the quarter increased to $406 million from $374 million a year ago. Breaking down each of our reporting segments, our U.S. Corrections and Detention fourth quarter revenue increased slightly to $243 million. In comparison to fourth quarter 2010, our fourth quarter '11 revenues reflect the deactivation of the Regional Correctional Center in New Mexico and the Leo Chesney California facility, which occurred in the second and third quarters of 2011 respectively. These facility deactivations were offset by the activation of our new contract with the Bureau of Prisons at our D. Ray James facility in Georgia and the activation of the managed-only Blackwater River Facility in Florida, both of which began ramping up in the fourth quarter of 2010 and achieved normalized operations during 2011, as well as the activation of our new Adelanto ICE Center-East in August 2011. GEO Care's fourth quarter revenue increased to $109 million from $78 million in fourth quarter 2010. GEO Care's 2011 fourth quarter revenues reflect the acquisition of BI in February 2011 and the activation of the Montgomery County Texas facility in March of 2011, offset by the deactivation of the Brooklyn Re-entry Center in the third quarter of 2011. Our International Services revenue for the quarter increased to $54 million from $52 million 1 year ago. Finally, we did not have any construction revenues during the quarter. Our company-wide adjusted EBITDA for the quarter grew to approximately $82 million from $68 million last year. Additionally, our adjusted funds from operations grew to approximately $48 million compared to approximately $39 million for the…

John Hurley

Analyst

Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to address our business development efforts for GEO Corrections and Detention. I'll start with the federal market segment and the 3 federal government agencies we serve: The Federal Bureau of Prisons, the United States Marshals Service and Immigrations and Customs Enforcement, or ICE. With regard to our current projects under development at the federal level, we have completed construction and will activate our new 600-bed Civil Detention Center in Karnes County, Texas, later this quarter under an Intergovernmental Agreement between Karnes County and ICE. This $32 million company-owned facility is expected to generate approximately $15 million in annualized revenues. As George mentioned last year, we began the intake of immigration detainees at the 650-bed Adelanto ICE Processing Center-East through an Intergovernmental Agreement between the City of Adelanto and ICE. We are in the process of constructing a new $70 million 650-bed center adjacent to the existing one and expect to begin the intake of detainees at the new center in August of this year. At 1,300 beds, the Adelanto ICE detention complex is expected to generate approximately $42 million in annualized revenues. With regard to existing federal contract rebids, we were recently awarded a new 5-year contract by ICE for our South Texas Detention Complex. Under the terms of the new contract, the contracting capacity of the facility will be 1,800 beds, with a 75% occupancy guarantee and the ability to surge to 1,900 beds. The new contract is expected to generate approximately $45 million in annualized revenues at 1,800 beds. Our GEO transport division is preparing to compete on 2 solicitations issued by the federal government for the provision of secure transportation services in Dallas, Texas, as well as throughout the Southwest borders. These 2 opportunities represent approximately $30 million…

Jorge Dominicis

Analyst

Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. Each of our GEO Care divisions continues to pursue multiple growth opportunities. As you may remember, our Residential Treatment Services division achieved a significant milestone in March with the activation of the 100-bed Montgomery County Mental Health Treatment Facility in Texas, which is expected to generate approximately $12.5 million in annualized revenues. The opening of this facility marks our entry into the mental health market in Texas, which we believe may provide additional growth opportunity. In fact, the state legislature last session approved language authorizing the privatization of one additional state psychiatric hospital, which could represent 2 to 300 beds. In addition to Texas, several states, including Georgia, Louisiana, South and North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Virginia and others have indicated a desire to privatize state psychiatric hospitals or treatment centers. In North Carolina, for example, the state has issued an RFP for a 90-bed forensic hospital, which we expect will be awarded this quarter. In Virginia, we had submitted an unsolicited proposal for the management of the states sexually violent predator treatment facility, involving approximately 2,050 beds. The state has decided to move forward with this process and is expected to make a contract award by July 1 of this year. GEO's correctional health services division has submitted a response to the State of Florida's procurement for the provision of healthcare services in all 25 correctional facilities in Region IV, which we anticipate may be awarded in the second quarter. Our Community-Based Services division has completed the operational integration of the BI nonresidential day reporting re-entry services group. In the fourth quarter, we opened 3 new day reporting re-entry centers. We expect to compete for several formal solicitations from the Federal Bureau of Prisons or residential community-based re-entry centers across the country. Additionally, we're working with…

George Zoley

Analyst

Thanks, Jorge. While we've experienced a few challenges, in particularly related to our California contracts, our core operations in the U.S. and internationally continue to deliver solid operational and financial performance. Our industry continues to experience overall positive trends with the significant growth opportunities in the states like New Hampshire, Arizona and others, as well as the United Kingdom. As a result of our significantly improved cash flows following our recent strategic acquisitions, we've been able to look for additional ways to create shareholder value. In the last 2 years, we have executed significant stock buyback programs, which we believe resulted in enhanced value for our shareholder base. Our board has continued to evaluate new ways to create shareholder value and has recently decided to adopt a dividend policy, which we believe will result in meaningfully enhanced value for our shareholders. This dividend policy is indicative of our long-term view that we can return value to our shareholders, while still continuing to naturally deleverage and pursue quality growth. We are mindful of our leverage to continue -- and expect to continue to use our excess cash flow to deleverage over the next couple of years in tandem with our new dividend policy and stock buyback program. Given the large noncash expenses embedded in our earnings, we think that our adjusted funds from operation is an important metric, which provides a very good measure of our company's strong cash flow generation and profitability, particularly now that we have implemented a dividend policy. We expect our 2012 adjusted funds from operation to be approximately $195 million to $205 million, or $3.18 to $3.34 per share. Given our strong and predictable cash flow generation, which is backed by company-owned assets and long-term contracts, we strongly believe that the underlying value of the company has not been reflected in our recent stock price. Therefore, we have aggressively executed our shares buyback program, and we expect to declare quarterly cash dividends beginning in the fourth quarter of this year, which will, over time, more directly return our strong free cash flows to our shareholder base. As I've expressed to you in the past, we view all of these initiatives to enhance shareholder value as complementary and non-pursuit to the detriment of the others. We believe that our diversified growth and investment strategy have positioned GEO as the leading provider of corrections, detention and treatment services through a GEO continuum of care that can deliver performance-based outcomes and significant cost savings for our clients worldwide, while continuing to enhance value for our shareholders. This concludes our presentation. We would now like to open up the call to your questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Kevin Campbell with Avondale Partners.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

Wanted to start with the Community Correctional Facilities in California, and I was hoping you could give us a little bit more color on whether or not you have had any interest from the counties at this point, or perhaps the feds as they are potentially displaced by inmates -- by the new county inmates?

George Zoley

Analyst

We've had interest indicated by both sectors. At the county level, the numbers that were being repressed were not adequate for us to completely open the facilities, and we really think it's a timing issue, as I said in my prepared remarks, that, the brunt of the low-level security prisoners in California really won't hit the counties until later on this year. And I think that will be the best time to make our case for meaningful contract opportunities to recommission those facilities.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

What about from the feds at this point?

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, I think California is a very important market for the, all 3 federal agencies, but I guess most particularly ICE and the Marshals, so we are marketing to those 2 particular agencies.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

And is it -- have they been displaced by -- to any great degree at this point? Or do you think that, too, will come later this year?

George Zoley

Analyst

I think that, too, will come as counties have to decide who are they going to hold. Are they going to hold their own county prisoners, or are they going to hold federal detainees?

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

Okay. And then as you talk about the dividend and also what's going on with the pipeline of opportunities, what would have to happen for you not to do the dividend in the fourth quarter? Would you have to win a number of these opportunities that require a lot of capital, or are you very committed to making that happen in the fourth quarter, I guess?

George Zoley

Analyst

I think we're very committed to making that happen. I can't foresee that the award of any of the opportunities I've discussed would have any material impact on our issuance of a dividend. And I can't really think of anything else, unless it's wholly calamitous to our company.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

All right. And for -- before for Arizona, I think your prior bid was one you that you were going to be using the state-owned land, and therefore, would be more along the managed-only contract level. Do you anticipate that will be the case here in Arizona, or would you would just rather not comment given...

George Zoley

Analyst

I'd rather not comment because we're, in a live competitive bid.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

Yes, understood. The correctional health care opportunity in Florida, I know you guys have sort of talked about that before, but it sounds, given the specific -- very specific mention of it here in the prepared remarks as one that you're very interested. So and so if maybe if you could talk little bit more about that, that the total size of the opportunity, as well as your intentions of potentially expanding beyond Florida, because that's a big market nationwide?

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, it's a big opportunity, as was discussed with more than 2 dozen facilities, but it's important to us to know that they're located in our backyard, so to speak. So it -- for an opportunity of that size, we're going to move carefully in that kind of arena is -- from a pricing and marketing standpoint. So this is -- at this point, kind of a one-off because it's in Florida.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

Okay. So you're not looking at that, like, getting that business in particular and compete against an America Service Group or the other companies that...

Jorge Dominicis

Analyst

Well, at this point, as George said, it's a one-off. It's in our backyard. All of these facilities are within about a 2.5 hour drive of our national, international corporate headquarters, so we can service them, we think, very easily. But it also has implications because the state has continually been exploring the idea of entering into a partnership for the provision of the operations of those same facilities. So we think that for all of those different reasons, it's, it just makes a lot of sense for us to compete, and we've already submitted a proposal.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

Okay, great. And last question, Brian, I was hoping you could give some modeling detail on what we should expect on an annualized basis for G&A, D&A, interest expense, capitalized interest, et cetera?

Brian Evans

Analyst

Sure. G&A, I think will run about 6% of revenues, so we're targeting $24 million to $26 million a quarter interest expense, so probably be $19 million to $20 million a quarter. And depreciation will probably be around $19 million to $20 million a quarter also with additional intangibles, amortization expense on top of that, that's probably $4.5 million to $5 million a quarter. As far as capitalized interest, I think we'll have capitalized interest in the first half of the year, in the first 2 quarters, that's fairly consistent with fourth quarter this year. I think we were right around $1 million, and we'll probably be $750,000 or so per quarter in the first part of 2012.

Kevin Campbell

Analyst

And your G&A at 6% of revenues, that's a little bit lower than where you've been in the last 2 quarters, I guess, it's been 6.4%, 6.7% and $26 million and $27.5 million. So did you make some cuts there, or where is that coming from?

Brian Evans

Analyst

It's a combination, we have made some adjustments in some of our costs, as well as we had some one-off expenses occur during the fourth quarter and the third quarter that we don't expect to occur in 2012.

Operator

Operator

And your next question will be from the line of Tobey Sommer with SunTrust.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

In your prepared remarks, it seemed like part of the discussion around the dividend related to looking -- seeing more opportunities kind of like Florida or the U.K. that didn't require construction and kind of the capital behind owned facilities. Is that a fair interpretation of your prepared remarks that you see more opportunities on kind of the managed-only side?

George Zoley

Analyst

Because we're a greatly more diversified company at this point, and we see a number of opportunities that don't require significant capital from the things in GEO Care like day reporting centers, even community-based facilities for medical services, to detentions and corrections where I think there will be more managed-only opportunities because I think many if not most states have kind of leveled off in their prisoner population levels and now it's kind of a process of re-engineering to get the most value for their dollar, and often that means just sending out procurements that provide for the management-only opportunities of existing facilities.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

And then I also wanted to get your perspective on Ohio's process last year, in I guess, successfully selling one facility. Do you have an expectation that this year's state budget session is going to yield a similar process or set of processes from new states?

George Zoley

Analyst

I think I've discussed in the past that different states have different philosophies. For instance, I don't think the State of Florida will ever sell a prison, because I think they want to own all of their prisons. But there could be one-offs in this area from other states around the country, but I don't think it's going to be of a significant scale.

Tobey Sommer

Analyst

And then I wanted to ask one last question about your strategy in the U.K. having successfully won a contract under a partnership format, what is the right way for you to proceed to address new business opportunities going forward? Do you feel like you have the scale and the reputation in that market to go independent now, or do you think it will be a combination of some independent and some partnership?

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, thanks for that very good question. It's a nice opportunity for me to kind of brief what we've done in the U.K. In the future, we will be bidding as GEO U.K. We've relocated our offices to a community called Hurley -- no relationship to John Hurley sitting to my right. But it's a new, much larger office building. We have a new management team in place. And now having won the prisoner transport contract through our joint venture, we are one of the top 10 largest contractors to the MOJ now. And we are positioned with this new critical mass of new business to pursue of the correctional opportunities whether they'd be in corrections for the management of prisons in the U.K. or even the new electronic monitoring opportunity, we will be pursuing all of them as GEO U.K., not through the GEO Amey joint venture.

Operator

Operator

And your next question will come from the line of Manav Patnaik.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

Related to sort of the return to shareholders, I was just curious, last quarter you guys bought back $50 million of shares, 1/2 of your authorization. But this quarter, even though the stock have sort of fallen more, you did only $25 million. I just wanted to sort of understand the thought process behind holding back on that additional $25 million?

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, I think we felt comfortable as to where we ended up on the stock buyback program, and in consideration of the dividend policy, we wanted to better position the company for that. And we, I think we've done so, and even by targeting the first distribution of dividends to be in the fourth quarter of this year. So I think, one thing did have an impact on the other.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

Okay, fair enough. And then just to touch on BI a bit. So at the beginning of the year, when you guys had made the acquisition, you had expected a revenue contribution of I think it was $115 million. But based on the supplemental you guys provided, I guess it ended up only at $87 million. I just wanted to know what sort of fell short of your expectations and what we should expect, sort of going forward? And somewhat related, maybe that has to do with sort of the GEO Care margins, which fell from, I think it was 19% in the second quarter this year to the 17.5% that it's hovering at today, like what should we expect around those 2 items?

Brian Evans

Analyst

So I think the first response to your question, Manav, is the -- during the year, we reclassified or restructured BI, moved one of their operating divisions, which is their day reporting centers into the community-based services division, where the 2 fit together more strategically. So that the revenue associated with those is sitting in the community-based services group. But overall for the year, I think we've projected about $115 million in revenue for BI and that's right about where we ended up, it was maybe a little bit more than that. But, so the difference between those is the amount of community, the amount of day reporting center revenue that ended up in community-based which is through the year.

Jorge Dominicis

Analyst

That's the realignment. And on the other front, I think the margin as a percent came down a little bit based on some startups. For example, we had the Montgomery County facility, and it was through the end of the year when we were still trying to get everything organized how we'd like it. I think this year, you'll see that number return to the 19% that you were talking about.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

Okay. And on the international side, in terms of the average occupancy, it had been 100% for as long as I can remember when you would -- when you started giving those numbers. I know it's not a big move, but I just want to know if there was anything different going on as to why it was 99% this quarter, like has the contract shifted a bit or what's going on there?

Brian Evans

Analyst

There's one contract that has some occupancy sensitivity, it's very modest and that's why you see the overall occupancy rates still very high. All the other contracts, we continue to be paid for, really a fixed fee for managing the facilities and making those spaces available.

George Zoley

Analyst

I think you're talking about the U.K., and it's the immigration facilities that have the population fluctuations because otherwise South Africa and Australia are at 100% or above.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

Okay, fair enough. And then lastly, Brian, just a few items. One, what was the construction CapEx for this quarter, or maybe for all of 2011 And what number should we model in based on the approved plans for 2012? And also just what the implied cash taxes are for the 2012 guidance and what it should be going forward, maybe?

Brian Evans

Analyst

Well, starting with the CapEx, so for fourth quarter 2011, CapEx was about -- growth CapEx was about $36 million, and maintenance CapEx was about $11 million. Going into Q1, we expect a pretty strong amount of growth CapEx in the first quarter of about $40 million, dropping down to $18 million to $20 million in Q2. And then maintenance CapEx, probably about $8.5 million to $9 million per quarter.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

So $60 million for the full year in terms of growth CapEx?

Brian Evans

Analyst

Approximately, that's right. $60 million to $65 million, I would say.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

And then the cash taxes?

Brian Evans

Analyst

Cash tax is at, say, $20 million to $25 million.

Manav Patnaik

Analyst

Okay. And is that range sustainable for the next couple of years, or how should we think about that?

Brian Evans

Analyst

I think that over the next -- it just depends on whether we're able to continue to take the deductions that we are right now, and that's dependent on tax policy and how that changes or doesn't change over the coming years.

Operator

Operator

Your next question will be from the line of Emily Shanks, also with Barclays.

Jon Khanowitz

Analyst

This is Jon Khanowitz filling in for Emily. I just had a question, to circle back on the dividend repurchase plans. Can you refresh for us any specific target leverage you have for the business?

Brian Evans

Analyst

Well, our current target -- our current leverage is a little over 4x right now. I think as we move through 2012, it will step up a little bit from there and then start to step down, and we would target longer-term in the 3 to 3.5 range for consistent leverage. And George mentioned earlier, once we complete these capital projects, we would expect to start deleveraging -- delevering during 2012 and project being back down around that 4x by the end for 2012, even with paying the dividend and the capital projects are going to be ongoing.

Operator

Operator

And your final question will be from the line of Chuck Ruff with Insight Investments.

Charles Ruff

Analyst

Can you talk a little bit more about what you expect going forward with the California realignment plan? I think when that was first announced, a lot of people did not feel like it would be successful, that there weren't enough beds at local facilities, county facilities. So far they've obviously been able to stay on track, but I know if it gets tougher from here. But I'm wondering, you've touched on this earlier, but I'm wondering if you could talk about that more specifically?

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, the California realignment, I believe was to move a capacity of 25,000 to 30,000 beds from the state level down to the county level. But that movement occurs on a daily, weekly, monthly trickle-down basis based on new people of -- that are sentenced at -- in the various courts and then have a sentence of 3 years or less. So it's new people sentenced that will be going into the counties or rather the state and its -- it'll start a cumulative impact on the counties as they use up whatever available bed capacity they have and then go beyond that and have need of bed space of somewhere in the state. Now we don't have that many beds available to the -- in the State of California. We only have a couple thousand beds, so it's not as though we're the exclusive solution to that. We're just trying to recommission our several facilities that are fairly small and distribute it around of the state to recommission them to either counties or to federal agencies, but this will take time. And as I said in my prepared re marks, we think that the brunt of the impact of the realignment won't occur until the midpoint of this year.

Charles Ruff

Analyst

Right. And do you expect that they'll be able to reduce the number of inmates the way they want? Or in order to do that, will they need the private prisons?

George Zoley

Analyst

I don't believe there's 20,000 to 30,000 available beds in the State of California. I'm certain that some moves will be along the lines of early release. But as it all settles in, I think there will be a demand for all the available beds in the State of California, whether they be government or private.

Operator

Operator

And with no further questions, I'd like to turn the call back to your hosts for any closing remarks.

George Zoley

Analyst

Well, we thank everyone for being on this call today and look forward to joining you again.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have yourself a wonderful day.